arXiv subjects

Masaki Toyoda

Publications and source records attributed to Masaki Toyoda.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

A Likelihood-Ratio Test for Verifying Weak Stochastic Transitivity

This paper proposes and studies a likelihood-ratio test of the null hypothesis that weak stochastic transitivity (WST) does not hold. This is the reverse of the formulation commonly used in the literature, where WST is set as the null hypothesis. We show that, even when the number of items grows with the number of comparisons per pair, the uniform size converges to the nominal level, with the critical value determined by a chi-bar-square distribution. We further establish that the Type II error converges uniformly to zero under a sufficient signal-strength condition. Simulation studies demonstrate good finite-sample Type I error control and show that power increases with the sample size and signal strength.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Sequential Correct Screening and Post-Screening Inference

Selecting the top-$m$ variables with the $m$ largest population parameters from a larger set of candidates is a fundamental problem in statistics. In this paper, we propose a novel methodology called Sequential Correct Screening (SCS), which sequentially screens out variables that are not among the top-$m$. A key feature of our method is its anytime validity; it provides a sequence of variable subsets that, with high probability, always contain the true top-$m$ variables. Furthermore, we develop a post-screening inference (PSI) procedure to construct confidence intervals for the selected parameters. Importantly, this procedure is designed to control the false coverage rate (FCR) whenever it is conducted -- an aspect that has been largely overlooked in the existing literature. We establish theoretical guarantees for both SCS and PSI, and demonstrate their performance through simulation studies and an application to a real-world dataset on suicide rates.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2024

Robust Reproducible Network Exploration

We propose a novel methodology for discovering the presence of relationships realized as binary time series between variables in high dimension. To make it visually intuitive, we regard the existence of a relationship as an edge connection, and call a collection of such edges a network. Our objective is thus rephrased as uncovering the network by selecting relevant edges, referred to as the network exploration. Our methodology is based on multiple testing for the presence or absence of each edge, designed to ensure statistical reproducibility via controlling the false discovery rate (FDR). In particular, we carefully construct $p$-variables, and apply the Benjamini-Hochberg (BH) procedure. We show that the BH with our $p$-variables controls the FDR under arbitrary dependence structure with any sample size and dimension, and has asymptotic power one under mild conditions. The validity is also confirmed by simulations and a real data example.

stat.ME↗