arXiv subjects

Martin Raubal

Publications and source records attributed to Martin Raubal.

24 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2022

Vision Paper: Causal Inference for Interpretable and Robust Machine Learning in Mobility Analysis

Artificial intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing many areas of our lives, leading a new era of technological advancement. Particularly, the transportation sector would benefit from the progress in AI and advance the development of intelligent transportation systems. Building intelligent transportation systems requires an intricate combination of artificial intelligence and mobility analysis. The past few years have seen rapid development in transportation applications using advanced deep neural networks. However, such deep neural networks are difficult to interpret and lack robustness, which slows the deployment of these AI-powered algorithms in practice. To improve their usability, increasing research efforts have been devoted to developing interpretable and robust machine learning methods, among which the causal inference approach recently gained traction as it provides interpretable and actionable information. Moreover, most of these methods are developed for image or sequential data which do not satisfy specific requirements of mobility data analysis. This vision paper emphasizes research challenges in deep learning-based mobility analysis that require interpretability and robustness, summarizes recent developments in using causal inference for improving the interpretability and robustness of machine learning methods, and highlights opportunities in developing causally-enabled machine learning models tailored for mobility analysis. This research direction will make AI in the transportation sector more interpretable and reliable, thus contributing to safer, more efficient, and more sustainable future transportation systems.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

National-scale bi-directional EV fleet control for ancillary service provision

Deploying real-time control on large-scale fleets of electric vehicles (EVs) is becoming pivotal as the share of EVs over internal combustion engine vehicles increases. In this paper, we present a Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) algorithm to simultaneously schedule thousands of EVs charging and discharging operations, that can be used to provide ancillary services. To achieve scalability, the monolithic problem is decomposed using the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM). Furthermore, we propose a method to handle bilinear constraints of the original problem inside the ADMM iterations, which changes the problem class from Mixed-Integer Quadratic Program (MIQP) to Quadratic Program (QP), allowing for a substantial computational speed up. We test the algorithm using real data from the largest carsharing company in Switzerland and show how our formulation can be used to retrieve flexibility boundaries for the EV fleet. Our work thus enables fleet operators to make informed bids on ancillary services provision, thereby facilitating the integration of electric vehicles.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2022

Trackintel: An open-source Python library for human mobility analysis

Over the past decade, scientific studies have used the growing availability of large tracking datasets to enhance our understanding of human mobility behavior. However, so far data processing pipelines for the varying data collection methods are not standardized and consequently limit the reproducibility, comparability, and transferability of methods and results in quantitative human mobility analysis. This paper presents Trackintel, an open-source Python library for human mobility analysis. Trackintel is built on a standard data model for human mobility used in transport planning that is compatible with different types of tracking data. We introduce the main functionalities of the library that covers the full life-cycle of human mobility analysis, including processing steps according to the conceptual data model, read and write interfaces, as well as analysis functions (e.g., data quality assessment, travel mode prediction, and location labeling). We showcase the effectiveness of the Trackintel library through a case study with four different tracking datasets. Trackintel can serve as an essential tool to standardize mobility data analysis and increase the transparency and comparability of novel research on human mobility.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2022

Traffic4cast at NeurIPS 2021 -- Temporal and Spatial Few-Shot Transfer Learning in Gridded Geo-Spatial Processes

The IARAI Traffic4cast competitions at NeurIPS 2019 and 2020 showed that neural networks can successfully predict future traffic conditions 1 hour into the future on simply aggregated GPS probe data in time and space bins. We thus reinterpreted the challenge of forecasting traffic conditions as a movie completion task. U-Nets proved to be the winning architecture, demonstrating an ability to extract relevant features in this complex real-world geo-spatial process. Building on the previous competitions, Traffic4cast 2021 now focuses on the question of model robustness and generalizability across time and space. Moving from one city to an entirely different city, or moving from pre-COVID times to times after COVID hit the world thus introduces a clear domain shift. We thus, for the first time, release data featuring such domain shifts. The competition now covers ten cities over 2 years, providing data compiled from over 10^12 GPS probe data. Winning solutions captured traffic dynamics sufficiently well to even cope with these complex domain shifts. Surprisingly, this seemed to require only the previous 1h traffic dynamic history and static road graph as input.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Applications of deep learning in traffic congestion detection, prediction and alleviation: A survey

Detecting, predicting, and alleviating traffic congestion are targeted at improving the level of service of the transportation network. With increasing access to larger datasets of higher resolution, the relevance of deep learning for such tasks is increasing. Several comprehensive survey papers in recent years have summarised the deep learning applications in the transportation domain. However, the system dynamics of the transportation network vary greatly between the non-congested state and the congested state -- thereby necessitating the need for a clear understanding of the challenges specific to congestion prediction. In this survey, we present the current state of deep learning applications in the tasks related to detection, prediction, and alleviation of congestion. Recurring and non-recurring congestion are discussed separately. Our survey leads us to uncover inherent challenges and gaps in the current state of research. Finally, we present some suggestions for future research directions as answers to the identified challenges.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Traffic Forecasting on Traffic Moving Snippets

Advances in traffic forecasting technology can greatly impact urban mobility. In the traffic4cast competition, the task of short-term traffic prediction is tackled in unprecedented detail, with traffic volume and speed information available at 5 minute intervals and high spatial resolution. To improve generalization to unknown cities, as required in the 2021 extended challenge, we propose to predict small quadratic city sections, rather than processing a full-city-raster at once. At test time, breaking down the test data into spatially-cropped overlapping snippets improves stability and robustness of the final predictions, since multiple patches covering one cell can be processed independently. With the performance on the traffic4cast test data and further experiments on a validation set it is shown that patch-wise prediction indeed improves accuracy. Further advantages can be gained with a Unet++ architecture and with an increasing number of patches per sample processed at test time. We conclude that our snippet-based method, combined with other successful network architectures proposed in the competition, can leverage performance, in particular on unseen cities. All source code is available at https://github.com/NinaWie/NeurIPS2021-traffic4cast.

cs.CV↗