arXiv subjects

Martin Wolfgang Winkler

Publications and source records attributed to Martin Wolfgang Winkler.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2024

Cosmic-Ray Propagation Models Elucidate the Prospects for Antinuclei Detection

Tentative observations of cosmic-ray antihelium by the AMS-02 collaboration have re-energized the quest to use antinuclei to search for physics beyond the standard model. However, our transition to a data-driven era requires more accurate models of the expected astrophysical antinuclei fluxes. We use a state-of-the-art cosmic-ray propagation model, fit to high-precision antiproton and cosmic-ray nuclei (B, Be, Li) data, to constrain the antinuclei flux from both astrophysical and dark matter annihilation models. We show that astrophysical sources are capable of producing $\mathcal{O}(1)$ antideuteron events and $\mathcal{O}(0.1)$ antihelium-3 events over 15~years of AMS-02 observations. Standard dark matter models could potentially produce higher levels of these antinuclei, but showing a different energy-dependence. Given the uncertainties in these models, dark matter annihilation is still the most promising candidate to explain preliminary AMS-02 results. Meanwhile, any robust detection of antihelium-4 events would require more novel dark matter model building or a new astrophisical production mechanism.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

Antiproton Bounds on Dark Matter Annihilation from a Combined Analysis Using the DRAGON2 Code

Early studies of the AMS-02 antiproton ratio identified a possible excess over the expected astrophysical background that could be fit by the annihilation of a weakly interacting massive particle (WIMP). However, recent efforts have shown that uncertainties in cosmic-ray propagation, the antiproton production cross-section, and correlated systematic uncertainties in the AMS-02 data, may combine to decrease or eliminate the significance of this feature. We produce an advanced analysis using the DRAGON2 code which, for the first time, simultaneously fits the antiproton ratio along with multiple secondary cosmic-ray flux measurements to constrain astrophysical and nuclear uncertainties. Compared to previous work, our analysis benefits from a combination of: (1) recently released AMS-02 antiproton data, (2) updated nuclear fragmentation cross-section fits, (3) a rigorous Bayesian parameter space scan that constrains cosmic-ray propagation parameters. We find no statistically significant preference for a dark matter signal and set strong constraints on WIMP annihilation to $b\bar{b}$, ruling out annihilation at the thermal cross-section for dark matter masses below $\sim200$~GeV. We do find a positive residual that is consistent with previous work, and can be explained by a $\sim70$~GeV WIMP annihilating below the thermal cross-section. However, our default analysis finds this excess to have a local significance of only 2.8$σ$, which is decreased to 1.8$σ$ when the look-elsewhere effect is taken into account.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

Origin of the Stochastic Gravitational Wave Background: First-Order Phase Transition vs. Black Hole Mergers

The NANOGrav, Parkes and European Pulsar Timing Array (PTA) experiments have collected strong evidence for a stochastic gravitational wave background in the nHz-frequency band. In this work we perform a detailed statistical analysis of the signal in order to elucidate its physical origin. Specifically, we test the standard explanation in terms of supermassive black hole mergers against the prominent alternative explanation in terms of a first-order phase transition. By means of a frequentist hypothesis test we find that the observed gravitational wave spectrum prefers a first-order phase transition at $2-3σ$ significance compared to black hole mergers (depending on the underlying black hole model). This mild preference is linked to the relatively large amplitude of the observed gravitational wave signal (above the typical expectation of black hole models) and to its spectral shape (which slightly favors the phase-transition spectrum over the predominantly single power-law spectrum predicted in black hole models). The best fit to the combined PTA data set is obtained for a phase transition which dominantly produces the gravitational wave signal by bubble collisions (rather than by sound waves). The best-fit (energy-density) spectrum features, within the frequency band of the PTA experiments, a crossover from a steeply rising power law (causality tail) to a softly rising power law; the peak frequency then falls slightly above the PTA-measured range. Such a spectrum can be obtained for a strong first-order phase transition in the thick-wall regime of vacuum tunneling which reheats the Universe to a temperature of $T_*\sim \text{GeV}$. A dark sector phase transition at the GeV-scale provides a comparably good fit.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2023

The Gravitational Wave Spectrum of Chain Inflation

Chain inflation is an alternative to slow-roll inflation in which the inflaton tunnels along a large number of consecutive minima in its potential. In this work we perform the first comprehensive calculation of the gravitational wave spectrum of chain inflation. In contrast to slow-roll inflation the latter does not stem from quantum fluctuations of the gravitational field during inflation, but rather from the bubble collisions during the first-order phase transitions associated with vacuum tunneling. Our calculation is performed within an effective theory of chain inflation which builds on an expansion of the tunneling rate capturing most of the available model space. The effective theory can be seen as chain inflation's analogue of the slow-roll expansion in rolling models of inflation. We show that chain inflation produces a very characteristic double-peak spectrum: a faint high-frequency peak associated with the gravitational radiation emitted during inflation, and a strong low-frequency peak associated with the graceful exit from chain inflation (marking the transition to the radiation-dominated epoch). There exist very exciting prospects to test the gravitational wave signal from chain inflation at the aLIGO-aVIRGO-KAGRA network, at LISA and /or at pulsar timing array experiments. A particularly intriguing possibility we point out is that chain inflation could be the source of the stochastic gravitational wave background recently detected by NANOGrav, PPTA, EPTA and CPTA. We also show that the gravitational wave signal of chain inflation is often accompanied by running/ higher running of the scalar spectral index to be tested at future Cosmic Microwave Background experiments.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2023

Dark Matter and Gravity Waves from a Dark Big Bang

The Hot Big Bang is often considered as the origin of all matter and radiation in the Universe. Primordial nucleosynthesis (BBN) provides strong evidence that the early Universe contained a hot plasma of photons and baryons with a temperature $T>\text{MeV}$. However, the earliest probes of dark matter originate from much later times around the epoch of structure formation. In this work we describe a scenario in which dark matter (and possibly dark radiation) can be formed around or even after BBN in a second Big Bang which we dub the ``Dark Big Bang''. The latter occurs through a phase transition in the dark sector which transforms dark vacuum energy into a hot dark plasma of particles; in this paper we focus on a first-order phase transition for the Dark Big Bang. The correct dark matter abundance can be set by dark matter cannibalism or by pair-annihilation within the dark sector followed by a thermal freeze-out. Alternatively ultra-heavy ``dark-zilla'' dark matter can originate directly from bubble collisions during the Dark Big Bang. We will show that the Dark Big Bang is consistent with constraints from structure formation and the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) if it occurred when the Universe was less than one month old, corresponding to a temperature in the visible sector above $\mathcal{O}$(keV). While the dark matter evades direct and indirect detection, the Dark Big Bang gives rise to striking gravity wave signatures to be tested at pulsar timing array experiments. Furthermore, the Dark Big Bang allows for realizations of self-interacting and/or warm dark matter which suggest exciting discovery potential in future small-scale structure observations.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Cosmic Ray Antihelium from a Strongly Coupled Dark Sector

Standard Model extensions with a strongly coupled dark sector can induce high-multiplicity states of soft quarks. Such final states trigger extremely efficient antinucleus formation. We show that dark matter annihilation or decay into a strongly coupled sector can dramatically enhance the cosmic-ray antinuclei flux -- by six orders of magnitude in the case of ${^4\overline{\text{He}}}$. In this work, we argue that the tentative ${^3\overline{\text{He}}}$ and ${^4\overline{\text{He}}}$ events reported by the AMS-02 collaboration could be the first sign of a strongly coupled dark sector observed in nature.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2022

Have Pulsar Timing Arrays detected the Hot Big Bang? Gravitational Waves from Strong First Order Phase Transitions in the Early Universe

The origins of matter and radiation in the universe lie in a Hot Big Bang. We present a number of well-motivated cosmologies in which the Big Bang occurs through a strong first order phase transition -- either at the end of inflation, after a period of kination ("Kination-Induced Big Bang"), or after a second period of vacuum-domination in the early universe ("Supercooled Big Bang"); we also propose a "Dark Big Bang" where only the dark matter in the Universe is created in a first-order phase transition much after inflation. In all of these scenarios, the resulting gravitational radiation can explain the tentative signals reported by the NANOGrav, Parkes and European Pulsar Timing Array experiments if the reheating temperature of the Hot Big Bang, and correspondingly the energy scale of the false vacuum, falls in the range $T_* \sim ρ_{\rm vac}^{1/4} $= MeV--100 GeV. All the same models at higher reheating temperatures will be of interest to upcoming ground- and space-based interferometer searches for gravitational waves at larger frequency.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

Natural Chain Inflation

In Chain Inflation the universe tunnels along a series of false vacua of ever-decreasing energy. The main goal of this paper is to embed Chain Inflation in high energy fundamental physics. We begin by illustrating a simple effective formalism for calculating Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) observables in Chain Inflation. Density perturbations seeding the anisotropies emerge from the probabilistic nature of tunneling (rather than from quantum fluctuations of the inflation). To obtain the correct normalization of the scalar power spectrum and the scalar spectral index, we find an upper limit on the scale of inflation at horizon crossing of CMB scales, $V_*^{1/4}< 10^{12}$~GeV. We then provide an explicit realization of chain inflation, in which the inflaton is identified with an axion in supergravity. The axion enjoys a perturbative shift symmetry which is broken to a discrete remnant by instantons. The model, which we dub `natural chain inflation' satisfies all cosmological constraints and can be embedded into a standard $Λ$CDM cosmology. Our work provides a major step towards the ultraviolet completion of chain inflation in string theory.

hep-th↗

arXiv2021

Revisiting the AMS-02 antiproton excess: The role of correlated errors

Cosmic-ray antiprotons are a remarkable diagnostic tool for the study of astroparticle physics' processes in our Galaxy. While the bulk of measured antiprotons is consistent with a secondary origin, several studies have found evidence for a subdominant primary component in the AMS-02 data. In this proceedings article, we revisit the excess considering systematic errors that could affect the signal. Of particular importance are unknown correlations in the AMS-02 systematic errors, the dominant of which are associated with the cross sections for cosmic-ray absorption in the detector. We compute their correlations in a careful reevaluation of nuclear scattering data, utilizing the Glauber-Gribov theory to introduce a welcomed redundancy that we explore in a global fit. The inclusion of correlated errors has a dramatic effect on the significance of the signal. In particular, the analysis becomes more sensitive to the diffusion model at low rigidities. For a minimal extension beyond single-power-law diffusion, the global significance drops below 1$σ$ severely questioning the robustness of the finding.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2021

Response to Comment on "Dark Matter Annihilation Can Produce a Detectable Antihelium Flux through $\barΛ_b$ Decays"

In a recent paper we showed that the decay of intermediate $\barΛ_b$ baryons can dramatically enhance the antihelium flux from dark matter annihilation. Our antihelium predictions were derived using several implementations of the Pythia and Herwig event generators which were calibrated to existing data on antideuteron and antihelium formation. Kachelriess et al. have argued for a smaller antihelium flux compared to our most optimistic Monte Carlo model. However, we show that the arguments by Kachelriess et al. are either incorrect or irrelevant for antihelium formation. Thus, the results of our original paper remain unchanged.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2021

Chain Early Dark Energy: Solving the Hubble Tension and Explaining Today's Dark Energy

We propose a new model of Early Dark Energy (EDE) as a solution to the Hubble tension in cosmology, the apparent discrepancy between local measurements of the Hubble constant $H_0\simeq 74$ km s$^{-1}$ Mpc$^{-1}$ and $H_0\simeq 67$ km s$^{-1}$ Mpc$^{-1}$ inferred from the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB). In Chain EDE, the Universe undergoes a series of first order phase transitions, starting at a high energy vacuum in a potential, and tunneling down through a chain of every lower energy metastable minima. As in all EDE models, the contribution of the vacuum energy to the total energy density of the universe is initially negligible, but reaches $\sim 10\%$ around matter-radiation equality, before cosmological data require it to redshift away quickly -- at least as fast as radiation. We indeed obtain this required behavior with a series of $N$ tunneling events, and show that for $N>600$ the phase transitions are rapid enough to allow fast percolation and thereby avoid large scale anisotropies in the CMB. We construct a specific example of Chain EDE featuring a scalar field in a quasiperiodic potential (a tilted cosine), which is ubiquitous in axion physics and, therefore, carries strong theoretical motivation. Interestingly, the energy difference between vacua can be roughly the size of today's Dark Energy (meV scale). Therefore, the end result of Chain EDE could provide a natural explanation of Dark Energy, if the tunneling becomes extremely slow in the final step before the field reaches zero (or negative) energy. We discuss a simple mechanism which can stop the scalar field in the desired minimum. Thus Chain EDE offers the exciting prospect to explain EDE and Dark Energy by the same scalar field.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

Multimessenger constraints on the dark matter interpretation of the Fermi-LAT Galactic center excess

An excess of $γ$ rays in the data measured by the Fermi Large Area Telescope in the direction of the Galactic center has been reported in several publications. This excess, labeled as the Galactic center excess (GCE), is detected analyzing the data with different interstellar emission models, point source catalogs and analysis techniques. The characteristics of the GCE, recently measured with unprecedented precision, are all compatible with dark matter particles (DM) annihilating in the main halo of our Galaxy, even if other interpretations are still not excluded. We investigate the DM candidates that fit the observed GCE spectrum and spatial morphology. We assume a simple scenario with DM annihilating into a single channel but we inspect also more complicated models with two and three channels. We perform a search for a $γ$-ray flux from a list of 48 Milky Way dwarf spheroidal galaxies (dSphs) using state-of-the-art estimation of the DM density in these objects. Since we do not find any significant signal from the dSphs, we put upper limits on the annihilation cross section that result to be compatible with the DM candidate that fits the GCE. However, we find that the GCE DM signal is excluded by the AMS-02 $\bar{p}$ flux data for all hadronic and semi-hadronic annihilation channels unless the vertical size of the diffusion halo is smaller than 2 kpc -- which is in tension with radioactive cosmic ray fluxes and radio data. Furthermore, AMS-02 $e^+$ data rule out pure or mixed channels with a component of $e^+ e^-$. The only DM candidate that fits the GCE spectrum and is compatible with constraints obtained with the combined dSphs analysis and the AMS-02 $\bar{p}$ and $e^+$ data annihilates purely into $μ^+μ^-$, has a mass of 60 GeV and roughly a thermal cross section.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2020

The Power Spectrum of Density Perturbations in Chain Inflation

Chain Inflation is an alternative to slow roll inflation in which the universe undergoes a series of transitions between different vacua. The density perturbations (studied in this paper) are seeded by the probabilistic nature of tunneling rather than quantum fluctuations of the inflaton. We find the scalar power spectrum of chain inflation and show that it is fully consistent with a $Λ$CDM cosmology. In agreement with some of the previous literature (and disagreement with others), we show that $10^4$ phase transitions per e-fold are required in order to agree with the amplitude of Cosmic Microwave Background anisotropies within the observed range of scales. Interestingly, the amplitude of perturbations constrains chain inflation to a regime of highly unstable de Sitter spaces, which may be favorable from a quantum gravity perspective since the Swampland Conjecture on Trans-Planckian Censorship is automatically satisfied. We provide new analytic estimates for the bounce action and the tunneling rate in periodic potentials which replace the thin-wall approximation in the regime of fast tunneling. Finally, we study model implications and derive an upper limit of $\sim 10^{10}$ GeV on the axion decay constant in viable chain inflation with axions.

hep-th↗

arXiv2020

Dark matter or correlated errors: Systematics of the AMS-02 antiproton excess

Several studies have pointed out an excess in the AMS-02 antiproton spectrum at rigidities of 10-20 GV. Its spectral properties were found to be consistent with a dark-matter particle of mass 50-100 GeV which annihilates hadronically at roughly the thermal rate. In this work, we reinvestigate the antiproton excess including all relevant sources of systematic errors. Most importantly, we perform a realistic estimate of the correlations in the AMS-02 systematic error which could potentially "fake" a dark-matter signal. The dominant systematics in the relevant rigidity range originate from uncertainties in the cross sections for absorption of cosmic rays within the detector material. For the first time, we calculate their correlations within the full Glauber-Gribov theory of inelastic scattering. The AMS-02 correlations enter our spectral search for dark matter in the form of covariance matrices which we make publicly available for the cosmic-ray community. We find that the global significance of the antiproton excess is reduced to below 1 $σ$ once all systematics, including the derived AMS-02 error correlations, are taken into account. No significant preference for a dark-matter signal in the AMS-02 antiproton data is found in the mass range 10-10000 GeV.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2020

Dark Matter Annihilation Can Produce a Detectable Antihelium Flux through $\barΛ_b$ Decays

Recent observations by the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer (AMS-02) have tentatively detected a handful of cosmic-ray antihelium events. Such events have long been considered as smoking-gun evidence for new physics, because astrophysical antihelium production is expected to be negligible. However, the dark-matter-induced antihelium flux is also expected to fall below current sensitivities, particularly in light of existing antiproton constraints. Here, we demonstrate that a previously neglected standard model process -- the production of antihelium through the displaced-vertex decay of $\barΛ_b$-baryons -- can significantly boost the dark matter induced antihelium flux. This process can triple the standard prompt-production of antihelium, and more importantly, entirely dominate the production of the high-energy antihelium nuclei reported by AMS-02.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2020

Dirac Materials for Sub-MeV Dark Matter Detection: New Targets and Improved Formalism

Because of their tiny band gaps Dirac materials promise to improve the sensitivity for dark matter particles in the sub-MeV mass range by many orders of magnitude. Here we study several candidate materials and calculate the expected rates for dark matter scattering via light and heavy dark photons as well as for dark photon absorption. A particular emphasis is placed on how to distinguish a dark matter signal from background by searching for the characteristic daily modulation of the signal, which arises from the directional sensitivity of anisotropic materials in combination with the rotation of the Earth. We revisit and improve previous calculations and propose two new candidate Dirac materials: BNQ-TTF and Yb$_3$PbO. We perform detailed calculations of the band structures of these materials and of ZrTe$_5$ based on density functional theory and determine the band gap, the Fermi velocities and the dielectric tensor. We show that in both ZrTe$_5$ and BNQ-TTF the amplitude of the daily modulation can be larger than 10% of the total rate, allowing to probe the preferred regions of parameter space even in the presence of sizeable backgrounds. BNQ-TTF is found to be particularly sensitive to small dark matter masses (below 100 keV for scattering and below 50 meV for absorption), while Yb$_3$PbO performs best for heavier particles.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2019

Probing the Weak Gravity Conjecture in the Cosmic Microwave Background

The weak gravity conjecture imposes severe constraints on natural inflation. A trans-Planckian axion decay constant can only be realized if the potential exhibits an additional (subdominant) modulation with sub-Planckian periodicity. The resulting wiggles in the axion potential generate a characteristic modulation in the scalar power spectrum of inflation which is logarithmic in the angular scale. The compatibility of this modulation is tested against the most recent Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) data by Planck and BICEP/Keck. Intriguingly, we find that the modulation completely resolves the tension of natural inflation with the CMB. A Bayesian model comparison reveals that natural inflation with modulations describes all existing data equally well as the cosmological standard model $Λ$CDM. In addition, the bound of a tensor-to-scalar ratio r > 0.002 correlated with a striking small-scale suppression of the scalar power spectrum occurs. Future CMB experiments could directly probe the modulation through their improved sensitivity to smaller angular scales and possibly the measurement of spectral distortions. They could, thus, verify a key prediction of the weak gravity conjecture and provide dramatic new insights into the theory of quantum gravity.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2019

Baryogenesis from a Modulus Dominated Universe

String/ M-theory compactifications predict the existence of a modulus field with a mass of 100-10000 TeV. Its decay at MeV-temperatures generates large amounts of entropy and washes out any previously produced baryon asymmetry. We describe how the baryon asymmetry can be (re)generated by the modulus decay. The mechanism relates the smallness of the asymmetry to the hierarchy between the Planck- and the Fermi-scale.

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