arXiv subjects

Martin Jung

Publications and source records attributed to Martin Jung.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

FLUXtrapolation: A benchmark on extrapolating ecosystem fluxes

We introduce FLUXtrapolation, a benchmark for extrapolating ecosystem fluxes under progressively harder distribution shifts. Ecosystem fluxes are central to understanding the carbon, water, and energy cycles, yet they can only be measured directly at sparsely located measurement towers. Producing global flux estimates therefore requires training models on observed sites using globally available covariates and predicting in unobserved regions, that is, upscaling. Flux upscaling is a challenging domain generalization problem that is affected by a shift in covariate distribution across climates, ecosystem types, and environmental conditions, as well as by conditional shift: important drivers remain unobserved at global scale. We provide a quantitative analysis of both these shifts in $P_X$ and $P_{Y\mid X}$. FLUXtrapolation is designed based on domain expertise on flux upscaling: it defines temporal, spatial, and temperature-based extrapolation scenarios and evaluates performance across held-out domains, temporal aggregations, and tail errors. In a pilot study, we find that baselines perform similarly under median hourly RMSE, but separate under the proposed tail-focused and multi-scale evaluation. FLUXtrapolation therefore poses a realistic and thus relevant challenge for machine learning methods under distribution shift; at the same time, progress on this benchmark would directly support the scientific goal of improving flux upscaling.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Extracting production fractions of $b$ hadrons from exclusive semi-leptonic decays

Ratios of production fractions of $b$ hadrons are a dominant source of uncertainty in many LHC analyses, in particular in measurements with $B_s$ mesons. The currently used value for $f_s/f_d$ is based on a combination of hadronic and semi-inclusive semi-leptonic decays, and relies in part on assumptions about the underlying decays that are hard to quantify. We propose an independent alternative method to obtain this quantity by measuring ratios of the exclusive semi-leptonic decays $\bar B_{(s)} \to D_{(s)}^{(*)} \ell \bar\nu$. This method benefits from significant cancellations of both experimental and theoretical uncertainties, as well as robustness against potential contamination from heavy physics beyond the Standard Model. As a proof of principle, we show that current measurements constrain $f_s/f_d$ with an uncertainty of $7\%$, dominated by present experimental uncertainties. This method can also be applied to other ratios of production fractions involving heavier $b$ hadrons, such as $B_c$ or $\Lambda_b$.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2026

New Physics in inclusive $\bar{B} \to X_c \ell \bar{\nu}$ decays

We present the first global phenomenological fit of inclusive $\bar B\to X_c\ell\bar\nu$ observables to all available experimental data allowing for generic dimension-six New Physics interactions in the Weak Effective Theory. The fit includes both New Physics Wilson coefficients and non-perturbative QCD parameters. New Physics contributions are calculated including power corrections up to $\mathcal O(\Lambda_{\rm QCD}^3/m_b^3)$ and perturbative QCD corrections up to $\mathcal O(\alpha_s)$. We find no significant preference for New Physics and obtain bounds on the size of the relevant Wilson Coefficients competitive with those coming from exclusive modes.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2026

$\bar B\to D^{(*)}\ell\bar \nu$ Branching Ratios and Evidence for Isospin Breaking in $\Upsilon(4S)$ Decays

We introduce a new method for the determination of the ratio of production fractions $R^{\pm0}=\mathcal B(\Upsilon(4S)\to B^+B^-)/\mathcal B(\Upsilon(4S)\to B^0\bar B^0)$ based on $\bar B\to D^{(*)}\ell\bar \nu$ decays. Given the importance of these modes, we perform a comprehensive analysis of the available data, extracting the information on their branching fractions and \Rpmz in parallel and providing their correlations in order to avoid double-use of this information in phenomenological analyses. We obtain the most precise value for $R^{\pm0}$ from a single channel so far, about 2$\sigma$ from unity. The combination with previously available determinations from other channels yields $R^{\pm0}=1.062(19)$, constituting evidence for isospin violation in $\Upsilon(4S)$ decays. This demonstrates the necessity to take this effect into account in experimental and phenomenological analyses. The results for the $\bar B\to D^{(*)}\ell\bar \nu$ branching fractions are up to $1.6\sigma$ larger compared to averages available in the literature, owing to the removal of overlooked inconsistencies in the treatment of older analyses and correcting for d'Agostini bias where possible, thereby reducing the $V_{cb}$ puzzle.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2025

New Physics in inclusive semileptonic $B$ decays

We study inclusive semileptonic $\bar{B}\to X_c \ell \bar{\nu}$ decays ($\ell = e,\mu$) in the presence of generic physics Beyond the Standard Model (BSM) that is heavy compared to the $b$-quark mass. Its effect is encoded in the Wilson coefficients of dimension-six operators of the Weak Effective Theory (WET). We compute the resulting BSM contributions to the experimentally measured kinematic moments and the total decay rate through order $\mathcal{O}(\Lambda_{\rm QCD}^3/m_b^3)$ in the Heavy Quark Expansion, as well as the $\mathcal{O}(\alpha_s)$ corrections for the right-handed vector current. We then perform fits to the full set of available inclusive measurements in several single-mediator scenarios and in the full WET basis. We find qualitatively new bounds in several of these scenarios, complementary to and competitive with constraints from exclusive decays.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2025

Challenging $\bar{B}_{(s)}\to D_{(s)}^{(*)}$ Form Factors with the Heavy Quark Expansion

Recent publications by three lattice QCD collaborations have provided an unprecedented wealth of theoretical predictions for the $\bar{B}_q \to D_q^{(*)}$ form factors, for spectator flavours $q=u/d$ and $q=s$. We analyse these predictions within the framework of the heavy-quark expansion (HQE) to order $\alpha_s$, $1/m_b$, and $1/m_c^2$. For the first time, our analysis imposes unitarity bounds for all of the $\bar{B}_q^{(*)} \to D_q^{(*)}$ form factors; this includes newly identified tensor form factors arising in $\bar{B}_q^*\to D_q^{(*)}$. This enables us to treat all form factors in the same fashion. At the level of our present analysis, the inclusion of the tensor bounds is not yet constraining the HQE parameter space. We find the lattice QCD results to be well compatible with each other in a joint HQE fit as well as with QCD sum rule estimates that were used in previous HQE analyses. This is in contrast to the strong variability of the posterior predictions, in particular of the form factors ratios $R_0$ and $R_2$. Using the posterior distributions of our HQE analysis, we provide predictions for angular observables and LFU ratios in the $\bar{B}_q \to D_q^{(*)}\ell^-\bar{\nu}$ decays.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2023

$\bar{B}\rightarrow \bar{D} D$ Decays and the Extraction of $f_d/f_u$ at Hadron Colliders

We perform a detailed model-independent phenomenological analysis of $\bar B\to \bar D D$ decays. Employing an SU(3)$_F$ analysis including symmetry-breaking contributions together with a conservative power counting for various suppression effects, we obtain updated Standard Model predictions for all branching fractions and CP asymmetries from a fit to the available experimental data, testable at Belle II and the LHC experiments. These results include all relevant suppressed contributions, thereby providing upper limits on subleading Standard Model (SM) effects like "penguin pollution", enabling searches for physics beyond the SM. Importantly, allowing in the same fit for the production fractions of charged and neutral $B$ mesons to be different, we find $f_d/f_u = 0.86\pm0.05$, which is $2.5\sigma$ away from unity, which, if confirmed, would have important phenomenological consequences.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2023

Novel approaches to determine $B^\pm$ and $B^0$ meson production fractions

We propose novel methods to determine the $\Upsilon(4S)\to B^+B^-$ and $\Upsilon(4S)\to B^0\bar B^0$ decay rates. The precision to which they and their ratio are known yields at present a limiting uncertainty around $2\%$ in measurements of absolute $B$ decay rates, and thus in a variety of applications, such as precision determinations of elements of the Cabibbo-Kobayashi-Maskawa matrix and flavor symmetry relations. The new methods we propose are based in one case on exploiting the $\Upsilon(5S)$ data sets, in the other case on the different average number of charged tracks in $B^\pm$ and $B^0$ decays. We estimate future sensitivities using these methods and discuss possible measurements of $f_d / f_u$ at the (HL-)LHC.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2022

Respiration driven CO2 pulses dominate Australia's flux variability

The Australian continent contributes substantially to the year-to-year variability of the global terrestrial carbon dioxide (CO2) sink. However, the scarcity of in-situ observations in remote areas prevents deciphering the processes that force the CO2 flux variability. Here, examining atmospheric CO2 measurements from satellites in the period 2009-2018, we find recurrent end-of-dry-season CO2 pulses over the Australian continent. These pulses largely control the year-to-year variability of Australia's CO2 balance, due to 2-3 times higher seasonal variations compared to previous top-down inversions and bottom-up estimates. The CO2 pulses occur shortly after the onset of rainfall and are driven by enhanced soil respiration preceding photosynthetic uptake in Australia's semi-arid regions. The suggested continental-scale relevance of soil rewetting processes has large implications for our understanding and modelling of global climate-carbon cycle feedbacks.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2021

EOS -- A Software for Flavor Physics Phenomenology

EOS is an open-source software for a variety of computational tasks in flavor physics. Its use cases include theory predictions within and beyond the Standard Model of particle physics, Bayesian inference of theory parameters from experimental and theoretical likelihoods, and simulation of pseudo events for a number of signal processes. EOS ensures high-performance computations through a C++ back-end and ease of usability through a Python front-end. To achieve this flexibility, EOS enables the user to select from a variety of implementations of the relevant decay processes and hadronic matrix elements at run time. In this article, we describe the general structure of the software framework and provide basic examples. Further details and in-depth interactive examples are provided as part of the EOS online documentation.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2021

Lepton-flavour non-universality of $\bar{B}\to D^*\ell \barν$ angular distributions in and beyond the Standard Model

We analyze in detail the angular distributions in $\bar{B}\to D^*\ell \barν$ decays, with a focus on lepton-flavour non-universality. We investigate the minimal number of angular observables that fully describes current and upcoming datasets, and explore their sensitivity to physics beyond the Standard Model (BSM) in the most general weak effective theory. We apply our findings to the current datasets, extract the non-redundant set of angular observables from the data, and compare to precise SM predictions that include lepton-flavour universality violating mass effects. Our analysis shows that the current presentation of the experimental data is not ideal and prohibits the extraction of the full set of relevant BSM parameters, since the number of independent angular observables that can be inferred from data is limited to only four. We uncover a $\sim4σ$ tension between data and predictions that is hidden in the redundant presentation of the Belle 2018 data on $\bar{B}\to D^*\ell \barν$ decays. This tension specifically involves observables that probe $e-μ$ lepton-flavour universality. However, we find inconsistencies in these data, which renders results based on it suspicious. Nevertheless, we discuss which generic BSM scenarios could explain the tension, in the case that the inconsistencies do not affect the data materially. Our findings highlight that $e-μ$ non-universality in the SM, introduced by the finite muon mass, is already significant in a subset of angular observables with respect to the experimental precision.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2020

P,T-Odd Interactions in Atomic ${}^{129}$Xe and Phenomenological Applications

We calculate interaction constants for the contributions from \PT-odd scalar-pseudoscalar and tensor-pseudotensor operators to the electric dipole moment of ${}^{129}$Xe, for the first time in case of the former, using relativistic many-body theory including the effects of dynamical electron correlations. These interaction constants are necessary ingredients to relating the corresponding measurements to fundamental parameters in models of physics beyond the Standard Model. We obtain $α_{C_S} = \left( 0.71 \pm 0.18 \right) [10^{-23}\, e~\text{cm}]$ and $α_{C_T}= \left( 0.520 \pm 0.049 \right) [10^{-20}\, \left<Σ\right>_{\text{Xe}}\, e~\text{cm}]$, respectively. We apply our results to test a phenomenological relation between the two quantities, commonly used in the literature, and discuss their present and future phenomenological impact.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2020

A puzzle in $\bar{B}_{(s)}^0 \to D_{(s)}^{(*)+} \lbrace π^-, K^-\rbrace$ decays and extraction of the $f_s/f_d$ fragmentation fraction

We provide updated predictions for the hadronic decays $\bar{B}_s^0\to D_s^{(*)+} π^-$ and $\bar{B}^0\to D^{(*)+} K^-$. They are based on $\mathcal{O}(α_s^2)$ results for the QCD factorization amplitudes at leading power and on recent results for the $\bar{B}_{(s)} \to D_{(s)}^{(*)}$ form factors up to order ${\cal O}(Λ_{\rm QCD}^2/m_c^2)$ in the heavy-quark expansion. We give quantitative estimates of the matrix elements entering the hadronic decay amplitudes at order ${\cal O}(Λ_{\rm QCD}/m_b)$ for the first time. Our results are very precise, and uncover a substantial discrepancy between the theory predictions and the experimental measurements. We explore two possibilities for this discrepancy: non-factorizable contributions larger than predicted by the QCD factorization power counting, and contributions beyond the Standard Model. We determine the $f_s/f_d$ fragmentation fraction for the CDF, D0 and LHCb experiments for both scenarios.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2020

Heavy-Quark Expansion for $\bar{B}_s\to D^{(*)}_s$ Form Factors and Unitarity Bounds beyond the $SU(3)_F$ Limit

We carry out a comprehensive analysis of the full set of $\bar{B}_q \to D_q^{(*)}$ form factors for spectator quarks $q=u,d,s$ within the framework of the Heavy-Quark Expansion (HQE) to order $\mathcal{O}(α_s, 1/m_b, 1/m_c^2)$. In addition to the available lattice QCD calculations we make use of two new sets of theoretical constraints: we produce for the first time numerical predictions for the full set of $\bar{B}_s \to D_s^{(*)}$ form factors using Light-Cone Sum Rules with $B_s$-meson distribution amplitudes. Furthermore, we reassess the QCD three-point sum rule results for the Isgur-Wise functions entering all our form factors for both $q=u,d$ and $q=s$ spectator quarks. These additional constraints allow us to go beyond the commonly used assumption of $SU(3)_F$ symmetry for the $\bar B_s\to D_s^{(*)}$ form factors, especially in the unitarity constraints which we impose throughout our analysis. We find the coefficients of the IW functions emerging at $\mathcal{O}(1/m_c^2)$ to be consistent with the naive $\mathcal{O}(1)$ expectation, indicating a good convergence of the HQE. While we do not find significant $SU(3)$ breaking, the explicit treatment of $q=s$ as compared to a simple symmetry assumption renders the unitarity constraints more effective. We find that the (pseudo)scalar bounds are saturated to a large degree, which affects our theory predictions. We analyze the phenomenological consequences of our improved form factors by extracting $|V_{cb}|$ from $\bar B\to D^{(*)}\ellν$ decays and producing theoretical predictions for the lepton-flavour universality ratios $R(D)$, $R(D^*)$, $R(D_s)$ and $R(D_s^*)$, as well as the $τ$- and $D_q^*$ polarization fractions for the $\bar B_q\to D_q^{(*)}τν$ modes.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2019

Global fit to $b \to c τν$ transitions

We perform a general model-independent analysis of $b \to c τ\barν_τ$ transitions, including measurements of $\mathcal{R}_D$, $\mathcal{R}_{D^*}$, their $q^2$ differential distributions, the recently measured longitudinal $D^*$ polarization $F_L^{D^*}$, and constraints from the $B_c \to τ\barν_τ$ lifetime, each of which has significant impact on the fit. A global fit to a general set of Wilson coefficients of an effective low-energy Hamiltonian is presented, the solutions of which are interpreted in terms of hypothetical new-physics mediators. From the obtained results we predict selected $b \to cτ\barν_τ$ observables, such as the baryonic transition $Λ_b \to Λ_c τ\barν_τ$, the ratio $\mathcal{R}_{J/ψ}$, the forward-backward asymmetries ${\cal A}_\text{FB}^{D^{(*)}}$, the $τ$ polarization asymmetries $\mathcal{P}_τ^{D^{(*)}}$, and the longitudinal $D^*$ polarization fraction $F_L^{D^*}$. The latter shows presently a slight tension with any new-physics model, such that an improved measurement could have an important impact. We also discuss the potential change due the very recently announced preliminary $\mathcal{R}_{D^{(*)}}$ measurement by the Belle collaboration.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2019

Theory determination of $\bar{B}\to D^{(*)}\ell^-\barν$ form factors at $\mathcal{O}(1/m_c^2)$

We carry out an analysis of the full set of ten $\bar{B}\to D^{(*)}$ form factors within the framework of the Heavy-Quark Expansion (HQE) to order $\mathcal{O}(α_s,\,1/m_b,\,1/m_c^2)$, both with and without the use of experimental data. This becomes possible due to a recent calculation of these form factors at and beyond the maximal physical recoil using QCD light-cone sum rules, in combination with constraints from lattice QCD, QCD three-point sum rules and unitarity. We find good agreement amongst the various theoretical results, as well as between the theoretical results and the kinematical distributions in $\bar{B}\to D^{(*)}\lbrace e^-,μ^-\rbrace\barν$ measurements. The coefficients entering at the $1/m_c^2$ level are found to be of $\mathcal{O}(1)$, indicating convergence of the HQE. The phenomenological implications of our study include an updated exclusive determination of $|V_{cb}|$ in the HQE, which is compatible with both the exclusive determination using the BGL parametrization and with the inclusive determination. We also revisit predictions for the lepton-flavour universality ratios $R_{D^{(*)}}$, the $τ$ polarization observables $P_τ^{D^{(*)}}$, and the longitudinal polarization fraction $F_L$. Posterior samples for the HQE parameters are provided as ancillary files, allowing for their use in subsequent studies.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2019

The $V_{cb}$ puzzle: an update

We discuss the impact of the recent untagged analysis of ${B}^0\rightarrow D^{*}l\barν_l$ decays by the Belle Collaboration on the extraction of the CKM element $|V_{cb}|$ and provide updated SM predictions for the $b\to cτν$ observables $R(D^*)$, $P_τ$, and $F_L^{D^*}$. The value of $|V_{cb}|$ that we find is about $2σ$ from the one from inclusive semileptonic $B$ decays, and is very sensitive to the slope of the form factor at zero recoil which should soon become available from lattice calculations.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2018

Constraining new physics in $b\to c\ellν$ transitions

$B$ decays proceeding via $b\to c\ellν$ transitions with $\ell=e$ or $μ$ are tree-level processes in the Standard Model. They are used to measure the CKM element $V_{cb}$, as such forming an important ingredient in the determination of e.g. the unitarity triangle; hence the question to which extent they can be affected by new physics contributions is important, specifically given the long-standing tension between $V_{cb}$ determinations from inclusive and exclusive decays and the significant hints for lepton flavour universality violation in $b\to cτν$ and $b\to s\ell\ell$ decays. We perform a comprehensive model-independent analysis of new physics in $b\to c\ellν$, considering all combinations of scalar, vector and tensor interactions occuring in single-mediator scenarios. We include for the first time differential distributions of $B\to D^*\ellν$ angular observables for this purpose. We show that these are valuable in constraining non-standard interactions. Specifically, the zero-recoil endpoint of the $B\to D\ellν$ spectrum is extremely sensitive to scalar currents, while the maximum-recoil endpoint of the $B\to D^*\ellν$ spectrum with transversely polarized $D^*$ is extremely sensitive to tensor currents. We also quantify the room for $e$-$μ$ universality violation in $b\to c\ellν$ transitions, predicted by some models suggested to solve the $b\to cτν$ anomalies, from a global fit to $B\to D\ellν$ and $B\to D^*\ellν$ for the first time. Specific new physics models, corresponding to all possible tree-level mediators, are also discussed. As a side effect, we present $V_{cb}$ determinations from exclusive $B$ decays, both with frequentist and Bayesian statistics, leading to compatible results. The entire numerical analysis is based on open source code, allowing it to be easily adapted once new data or new form factors become available.

hep-ph↗