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Marko Ristić

Publications and source records attributed to Marko Ristić.

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Kilonovae and Long-duration Gamma-ray Bursts

Recent detections of kilonova-like emission following long-duration gamma-ray bursts GRB211211A and GRB230307A have been interpreted as originating from the merger of two neutron stars. In this work, we demonstrate that these observations are also consistent with nucleosynthesis originating from a collapsar scenario. Our model accurately predicts the observed optical and infrared light curves using a single weak $r$-process component. The absence of lanthanide-rich material in our model, consistent with the data, challenges the prevailing interpretation that a red evolution in such transients necessarily indicates the presence of heavy $r$-process elements.

astro-ph.HE

A comparison of three neodymium atomic data sets for kilonova modeling

We examine the impact of input neodymium (Nd) atomic data on the light curves and spectra of kilonovae, probing the sensitivity of kilonova observables to the atomic physics of this important lanthanide element. We use the SuperNu Monte Carlo radiative transfer code, simulating a simple semi-analytic 1D kilonova with a pure Nd atmosphere, fixing the radiative transfer method while using input atomic data generated by three different codes: the LANL suite of atomic physics codes, HULLAC, and Autostructure. We see that the choice of atomic data significantly shapes the resulting light curves and spectra. Peak bolometric luminosities differ by a ratio of nearly 1.5 between HULLAC/Autostructure and LANL data sets. Moreover, we observe significant near- to mid-IR differences in the structure of the spectra. We specifically attribute these differences to the choice of atomic data for neutral Nd I. Many of the results here have been adapted from a presentation at "Radiative Transfer and Atomic Physics of Kilonovae" in Stockholm, 2023. We additionally present a LANL data set with energies calibrated to available values in the NIST Atomic Spectra Database, and demonstrate that this calibration also significantly affects IR spectral structure at late time. The substantial differences in kilonova observables that arise from tuning the atomic data of just one lanthanide element highlight the special attention that must be paid to atomic physics uncertainties when modeling kilonovae, from AT2017gfo to beyond.

astro-ph.HE

Joint Electromagnetic and Gravitational Wave Inference of Binary Neutron Star Merger GW170817 Using Forward-Modeling Ejecta Predictions

We reassess the capacity for multimessenger inference of AT2017gfo/GW170817 using both kilonova and gravitational wave emission within the context of a recent simulation-based surrogate model for kilonova emission. Independent of the inclusion of gravitational wave observations, comparisons between observations that incorporate our kilonova model favor a narrow range of ejecta properties, even when allowing for a wide range of systematic uncertainties in our modeling approach. Conversely, we find that astrophysical conclusions about the neutron star itself, including its mass and radius, depend strongly on assumptions about how much material is ejected from the neutron star. Looking forward, our analysis highlights the importance of systematic uncertainty in general, the need for better modeling of neutron star merger mass ejection from first principles, and warns against uncontextualized applications of ejecta predictions using fits to numerical relativity simulations.

astro-ph.HE

AT2025ulz and S250818k: zooming in with the Hubble Space Telescope

AT2025ulz is an optical/near-infrared transient discovered during follow-up of the candidate gravitational wave (GW) event S250818k. Its young age ($\lesssim$1 d), rapid decline and strong color evolution over the first 48 hr classify it as a potential kilonova candidate. In this work, we present the results of our observing campaign, carried out with the Gran Telescopio Canarias (GTC) and the Hubble Space Telescope (HST). Although the early time evolution of AT2025ulz resembles some aspects of a kilonova, its rapid onset ($\sim$3 hr after the GW trigger) and luminosity (a factor of $\sim5$ brighter than AT2017gfo in $g$-band) are difficult to reproduce. Only a small subset of our kilonova models matches its multi-color light curve, and the inferred ejecta mass is uncomfortably large given the low chirp mass ($\lesssim\!0.87\!$ M$_{\odot}$) of the GW candidate. HST observations place the transient within a nearby ($z=0.08489$) spiral galaxy with on-going star-formation and measure a color ($F336W-F160W\!\approx\!1.4$ mag) that is too blue to match with a kilonova. Our data support the classification of AT2025ulz as a supernova, initially undergoing a shock-cooling phase and later entering its photospheric phase, and spectroscopically identified via its broad absorption features.

astro-ph.HE

Kilonova Light-Curve Interpolation with Neural Networks

Kilonovae are the electromagnetic transients created by the radioactive decay of freshly synthesized elements in the environment surrounding a neutron star merger. To study the fundamental physics in these complex environments, kilonova modeling requires, in part, the use of radiative transfer simulations. The microphysics involved in these simulations results in high computational cost, prompting the use of emulators for parameter inference applications. Utilizing a training set of 22248 high-fidelity simulations (composed of 412 unique ejecta parameter combinations evaluated at 54 viewing angles), we use a neural network to efficiently train on existing radiative transfer simulations and predict light curves for new parameters in a fast and computationally efficient manner. Our neural network can generate millions of new light curves in under a minute. We discuss our emulator's degree of off-sample reliability and parameter inference of the AT2017gfo observational data. Finally, we discuss tension introduced by multi-band inference in the parameter inference results, particularly with regard to the neural network's recovery of viewing angle.

astro-ph.HE