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Maria Tsedrik

Publications and source records attributed to Maria Tsedrik.

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Validation of the Hybrid Bias Expansion model for the galaxy bispectrum

The Hybrid Bias Expansion model (also known as Hybrid Effective Field Theory, HEFT) provides a promising way to extend the range of validity of perturbative large-scale structure modelling by replacing perturbative gravitational evolution with the nonlinear displacement field measured from $N$-body simulations. While this approach has already been shown to improve the modelling of the power spectrum, its validity at the bispectrum level has not yet been established. In this work we perform a first systematic real-space validation of the Hybrid bispectrum model using DESI-like LRG and ELG mock catalogues constructed at fixed cosmology on volumes similar to those of DESI's LRG samples. We find that the model remains self-consistent up to $k_{\rm max}^B \simeq 0.25\,h\,{\rm Mpc}^{-1}$, while clear signs of breakdown appear for a similar EFT tree-level bispectrum approach at $k_{\rm max}^B \gtrsim 0.13\,h\,{\rm Mpc}^{-1}$. We also show that adding matter cross-statistics significantly improves the precision of the recovered bias parameters, while a partial third-order extension including only the $\delta^3$ operator does not extend the validity range. Finally, we find a strong hierarchy among the bispectrum basis terms when grouped by total bias-operator order, with the lowest-order sectors dominating the total amplitude, which has important implications in emulation strategies.

astro-ph.CO

Balancing bias, baryons, and scale cuts in LSST 3x2pt analysis

Stage IV surveys such as LSST will probe deeply into the nonlinear regime, where systematic effects from galaxy bias and baryonic feedback become dominant and poorly constrained nuisance parameters can lead to degeneracies. In this work we present a $3\times2$pt analysis for LSST Y1 and Y10 data using the BACCO emulator for modelling both the hybrid-effective field theory (HEFT) for nonlinear galaxy bias and the baryonic feedback using the baryonification mechanism. We aim to find a balance between model complexity and scale cuts, with particular attention to parameter degeneracies and baryonic feedback effects on the galaxy--matter and galaxy--galaxy power spectra. First, we find that a linear bias model delivers percent-level, unbiased constraints on $\Omega_{\rm m}$ and $\sigma_8$ only up to $k_{\rm max}=0.1\,h/$Mpc, but pushing to smaller scales requires a perturbative approach. Second, we compare HEFT with a minimal bias variant with fixed higher-order terms, and find that the latter is unbiased in $\Lambda$CDM even at $k_{\rm max}=0.7\,h/$Mpc. We show that higher-order bias can mimic baryonic suppression, but baryons cannot reproduce the full range of higher-order bias behaviour. Third, we find that a detection of the total neutrino mass $M_\nu$ is possible for both Y1 and Y10 for $k\geq0.3\,h/$Mpc, at least when photo-$z$ uncertainties and related nuisance parameters are precisely known. However, the specific measured value is not robust across equally plausible mock scenarios: the inferred $M_\nu$ can be significantly biased by adopting the minimal bias model. The entire analysis is conducted with a new independent, open source pipeline (MGL) that we present for the first time in this work.

astro-ph.CO

cloelib: A Flexible Python Library for Computing Cosmological Observables in the Euclid Era

cloelib is a Python library developed to compute cosmological observables within the Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE) ecosystem (cloe-org). As cosmology enters a precision era driven by galaxy survey missions such as Euclid, there is a growing need for flexible, efficient, and differentiable software capable of supporting next-generation inference pipelines. cloelib addresses these demands through a modular architecture that interfaces seamlessly with established Boltzmann solvers whilst incorporating JAX-based automatic differentiation to enable gradient-based methods. The library defines consistent protocols for background evolution, perturbations, and non-linear structure formation, and supports a wide range of observables, including photometric and spectroscopic large-scale structure probes, as well as cross-correlations with the Cosmic Microwave Background and galaxy clusters. In its finalised form, cloelib is intended to serve as the reference theory computation infrastructure for Euclid's first cosmological release, bridging traditional numerical cosmology with modern optimisation techniques and emerging machine learning approaches to inference.

astro-ph.CO

The simple way to measure evolving dark energy without prior-volume effects

We present a simple yet effective method to resolve prior-volume effects, also known as projection effects, in full-shape analyses of the power spectrum multipoles within the Effective Field Theory of Large-Scale Structure (EFTofLSS). By re-defining the EFTofLSS nuisance parameters to incorporate the contribution from the parameters impacting the amplitude of the EFTofLSS modelling components, we substantially mitigate projection effects. With the re-parametrisation the actual posterior maximum values are within the marginalised credible interval, eliminating significant shifts observed in the baseline analysis. We demonstrate the robustness of this method in full-shape $w_0w_a$CDM analyses on synthetic data in BOSS DR12 and DESI DR1 setups. For the evolving dark energy model, we then analyse the BOSS DR12 measurements, in combination with BAO information (from BOSS DR12, 6DF, SDSS DR7 MGS and eBOSS DR16 surveys) and 3$\times$2pt measurements from DES Y3 -- all data combinations are converging into the $w_0-w_a$ parameter region preferred by DESI+CMB+SNIa. From total combination of these large-scale structure probes without additional CMB information we find $w_0=-0.72 \pm 0.21, \, w_a=-0.91^{+0.78}_{-0.64}$. Despite the low significance of deviation from standard cosmology, this result underscores the potential of our re-parametrisation approach in delivering low-redshift cosmological constraints. We argue for the use of this approach in spectroscopic Stage IV surveys, where the potential deviation from standard cosmology can be detected with higher significance.

astro-ph.CO

Stage-IV Cosmic Shear with Modified Gravity and Model-independent Screening

We forecast constraints on minimal model-independent parametrisations of several Modified Gravity theories using mock Stage-IV cosmic shear data. We include nonlinear effects and screening, which ensures recovery of General Relativity on small scales. We introduce a power spectrum emulator to accelerate our analysis and evaluate the robustness of the growth index parametrisation with respect to two cosmologies: $Λ$CDM and the normal branch of the DGP model. We forecast the uncertainties on the growth index $γ$ to be of the order $\sim 10\%$. We find that our halo-model based screening approach demonstrates excellent performance, meeting the precision requirements of Stage-IV surveys. However, neglecting the screening transition results in biased predictions for cosmological parameters. We find that the screening transition shows significant degeneracy with baryonic feedback, requiring a much better understanding of baryonic physics for its detection. Massive neutrinos effects are less prominent and challenging to detect solely with cosmic shear data.

astro-ph.CO

Modified gravity and massive neutrinos: constraints from the full shape analysis of BOSS galaxies and forecasts for Stage IV surveys

We constrain the growth index $γ$ by performing a full-shape analysis of the power spectrum multipoles measured from the BOSS DR12 data. We adopt a theoretical model based on the Effective Field theory of the Large Scale Structure (EFTofLSS) and focus on two different cosmologies: $γ$CDM and $γν$CDM, where we also vary the total neutrino mass. We explore different choices for the priors on the primordial amplitude $A_s$ and spectral index $n_s$, finding that informative priors are necessary to alleviate degeneracies between the parameters and avoid strong projection effects in the posterior distributions. Our tightest constraints are obtained with 3$σ$ Planck priors on $A_s$ and $n_s$: we obtain $γ= 0.647 \pm 0.085$ for $γ$CDM and $γ= 0.612^{+0.075}_{-0.090}$, $M_ν< 0.30$ for $γν$CDM at 68\% c.l., in both cases $\sim 1σ$ consistent with the $Λ$CDM prediction $γ\simeq 0.55$. Additionally, we produce forecasts for a Stage-IV spectroscopic galaxy survey, focusing on a DESI-like sample. We fit synthetic data-vectors for three different galaxy samples generated at three different redshift bins, both individually and jointly. Focusing on the constraining power of the Large Scale Structure alone, we find that forthcoming data can give an improvement of up to $\sim 85\%$ in the measurement of $γ$ with respect to the BOSS dataset when no CMB priors are imposed. On the other hand, we find the neutrino mass constraints to be only marginally better than the current ones, with future data able to put an upper limit of $M_ν< 0.27~{\rm eV}$. This result can be improved with the inclusion of Planck priors on the primordial parameters, which yield $M_ν< 0.18~{\rm eV}$.

astro-ph.CO

Probing solutions to the $S_8$ tension with galaxy clustering

The current discrepancy between the CMB and weak lensing measurements of the amplitude of matter fluctuations, the so-called $S_8$ tension, has attracted a great deal of recent attention, as it may show a crack in the $Λ$CDM model of cosmology. We review the evidence for this tension and describe potential solutions, focusing on extensions of the standard cosmological model, including interacting dark energy and modified gravity. We present a likelihood analysis of the BOSS DR12 data, probing these alternative models as well as $Λ$CDM. From this analysis, we show hints of non-standard cosmology compatible with those seen in weak lensing observations, demonstrating that interacting dark energy or modified gravity can explain them successfully. We then discuss the robustness of these results to analysis choices, as well as future paths to confirm them with additional data and further distinguish between models.

astro-ph.CO

Interacting dark energy from the joint analysis of the power spectrum and bispectrum multipoles with the EFTofLSS

Interacting dark energy models have been suggested as alternatives to the standard cosmological model, $Λ$CDM. We focus on a phenomenologically interesting class of dark scattering models that is characterised by pure momentum exchange between dark energy and dark matter. This model extends the parameter space with respect to $Λ$CDM by two parameters, $w$ and $A$, which define the dark energy equation of state and the strength of the coupling between dark energy and dark matter, respectively. In order to test non-standard cosmologies with Stage-IV galaxy clustering surveys, it is crucial to model mildly nonlinear scales and perform precision vs accuracy tests. We use the Effective Field Theory of Large-Scale Structure, and we perform validation tests by means of an MCMC analysis using a large set of N-body simulations. We find that adding the bispectrum monopole to the power spectrum multipoles improves the constraints on the dark energy parameters by $\sim 30 \%$ for $k_{\mathrm{max}, B}^{l=0} = 0.11$ $h$ Mpc$^{-1}$ without introducing biases in the parameter estimation. We also find that the same improvement can be achieved with more moderate scale cuts and the use of bias relations, or with the addition of the bispectrum quadrupole. Finally, we study degeneracies between the dark energy parameters and the scalar amplitude $A_\mathrm{s}$ and discuss the corresponding projection effects, as well as degeneracies with other cosmological parameters.

astro-ph.CO