arXiv subjects

Marek Adamczyk

Publications and source records attributed to Marek Adamczyk.

12 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2025

Statistical Arbitrage in Polish Equities Market Using Deep Learning Techniques

We study a systematic approach to a popular Statistical Arbitrage technique: Pairs Trading. Instead of relying on two highly correlated assets, we replace the second asset with a replication of the first using risk factor representations. These factors are obtained through Principal Components Analysis (PCA), exchange traded funds (ETFs), and, as our main contribution, Long Short Term Memory networks (LSTMs). Residuals between the main asset and its replication are examined for mean reversion properties, and trading signals are generated for sufficiently fast mean reverting portfolios. Beyond introducing a deep learning based replication method, we adapt the framework of Avellaneda and Lee (2008) to the Polish market. Accordingly, components of WIG20, mWIG40, and selected sector indices replace the original S&P500 universe, and market parameters such as the risk free rate and transaction costs are updated to reflect local conditions. We outline the full strategy pipeline: risk factor construction, residual modeling via the Ornstein Uhlenbeck process, and signal generation. Each replication technique is described together with its practical implementation. Strategy performance is evaluated over two periods: 2017-2019 and the recessive year 2020. All methods yield profits in 2017-2019, with PCA achieving roughly 20 percent cumulative return and an annualized Sharpe ratio of up to 2.63. Despite multiple adaptations, our conclusions remain consistent with those of the original paper. During the COVID-19 recession, only the ETF based approach remains profitable (about 5 percent annual return), while PCA and LSTM methods underperform. LSTM results, although negative, are promising and indicate potential for future optimization.

q-fin.ST↗

arXiv2022

An O(loglog n)-Approximation for Submodular Facility Location

In the Submodular Facility Location problem (SFL) we are given a collection of $n$ clients and $m$ facilities in a metric space. A feasible solution consists of an assignment of each client to some facility. For each client, one has to pay the distance to the associated facility. Furthermore, for each facility $f$ to which we assign the subset of clients $S^f$, one has to pay the opening cost $g(S^f)$, where $g(\cdot)$ is a monotone submodular function with $g(\emptyset)=0$. SFL is APX-hard since it includes the classical (metric uncapacitated) Facility Location problem (with uniform facility costs) as a special case. Svitkina and Tardos [SODA'06] gave the current-best $O(\log n)$ approximation algorithm for SFL. The same authors pose the open problem whether SFL admits a constant approximation and provide such an approximation for a very restricted special case of the problem. We make some progress towards the solution of the above open problem by presenting an $O(\log\log n)$ approximation. Our approach is rather flexible and can be easily extended to generalizations and variants of SFL. In more detail, we achieve the same approximation factor for the practically relevant generalizations of SFL where the opening cost of each facility $f$ is of the form $p_f+g(S^f)$ or $w_f\cdot g(S^f)$, where $p_f,w_f \geq 0$ are input values. We also obtain an improved approximation algorithm for the related Universal Stochastic Facility Location problem. In this problem one is given a classical (metric) facility location instance and has to a priori assign each client to some facility. Then a subset of active clients is sampled from some given distribution, and one has to pay (a posteriori) only the connection and opening costs induced by the active clients. The expected opening cost of each facility $f$ can be modelled with a submodular function of the set of clients assigned to $f$.

cs.DS↗

arXiv2020

Improved Approximation Algorithms for Stochastic-Matching Problems

We consider the Stochastic Matching problem, which is motivated by applications in kidney exchange and online dating. In this problem, we are given an undirected graph. Each edge is assigned a known, independent probability of existence and a positive weight (or profit). We must probe an edge to discover whether or not it exists. Each node is assigned a positive integer called a timeout (or a patience). On this random graph we are executing a process, which probes the edges one-by-one and gradually constructs a matching. The process is constrained in two ways. First, if a probed edge exists, it must be added irrevocably to the matching (the query-commit model). Second, the timeout of a node $v$ upper-bounds the number of edges incident to $v$ that can be probed. The goal is to maximize the expected weight of the constructed matching. For this problem, Bansal et al. (Algorithmica 2012) provided a $0.33$-approximation algorithm for bipartite graphs and a $0.25$-approximation for general graphs. We improve the approximation factors to $0.39$ and $0.269$, respectively. The main technical ingredient in our result is a novel way of probing edges according to a not-uniformly-random permutation. Patching this method with an algorithm that works best for large-probability edges (plus additional ideas) leads to our improved approximation factors.

cs.DS↗

arXiv2018

Random Order Contention Resolution Schemes

Contention resolution schemes have proven to be an incredibly powerful concept which allows to tackle a broad class of problems. The framework has been initially designed to handle submodular optimization under various types of constraints, that is, intersections of exchange systems (including matroids), knapsacks, and unsplittable flows on trees. Later on, it turned out that this framework perfectly extends to optimization under uncertainty, like stochastic probing and online selection problems, which further can be applied to mechanism design. We add to this line of work by showing how to create contention resolution schemes for intersection of matroids and knapsacks when we work in the random order setting. More precisely, we do know the whole universe of elements in advance, but they appear in an order given by a random permutation. Upon arrival we need to irrevocably decide whether to take an element or not. We bring a novel technique for analyzing procedures in the random order setting that is based on the martingale theory. This unified approach makes it easier to combine constraints, and we do not need to rely on the monotonicity of contention resolution schemes. Our paper fills the gaps, extends, and creates connections between many previous results and techniques. The main application of our framework is a $k+4+\varepsilon$ approximation ratio for the Bayesian multi-parameter unit-demand mechanism design under the constraint of $k$ matroids intersection, which improves upon the previous bounds of $4k-2$ and $e(k+1)$. Other results include improved approximation ratios for stochastic $k$-set packing and submodular stochastic probing over arbitrary non-negative submodular objective function, whereas previous results required the objective to be monotone.

cs.DS↗

arXiv2018

Constant factor FPT approximation for capacitated k-median

Capacitated k-median is one of the few outstanding optimization problems for which the existence of a polynomial time constant factor approximation algorithm remains an open problem. In a series of recent papers algorithms producing solutions violating either the number of facilities or the capacity by a multiplicative factor were obtained. However, to produce solutions without violations appears to be hard and potentially requires different algorithmic techniques. Notably, if parameterized by the number of facilities $k$, the problem is also $W[2]$ hard, making the existence of an exact FPT algorithm unlikely. In this work we provide an FPT-time constant factor approximation algorithm preserving both cardinality and capacity of the facilities. The algorithm runs in time $2^{\mathcal{O}(k\log k)}n^{\mathcal{O}(1)}$ and achieves an approximation ratio of $7+\varepsilon$.

cs.DS↗

arXiv2017

When the Optimum is also Blind: a New Perspective on Universal Optimization

Consider the following variant of the set cover problem. We are given a universe $U=\{1,...,n\}$ and a collection of subsets $\mathcal{C} = \{S_1,...,S_m\}$ where $S_i \subseteq U$. For every element $u \in U$ we need to find a set $ϕ(u) \in \mathcal C$ such that $u\in ϕ(u)$. Once we construct and fix the mapping $ϕ:U \rightarrow \mathcal{C}$ a subset $X \subseteq U$ of the universe is revealed, and we need to cover all elements from $X$ with exactly $ϕ(X):=\cup_{u\in X} ϕ(u)$. The goal is to find a mapping such that the cover $ϕ(X)$ is as cheap as possible. This is an example of a universal problem where the solution has to be created before the actual instance to deal with is revealed. Such problems appear naturally in some settings when we need to optimize under uncertainty and it may be actually too expensive to begin finding a good solution once the input starts being revealed. A rich body of work was devoted to investigate the approximability of such problems under the regime of worst case analysis or when the input instance is drawn randomly from some probability distribution. Here one typically compares the quality of the produced solution with the optimal offline solution. In this paper we consider a different viewpoint: What if we would compare our approximate universal solution against an optimal universal solution that obeys the same rules as we do? We show that under this viewpoint it is possible to achieve improved approximation algorithms for the stochastic version of universal set cover. Our result is based on rounding a proper configuration IP that captures the optimal universal solution, and using tools from submodular optimization. The same basic approach leads to improved approximation algorithms also for other related problems.

cs.CC↗

arXiv2015

Sequential Posted Price Mechanisms with Correlated Valuations

We study the revenue performance of sequential posted price mechanisms and some natural extensions, for a general setting where the valuations of the buyers are drawn from a correlated distribution. Sequential posted price mechanisms are conceptually simple mechanisms that work by proposing a take-it-or-leave-it offer to each buyer. We apply sequential posted price mechanisms to single-parameter multi-unit settings in which each buyer demands only one item and the mechanism can assign the service to at most k of the buyers. For standard sequential posted price mechanisms, we prove that with the valuation distribution having finite support, no sequential posted price mechanism can extract a constant fraction of the optimal expected revenue, even with unlimited supply. We extend this result to the the case of a continuous valuation distribution when various standard assumptions hold simultaneously. In fact, it turns out that the best fraction of the optimal revenue that is extractable by a sequential posted price mechanism is proportional to ratio of the highest and lowest possible valuation. We prove that for two simple generalizations of these mechanisms, a better revenue performance can be achieved: if the sequential posted price mechanism has for each buyer the option of either proposing an offer or asking the buyer for its valuation, then a Omega(1/max{1,d}) fraction of the optimal revenue can be extracted, where d denotes the degree of dependence of the valuations, ranging from complete independence (d=0) to arbitrary dependence (d=n-1). Moreover, when we generalize the sequential posted price mechanisms further, such that the mechanism has the ability to make a take-it-or-leave-it offer to the i-th buyer that depends on the valuations of all buyers except i's, we prove that a constant fraction (2-sqrt{e})/4~0.088 of the optimal revenue can be always be extracted.

cs.GT↗

arXiv2015

Non-negative submodular stochastic probing via stochastic contention resolution schemes

The abstract model of stochastic probing was presented by Gupta and Nagarajan (IPCO'13), and provides a unified view of a number of problems. Adamczyk, Sviridenko, Ward (STACS'14) gave better approximation for matroid environments and linear objectives. At the same time this method was easily extendable to settings, where the objective function was monotone submodular. However, the case of non-negative submodular function could not be handled by previous techniques. In this paper we address this problem, and our results are twofold. First, we adapt the notion of contention resolution schemes of Chekuri, Vondrák, Zenklusen (SICOMP'14) to show that we can optimize non-negative submodular functions in this setting with a constant factor loss with respect to the deterministic setting. Second, we show a new contention resolution scheme for transversal matroids, which yields better approximations in the stochastic probing setting than the previously known tools. The rounding procedure underlying the scheme can be of independent interest --- Bansal, Gupta, Li, Mestre, Nagarajan, Rudra (Algorithmica'12) gave two seemingly different algorithms for stochastic matching and stochastic $k$-set packing problems with two different analyses, but we show that our single technique can be used to analyze both their algorithms.

cs.DS↗

arXiv2015

Improved Approximation Algorithms for Stochastic Matching

In this paper we consider the Stochastic Matching problem, which is motivated by applications in kidney exchange and online dating. We are given an undirected graph in which every edge is assigned a probability of existence and a positive profit, and each node is assigned a positive integer called timeout. We know whether an edge exists or not only after probing it. On this random graph we are executing a process, which one-by-one probes the edges and gradually constructs a matching. The process is constrained in two ways: once an edge is taken it cannot be removed from the matching, and the timeout of node $v$ upper-bounds the number of edges incident to $v$ that can be probed. The goal is to maximize the expected profit of the constructed matching. For this problem Bansal et al. (Algorithmica 2012) provided a $3$-approximation algorithm for bipartite graphs, and a $4$-approximation for general graphs. In this work we improve the approximation factors to $2.845$ and $3.709$, respectively. We also consider an online version of the bipartite case, where one side of the partition arrives node by node, and each time a node $b$ arrives we have to decide which edges incident to $b$ we want to probe, and in which order. Here we present a $4.07$-approximation, improving on the $7.92$-approximation of Bansal et al. The main technical ingredient in our result is a novel way of probing edges according to a random but non-uniform permutation. Patching this method with an algorithm that works best for large probability edges (plus some additional ideas) leads to our improved approximation factors.

cs.DS↗

arXiv2014

Efficiency of Truthful and Symmetric Mechanisms in One-sided Matching

We study the efficiency (in terms of social welfare) of truthful and symmetric mechanisms in one-sided matching problems with {\em dichotomous preferences} and {\em normalized von Neumann-Morgenstern preferences}. We are particularly interested in the well-known {\em Random Serial Dictatorship} mechanism. For dichotomous preferences, we first show that truthful, symmetric and optimal mechanisms exist if intractable mechanisms are allowed. We then provide a connection to online bipartite matching. Using this connection, it is possible to design truthful, symmetric and tractable mechanisms that extract 0.69 of the maximum social welfare, which works under assumption that agents are not adversarial. Without this assumption, we show that Random Serial Dictatorship always returns an assignment in which the expected social welfare is at least a third of the maximum social welfare. For normalized von Neumann-Morgenstern preferences, we show that Random Serial Dictatorship always returns an assignment in which the expected social welfare is at least $\frac{1}{e}\frac{ν(\opt)^2}{n}$, where $ν(\opt)$ is the maximum social welfare and $n$ is the number of both agents and items. On the hardness side, we show that no truthful mechanism can achieve a social welfare better than $\frac{ν(\opt)^2}{n}$.

cs.GT↗

arXiv2014

Submodular Stochastic Probing on Matroids

In a stochastic probing problem we are given a universe $E$, where each element $e \in E$ is active independently with probability $p_e$, and only a probe of e can tell us whether it is active or not. On this universe we execute a process that one by one probes elements --- if a probed element is active, then we have to include it in the solution, which we gradually construct. Throughout the process we need to obey inner constraints on the set of elements taken into the solution, and outer constraints on the set of all probed elements. This abstract model was presented by Gupta and Nagarajan (IPCO '13), and provides a unified view of a number of problems. Thus far, all the results falling under this general framework pertain mainly to the case in which we are maximizing a linear objective function of the successfully probed elements. In this paper we generalize the stochastic probing problem by considering a monotone submodular objective function. We give a $(1 - 1/e)/(k_{in} + k_{out}+1)$-approximation algorithm for the case in which we are given $k_{in}$ matroids as inner constraints and $k_{out}$ matroids as outer constraints. Additionally, we obtain an improved $1/(k_{in} + k_{out})$-approximation algorithm for linear objective functions.

cs.DS↗

arXiv2013

Greedy algorithm for stochastic matching is a 2-approximation

Motivated by applications in online dating and kidney exchange, the stochastic matching problem was introduced by Chen, Immorlica, Karlin, Mahdian and Rudra (2009). They have proven a 4-approximation of a simple greedy strategy, but conjectured that it is in fact a 2-approximation. In this paper we confirm this hypothesis.

cs.DS↗