You Are What You Prompt: Prompt Quality, Domain Shift, and Uncertainty in Agrifood Vision-Language Models
Vision-language models enable zero-shot classification through natural language prompts, but performance is sensitive to prompt formulation, especially in specialized domains. Zero-shot Prompt Ensembling (ZPE) addresses this by weighting prompts by discriminative signal, yet its behavior under domain shift remains unexplored. We evaluate ZPE in the agrifood domain using CLIP and SigLIP across four datasets and four prompt pools, spanning in-distribution (ID) food and out-of-distribution agricultural benchmarks. ZPE provides limited benefit under ID conditions but substantially improves performance and calibration under domain shift, where domain-specific pools of 51-52 prompts consistently outperform generic pools of 247-426. Lexical analysis shows that ZPE acts as an unsupervised domain-alignment detector without label access. We further introduce PID (Prompt-based Inconsistency Detection), which repurposes prompt disagreement as epistemic uncertainty, improving failure detection under severe domain shift where standard confidence measures collapse.