arXiv subjects
Publications and source records attributed to Mario Villalobos-Arias.
In this work, a proposal to forecast the populations using generalized logistics regression curve fitting is presented. This type of curve is used to study population growth, in this case population of people infected with the Covid-19 virus; and it can also be used to approximate the survival curve used in actuarial and similar studies.
In this work, a proposal for the estimation of the populations using logistic curve fitting is presented. This type of curve is used to study population growth, in this case population of people infected with the Covid-19 virus; and it can also be used to approximate the survival curve used in actuarial and similar studies in Spanish: En este trabajos se presenta una propuesta para la estimación de la poblaciones usando ajuste de curvas del tipo logística. Este tipo de curvas se utilizan para el estudio de crecimiento de poblaciones, en este casos población de personas infectadas por el virus Covid-19; y también se puede utilizar para aproximar la curva de supervivencia que se utiliza en estudios actuariales y otras similares
We study clustering methods for binary data, first defining aggregation criteria that measure the compactness of clusters. Five new and original methods are introduced, using neighborhoods and population behavior combinatorial optimization metaheuristics: first ones are simulated annealing, threshold accepting and tabu search, and the others are a genetic algorithm and ant colony optimization. The methods are implemented, performing the proper calibration of parameters in the case of heuristics, to ensure good results. From a set of 16 data tables generated by a quasi-Monte Carlo experiment, a comparison is performed for one of the aggregations using L1 dissimilarity, with hierarchical clustering, and a version of k-means: partitioning around medoids or PAM. Simulated annealing perform very well, especially compared to classical methods.