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Marco Fornasiero

Publications and source records attributed to Marco Fornasiero.

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FlowSeries: Anomaly Detection in Financial Transaction Flows

In recent years, the digitization and automation of anti-financial crime (AFC) investigative processes have faced significant challenges, particularly the need for interpretability of AI model results and the lack of labeled data for training. Network analysis has emerged as a valuable approach in this context. In this paper, we present WeirdFlows, a top-down search pipeline for detecting potentially fraudulent transactions and non-compliant agents. In a transaction network, fraud attempts are often based on complex transaction patterns that change over time to avoid detection. The WeirdFlows pipeline requires neither an a priori set of patterns nor a training set. In addition, by providing elements to explain the anomalies found, it facilitates and supports the work of an AFC analyst. We evaluate WeirdFlows on a dataset from Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP) bank, comprising 80 million cross-country transactions over 15 months, benchmarking our implementation of the algorithm. The results, corroborated by ISP AFC experts, highlight its effectiveness in identifying suspicious transactions and actors, particularly in the context of the economic sanctions imposed in the EU after February 2022. This demonstrates \textit{WeirdFlows}' capability to handle large datasets, detect complex transaction patterns, and provide the necessary interpretability for formal AFC investigations.

cs.CY

Anomaly detection in cross-country money transfer temporal networks

This paper explores anomaly detection through temporal network analysis. Unlike many conventional methods, relying on rule-based algorithms or general machine learning approaches, our methodology leverages the evolving structure and relationships within temporal networks, that can be used to model financial transactions. Focusing on minimal changes in stable ecosystems, such as those found in large international financial institutions, our approach utilizes network centrality measures to gain insights into individual nodes. By monitoring the temporal evolution of centrality-based node rankings, our method effectively identifies abrupt shifts in the roles of specific nodes, prompting further investigation by domain experts. To demonstrate its efficacy, our methodology is applied in the Anti-Financial Crime (AFC) domain, analyzing a substantial financial dataset comprising over 80 million cross-country wire transfers. The goal is to pinpoint outliers potentially involved in malicious activities, aligning with financial regulations. This approach serves as an initial stride towards automating AFC and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) processes, providing AFC officers with a comprehensive top-down view to enhance their efforts. It overcomes many limitations of current prevalent paradigms, offering a holistic interpretation of the financial data landscape and addressing potential blindness to phenomena that cannot be effectively estimated through single-node or narrowly focused transactional approaches.

cs.SI