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Martin Menten

Publications and source records attributed to Martin Menten.

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It depends: Incorporating correlations for joint aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties of high-dimensional output spaces

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) plays a vital role in enhancing the reliability of deep learning model predictions, especially in scenarios with high-dimensional output spaces. This paper addresses the dual nature of uncertainty -- aleatoric and epistemic -- focusing on their joint integration in high-dimensional regression tasks. For example, in applications like medical image segmentation or restoration, aleatoric uncertainty captures inherent data noise, while epistemic uncertainty quantifies the model's confidence in unfamiliar conditions. Modeling both jointly enables more reliable predictions by reflecting both unavoidable variability and knowledge gaps, whereas modeling only one limits transparency and robustness. We propose a novel approach that approximates the resulting joint uncertainty using a low-rank plus diagonal covariance structure, capturing essential output correlations while avoiding the computational burdens of full covariance matrices. Unlike prior work, our method explicitly combines aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties into a unified second-order distribution that supports robust downstream analyses like sampling and log-likelihood evaluation. We further introduce stabilization strategies for efficient training and inference, achieving superior UQ in the tasks of image inpainting, colorization, optical flow, and depth estimation.

cs.LG

On Arbitrary Predictions from Equally Valid Models

Model multiplicity refers to the existence of multiple machine learning models that describe the data equally well but may produce different predictions on individual samples. In medicine, these models can admit conflicting predictions for the same patient -- a risk that is poorly understood and insufficiently addressed. In this study, we empirically analyze the extent, drivers, and ramifications of predictive multiplicity across diverse medical tasks and model architectures, and show that even small ensembles can mitigate/eliminate predictive multiplicity in practice. Our analysis reveals that (1) standard validation metrics fail to identify a uniquely optimal model and (2) a substantial amount of predictions hinges on arbitrary choices made during model development. Using multiple models instead of a single model reveals instances where predictions differ across equally plausible models -- highlighting patients that would receive arbitrary diagnoses if any single model were used. In contrast, (3) a small ensemble paired with an abstention strategy can effectively mitigate measurable predictive multiplicity in practice; predictions with high inter-model consensus may thus be amenable to automated classification. While accuracy is not a principled antidote to predictive multiplicity, we find that (4) higher accuracy achieved through increased model capacity reduces predictive multiplicity. Our findings underscore the clinical importance of accounting for model multiplicity and advocate for ensemble-based strategies to improve diagnostic reliability. In cases where models fail to reach sufficient consensus, we recommend deferring decisions to expert review.

cs.LG

Redefining spectral unmixing for in-vivo brain tissue analysis from hyperspectral imaging

In this paper, we propose a methodology for extracting molecular tumor biomarkers from hyperspectral imaging (HSI), an emerging technology for intraoperative tissue assessment. To achieve this, we employ spectral unmixing, allowing to decompose the spectral signals recorded by the HSI camera into their constituent molecular components. Traditional unmixing approaches are based on physical models that establish a relationship between tissue molecules and the recorded spectra. However, these methods commonly assume a linear relationship between the spectra and molecular content, which does not capture the whole complexity of light-matter interaction. To address this limitation, we introduce a novel unmixing procedure that allows to take into account non-linear optical effects while preserving the computational benefits of linear spectral unmixing. We validate our methodology on an in-vivo brain tissue HSI dataset and demonstrate that the extracted molecular information leads to superior classification performance.

physics.med-ph

Pitfalls of topology-aware image segmentation

Topological correctness, i.e., the preservation of structural integrity and specific characteristics of shape, is a fundamental requirement for medical imaging tasks, such as neuron or vessel segmentation. Despite the recent surge in topology-aware methods addressing this challenge, their real-world applicability is hindered by flawed benchmarking practices. In this paper, we identify critical pitfalls in model evaluation that include inadequate connectivity choices, overlooked topological artifacts in ground truth annotations, and inappropriate use of evaluation metrics. Through detailed empirical analysis, we uncover these issues' profound impact on the evaluation and ranking of segmentation methods. Drawing from our findings, we propose a set of actionable recommendations to establish fair and robust evaluation standards for topology-aware medical image segmentation methods.

cs.CV

Interpretable deformable image registration: A geometric deep learning perspective

Deformable image registration poses a challenging problem where, unlike most deep learning tasks, a complex relationship between multiple coordinate systems has to be considered. Although data-driven methods have shown promising capabilities to model complex non-linear transformations, existing works employ standard deep learning architectures assuming they are general black-box solvers. We argue that understanding how learned operations perform pattern-matching between the features in the source and target domains is the key to building robust, data-efficient, and interpretable architectures. We present a theoretical foundation for designing an interpretable registration framework: separated feature extraction and deformation modeling, dynamic receptive fields, and a data-driven deformation functions awareness of the relationship between both spatial domains. Based on this foundation, we formulate an end-to-end process that refines transformations in a coarse-to-fine fashion. Our architecture employs spatially continuous deformation modeling functions that use geometric deep-learning principles, therefore avoiding the problematic approach of resampling to a regular grid between successive refinements of the transformation. We perform a qualitative investigation to highlight interesting interpretability properties of our architecture. We conclude by showing significant improvement in performance metrics over state-of-the-art approaches for both mono- and multi-modal inter-subject brain registration, as well as the challenging task of longitudinal retinal intra-subject registration. We make our code publicly available

cs.CV

Learn-Morph-Infer: a new way of solving the inverse problem for brain tumor modeling

Current treatment planning of patients diagnosed with a brain tumor, such as glioma, could significantly benefit by accessing the spatial distribution of tumor cell concentration. Existing diagnostic modalities, e.g. magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), contrast sufficiently well areas of high cell density. In gliomas, however, they do not portray areas of low cell concentration, which can often serve as a source for the secondary appearance of the tumor after treatment. To estimate tumor cell densities beyond the visible boundaries of the lesion, numerical simulations of tumor growth could complement imaging information by providing estimates of full spatial distributions of tumor cells. Over recent years a corpus of literature on medical image-based tumor modeling was published. It includes different mathematical formalisms describing the forward tumor growth model. Alongside, various parametric inference schemes were developed to perform an efficient tumor model personalization, i.e. solving the inverse problem. However, the unifying drawback of all existing approaches is the time complexity of the model personalization which prohibits a potential integration of the modeling into clinical settings. In this work, we introduce a deep learning based methodology for inferring the patient-specific spatial distribution of brain tumors from T1Gd and FLAIR MRI medical scans. Coined as Learn-Morph-Infer the method achieves real-time performance in the order of minutes on widely available hardware and the compute time is stable across tumor models of different complexity, such as reaction-diffusion and reaction-advection-diffusion models. We believe the proposed inverse solution approach not only bridges the way for clinical translation of brain tumor personalization but can also be adopted to other scientific and engineering domains.

physics.med-ph