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Marco Rothermel

Publications and source records attributed to Marco Rothermel.

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AI-Driven Neural Surrogates for In Silico Design of Cognitive-Affective Neuromodulation Targets

In neuropsychiatry, the primary goal is often not only to decode brain activity but to change it, for example to lessen a negative affective bias or an overly salient memory. Motivated by control theory, we develop an AI-driven neural-surrogate framework that proposes candidate representational changes and tests their predicted perceptual effects from snapshots of stimulus-evoked fMRI activity, without physical stimulation. The framework combines fMRI decoding, deep generative modeling, and constrained latent-space steering. Valence and memorability are used only as worked examples. Using more than 36,000 image-fMRI observations from four deeply sampled Natural Scenes Dataset participants, subject-specific models recovered coarse generative structure from visually responsive cortex (two-way identification, 0.79-0.88; chance, 0.5). Graded perturbations were reconstructed as images and evaluated with automated scorers and human ratings from 7,200 trials by 18 participants. In the primary VDVAE model, valence shifted from -0.61 to +1.03 SD and memorability from -1.34 to +1.45 SD; a later Versatile Diffusion refinement reduced or altered these effects. Across five perturbation levels, human valence ratings moved in the predicted direction under the linear time-correction model (mean slope, 0.038 SD per unit of alpha; 95 percent CI, 0.003-0.074; positive in 16 of 18 participants). Perceived memorability did not change reliably. Baseline agreement with the automated assessor was suggestive for valence (r = 0.30) and weak for memorability (r = 0.10). Extreme perturbations drifted from the original stimulus, so intended change must be weighed against loss of fidelity. These findings provide a falsifiable upstream method for designing and behaviorally testing candidate representational targets for future neuromodulation in psychiatry, while marking the limits of the present static approximation.

q-bio.NC

Perturbational Validity for Foundation Models of Brain Dynamics: A Controlled Proof-of-Principle Simulation

Foundation models for human brain recordings are usually evaluated by signal reconstruction, future-state prediction, and transfer to downstream tasks. However, these benchmarks do not establish whether a transferred model remains valid when the system is actively perturbed. We define perturbational validity as the preservation, after limited system-specific adaptation, of the conditional distribution of future trajectories given the current state and a controlled input, and we evaluate it at three levels: time-series accuracy, dynamical-structure similarity, and responses to perturbations excluded from calibration. We demonstrate the framework in an oracle-drift simulation of stochastic bistable systems. Two otherwise identical multilayer perceptrons were trained on drift evaluations from passive or input-driven trajectories. Next, for each held-out system the shared weights were frozen and only a three-dimensional embedding was adapted, with a correctly specified cubic model fitted from scratch as comparator. With two to five system-specific evaluations, perturbational pretraining yielded lower errors in recovering controlled flow, landscape geometry, finite-run occupancy, response distributions, and dose-transition curves. The advantage was reproduced across five independent runs, persisted under full-network adaptation of the passive model, and was attributable to input excitation rather than transition-state coverage: excitation alone lowered controlled-flow error 1.94-fold relative to coverage alone, in five of five runs. The cubic model became competitive as calibration grew, showing that the benefit is specific to few-shot transfer. This controlled demonstration does not test recovery of dynamics from noisy or partially observed brain recordings. It shows why passive prediction should be complemented by prospective evaluation under controlled inputs.

q-bio.QM