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Marek Rutkowski

Publications and source records attributed to Marek Rutkowski.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Valuation of Variable Annuities with Equity Protection Swaps under Jumps and Default Risks

This paper examines the valuation and hedging of standard equity protection swap (EPS) products proposed by Xu et al.. To account for financial crises and counterparty default risk, we develop pricing frameworks based on Merton's jump-diffusion model and Szimayer's independent random time default model, under which closed-form valuation formulas and put-call parity relations for European options are derived. Hedging strategies for EPS products are analysed under jump and default risks. While static hedging remains effective in the absence of default, counterparty default risk leads to residual losses that cannot be fully hedged. These losses are quantified and used to define default-adjusted initial premiums under both Black-Scholes and jump-diffusion settings. Numerical results illustrate the effects of jump characteristics and default intensity on hedging costs and premiums, highlighting the importance of incorporating crisis and credit risks in EPS pricing and risk management.

q-fin.MF

Choice of Collateral Currency in Differential Swaps

The role of collateral in derivative pricing has evolved beyond credit risk mitigation, particularly following the global financial crisis, when funding costs and basis spreads became central to valuation practices. This development coincided with the transition from the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) to risk-free rates (RFRs) and the increasing standardization of collateralised trading. We study the valuation and hedging of a class of differential swaps referencing backward-looking averages of overnight rates, with SOFR swaps appearing as a particular instance. The focus is on the impact of the collateral currency. Extending earlier results Ding et al. [Math. Finance 36 (2026), pp.~180--202], we allow the collateral account to be denominated in a currency different from that of the contractual cash flows and derive explicit pricing and hedging strategies using a futures-based replication approach. We show that the choice of collateral currency can have a non-trivial effect on both valuation and risk management. In particular, foreign-currency collateral can introduce additional risk exposures even when contractual cash flows are entirely denominated in the domestic currency. Numerical study demonstrates that collateral effects can lead to significant valuation adjustments and therefore need to be properly incorporated in modern multi-currency modelling frameworks.

q-fin.MF

Cross-Currency Basis Swaps Referencing Backward-Looking Rates

The financial industry has undergone a significant transition from the London Interbank Offered Rates (LIBORs) to Risk Free Rates (RFRs) such as, e.g., the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) in the U.S. and the Cash Rate (AONIA) in Australia, as primary benchmark rates for borrowing costs. The paper examines the pricing and hedging method for financial products in a cross-currency framework with the special emphasis on the Compound SOFR vs Average AONIA cross-currency basis swap (CCBS) where both reference rates are backward-looking and the swap is collateralized. While the SOFR and AONIA are used as particular instances of RFRs in a cross-currency basis swap, the proposed approach is able to handle backward-looking rates for any two currencies. We give explicit pricing and hedging results for a constant notional cross-currency basis swap with either domestic or foreign collateralization using interest rate futures and currency futures as hedging instruments within an arbitrage-free cross-currency multi-curve setting.

q-fin.MF

Pricing and Hedging Strategies for Cross-Currency Equity Protection Swaps

In this paper, we explore the pricing and hedging strategies for an innovative insurance product called the equity protection swap(EPS). Notably, we focus on the application of EPSs involving cross-currency reference portfolios, reflecting the realities of investor asset diversification across different economies. The research examines key considerations regarding exchange rate fluctuations, pricing and hedging frameworks, in order to satisfy dynamic requirements from EPS buyers. We differentiate between two hedging paradigms: one where domestic and foreign equities are treated separately using two EPS products and another that integrates total returns across currencies. Through detailed analysis, we propose various hedging strategies with consideration of different types of returns - nominal, effective, and quanto - for EPS products in both separate and aggregated contexts. The aggregated hedging portfolios contain basket options with cross-currency underlying asset, which only exists in the OTC market, thus we further consider a superhedging strategy using single asset European options for aggregated returns. A numerical study assesses hedging costs and performance metrics associated with these hedging strategies, illuminating practical implications for EPS providers and investors engaged in international markets. We further employ Monte Carlo simulations for the basket option pricing, together with two other approximation methods - geometric averaging and moment matching. This work contributes to enhancing fair pricing mechanisms and risk management strategies in the evolving landscape of cross-currency financial derivatives.

q-fin.MF

Equity Protection Swaps: A New Type of Investment Insurance for Holders of Superannuation Accounts

We propose to develop a new class of investment insurance products for holders of superannuation accounts in Australia, which we tentatively call equity protection swaps (EPSs). An EPS is a standalone financial derivative, which is reminiscent of a total return swap but also shares some features with the variable annuity known as the registered index-linked annuity (RILA). The buyer of an EPS obtains partial protection against losses on a reference portfolio and, in exchange, agrees to share portfolio gains with the insurance provider if the realized return on a reference portfolio is above a predetermined threshold. Formally, a generic EPS consists of protection and fee legs with participation rates agreed upon by the provider and holder. A general fair pricing formula for an EPS is obtained by considering a static hedging strategy based on traded European options. It is argued that to make the contract appealing to holders, the provider should select appropriate protection and fee rates that make the fair premium at the contract's inception equal to zero. A numerical study based on the Black-Scholes model and empirical tests based on market data for S\&P~500 and S&P/ASX~200 indices for 2020-2022 demonstrates the benefits of an EPS as an efficient investment insurance tool for superannuation accounts.

q-fin.PR

Well-posedness and penalization schemes for generalized BSDEs and reflected generalized BSDEs

The paper is directly motivated by the pricing of vulnerable European and American options in a general hazard process setup and a related study of the corresponding pre-default backward stochastic differential equations (BSDE) and pre-default reflected backward stochastic differential equations (RBSDE). We work with a generic filtration $\FF$ for which the martingale representation property is assumed to hold with respect to a square-integrable martingale $M$ and the goal of this work is of twofold. First, we aim to establish the well-posedness results and comparison theorems for a generalized BSDE and a reflected generalized BSDE with a continuous and nondecreasing driver $A$. Second, we study extended penalization schemes for a generalized BSDE and a reflected generalized BSDE in which we penalize against the driver in order to obtain in the limit either a particular optimal stopping problem or a Dynkin game in which the set of admissible exercise time is constrained to the right support of the measure generated by $A$.

math.PR

Vulnerable European and American Options in a Market Model with Optional Hazard Process

We study the upper and lower bounds for prices of European and American style options with the possibility of an external termination, meaning that the contract may be terminated at some random time. Under the assumption that the underlying market model is incomplete and frictionless, we obtain duality results linking the upper price of a vulnerable European option with the price of an American option whose exercise times are constrained to times at which the external termination can happen with a non-zero probability. Similarly, the upper and lower prices for an vulnerable American option are linked to the price of an American option and a game option, respectively. In particular, the minimizer of the game option is only allowed to stop at times which the external termination may occur with a non-zero probability.

q-fin.MF

Pricing and hedging of SOFR derivatives

The LIBOR has served since the 1970s as a fundamental measure for floating term rates across multiple currencies and maturities. However, in 2017 the Financial Conduct Authority announced the discontinuation of LIBOR from the end of 2021 and the New York Fed declared the Treasury repo financing rate, called the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), as a candidate for a new reference rate for interest rate swaps denominated in U.S. dollars. We examine arbitrage-free pricing and hedging of swaps referencing SOFR without and with collateral backing. As hedging instruments, we take SOFR futures and idiosyncratic funding rates for the hedge and margin account. For simplicity, a one-factor model based on Vasicek's equation is used to specify the joint dynamics of several overnight interest rates, including the SOFR and unsecured funding rate.

q-fin.MF

Generalized BSDEs with random time horizon in a progressively enlarged filtration

We study generalized backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) up to a random time horizon $\vartheta$, which is not a stopping time, under minimal assumptions regarding the properties of $\vartheta$. In contrast to existing works in this area, we do not impose specific assumptions on the random time $\vartheta$ and we study the existence of solutions to BSDEs and reflected BSDEs with a random time horizon through the method of reduction. In addition, we also examine BSDEs and reflected BSDEs with a làdlàg driver where the driver is allowed to have a finite number of common jumps with the martingale part.

math.PR

Existence, uniqueness and strict comparison theorems for backward stochastic differential equations driven by RCLL martingales

Results on the existence, uniqueness and strict comparison for solutions to a BSDE driven by a multi-dimensional RCLL martingale are established. The goal is to develop a general multi-asset framework encompassing a wide spectrum of nonlinear financial models with jumps, including as particular cases the setups studied by Peng and Xu \cite{PX2009,PX2010} and Dumitrescu et al. \cite{DGQS2018} who dealt with BSDEs driven by a one-dimensional Brownian motion and a purely discontinuous martingale with a single jump.

math.PR

Reflected BSDEs and doubly reflected BSDEs driven by RCLL martingales

We prove some new results on reflected BSDEs and doubly reflected BSDEs driven by a multi-dimensional RCLL martingale. The goal is to develop a general multi-asset framework encompassing a wide spectrum of nonlinear financial models, including as particular cases the setups studied by Peng and Xu \cite{PX2009} and Dumitrescu et al. \cite{DGQS2018} who dealt with BSDEs driven by a one-dimensional Brownian motion and a purely discontinuous martingale with a single jump. Our results are not covered by existing literature on reflected and doubly reflected BSDEs driven by a Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure.

math.PR

Integral representations of martingales for progressive enlargements of filtrations

We work in the setting of the progressive enlargement $\mathbb G$ of a reference filtration $\mathbb F$ through the observation of a random time $τ$. We study an integral representation property for some classes of $\mathbb G$-martingales stopped at $τ$. In the first part, we focus on the case where $\mathbb F$ is a Poisson filtration and we establish a predictable representation property with respect to three $\mathbb G$-martingales. In the second part, we relax the assumption that $\mathbb F$ is a Poisson filtration and we assume that $τ$ is an $\mathbb F$-pseudo-stopping time. We establish integral representations with respect to some $\mathbb G$-martingales built from $\mathbb F$-martingales and, under additional hypotheses, we obtain a predictable representation property with respect to two $\mathbb G$-martingales.

math.PR

Arbitrage-free pricing of American options in nonlinear markets

We re-examine and extend the findings from the recent paper by Dumitrescu, Quenez and Sulem (2018) who studied American and game options in a particular market model using the nonlinear arbitrage-free pricing approach developed in El Karoui and Quenez (1997). In the first part, we provide a detailed study of unilateral valuation problems for the two counterparties in an American-style contract within the framework of a general nonlinear market. We extend results from Bielecki and Rutkowski (2015) and Bielecki, Cialenco and Rutkowski (2018) who examined the case of a European-style contract. In the second part, we present a BSDE approach, which is used to establish more explicit pricing, hedging and exercising results when solutions to reflected BSDEs have additional desirable properties.

q-fin.MF

Arbitrage-Free Pricing of Game Options in Nonlinear Markets

The goal is to re-examine and extend the findings from the recent paper by Dumitrescu, Quenez and Sulem (2017) who studied game options within the nonlinear arbitrage-free pricing approach developed in El Karoui and Quenez (1997). We consider the setup introduced in Kim, Nie and Rutkowski (2018) where contracts of an American style were examined. We give a detailed study of unilateral pricing, hedging and exercising problems for the counterparties within a general nonlinear setup. We also present a BSDE approach, which is used to obtain more explicit results under suitable assumptions about solutions to doubly reflected BSDEs.

q-fin.MF

Arbitrage-Free Pricing Of Derivatives In Nonlinear Market Models

The objective of this paper is to provide a comprehensive study no-arbitrage pricing of financial derivatives in the presence of funding costs, the counterparty credit risk and market frictions affecting the trading mechanism, such as collateralization and capital requirements. To achieve our goals, we extend in several respects the nonlinear pricing approach developed in El Karoui and Quenez (1997) and El Karoui et al. (1997), which was subsequently continued in Bielecki and Rutkowski (2015).

q-fin.MF

Risk-neutral valuation under differential funding costs, defaults and collateralization

We develop a unified valuation theory that incorporates credit risk (defaults), collateralization and funding costs, by expanding the replication approach to a generality that has not yet been studied previously and reaching valuation when replication is not assumed. This unifying theoretical framework clarifies the relationship between the two valuation approaches: the adjusted cash flows approach pioneered for example by Brigo, Pallavicini and co-authors ([12, 13, 34]) and the classic replication approach illustrated for example by Bielecki and Rutkowski and co-authors ([3, 8]). In particular, results of this work cover most previous papers where the authors studied specific replication models.

q-fin.PR

Funding, repo and credit inclusive valuation as modified option pricing

We take the holistic approach of computing an OTC claim value that incorporates credit and funding liquidity risks and their interplays, instead of forcing individual price adjustments: CVA, DVA, FVA, KVA. The resulting nonlinear mathematical problem features semilinear PDEs and FBSDEs. We show that for the benchmark vulnerable claim there is an analytical solution, and we express it in terms of the Black-Scholes formula with dividends. This allows for a detailed valuation analysis, stress testing and risk analysis via sensitivities.

q-fin.PR

Assessing the Basel II Internal Ratings-Based Approach: Empirical Evidence from Australia

The Basel II internal ratings-based (IRB) approach to capital adequacy for credit risk implements an asymptotic single risk factor (ASRF) model. Measurements from the ASRF model of the prevailing state of Australia's economy and the level of capitalisation of its banking sector find general agreement with macroeconomic indicators, financial statistics and external credit ratings. However, given the range of economic conditions, from mild contraction to moderate expansion, experienced in Australia since the implementation of Basel II, we cannot attest to the validity of the model specification of the IRB approach for its intended purpose of solvency assessment. With the implementation of Basel II preceding the time when the effect of the financial crisis of 2007-09 was most acutely felt, our empirical findings offer a fundamental assessment of the impact of the crisis on the Australian banking sector. Access to internal bank data collected by the prudential regulator distinguishes our research from other empirical studies on the IRB approach and recent crisis.

q-fin.RM