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Mark Abney

Publications and source records attributed to Mark Abney.

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Application of Equal Local Levels to Improve Q-Q Plot Testing Bands with R Package qqconf

Quantile-Quantile (Q-Q) plots are often difficult to interpret because it is unclear how large the deviation from the theoretical distribution must be to indicate a lack of fit. Most Q-Q plots could benefit from the addition of meaningful global testing bands, but the use of such bands unfortunately remains rare because of the drawbacks of current approaches and packages. These drawbacks include incorrect global Type I error rate, lack of power to detect deviations in the tails of the distribution, relatively slow computation for large data sets, and limited applicability. To solve these problems, we apply the equal local levels global testing method, which we have implemented in the R Package qqconf, a versatile tool to create Q-Q plots and probability-probability (P-P) plots in a wide variety of settings, with simultaneous testing bands rapidly created using recently-developed algorithms. qqconf can easily be used to add global testing bands to Q-Q plots made by other packages. In addition to being quick to compute, these bands have a variety of desirable properties, including accurate global levels, equal sensitivity to deviations in all parts of the null distribution (including the tails), and applicability to a range of null distributions. We illustrate the use of qqconf in several applications: assessing normality of residuals from regression, assessing accuracy of p values, and use of Q-Q plots in genome-wide association studies.

stat.CO

Reconstructing the Inflaton Potential --- an Overview

We review the relation between the inflationary potential and the spectra of density (scalar) perturbations and gravitational waves (tensor perturbations) produced, with particular emphasis on the possibility of reconstructing the inflaton potential from observations. The spectra provide a potentially powerful test of the inflationary hypothesis; they are not independent but instead are linked by consistency relations reflecting their origin from a single inflationary potential. To lowest-order in a perturbation expansion there is a single, now familiar, relation between the tensor spectral index and the relative amplitude of the spectra. We demonstrate that there is an infinite hierarchy of such consistency equations, though observational difficulties suggest only the first is ever likely to be useful. We also note that since observations are expected to yield much better information on the scalars than on the tensors, it is likely to be the next-order version of this consistency equation which will be appropriate, not the lowest-order one. If inflation passes the consistency test, one can then confidently use the remaining observational information to constrain the inflationary potential, and we survey the general perturbative scheme for carrying out this procedure. Explicit expressions valid to next-lowest order in the expansion are presented. We then briefly assess the prospects for future observations reaching the quality required, and consider a simulated data set that is motivated by this outlook.

astro-ph

Fluctuations and Bubble Dynamics in First-Order Phase Transitions

We numerically examine the effect of thermal fluctuations on a first-order phase transition in 2+1 dimensions. By focusing on the expansion of a single bubble we are able to calculate changes in the bubble wall's velocity as well as changes in its structure relative to the standard case where the bubble expands into a homogeneous background. Not only does the wall move faster, but the transition from the symmetric to the asymmetric phase is no longer smooth, even for a fairly strong transition. We discuss how these results affect the standard picture of electroweak baryogenesis.

hep-ph

Observational constraints on the Internal Structure and Dynamics of the Vela Pulsar

We show that the short spin-up time observed for the Vela pulsar during the 1988 ``Christmas'' glitch implies that the coupling time of the pulsar core to its crust is less than $\sim$ 10 seconds. Ekman pumping cannot explain the fast core-crust coupling and a more effective coupling is necessary. The internal magnetic field of the Vela pulsar can provide the necessary coupling if the field threads the core with a magnitude that exceeds $ 10^{13}$ Gauss for a normal interior and $ 10^{11}$ Gauss for a superconducting interior. These lower bounds favor the hypothesis that the interior of neutron stars contains superfluid neutrons and protons and challenge the notion that pulsar magnetic fields decay over million year time scales or that magnetic flux is expelled from the core as the star slows.

astro-ph

Ekman Pumping in Compact Astrophysical Bodies

We examine the dynamics of a rotating viscous fluid following an abrupt change in the angular velocity of the solid bounding surface. We include the effects of a density stratification and compressibility which are important in astrophysical objects such as neutron stars. We confirm and extend the conclusions of previous studies that stratification restricts the Ekman pumping process to a relatively thin layer near the boundary, leaving much of the interior fluid unaffected. We find that finite compressibility further inhibits Ekman pumping by decreasing the extent of the pumped layer and by increasing the time for spin-up. The results of this paper are important for interpreting the spin period discontinuities (``glitches'') observed in rotating neutron stars.

astro-ph

Reconstructing the Inflaton Potential

A review is presented of recent work by the authors concerning the use of large scale structure and microwave background anisotropy data to determine the potential of the inflaton field. The importance of a detection of the stochastic gravitational wave background is emphasised, and some preliminary new results of tests of the method on simulated data sets with uncertainties are described. (Proceedings of ``Unified Symmetry in the Small and in the Large'', Coral Gables, 1994)

astro-ph

Hydrodynamic Detonation Instability in Electroweak and QCD Phase Transitions

The hydrodynamic stability of deflagration and detonation bubbles for a first order electroweak and QCD phase transition has been discussed recently with the suggestion that detonations are stable. We examine here the case of a detonation more carefully. We find that in front of the bubble wall perturbations do not grow with time, but behind the wall modes exist which grow exponentially. We briefly discuss the possible meaning of this instability.

astro-ph