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Marlin W. Ulmer

Publications and source records attributed to Marlin W. Ulmer.

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A Policy Decomposition Framework for Dynamic Order Fulfillment Operations

Modern supply chains span diverse operational environments, ranging from e-commerce distribution networks to customized production-to-order manufacturing lines. Across these settings, operational efficiency depends on coordinating two highly interdependent stages: order preparation and downstream delivery. Although these stages are traditionally managed in isolation, real-world fulfillment systems must satisfy stringent delivery expectations under dynamic stochastic order arrivals. To bridge this gap, we introduce the Dynamic Order Fulfillment Problem (DOFP), a new problem class unifying logistical challenges previously studied separately. We model DOFP as a Markov decision process whose state and decision spaces are partitioned into preparation and delivery sub-spaces, linked by synchronization constraints. While recent approaches attempt to optimize both fulfillment stages simultaneously over myopic rolling horizons, our framework isolates and optimizes the downstream delivery policy, treating preparation strictly as a state-level constraint filter. To solve this, we develop the Decomposition-Driven Framework with Value Function Approximation (DDF-VFA), which utilizes a novel policy-level decomposition. This design partitions the search into a delivery-stage master problem and a preparation-stage compatibility subproblem, iteratively refined via feedback loops. DDF-VFA executes this strategy by combining a large-neighborhood search over partial delivery decisions with a neural-network value function approximation for the cost-to-go. Numerical illustrations on two example variants using real-world datasets show that DDF-VFA consistently outperforms benchmarks that optimize the two stages independently or jointly without decomposition. Finally, the framework naturally scales to accommodate additional real-world complexities such as batched or multi-stage preparation.

math.DS

To Start Up a Start-Up$-$Embedding Strategic Demand Development in Operational On-Demand Fulfillment via Reinforcement Learning with Information Shaping

The last few years have witnessed rapid growth in the on-demand delivery market, with many start-ups entering the field. However, not all of these start-ups have succeeded due to various reasons, among others, not being able to establish a large enough customer base. In this paper, we address this problem that many on-demand transportation start-ups face: how to establish themselves in a new market. When starting, such companies often have limited fleet resources to serve demand across a city. Depending on the use of the fleet, varying service quality is observed in different areas of the city, and in turn, the service quality impacts the respective growth of demand in each area. Thus, operational fulfillment decisions drive the longer-term demand development. To integrate strategic demand development into real-time fulfillment operations, we propose a two-step approach. First, we derive analytical insights into optimal allocation decisions for a stylized problem. Second, we use these insights to shape the training data of a reinforcement learning strategy for operational real-time fulfillment. Our experiments demonstrate that combining operational efficiency with long-term strategic planning is highly advantageous. Further, we show that the careful shaping of training data is essential for the successful development of demand.

cs.LG

Same-Day Delivery with Fairness

The demand for same-day delivery (SDD) has increased rapidly in the last few years and has particularly boomed during the COVID-19 pandemic. The fast growth is not without its challenge. In 2016, due to low concentrations of memberships and far distance from the depot, certain minority neighborhoods were excluded from receiving Amazon's SDD service, raising concerns about fairness. In this paper, we study the problem of offering fair SDD-service to customers. The service area is partitioned into different regions. Over the course of a day, customers request for SDD service, and the timing of requests and delivery locations are not known in advance. The dispatcher dynamically assigns vehicles to make deliveries to accepted customers before their delivery deadline. In addition to the overall service rate (utility), we maximize the minimal regional service rate across all regions (fairness). We model the problem as a multi-objective Markov decision process and develop a deep Q-learning solution approach. We introduce a novel transformation of learning from rates to actual services, which creates a stable and efficient learning process. Computational results demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in alleviating unfairness both spatially and temporally in different customer geographies. We also show this effectiveness is valid with different depot locations, providing businesses with an opportunity to achieve better fairness from any location. Further, we consider the impact of ignoring fairness in service, and results show that our policies eventually outperform the utility-driven baseline when customers have a high expectation on service level.

cs.LG

Fighting the E-commerce Giants: Efficient Routing and Effective Consolidation for Local Delivery Platforms

Local delivery platforms are collaborative undertakings where local stores offer instant-delivery to local customers ordering their products online. Offering such delivery services both cost-efficiently and reliably is one of the main challenges for local delivery platforms, as they face a complex, dynamic, stochastic dynamic pickup-and-delivery problem. Orders need to be consolidated to increase the efficiency of the delivery operations and thereby enable a high service guarantee towards the customer and stores. But, waiting for consolidation opportunities may jeopardize delivery service reliability in the future, and thus requires anticipating future demand. This paper introduces a generic approach to balance the consolidation potential and delivery urgency of orders. Specifically, it presents a newly developed parameterized Cost-Function Approximation (CFA) approach that modifies a set-packing formulation with two parameters. This CFA approach not only anticipates future demand but also utilizes column generation to search the large decision space related to pickup-and-delivery problems fast. Inspired by a motivating application in the city of Groningen, the Netherlands, numerical experiments show that our CFA approach strongly increases perceived customer satisfaction while lowering the total travel time of the vehicles compared to various benchmark policies. Furthermore, our CFA also reduces the percentage of late deliveries, and their lateness, to a minimum. Finally, our approach may assist managers in practice to manage the non-trivial balance between consolidation opportunity and delivery urgency.

math.OC

Deep Q-Learning for Same-Day Delivery with Vehicles and Drones

In this paper, we consider same-day delivery with vehicles and drones. Customers make delivery requests over the course of the day, and the dispatcher dynamically dispatches vehicles and drones to deliver the goods to customers before their delivery deadline. Vehicles can deliver multiple packages in one route but travel relatively slowly due to the urban traffic. Drones travel faster, but they have limited capacity and require charging or battery swaps. To exploit the different strengths of the fleets, we propose a deep Q-learning approach. Our method learns the value of assigning a new customer to either drones or vehicles as well as the option to not offer service at all. In a systematic computational analysis, we show the superiority of our policy compared to benchmark policies and the effectiveness of our deep Q-learning approach. We also show that our policy can maintain effectiveness when the fleet size changes moderately. Experiments on data drawn from varied spatial/temporal distributions demonstrate that our trained policies can cope with changes in the input data.

cs.LG