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Martyna Zdeb

Publications and source records attributed to Martyna Zdeb.

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Modelling and valuation of catastrophe bonds across multiple regions

The insurance-linked securities (ILS) market, as a form of alternative risk transfer, has been at the forefront of innovative risk-transfer solutions. The catastrophe bond (CAT bond) market now represents almost half of the entire ILS market and is growing steadily. Since CAT bonds are often tied to risks in different regions, we follow this idea by constructing different pricing models that incorporate various scenarios of dependence between catastrophe losses in different areas. Namely, we consider independent, proportional, and arbitrary two-dimensional distribution cases. We also derive a normal approximation of the prices. Finally, to include the market price of risk, we apply Wang's transform. We illustrate the differences between the scenarios and the performance of the approximation on the Property Claim Services data.

q-fin.PR

Design and valuation of multi-region CoCoCat bonds

This paper introduces a novel multidimensional insurance-linked instrument: a contingent convertible bond (CoCoCat bond) whose conversion trigger is activated by predefined natural catastrophes across multiple geographical regions. We develop such a model explicitly accounting for the complex dependencies between regional catastrophe losses. Specifically, we explore scenarios ranging from complete independence to proportional loss dependencies, both with fixed and random loss amounts. Utilizing change-of-measure techniques, we derive risk-neutral pricing formulas tailored to these diverse dependence structures. By fitting our model to real-world natural catastrophe data from Property Claim Services, we demonstrate the significant impact of inter-regional dependencies on the CoCoCat bond's pricing, highlighting the importance of multidimensional risk assessment for this innovative financial instrument.

q-fin.PR