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Marcellino Gaudenzi

Publications and source records attributed to Marcellino Gaudenzi.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Adaptive singular-point method for pricing and hedging surrenderable equity-linked contracts

We propose a deterministic numerical method for pricing and hedging surrenderable equity-linked life-insurance contracts with periodic premiums and fund contributions, maturity and death guarantees, and Bermudan surrender under correlated stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rates. The main computational challenge is the non-recombining accumulated fund, which couples with multiple stochastic factors and early exercise. Our key idea is to avoid a full multidimensional fund lattice: variance and interest-rate factors are discretized on recombining lattices, while at each factor node the contract value is represented as an adaptive one-dimensional function of the fund. Periodic contributions then act as translations of the fund argument, whereas surrender is handled directly through a backward obstacle condition. Piecewise-cubic representations propagate payoff and exercise singularities and are compressed by continuous pruning criteria that control the representation error. We establish weak convergence of the financial chains, convergence of the adaptive valuation under vanishing representation error, and Delta consistency on regular fund regions. For the strict binomial scheme, additional regularity yields first-order weak accuracy and a Talay-Tubaro expansion supporting Richardson extrapolation. Numerical experiments show compact representations, favorable cost--accuracy, and close agreement with independent Monte Carlo and cross-fitted least-squares Monte Carlo benchmarks. Hedging results further show that contracts with similar values can generate materially different exposures to equity, volatility, and interest-rate risk.

q-fin.CP↗

The dynamics of the prices of the companies of the STOXX Europe 600 Index through the logit model and neural network

The aim of the present work is analysing and understanding the dynamics of the prices of companies, depending on whether they are included or excluded from the STOXX Europe 600 Index. For this reason, data regarding the companies of the Index in question was collected and analysed also through the use of logit models and neural networks in order to find the independent variables that affect the changes in prices and thus determine the dynamics over time.

q-fin.GN↗

Exact Solutions for Optimal Investment Strategies and Indifference Prices under Non-Differentiable Preferences

We propose an algorithm to calculate the exact solution for utility optimization problems on finite state spaces under a class of non-differentiable preferences. We prove that optimal strategies must lie on a discrete grid in the plane, and this allows us to reduce the dimension of the problem and define a very efficient method to obtain those strategies. We also show how fast approximations for the value function can be obtained with an a priori specified error bound and we use these to replicate results for investment problems with a known closed-form solution. These results show the efficiency of our approach, which can then be used to obtain numerical solutions for problems for which no explicit formulas are known.

q-fin.PR↗

Efficient European and American option pricing under a jump-diffusion process

When the underlying asset displays oscillations, spikes or heavy-tailed distributions, the lognormal diffusion process (for which Black and Scholes developed their momentous option pricing formula) is inadequate: in order to overcome these real world difficulties many models have been developed. Merton proposed a jump-diffusion model, where the dynamics of the price of the underlying are subject to variations due to a Brownian process and also to possible jumps, driven by a compound Poisson process. Merton's model admits a series solution for the European option price, and there have been a lot of attempts to obtain a discretisation of the Merton model with tree methods in order to price American or more complex options, e. g. Amin, the $O(n^3)$ procedure by Hilliard and Schwartz and the $O(n^{2.5})$ procedure by Dai et al. Here, starting from the implementation of the seven-nodes procedure by Hilliard and Schwartz, we prove theoretically that it is possible to reduce the complexity to $O(n \ln n)$ in the European case and $O(n^2 \ln n)$ in the American put case. These theoretical results can be obtained through suitable truncation of the lattice structure and the proofs provide closed formulas for the truncation limitations.

q-fin.CP↗