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Marcus Mayrhofer

Publications and source records attributed to Marcus Mayrhofer.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Testing Covariance Separability in High Dimensions

Separability is an important structural assumption often placed on the covariance when working with matrix-variate data, because it greatly simplifies both interpretation and computation of subsequent covariance-based statistical tasks. Yet testing the separability assumption is difficult in the high-dimensional regime. We propose to test separability by recasting the problem as a sphericity test after whitening the data using the separable maximum likelihood estimate of the covariance. The test is calibrated by Monte Carlo simulation, yielding finite-sample level control. Furthermore, we prove the test's high-dimensional consistency under dense alternatives. To reduce its reliance on distributional assumptions, we introduce an angular version of the test based on radial normalization after whitening. We demonstrate the practical utility, empirical power, and computational efficiency of the prop

stat.ME

Explainable Outlier Detection for Multivariate Functional Data

This work addresses the challenges of robust covariance estimation and interpretable outlier detection for multivariate functional data with separable covariance structure. We develop a method that simultaneously improves robustness and interpretability in this context by establishing a connection between stochastic processes with separable covariance structures and the corresponding matrix-variate distribution of their basis representations. Leveraging this connection, we employ the recently developed matrix-variate counterpart of the Minimum Covariance Determinant estimator (MMCD) in conjunction with a truncated multivariate functional Mahalanobis semi-distance to robustly estimate mean and covariance for multivariate functional data. For interpretable outlier detection, we generalize multivariate outlier explanations based on Shapley values to decompose overall multivariate functional outlyingness into time-coordinate-specific contributions. Importantly, we reduce the otherwise exponential computational complexity (relative to the number of components) to linear complexity, while retaining the key properties of the Shapley value. This integrated framework combines robust Mahalanobis distances, MMCD estimators, and Shapley value-based outlyingness decomposition to provide a robust and interpretable approach for analyzing multivariate functional data with separable covariance structures. The effectiveness of this approach is demonstrated through both theoretical analysis and practical applications, including simulations and real-world examples.

stat.ME

A New View to Mission Profiles

Mission profiles cover the conditions that a component, e.g., an electronic component of a vehicle, is exposed to during its lifecycle. Currently, these profiles typically provide descriptive summaries, such as histograms, of single stress parameters like temperature, humidity, or voltage. This is highly aggregated information. New requirements for electric and autonomous driving cars require much more information how applications are used. In this work, we present a new approach for mission profiles which contains detailed usage information. We suggest a functional description over time, which allows joint modeling of various characteristics such as temperature, humidity, and voltage. The entire lifecycle history is covered, and the method can control the temporal resolution, i.e., the level of details of a mission profile. As a result, more accurate mission profiles can be generated, user quantiles can be derived, and usage outliers can be identified. This model establishes a framework to exchange usage data between suppliers, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and end customers while data integrity and protection are assured.

stat.AP

Robust covariance estimation and explainable outlier detection for matrix-valued data

This work introduces the Matrix Minimum Covariance Determinant (MMCD) method, a novel robust location and covariance estimation procedure designed for data that are naturally represented in the form of a matrix. Unlike standard robust multivariate estimators, which would only be applicable after a vectorization of the matrix-variate samples leading to high-dimensional datasets, the MMCD estimators account for the matrix-variate data structure and consistently estimate the mean matrix, as well as the rowwise and columnwise covariance matrices in the class of matrix-variate elliptical distributions. Additionally, we show that the MMCD estimators are matrix affine equivariant and achieve a higher breakdown point than the maximal achievable one by any multivariate, affine equivariant location/covariance estimator when applied to the vectorized data. An efficient algorithm with convergence guarantees is proposed and implemented. As a result, robust Mahalanobis distances based on MMCD estimators offer a reliable tool for outlier detection. Additionally, we extend the concept of Shapley values for outlier explanation to the matrix-variate setting, enabling the decomposition of the squared Mahalanobis distances into contributions of the rows, columns, or individual cells of matrix-valued observations. Notably, both the theoretical guarantees and simulations show that the MMCD estimators outperform robust estimators based on vectorized observations, offering better computational efficiency and improved robustness. Moreover, real-world data examples demonstrate the practical relevance of the MMCD estimators and the resulting robust Shapley values.

stat.ME

Multivariate outlier explanations using Shapley values and Mahalanobis distances

For the purpose of explaining multivariate outlyingness, it is shown that the squared Mahalanobis distance of an observation can be decomposed into outlyingness contributions originating from single variables. The decomposition is obtained using the Shapley value, a well-known concept from game theory that became popular in the context of Explainable AI. In addition to outlier explanation, this concept also relates to the recent formulation of cellwise outlyingness, where Shapley values can be employed to obtain variable contributions for outlying observations with respect to their "expected" position given the multivariate data structure. In combination with squared Mahalanobis distances, Shapley values can be calculated at a low numerical cost, making them even more attractive for outlier interpretation. Simulations and real-world data examples demonstrate the usefulness of these concepts.

stat.ME