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Mark Popinchalk

Publications and source records attributed to Mark Popinchalk.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Improving the Physical Interpretability of Gaussian Processes in Stellar Activity Modeling: A Study Case on Photometric Variability Among Stellar Clusters

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely used to model stellar variability in photometric surveys, but a statistically successful fit does not guarantee that the inferred hyperparameters correspond to physically meaningful stellar properties. This is especially important for young, active stars, whose TESS light curves contain evolving spots, harmonics, and non-sinusoidal variability. We use stellar rotation as a case study to examine when the period hyperparameter of a quasi-periodic GP can be interpreted as a physical rotation period. We introduce a regularized GP likelihood that reweights the covariance-complexity term in the marginal likelihood, reducing the tendency of unconstrained models to converge toward preferred but misleading solutions. We test this framework on 539 stars in IC2602, the Tucana-Horologium Association, Pisces-Eridanus, and GroupX, with independently reported and manually vetted rotation periods. This benchmark evaluates GP hyperparameter interpretability and automated period recovery with minimal human intervention. We compare regularized and unregularized models across several regularization strengths, {\lambda}, using literature agreement, sector-level diagnostics, and consistency across TESS sectors. Relative to the standard GP likelihood, regularization improves successful rotation-period recovery by an average of 7%. It also generally reduces the median absolute fractional deviation of periods across sectors, showing that the improvement is not limited to catastrophic failures but also mitigates smaller systematic errors. Regularization is particularly beneficial for non-sinusoidal or evolving modulation, where unconstrained GPs may recover harmonics or spurious timescales. These results show that likelihood regularization and cross-sector consistency are practical diagnostics for assessing when GP-based rotation periods are robust.

astro-ph.SR

Spectroscopic Characterization of WD J000801.25-350450 and its Two Co-Moving Companions

We present new spectroscopic data for Gaia DR3 2309499817384726016 (WD0008-350A) and its two wide, co-moving, low-mass companions. We confirm the white dwarf is a hydrogen-rich DA, with T$_{\rm eff}$=6200$\pm$90~K and a mass of 0.63$\pm$0.03~M${\odot}$, close to that of the average white dwarf. Near-infrared spectra of the two stellar companions to WD0008-350A reveal that the inner companion is an M dwarf, exhibiting a spectral type of M8. Furthermore, the outer companion is identified as a possible M6 + M9 binary. This paper examines the evidence which suggests the system may be quadruple.

astro-ph.SR

Accurate and Model Independent Radius Determination of Single FGK and M Dwarfs Using Gaia DR3 Data

Measuring fundamental stellar parameters is key to fully comprehending the evolution of stars. However, current theoretical models over-predict effective temperatures, and under-predict radii, compared to observations of K and M dwarfs (radius inflation problem). In this work, we developed a model independent method to infer precise radii of single FGK and M dwarfs using Gaia DR3 parallaxes and photometry, and we used it to study the radius inflation problem. We calibrated nine surface brightness-color relations for the three Gaia magnitudes and colors using a sample of stars with angular diameter measurements. We achieved an accuracy of 4% in our angular diameter estimations, which Gaia's parallaxes allow us to convert to a physical radii. We validated our method by comparing our radius measurements with literature samples and the Gaia DR3 catalog, which confirmed the accuracy of our method and revealed systematic offsets in the Gaia measurements. Moreover, we used a sample with measured Halpha equivalent width (HaEW), a magnetic activity indicator, to study the radius inflation problem. We demonstrated that active stars have larger radii than inactive stars, showing that radius inflation is correlated with magnetic activity. We found a correlation between the radius inflation of active stars and HaEW for the mass bin 0.5<M[Msun]<= 0.6, but we found no correlation for lower masses. This could be due to lack of precision in our radius estimation or a physical reason. Radius measurements with smaller uncertainties are necessary to distinguish between the two scenarios.

astro-ph.SR

Thirteen New M Dwarf + T Dwarf Pairs Identified with WISE/NEOWISE

We present the discovery of 13 new widely separated T dwarf companions to M dwarf primaries, identified using WISE/NEOWISE data by the CatWISE and Backyard Worlds: Planet 9 projects. This sample represents a $\sim$60% increase in the number of known M+T systems, and allows us to probe the most extreme products of binary/planetary system formation, a discovery space made available by the CatWISE2020 catalog and the Backyard Worlds: Planet 9 effort. Highlights among the sample are WISEP J075108.79-763449.6, a previously known T9 thought to be old due to its SED, which we now find is part of a common-proper-motion pair with L 34-26 A, a well studied young M3 V star within 10 pc of the Sun; CWISE J054129.32-745021.5 B and 2MASS J05581644-4501559 B, two T8 dwarfs possibly associated with the very fast-rotating M4 V stars CWISE J054129.32-745021.5 A and 2MASS J05581644-4501559 A; and UCAC3 52-1038 B, which is among the widest late T companions to main sequence stars, with a projected separation of $\sim$7100 au. The new benchmarks presented here are prime $JWST$ targets, and can help us place strong constraints on formation and evolution theory of substellar objects as well as on atmospheric models for these cold exoplanet analogs.

astro-ph.SR

Species Syzygy: Which Animal Has Seen the Most Total Solar Eclipses?

A Total Solar Eclipse (TSE) is a shocking and sublime experience. In just a week hundreds of millions of Homo Sapiens will attempt to see the 2024 eclipse as it stretches across the North American continent. However, while Homo Sapiens may be uniquely positioned to understand and predict eclipses, they are not the only species capable of observing them. The precise alignment of the Moon, Earth and Sun all existed well before humans. In the same way we share this planet capable of hosting life, the fantastic astronomical experiences available on it are not exclusive either. We present a framework to calculate the number of Total Solar Eclipses experienced by a species at any point in Earth's history. This includes factoring in the evolution of the Sun-Moon-Earth system, the duration the species is extant, and average population. We normalize over the geographic range by calculating an Astronomical World Eclipse Surface cOverage MEtric (AWESOME) time. To illustrate this framework we look at the case study of the family Limulidae (Horseshoe Crabs) and estimate the number of individuals that have seen an eclipse. We compare it to the number of current Homo Sapiens that view eclipses, and predict if it is possible for another species to take the ''top'' spot before the final total solar eclipse in ~ 380 million years.

astro-ph.EP

89 New Ultracool Dwarf Co-Moving Companions Identified With The Backyard Worlds: Planet 9 Citizen Science Project

We report the identification of 89 new systems containing ultracool dwarf companions to main sequence stars and white dwarfs, using the citizen science project Backyard Worlds: Planet 9 and cross-reference between Gaia and CatWISE2020. Thirty-two of these companions and thirty-three host stars were followed up with spectroscopic observations, with companion spectral types ranging from M7-T9 and host spectral types ranging from G2-M9. These systems exhibit diverse characteristics, from young to old ages, blue to very red spectral morphologies, potential membership to known young moving groups, and evidence of spectral binarity in 9 companions. Twenty of the host stars in our sample show evidence for higher order multiplicity, with an additional 11 host stars being resolved binaries themselves. We compare this sample's characteristics with those of the known stellar binary and exoplanet populations, and find our sample begins to fill in the gap between directly imaged exoplanets and stellary binaries on mass ratio-binding energy plots. With this study, we increase the population of ultracool dwarf companions to FGK stars by $\sim$42\%, and more than triple the known population of ultracool dwarf companions with separations larger than 1,000 au, providing excellent targets for future atmospheric retrievals.

astro-ph.SR

The Initial Mass Function Based on the Full-sky 20-pc Census of $\sim$3,600 Stars and Brown Dwarfs

A complete accounting of nearby objects -- from the highest-mass white dwarf progenitors down to low-mass brown dwarfs -- is now possible, thanks to an almost complete set of trigonometric parallax determinations from Gaia, ground-based surveys, and Spitzer follow-up. We create a census of objects within a Sun-centered sphere of 20-pc radius and check published literature to decompose each binary or higher-order system into its separate components. The result is a volume-limited census of $\sim$3,600 individual star formation products useful in measuring the initial mass function across the stellar ($<8 M_\odot$) and substellar ($\gtrsim 5 M_{Jup}$) regimes. Comparing our resulting initial mass function to previous measurements shows good agreement above 0.8$M_\odot$ and a divergence at lower masses. Our 20-pc space densities are best fit with a quadripartite power law, $\xi(M) = dN/dM \propto M^{-\alpha}$ with long-established values of $\alpha = 2.3$ at high masses ($0.55 < M < 8.00 M_\odot$) and $\alpha = 1.3$ at intermediate masses ($0.22 < M < 0.55 M_\odot$), but at lower masses we find $\alpha = 0.25$ for $0.05 < M <0.22 M_\odot$ and $\alpha = 0.6$ for $0.01 < M < 0.05 M_\odot$. This implies that the rate of production as a function of decreasing mass diminishes in the low-mass star/high-mass brown dwarf regime before increasing again in the low-mass brown dwarf regime. Correcting for completeness, we find a star to brown dwarf number ratio of, currently, 4:1, and an average mass per object of 0.41 $M_\odot$.

astro-ph.SR

Improving Undergraduate Astronomy Students' Skills with Research Literature via Accessible Summaries: An Exploratory Case Study with Astrobites-based Reading Assignments

Undergraduate physics and astronomy students are expected to engage with scientific literature as they begin their research careers, but reading comprehension skills are rarely explicitly taught in major courses. We seek to determine the efficacy of a reading assignment designed to improve undergraduate astronomy (or related) majors' perceived ability to engage with research literature by using accessible summaries of current research written by experts in the field. During the 2022-2023 academic year, faculty members from six institutions incorporated reading assignments using accessible summaries from Astrobites into their undergraduate astronomy major courses, surveyed their students before and after the activities, and participated in follow-up interviews with our research team. Quantitative and qualitative survey data from 52 students show that students' perceptions of their abilities with jargon and identifying main takeaways of a paper significantly improved with use of the tested assignment template. Additionally, students report increased confidence of their abilities within astronomy after exposure to these assignments, and instructors valued a ready-to-use resource to incorporate reading comprehension in their pedagogy. This exploratory case study with Astrobites-based assignments suggests that incorporating current research in the undergraduate classroom through accessible literature summaries may increase students' confidence and ability to engage with research literature, assisting in their preparation for participation in research careers.

physics.ed-ph

Party Planning the Next True Happy New Year: Lunar Orbital Evolution Epochs with Integer Synodic Months Per Year

Humans like to party, and New Year celebrations are a great way to do that. However New Years celebrations that rely on an orbital year don't line up with those that use a Lunar Calendar, as there are currently 12.368 synodic months (moonths) in a year. There is cyclostratigraphic, paleontological, and tidal rhythmite data that reveal that over billions of years the interplay of angular momentum between the Sun, Earth and Moon has changed the rate of rotation of Earth, and at the same time evolved the orbit of the Moon, and therefore the length of a Lunar month. Using a subset of this data and referencing literature models of the Moon's orbital evolution, we create our own simple model to determine "True Happy New Years", time periods when there were an integer number of lunar synodic months in an Earth orbital year. This would allow modern calendars to pick a shared New Year's Day, and party accordingly. We then predict the next True Happy New Year to be in 252 million years, and offer suggestions to begin the party planning process early, so that we as a planet may be ready.

astro-ph.EP

Examining the Rotation Period Distribution of the 40 Myr Tucana-Horologium Association with TESS

The Tucana-Horologium Association (Tuc-Hor) is a 40 Myr old moving group in the southern sky. In this work, we measure the rotation periods of 313 Tuc-Hor objects with TESS light curves derived from TESS full frame images and membership lists driven by Gaia EDR3 kinematics and known youth indicators. We recover a period for 81.4% of the sample and report 255 rotaion periods for Tuc-Hor objects. From these objects we identify 11 candidate binaries based on multiple periodic signals or outlier Gaia DR2 and EDR3 re-normalised unit weight error (RUWE) values. We also identify three new complex rotators (rapidly rotating M dwarf objects with intricate light curve morphology) within our sample. Along with the six previously known complex rotators that belong to Tuc-Hor, we compare their light curve morphology between TESS Cycle 1 and Cycle 3 and find they change substantially. Furthermore, we provide context for the entire Tuc-Hor rotation sample by describing the rotation period distributions alongside other youth indicators such as H{\alpha} and Li equivalent width, as well as near ultra-violet and X ray flux. We find that measuring rotation periods with TESS to be a fast and effective means to confirm members in young moving groups.

astro-ph.SR

Discovery of a Mid-L Dwarf Companion to the L 262-74 System

We present the discovery of CWISE J151044.74$-$524923.5, a wide low-mass companion to the nearby ($\sim$24.7 pc) system L 262-74, which was identified through the Backyard Worlds: Planet 9 citizen science project. We detail the properties of the system, and we assess that this companion is a mid-L dwarf, which will need to be verified spectroscopically. With an angular separation of 74\farcs3, we estimate a projected physical separation of $\sim$1837 au from the central system.

astro-ph.SR

From Data to Software to Science with the Rubin Observatory LSST

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) dataset will dramatically alter our understanding of the Universe, from the origins of the Solar System to the nature of dark matter and dark energy. Much of this research will depend on the existence of robust, tested, and scalable algorithms, software, and services. Identifying and developing such tools ahead of time has the potential to significantly accelerate the delivery of early science from LSST. Developing these collaboratively, and making them broadly available, can enable more inclusive and equitable collaboration on LSST science. To facilitate such opportunities, a community workshop entitled "From Data to Software to Science with the Rubin Observatory LSST" was organized by the LSST Interdisciplinary Network for Collaboration and Computing (LINCC) and partners, and held at the Flatiron Institute in New York, March 28-30th 2022. The workshop included over 50 in-person attendees invited from over 300 applications. It identified seven key software areas of need: (i) scalable cross-matching and distributed joining of catalogs, (ii) robust photometric redshift determination, (iii) software for determination of selection functions, (iv) frameworks for scalable time-series analyses, (v) services for image access and reprocessing at scale, (vi) object image access (cutouts) and analysis at scale, and (vii) scalable job execution systems. This white paper summarizes the discussions of this workshop. It considers the motivating science use cases, identified cross-cutting algorithms, software, and services, their high-level technical specifications, and the principles of inclusive collaborations needed to develop them. We provide it as a useful roadmap of needs, as well as to spur action and collaboration between groups and individuals looking to develop reusable software for early LSST science.

astro-ph.IM

The Oceanus Moving Group: A New 500 Myr-Old Host for the Nearest Brown Dwarf

We report the discovery of the Oceanus moving group, a $\approx$ 500 Myr-old group with 50 members and candidate members at distances 2-50 pc from the Sun using an unsupervised clustering analysis of nearby stars with Gaia DR3 data. This new moving group includes the nearest brown dwarf WISE J104915.57-531906.1 AB (Luhman 16 AB) at a distance of 2 pc, which was previously suspected to be young (600-800 Myr) based on a comparison of its dynamical mass measurements with brown dwarf evolutionary models. We use empirical color-magnitude sequences, stellar activity and gyrochronology to determine that this new group is roughly coeval with the Coma Ber open cluster, with an isochronal age of 510 $\pm$ 95 Myr. This newly discovered group will be useful to refine the age and chemical composition of Luhman 16 AB, which is already one of the best substellar benchmarks known to date. Furthermore, the Oceanus moving group is one of the nearest young moving groups identified to date, making it a valuable laboratory for the study of exoplanets and substellar members, with 8 brown dwarf candidate members already identified here.

astro-ph.SR

Using stellar rotation to identify tidally stripped members of the Praesepe open cluster

As an open cluster orbits the Milky Way, gravitational fields distort it, stripping stars from the core and forming tidal tails. Recent work has identified tidal tails of the Praesepe cluster; we explore rotation periods as a way to confirm these candidate members. In open clusters, the rotation period distribution evolves over time due to magnetic braking. Since tidally stripped stars originally formed within the cluster, they should follow the same period distribution as in the cluster core. We analyze 96 candidate members observed by NASA's Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) mission. We measure reliable rotation periods for 32 stars, while 64 light curves are noise-dominated. The 32 newly identified rotators are consistent with the period distribution in the core, and with past membership in Praesepe. We therefore suggest that for nearby open clusters, stellar rotation offers a quick and inexpensive method for confirming past members dispersed into tidal tails.

astro-ph.SR

First Detections of Exop(lan)ets: Observations and Follow-Ups of the Floofiest Transits on Zoom

With the proliferation of online Zoom meetings as a means of doing science in the 2020s, astronomers have made new and unexpected Target of Opportunity (ToO) observations. Chief among these ToOs are observations of exop(lan)ets, or "exopets." Building on the work of Mayorga et al. (2021) - whose work characterized the rotational variations of "floofy" objects - we model exopets using methods similar to those used for exoplanetary transits. We present data collected for such exopet Zoom transits through a citizen science program in the month of February 2022. The dataset includes parameters like exopet color, floofiness, transit duration, and percentage of Zoom screen covered during the event. For some targets, we also present microlensing and direct imaging data. Using results from our modelling of 62 exopet observations as transits, microlensing, and direct imaging events, we discuss our inferences of exopet characteristics like their masses, sizes, orbits, colors, and floofiness.

astro-ph.EP

A Wide Planetary Mass Companion Discovered Through the Citizen Science Project Backyard Worlds: Planet 9

Through the Backyard Worlds: Planet 9 citizen science project we discovered a late-type L dwarf co-moving with the young K0 star BD+60 1417 at a projected separation of 37" or 1662 AU. The secondary - CWISER J124332.12+600126.2 (W1243) - is detected in both the CatWISE2020 and 2MASS reject tables. The photometric distance and CatWISE proper motion both match that of the primary within ~1sigma and our estimates for chance alignment yield a zero probability. Follow-up near infrared spectroscopy reveals W1243 to be a very red 2MASS color(J-Ks=2.72), low-surface gravity source that we classify as L6 - L8gamma. Its spectral morphology strongly resembles that of confirmed late-type L dwarfs in 10 - 150 Myr moving groups as well as that of planetary mass companions. The position on near- and mid-infrared color-magnitude diagrams indicates the source is redder and fainter than the field sequence, a telltale sign of an object with thick clouds and a complex atmosphere. For the primary we obtained new optical spectroscopy and analyzed all available literature information for youth indicators. We conclude that the Li I abundance, its loci on color-magnitude and color-color diagrams, and the rotation rate revealed in multiple TESS sectors are all consistent with an age of 50 - 150 Myr. Using our re-evaluated age of the primary, the Gaia parallax along with the photometry and spectrum for W1243 we find a Teff=1303+/-31 K, logg=4.3+/-0.17 cm s-2, and a mass of 15+/-5 MJup. We find a physical separation of ~1662 AU and a mass ratio of ~0.01 for this system. Placing it in context with the diverse collection of binary stars, brown dwarf and planetary companions, the BD+60 1417 system falls in a sparsely sampled area where the formation pathway is difficult to assess.

astro-ph.SR

Ross 19B: An Extremely Cold Companion Discovered via the Backyard Worlds: Planet 9 Citizen Science Project

Through the Backyard Worlds: Planet 9 citizen science project, we have identified a wide-separation ($\sim$10', $\sim$9900 au projected) substellar companion to the nearby ($\sim$17.5 pc), mid-M dwarf Ross 19. We have developed a new formalism for determining chance alignment probabilities based on the BANYAN $\Sigma$ tool, and find a 100% probability that this is a physically associated pair. Through a detailed examination of Ross 19A, we find that the system is metal-poor ([Fe/H]=$-$0.40$\pm$0.12) with an age of 7.2$^{+3.8}_{-3.6}$ Gyr. Combining new and existing photometry and astrometry, we find that Ross 19B is one of the coldest known wide-separation companions, with a spectral type on the T/Y boundary, an effective temperature of 500$^{+115}_{-100}$ K, and a mass in the range 15-40 $M_{\rm Jup}$. This new, extremely cold benchmark companion is a compelling target for detailed characterization with future spectroscopic observations using facilities such as the Hubble Space Telescope or James Webb Space Telescope.

astro-ph.EP

A Number of Nearby Moving Groups may be Fragments of Dissolving Open Clusters

We propose that fourteen co-moving groups of stars uncovered by Kounkel & Covey (2019) may be related to known nearby moving groups and bridge those and nearby open clusters with similar ages and space velocities. This indicates that known nearby moving groups may be spatially much more extended than previously though, and some of them might be parts of tidal tails around the cores of known open clusters, reminiscent of those recently found around the Hyades and a handful of other nearby clusters. For example, we find that both the nearby Carina and Columba associations may be linked to Theia 208 from Kounkel & Covey (2019) and together form parts of a large tidal tail around the Platais 8 open cluster. The AB Doradus moving group and Theia 301 may form a trailing tidal tail behind the Pleiades open cluster, with hints of a possible leading tidal tail in Theia 369. We similarly find that IC 2391 and its tidal tails identified by Meingast et al. (2021) may be extended by the nearby Argus association and are possibly further extended by Theia 115. The nearby Octans and Octans-Near associations, as well as Theia 94 and 95, may form a large tidal tail leading the poorly studied Platais 5 open cluster candidate. While a preliminary analysis of Gaia color-magnitude sequences hint that these structures are plausibly related, more observational evidence is still required to corroborate their consistent ages and space velocities. These observations may change our current understanding of nearby moving groups and the different pathways through which they can form. While some moving groups may have formed loosely in extended star-formation events with rich spatial structure, others may in fact correspond to the tidal tails of nearby open clusters.

astro-ph.GA