arXiv subjects

Marin Boyet

Publications and source records attributed to Marin Boyet.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2022

Computing Transience Bounds of Emergency Call Centers: a Hierarchical Timed Petri Net Approach

A fundamental issue in the analysis of emergency call centers is to estimate the time needed to return to a congestion-free regime after an unusual event with a massive arrival of calls. Call centers can generally be represented by timed Petri nets with a hierarchical structure, in which several layers describe the successive steps of treatments of calls. We study a continuous approximation of the Petri net dynamics (with infinitesimal tokens). Then, we show that a counter function, measuring the deviation to the stationary regime, coincides with the value function of a semi-Markov decision problem. Then, we establish a finite time convergence result, exploiting the hierarchical structure of the Petri net. We obtain an explicit bound for the transience time, as a function of the initial marking and sojourn times. This is based on methods from the theory of stochastic shortest paths and non-linear Perron--Frobenius theory. We illustrate the bound on a case study of a medical emergency call center.

math.OC↗

arXiv2021

Piecewise Affine Dynamical Models of Timed Petri Nets -- Application to Emergency Call Centers

We study timed Petri nets, with preselection and priority routing. We represent the behavior of these systems by piecewise affine dynamical systems. We use tools from the theory of nonexpansive mappings to analyze these systems. We establishan equivalence theorem between priority-free fluid timed Petri nets and semi-Markov decision processes, from which we derive the convergence to a periodic regime and the polynomial-time computability of the throughput. More generally, we develop an approach inspired by tropical geometry, characterizing the congestion phases as the cells of a polyhedral complex. We illustrate these results by a current application to the performance evaluation of emergency call centers in the Paris area. We show that priorities can lead to a paradoxical behavior: in certain regimes, the throughput of the most prioritary task may not be an increasing function of the resources.

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arXiv2020

Understanding and monitoring the evolution of the Covid-19 epidemic from medical emergency calls: the example of the Paris area

We portray the evolution of the Covid-19 epidemic during the crisis of March-April 2020 in the Paris area, by analyzing the medical emergency calls received by the EMS of the four central departments of this area (Centre 15 of SAMU 75, 92, 93 and 94). Our study reveals strong dissimilarities between these departments. We show that the logarithm of each epidemic observable can be approximated by a piecewise linear function of time. This allows us to distinguish the different phases of the epidemic, and to identify the delay between sanitary measures and their influence on the load of EMS. This also leads to an algorithm, allowing one to detect epidemic resurgences. We rely on a transport PDE epidemiological model, and we use methods from Perron-Frobenius theory and tropical geometry.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2020

A convex programming approach to solve posynomial systems

We exhibit a class of classical or tropical posynomial systems which can be solved by reduction to linear or convex programming problems. This relies on a notion of colorful vectors with respect to a collection of Newton polytopes. This extends the convex programming approach of one player stochastic games.

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