arXiv subjects

Martin Kathrein

Publications and source records attributed to Martin Kathrein.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2025

Data-driven inverse uncertainty quantification: application to the Chemical Vapor Deposition Reactor Modeling

This study presents a Bayesian framework for (inverse) uncertainty quantification and parameter estimation in a two-step Chemical Vapor Deposition coating process using production data. We develop an XGBoost surrogate model that maps reactor setup parameters to coating thickness measurements, enabling efficient Bayesian analysis while reducing sampling costs. The methodology handles a mixture of data including continuous, discrete integer, binary, and encoded categorical variables. We establish parameter prior distributions through Bayesian Model Selection and perform Inverse Uncertainty Quantification via weighted Approximate Bayesian Computation with summary statistics, providing robust parameter credible intervals while filtering measurement noise across multiple reactor locations. Furthermore, we employ clustering methods guided by geometry embeddings to focus analysis within homogeneous production groups. This integrated approach provides a validated tool for improving industrial process control under uncertainty.

stat.OT↗

arXiv2025

Implementing NLPs in industrial process modeling: Addressing Categorical Variables

Important variables of processes are often categorical, i.e. names or labels representing, e.g. categories of inputs, or types of reactors or a sequence of steps. In this work, we use Natural Language Processing Models to derive embeddings of such inputs that represent their actual meaning, or reflect the "distances" between categories, i.e. how similar or dissimilar they are. This is a marked difference from the current standard practice of using binary, or one-hot encoding to replace categorical variables with sequences of ones and zeros. Combined with dimensionality reduction techniques, either linear such as Principal Component Analysis, or nonlinear such as Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection, the proposed approach leads to a meaningful, low-dimensional feature space. The significance of obtaining meaningful embeddings is illustrated in the context of an industrial coating process for cutting tools that includes both numerical and categorical inputs. In this industrial process, subject matter expertise suggests that the categorical inputs are critical for determining the final outcome but this cannot be taken into account with the current state-of-the-art. The proposed approach enables feature importance which is a marked improvement compared to the current state-of-the-art in the encoding of categorical variables. The proposed approach is not limited to the case-study presented here and is suitable for applications with similar mix of categorical and numerical critical inputs.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Discovering deposition process regimes: leveraging unsupervised learning for process insights, surrogate modeling, and sensitivity analysis

This work introduces a comprehensive approach utilizing data-driven methods to elucidate the deposition process regimes in Chemical Vapor Deposition (CVD) reactors and the interplay of physical mechanism that dominate in each one of them. Through this work, we address three key objectives. Firstly, our methodology relies on process outcomes, derived by a detailed CFD model, to identify clusters of "outcomes" corresponding to distinct process regimes, wherein the relative influence of input variables undergoes notable shifts. This phenomenon is experimentally validated through Arrhenius plot analysis, affirming the efficacy of our approach. Secondly, we demonstrate the development of an efficient surrogate model, based on Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE), that maintains accuracy, facilitating streamlined computational analyses. Finally, as a result of PCE, sensitivity analysis is made possible by means of Sobol' indices, that quantify the impact of process inputs across identified regimes. The insights gained from our analysis contribute to the formulation of hypotheses regarding phenomena occurring beyond the transition regime. Notably, the significance of temperature even in the diffusion-limited regime, as evidenced by the Arrhenius plot, suggests activation of gas phase reactions at elevated temperatures. Importantly, our proposed methods yield insights that align with experimental observations and theoretical principles, aiding decision-making in process design and optimization. By circumventing the need for costly and time-consuming experiments, our approach offers a pragmatic pathway towards enhanced process efficiency. Moreover, this study underscores the potential of data-driven computational methods for innovating reactor design paradigms.

physics.chem-ph↗

arXiv2024

Integrating supervised and unsupervised learning approaches to unveil critical process inputs

This study introduces a machine learning framework tailored to large-scale industrial processes characterized by a plethora of numerical and categorical inputs. The framework aims to (i) discern critical parameters influencing the output and (ii) generate accurate out-of-sample qualitative and quantitative predictions of production outcomes. Specifically, we address the pivotal question of the significance of each input in shaping the process outcome, using an industrial Chemical Vapor Deposition (CVD) process as an example. The initial objective involves merging subject matter expertise and clustering techniques exclusively on the process output, here, coating thickness measurements at various positions in the reactor. This approach identifies groups of production runs that share similar qualitative characteristics, such as film mean thickness and standard deviation. In particular, the differences of the outcomes represented by the different clusters can be attributed to differences in specific inputs, indicating that these inputs are critical for the production outcome. Leveraging this insight, we subsequently implement supervised classification and regression methods using the identified critical process inputs. The proposed methodology proves to be valuable in scenarios with a multitude of inputs and insufficient data for the direct application of deep learning techniques, providing meaningful insights into the underlying processes.

cs.LG↗