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Marina Ricci

Publications and source records attributed to Marina Ricci.

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Probabilistic characterization of blending with LSST and application to cluster lensing cosmology

Next-generation galaxy surveys, like the Vera C. Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), will deliver unprecedented depth and sky coverage, enabling precise measurements of cosmic probes such as weak lensing and galaxy clustering. However, increased imaging depth leads to significant blending of galaxy images, particularly in dense fields like galaxy clusters. This blending, exacerbated by atmospheric blurring in ground-based observations, contaminates galaxy property measurements and causes source confusion. To simultaneously capture these effects, we develop a probabilistic framework introducing the blending entropy, a metric quantifying the ambiguity in matching detected objects to true galaxies or external reference sources. Using simulated data from the DESC Data Challenge 2 (DC2), we characterize blending in LSST data and quantify its impact on cluster lensing cosmology around cosmoDC2 halos. We demonstrate that imposing a blending entropy threshold of $S_b<0.2$ effectively filters out highly blended objects (around 25%), which are especially prevalent near the survey's magnitude limit and are associated with higher errors in shape measurements and photometric redshifts. Applying this cut substantially reduces blending-induced biases in cluster lensing profiles and mass estimates, thereby mitigating systematic errors in cosmological parameters---most notably reducing tension in $σ_8$ estimates. Our method is readily generalizable to other static probes and offers a practical path forward for real data analyses, particularly when leveraging overlapping high-resolution datasets from spaced-based missions such as Euclid or the Roman Space Telescope, where these external datasets can act as reference catalogs to improve the identification of blended sources in LSST data.

astro-ph.CO

Constraining Galaxy Cluster Triaxiality via Weak Lensing -- I. Preparation for the Rubin Data Beyond Leading Order

The 3D mass distributions of galaxy clusters are generally triaxial, a geometry that is difficult to constrain from projected observations. In this work, we measure the projected halo shapes of clusters from their weak lensing signatures using the triaxiality functionality in the Cluster Lensing Mass Modeling software, a tool developed by the Dark Energy Science Collaboration to analyze data from NSF-DOE Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST). We measure ensemble halo ellipticity on the plane of the sky via axis-aligned stacking and multipole expansion of the weak lensing data. We study a precursor dataset -- the redMaPPer cluster catalog, the metacalibration shape catalog, and the Directional Neighborhood Fitting photometric redshift catalog from the Dark Energy Survey Year 3 public data release. We select clusters that have a high centering probability (>90%) of the identified central galaxy, and use the satellite galaxy distribution to determine the major-axis orientation for stacking. We extend the analysis to the second order of ellipticity in the monopole and quadrupole measurement. The projected ellipticity of the cluster sample is found to be $0.310^{+0.017}_{-0.016}$ (axis ratio $0.527^{+0.018}_{-0.019}$). The projected cluster ellipticity shows no statistically significant dependence on mass and redshift. We further verify the accuracy of the cluster shape measurement using mock catalogs. This analysis is applicable to datasets from upcoming wide-area cosmic surveys such as LSST, Euclid, and the Roman Space Telescope, where larger sample sizes will lead to tighter constraints on the cluster ellipticities.

astro-ph.CO

A Path to an All-Sky Survey with Roman

A deep, space-based, all-sky near-infrared survey carried out with the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope would constitute a foundational astronomical infrastructure for decades to come. In this white paper, we present a concrete and feasible path to imaging the entire sky at $\sim0.1''$ resolution, beginning with high-impact fields in Cycle 1 and scaling to ultra-wide coverage within the nominal mission. This first-epoch survey will reach $\mathrm{H}\sim25.5$ AB mag (5$σ$) and maximize synergies with contemporaneous observatories, while preserving substantial time for other ambitious Roman programs. We outline representative scheduling scenarios and an example Cycle 1 program that triples early Roman-LSST overlap and delivers high-value community data products such as LSST forced photometry, joint \textit{Gaia}-Roman astrometry, and catalogs of Galactic substructure, stong lenses, and other rare systems. The Cycle 1 program will lay the foundation for an eventual all-sky survey, while also delivering high-impact early science. We invite broad community participation in shaping and carrying out both the initial program and the long-term vision of an all-sky Roman survey.

astro-ph.IM

Quantifying the Impact of LSST $u$-band Survey Strategy on Photometric Redshift Estimation and the Detection of Lyman-break Galaxies

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory will conduct the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), promising to discover billions of galaxies out to redshift 7, using six photometric bands ($ugrizy$) spanning the near-ultraviolet to the near-infrared. The exact number of and quality of information about these galaxies will depend on survey depth in these six bands, which in turn depends on the LSST survey strategy: i.e., how often and how long to expose in each band. $u$-band depth is especially important for photometric redshift (photo-$z$) estimation and for detection of high-redshift Lyman-break galaxies (LBGs). In this paper we use a simulated galaxy catalog and an analytic model for the LBG population to study how recent updates and proposed changes to Rubin's $u$-band throughput and LSST survey strategy impact photo-$z$ accuracy and LBG detection. We find that proposed variations in $u$-band strategy have a small impact on photo-$z$ accuracy for $z < 1.5$ galaxies, but the outlier fraction, scatter, and bias for higher redshift galaxies varies by up to 50%, depending on the survey strategy considered. The number of $u$-band dropout LBGs at $z \sim 3$ is also highly sensitive to the $u$-band depth, varying by up to 500%, while the number of $griz$-band dropouts is only modestly affected. Under the new $u$-band strategy recommended by the Rubin Survey Cadence Optimization Committee, we predict $u$-band dropout number densities of $110$ deg$^{-2}$ (3200 deg$^{-2}$) in year 1 (10) of LSST. We discuss the implications of these results for LSST cosmology.

astro-ph.CO

Weak lensing mass-richness relation of redMaPPer clusters in the LSST DESC DC2 simulations

Cluster scaling relations are key ingredients in cluster abundance-based cosmological studies. In optical cluster cosmology, where clusters are detected through their richness, cluster-weak gravitational lensing has proven to be a powerful tool to constrain the cluster mass-richness relation. This work is conducted as part of the Dark Energy Science Collaboration (DESC), which aims to analyze the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) of the Vera C. Rubin Observatory, starting in 2026. Weak lensing-inferred cluster properties, such as mass, suffer from several sources of bias. We constrain the mass-richness relation of 3,600 clusters detected by the redMaPPer algorithm in the cosmoDC2 extra-galactic mock catalog of the LSST DESC DC2 simulation, covering 440 square degrees, using number count measurements and either stacked weak lensing profiles or mean cluster masses in intervals of richness ($20 < λ< 200$) and redshift ($0.2 < z < 1$). We find that, for an LSST-like source galaxy density, our constraints are robust to changes in the concentration-mass relation and dark matter density profile modeling choices, when source redshifts and shapes are perfectly known. We find that photometric redshift uncertainties can introduce bias at the 1$σ$ level, which can be mitigated by an overall correction factor, fitted jointly with the scaling parameters. We find that including positive shear-richness covariance in the fit shifts the results by up to 0.5$σ$. Our constraints also compare fairly to a fiducial mass-richness relation, obtained from matching cosmoDC2 halo masses to redMaPPer-detected cluster richnesses.

astro-ph.CO

Impact of Property Covariance on Cluster Weak lensing Scaling Relations

We present an investigation into a hitherto unexplored systematic that affects the accuracy of galaxy cluster mass estimates with weak gravitational lensing. Specifically, we study the covariance between the weak lensing signal, $ΔΣ$, and the "true" cluster galaxy number count, $N_{\rm gal}$, as measured within a spherical volume that is void of projection effects. By quantifying the impact of this covariance on mass calibration, this work reveals a significant source of systematic uncertainty. Using the MDPL2 simulation with galaxies traced by the SAGE semi-analytic model, we measure the intrinsic property covariance between these observables within the 3D vicinity of the cluster, spanning a range of dynamical mass and redshift values relevant for optical cluster surveys. Our results reveal a negative covariance at small radial scales ($R \lesssim R_{\rm 200c}$) and a null covariance at large scales ($R \gtrsim R_{\rm 200c}$) across most mass and redshift bins. We also find that this covariance results in a $2-3\%$ bias in the halo mass estimates in most bins. Furthermore, by modeling $N_{\rm gal}$ and $ΔΣ$ as multi-(log)-linear equations of secondary halo properties, we provide a quantitative explanation for the physical origin of the negative covariance at small scales. Specifically, we demonstrate that the $N_{\rm gal}$-$ΔΣ$ covariance can be explained by the secondary properties of halos that probe their formation history. We attribute the difference between our results and the positive bias seen in other works with (mock)-cluster finders to projection effects. These findings highlight the importance of accounting for the covariance between observables in cluster mass estimation, which is crucial for obtaining accurate constraints on cosmological parameters.

astro-ph.CO

HSC-XXL : Baryon budget of the 136 XXL Groups and Clusters

We present our determination of the baryon budget for an X-ray-selected XXL sample of 136 galaxy groups and clusters spanning nearly two orders of magnitude in mass ($M_{500}\sim 10^{13}-10^{15}M_\odot$) and the redshift range $0< z < 1$. Our joint analysis is based on the combination of HSC-SSP weak-lensing mass measurements, XXL X-ray gas mass measurements, and HSC and SDSS multiband photometry. We carry out a Bayesian analysis of multivariate mass-scaling relations of gas mass, galaxy stellar mass, stellar mass of brightest cluster galaxies (BCGs), and soft-band X-ray luminosity, by taking into account the intrinsic covariance between cluster properties, selection effect, weak-lensing mass calibration, and observational error covariance matrix. The mass-dependent slope of the gas mass--total mass ($M_{500}$) relation is found to be $1.29_{-0.10}^{+0.16}$, which is steeper than the self-similar prediction of unity, whereas the slope of the stellar mass--total mass relation is shallower than unity, $0.85_{-0.09}^{+0.12}$. The BCG stellar mass weakly depends on cluster mass with a slope of $0.49_{-0.10}^{+0.11}$. The baryon, gas mass, and stellar mass fractions as a function of $M_{500}$ agree with the results from numerical simulations and previous observations. We successfully constrain the full intrinsic covariance of the baryonic contents. The BCG stellar mass shows the larger intrinsic scatter at a given halo total mass, followed in order by stellar mass and gas mass. We find a significant positive intrinsic correlation coefficient between total (and satellite) stellar mass and BCG stellar mass and no evidence for intrinsic correlation between gas mass and stellar mass. All the baryonic components show no redshift evolution.

astro-ph.CO

Validating Synthetic Galaxy Catalogs for Dark Energy Science in the LSST Era

Large simulation efforts are required to provide synthetic galaxy catalogs for ongoing and upcoming cosmology surveys. These extragalactic catalogs are being used for many diverse purposes covering a wide range of scientific topics. In order to be useful, they must offer realistically complex information about the galaxies they contain. Hence, it is critical to implement a rigorous validation procedure that ensures that the simulated galaxy properties faithfully capture observations and delivers an assessment of the level of realism attained by the catalog. We present here a suite of validation tests that have been developed by the Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) Dark Energy Science Collaboration (DESC). We discuss how the inclusion of each test is driven by the scientific targets for static ground-based dark energy science and by the availability of suitable validation data. The validation criteria that are used to assess the performance of a catalog are flexible and depend on the science goals. We illustrate the utility of this suite by showing examples for the validation of cosmoDC2, the extragalactic catalog recently released for the LSST DESC second Data Challenge.

astro-ph.CO

Gravitation And the Universe from large Scale-Structures: The GAUSS mission concept

Today, thanks in particular to the results of the ESA Planck mission, the concordance cosmological model appears to be the most robust to describe the evolution and content of the Universe from its early to late times. It summarizes the evolution of matter, made mainly of dark matter, from the primordial fluctuations generated by inflation around $10^{-30}$ second after the Big-Bang to galaxies and clusters of galaxies, 13.8 billion years later, and the evolution of the expansion of space, with a relative slowdown in the matter-dominated era and, since a few billion years, an acceleration powered by dark energy. But we are far from knowing the pillars of this model which are inflation, dark matter and dark energy. Comprehending these fundamental questions requires a detailed mapping of our observable Universe over the whole of cosmic time. The relic radiation provides the starting point and galaxies draw the cosmic web. JAXA's LiteBIRD mission will map the beginning of our Universe with a crucial test for inflation (its primordial gravity waves), and the ESA Euclid mission will map the most recent half part, crucial for dark energy. The mission concept, described in this White Paper, GAUSS, aims at being a mission to fully map the cosmic web up to the reionization era, linking early and late evolution, to tackle and disentangle the crucial degeneracies persisting after the Euclid era between dark matter and inflation properties, dark energy, structure growth and gravitation at large scale.

astro-ph.CO