arXiv subjects

Masatoshi Hirabayashi

Publications and source records attributed to Masatoshi Hirabayashi.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Creation of Lunar-Like Rims in Ilmenite using Synthetic Solar Wind

Space weathering of lunar minerals, due to bombardment from solar wind (SW) particles and micrometeoroid impacts, modifies the mineralogy within tens of nanometers of the surface, i.e., the rim. Spectroscopic signatures of these modifications, observed via remote sensing, have long been used to gauge surface exposure times on the Moon. However, the relative contributions of SW and micrometeoroids in the creation of rim features are still debated, particularly for the nanometer-scale clusters known as nanophase iron (npFe0), which commonly form in ferrous minerals. We address this issue in the laboratory, using deuterium ions and low-energy electrons as a synthetic solar wind plasma to irradiate ilmenite (FeTiO3), a common lunar mineral. Characterization by high-resolution scanning transmission electron microscopy and electron energy-loss spectroscopy shows that the SW alone creates rims with all the main characteristics of lunar samples. We conclusively identify npFe0 and quantify its distribution as a function of depth and fluence, allowing us to estimate the SW exposure of Apollo soil 71501. Our results confirm that small npFe0 particles (<10 nm in diameter) form from SW irradiation. Such experiments provide microscopic details of space weathering, improving the link between surface modification processes and macroscopic remote-sensing data.

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arXiv2026

Degradation mechanisms and efficiency of heavily cratered regions on Ceres

Ceres, the dwarf planet in the main asteroid belt, hosts heavily cratered surfaces where craters are continuously eroded mainly due to impact bombardment with a limited influence by non-impact processes. Over continuous bombardment, such regions experience both crater production and erasure, eventually ceasing the crater population growth. This end-state, known as crater equilibrium, provides key information to constrain the mechanisms of crater degradation. The present study applies a recently extended crater equilibrium model to the crater equilibrium features and constrains the conditions for crater degradation on Ceres. We select eight heavily cratered sites as our test locations across four quadrangles (two sites per quadrangle) and collect crater counts using Dawn Framing Camera imagery. All sites exhibit cumulative size-frequency distributions (CSFD) with slopes slightly shallower than a power law of -2 at diameters below a few kilometers, strongly suggesting that the tested sites are at crater equilibrium. Our results show that the crater equilibrium state on Ceres resembles that on the Moon but is denser. Performing model fitting with crater counting data under negligible ejecta blanketing for crater erasure, we further show that crater degradation per single crater production on Ceres is comparable to or higher than that on the Moon. Combining this finding and the impact flux on Ceres, which is orders of magnitude higher than that on the Moon, suggests that crater degradation is much more elevated on Ceres than on the Moon, despite its denser crater population.

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arXiv2026

Challenge in Arrokoth's single merger to achieve the shape's principal axis configuration

The cold-classical Kuiper Belt Object 486958 Arrokoth is a contact binary composed of two flattened lobes, Weeyo and Wenu, closely aligned along their principal axes, despite each lobe having a highly irregular shape. The object's smooth and relatively undamaged structure suggests the observed bilobate shape results from a gentle, low-velocity merger between the lobes. The existing hypotheses to explain such a merger include orbital energy dissipation from the protosolar nebula gas drag and Lidov-Kozai (LK) oscillations originating from an initially ultra-wide binary. However, what is missing is how mutual dynamics due to the lobes' shape irregularities impact their final orientations at the time of the soft merger. Here, we show that none of the proposed orbital evolution scenarios is sufficient to reproduce the contact along the lobes' longest principal axes. Implementing the full two-body problem method using finite element modeling, we numerically quantify the complex mutual interactions between Weeyo and Wenu, before the soft merger under the reported geophysical constraints and orbital configurations. All simulations demonstrate that the rotational states of both lobes become desynchronized shortly after their close approach, eventually leading to substantial misalignment along their principal axes. We also find that the lobes' mutual gravitational torque, destabilizing their aligned orientations, is several orders of magnitude higher than gas-driven torque, suggesting that gas drag plays a negligible role in stabilizing their orientations. The present study suggests the necessity of an additional process reconfiguring Arrokoth's shape after the merging process, possibly due to the Sky-forming impact.

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arXiv2026

Overview of Hayabusa2 extended mission's flyby of Near-Earth Asteroid (98943) Torifune

The Hayabusa2 extended mission, nicknamed Hayabusa2# (# is pronounced SHARP, which stands for the Small Hazardous Asteroid Reconnaissance Probe), is JAXA's small body explorer to conduct science and engineering investigations in space. After the successful return to the Earth with the samples from the carbonaceous asteroid (162173) Ryugu on December 6, 2020, Hayabusa2 diverted away from Earth to start its decade-long extended mission. The major scope includes engineering demonstration of long-term maintenance strategies for spacecraft and operation systems and scientific investigations during various mission phases. Major scientific investigations include spacecraft-based telescopic observations of exoplanets and zodiacal dust observations during the cruise phase, flyby observations of the near-Earth asteroid (98943) Torifune in July 2026, and rendezvous observations of near-Earth asteroid 1998 KY26 in 2031. This study overviews Hayabusa2#'s flyby and the physical properties of Torifune. Although the flyby operation planning is still ongoing, the mission will attempt to fly by the target at a distance (from the asteroid's center) of ~1-10 km. The flyby speed is planned to be 5.25 km/s, while the encounter location is 0.81 au from the sun. The mission plans to fix the spacecraft's orientation during the flyby, only allowing for a very limited pointing change to attain higher resolution imaging. The mission will attempt to obtain science and engineering returns during the flyby. The planned investigations will offer stronger insights into material transport mechanisms in the inner solar system and a demonstration of planetary defense technologies.

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arXiv2026

Coupled Space Weathering: Nanophase Iron Formation by Micrometeoroid Impact and Solar Wind Sputtering

Understanding the interplay between micrometeoroid impacts and solar wind irradiation is crucial for interpreting lunar surface evolution. Using reactive molecular dynamics simulations and surface binding energy (SBE) analyses, this study investigates the coupled effects of these two dominant space weathering processes on lunar regolith composed of Fe$_2$SiO$_4$. Our simulations reveal that micrometeoroid impacts significantly modify the lunar surface, creating structurally heterogeneous zones with varying SBEs across microcrater morphologies. Specifically, microcrater floors exhibit enhanced surface cohesion due to high-density compaction, whereas microcrater walls and ejecta show weakened structures. Applying Sigmund's sputtering theory with these SBEs indicates differential sputtering yields for Fe, Si, and O suggesting preferential retention of heavier elements like Fe. This selective sputtering mechanism supports the formation and growth of nanophase metallic iron (npFe$^0$) clusters, influencing the optical and compositional maturation of the lunar surface. These findings advance our understanding of lunar space weathering processes.

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arXiv2026

Revealing Exotic Nanophase Iron in Lunar Samples Through Impact-Driven Spatial Fingerprints

Nanophase iron (npFe) plays a crucial role in controlling the optical, chemical, and physical evolution of lunar regolith grains. While in-situ formation of npFe via reduction of native Fe-bearing minerals has long been considered a dominant pathway, recent mineralogical evidence from X.Zeng et al. (2025) reveals that the source of a significant fraction of npFe may be delivered directly by exotic micrometeoroid impacts (exotic npFe). Yet the atomic-scale processes governing how exotic np-Fe forms and survives during hypervelocity impacts remain largely unknown. To quantitatively compare in-situ and exotic delivery and formation of npFe, we perform a series of innovative atomistic modeling of micrometeoroid impacts with distinct projectile target compositions: (1) SiO$_2$ projectiles on Fe$_2$SiO$_4$ targets (in-situ formation), (2) Fe$_2$SiO$_4$ projectiles on SiO$_2$ targets (exotic delivery). Our results reveal distinct mechanistic fingerprints: in-situ np-Fe forms diffusely and radially around the impact site, whereas exotic np-Fe is efficiently retained and concentrated in asymmetric, momentum-aligned clusters. These contrasting spatial signatures provide a potential diagnostic criterion for distinguishing exotic versus in-situ np-Fe in returned lunar soils. In agreement with Chang'e-5 observations, our simulations demonstrate that exotic np-Fe production can be substantial, particularly in Fe-poor terrains such as highland regions. These findings highlight the need to account for exotic np-Fe when interpreting space weathering processes and remote-sensing data for the Moon and other airless bodies.

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arXiv2026

A change of the rotation period of asteroid (65803) Didymos caused by the DART impact

On 26 September 2022, the NASA Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) spacecraft impacted Dimorphos, the secondary component of the binary asteroid (65803)~Didymos. This experiment tested the Kinetic Impactor technology for diverting dangerous asteroids. Due to the impact, the binary system's angular momentum has changed, resulting in a significant change in the orbital period of Dimorphos. Precise values of the pre- and post-impact orbital periods were derived from a large set of photometric light curves measured for the Didymos-Dimorphos system during six apparitions from 2003 to 2023. We used these data to detect a possible change in the rotation period of the primary as a consequence of the impact. We analyzed the binary system's light curves using the binary asteroid light curve decomposition method. We selected parts of the light curves covering orbital phases outside mutual events, which represent the primary rotational light curves. We applied the light curve inversion method to construct a convex shape model of Didymos and determine its rotation period before and after the impact. These two periods were treated as independent free parameters of the modeling. We found a value of 2.2603891 +/- 0.0000002 h for the pre-impact period and 2.260440 +/- 0.000008 h for the post-impact period. Their difference 0.18 +/- 0.03 s is small yet significant, indicating that the rotation of Didymos became slower after the DART impact. The most plausible physical explanation is Didymos's post-impact reshaping, making its shape more oblate.

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arXiv2025

Micrometeoroid Impacts: Dual Pathways for Iron Reduction and Oxidation on Lunar and Asteroidal Surfaces

Nanophase metallic iron ( $\mathrm{npFe}^0$ ) is a key indicator of space weathering on the lunar surface, primarily attributed to solar wind irradiation and micrometeoroid impacts. Recent discoveries of hematite ( $\mathrm{Fe}_2 \mathrm{O}_3$ ), a highly oxidized form of iron, in the lunar polar regions challenge the prevailing understanding of the Moon's reducing environment. This study, using ReaxFF molecular dynamics simulations of micrometeoroid impacts on fayalite ( $\mathrm{Fe}_2 \mathrm{SiO}_4$ ), investigates the atomistic mechanisms leading to both reduced and oxidized iron species. Our simulations reveals that the high-temperature and pressure conditions at the impact crater surface produces a reduced iron environment while providing a transient oxygen-rich environment in the expanding plume. Our findings bridge previously disparate observations-linking impact-driven $\mathrm{npFe}^0$ formation to the puzzling presence of oxidized iron phases on the Moon, completing the observed strong dichotomous distribution of hematite between the nearside and farside of the Moon. These findings highlight that micrometeoroid impacts, by simultaneously generating spatially distinct redox environments, provide a formation mechanism that reconciles the ubiquitous identification of nanophase metallic iron ( $\mathrm{npFe}^0$ ) in returned lunar samples with $\mathrm{Fe}^{3+}$ signatures detected by remote sensing. This underscores the dynamic nature of space weathering processes. For a more nuanced understanding of regolith evolution, we should also consider the presence of different generations or types of $\mathrm{npFe}{ }^0$, such as those formed from solar wind reduction versus impact disproportionation.

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arXiv2025

Prediction of Apophis's deformation-driven rotational evolution during its closest encounter to the Earth in 2029

In 2029, the near-Earth asteroid (99942) Apophis approaches the Earth within six Earth radii. This opportunity is one of the rarest natural experiments that we can use to better characterize a small body through telescopic observations and space missions. Earlier geological investigations consistently suggested that major geological processes might not occur on Apophis during this closest encounter, including surface processing and interior deformation. However, minor resurfacing may occur, depending on local geological conditions. A critical finding is that the rotational evolution occurs due to the tidal effect from the Earth. The present study offers an additional perspective on the rotational evolution, which may vary due to variations in interior properties. Namely, possible deformation processes may change the spin state variation from the rigid body state, even if deformation is not measurable. The effort in this work is to explore this issue using a simplified model, motivated by earlier studies by Hirabayashi (2023) and Taylor et al. (2023). The results show that the deformation-driven spin state change may be possible, depending on Young's modulus. If this asteroid's Young's modulus is ~1 MPa or higher, the spin state only deviates a few degrees from the rigid body state over one year. However, if it is ~10 kPa or less, the spin state deviation may reach a few degrees, even a few days after the closest encounter. Both telescopic observations and space missions can provide strong insights into this phenomenon.

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arXiv2025

High-Speed Boulders and the Debris Field in DART Ejecta

On 26 September 2022 the Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) spacecraft collided with Dimorphos, the moon of the near-Earth asteroid 65803 Didymos, in a full-scale demonstration of a kinetic impactor concept. The companion LICIACube spacecraft documented the aftermath, capturing images of the expansion and evolution of the ejecta from 29 to 243 s after the impact. We present results from our analyses of these observations, including an improved reduction of the data and new absolute calibration, an updated LICIACube trajectory, and a detailed description of the events and phenomena that were recorded throughout the flyby. One notable aspect of the ejecta was the existence of clusters of boulders, up to 3.6 m in radius, that were ejected at speeds up to 52 m/s. Our analysis of the spatial distribution of 104 of these boulders suggests that they are likely the remnants of larger boulders shattered by the DART spacecraft in the first stages of the impact. The amount of momentum contained in these boulders is more than 3 times that of the DART spacecraft, and it is directed primarily to the south, almost perpendicular to the DART trajectory. Recoil of Dimorphos from the ejection of these boulders has the potential to change its orbital plane by up to a degree and to impart a non-principal axis component to its rotation state. Damping timescales for these phenomena are such that the Hera spacecraft, arriving at the system in 2026, should be able to measure these effects.

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arXiv2025

The Dynamical State of the Didymos System Before and After the DART Impact

NASA's Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) spacecraft impacted Dimorphos, the natural satellite of (65803) Didymos, on 2022 September 26, as a first successful test of kinetic impactor technology for deflecting a potentially hazardous object in space. The experiment resulted in a small change to the dynamical state of the Didymos system consistent with expectations and Level 1 mission requirements. In the pre-encounter paper Richardson (2022), predictions were put forward regarding the pre- and post-impact dynamical state of the Didymos system. Here we assess these predictions, update preliminary findings published after the impact, report on new findings related to dynamics, and provide implications for ESA's Hera mission to Didymos, scheduled for launch in 2024 with arrival in late December 2026. Pre-encounter predictions tested to date are largely in line with observations, despite the unexpected, flattened appearance of Didymos compared to the radar model and the apparent pre-impact oblate shape of Dimorphos (with implications for the origin of the system that remain under investigation). New findings include that Dimorphos likely became prolate due to the impact and may have entered a tumbling rotation state. A possible detection of a post-impact transient secular decrease in the binary orbital period suggests possible dynamical coupling with persistent ejecta. Timescales for damping of any tumbling and clearing of any debris are uncertain. The largest uncertainty in the momentum transfer enhancement factor of the DART impact remains the mass of Dimorphos, which will be resolved by the Hera mission.

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arXiv2025

Characterization of of (98943) 2001 CC$_{21}$, the target of Hayabusa2$\#$

The near-Earth asteroid (98943) Torifune, previously designated 2001 CC$_{21}$, is the flyby target of the Hayabusa2 extended mission, nicknamed Hayabusa2$\#$ (SHARP: Small Hazardous Asteroid Reconnaissance Probe). The ground-based telescope observations offer a key science input for the mission's scientific investigation. During 2022 - 2024 this asteroid was at visible apparent magnitudes brighter than 18.5, allowing for a detailed characterization using ground-based telescope observations. We determined its rotation period $P~=~5.021516\pm0.000106$ h and its absolute magnitude H = 18.78 $\pm$ 0.14 and. The large number of lightcurves allows to estimate its axes ratio, its convex shape and its pole orientation $λ= 301^{\circ} \pm 35^{\circ}$, $β= {89^{+1}_{-6}}^{\circ}$ and $ε= 5^{\circ} \pm 3^{\circ}$ which indicate a prograde rotation. We report the semi-axis of the equivalent ellipsoid, $a$ = 0.42$^{+0.08}_{0.06}$ km, $b$ = 0.16$^{+0.05}_{0.04}$ km, and $c$ = $0.17\pm0.03$ km. Consequently, the volume equivalent diameter is $D_{eq}$ = $0.44 \pm 0.06$ km . Using observations conducted simultaneously with four broadband filters, we determined $(g-r) = 0.663 \pm 0.022$ mag, $(r-i) = 0.177 \pm 0.012$ mag, and $(i-z_s) = -0.061 \pm 0.032$ mag. Additionally, we found that Torifune exhibits no detectable large-scale heterogeneity. We classified the object using a high signal-to-noise ratio spectrum (over the visible and near-infrared region) as Sq-type in the Bus-DeMeo taxonomy. We estimate a mineralogy similar to LL/L ordinary chondrites, with an ol/(ol+px) = 0.60, a Fa content of 28.5 mol$\%$, and a Fs content of 23.4 mol$\%$. The spectral data indicate a surface affected by moderate space weathering effects.

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arXiv2024

Diffraction modelling of a 2023 March 5 stellar occultation by subkilometer-sized asteroid (98943) 2001 CC21

We present an analysis of a stellar occultation event caused by a near-Earth asteroid (98943) 2001 CC21, an upcoming flyby target in the Hayabusa2 extended mission, on March 5, 2023. To accurately determine the asteroid's shape from diffraction-affected light curves, we developed a novel data reduction technique named the Diffracted Occultation's United Simulator for Highly Informative Transient Explorations (DOUSHITE). Using DOUSHITE-generated synthetic models, we derived constraints on (98943) 2001 CC21's shadow shape from the single-chord occultation data. Our results suggest a significant elongation of the shadow with an axis ratio of $b/a = 0.37\pm0.09$. This shape can be crucial for planning Hayabusa2's high-speed flyby to optimise the limited imaging opportunities.

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arXiv2024

BYORP and Dissipation in Binary Asteroids: Lessons from DART

The Near-Earth binary asteroid Didymos was the target of a planetary defense demonstration mission DART in September 2022. The smaller binary component, Dimorphos, was impacted by the spacecraft in order to measure momentum transfer in kinetic impacts into rubble piles. DART and associated Earth-based observation campaigns have provided a wealth of scientific data on the Didymos-Dimorphos binary. DART revealed a largely oblate and ellipsoidal shape of Dimorphos before the impact, while the post-impact observations suggest that Dimorphos now has a prolate shape. Here we add those data points to the known properties of small binary asteroids and propose new paradigms of the radiative binary YORP (BYORP) effect as well as tidal dissipation in small binaries. We find that relatively spheroidal bodies like Dimorphos made of small debris may experience a weaker and more size-dependent BYORP effect than previously thought. This could explain the observed values of period drift in several well-characterized binaries. We also propose that energy dissipation in small binaries is dominated by relatively brief episodes of large-scale movement of (likely surface) materials, rather than long-term steady-state tidal dissipation. We propose that one such episode was triggered on Dimorphos by the DART impact. Depending on the longevity of this high-dissipation regime, it is possible that Dimorphos will be more dynamically relaxed in time for the Hera mission than it was in the weeks following the impact.

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arXiv2024

Macro-scale roughness reveals the complex history of asteroids Didymos and Dimorphos

Morphological mapping is a fundamental step in studying the processes that shaped an asteroid surface. Yet, it is challenging and often requires multiple independent assessments by trained experts. Here, we present fast methods to detect and characterize meaningful terrains from the topographic roughness: entropy of information, and local mean surface orientation. We apply our techniques to Didymos and Dimorphos, the target asteroids of NASA's DART mission: first attempt to deflect an asteroid. Our methods reliably identify morphological units at multiple scales. The comparative study reveals various terrain types, signatures of processes that transformed Didymos and Dimorphos. Didymos shows the most heterogeneity and morphology that indicate recent resurfacing events. Dimorphos is comparatively rougher than Didymos, which may result from the formation process of the binary pair and past interaction between the two bodies. Our methods can be readily applied to other bodies and data sets.

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arXiv2023

Ejecta Evolution Following a Planned Impact into an Asteroid: The First Five Weeks

The impact of the DART spacecraft into Dimorphos, moon of the asteroid Didymos, changed Dimorphos' orbit substantially, largely from the ejection of material. We present results from twelve Earth-based facilities involved in a world-wide campaign to monitor the brightness and morphology of the ejecta in the first 35 days after impact. After an initial brightening of ~1.4 magnitudes, we find consistent dimming rates of 0.11-0.12 magnitudes/day in the first week, and 0.08-0.09 magnitudes/day over the entire study period. The system returned to its pre-impact brightness 24.3-25.3 days after impact through the primary ejecta tail remained. The dimming paused briefly eight days after impact, near in time to the appearance of the second tail. This was likely due to a secondary release of material after re-impact of a boulder released in the initial impact, through movement of the primary ejecta through the aperture likely played a role.

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arXiv2023

ALMA Observations of the DART Impact: Characterizing the Ejecta at Sub-Millimeter Wavelengths

We report observations of the Didymos-Dimorphos binary asteroid system using the Atacama Large Millimeter/Submillimeter Array (ALMA) and the Atacama Compact Array (ACA) in support of the Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) mission. Our observations on UT 2022 September 15 provided a pre-impact baseline and the first measure of Didymos-Dimorphos' spectral emissivity at $λ=0.87$ mm, which was consistent with the handful of siliceous and carbonaceous asteroids measured at millimeter wavelengths. Our post-impact observations were conducted using four consecutive executions each of ALMA and the ACA spanning from T$+$3.52 to T$+$8.60 hours post-impact, sampling thermal emission from the asteroids and the impact ejecta. We scaled our pre-impact baseline measurement and subtracted it from the post-impact observations to isolate the flux density of mm-sized grains in the ejecta. Ejecta dust masses were calculated for a range of materials that may be representative of Dimorphos' S-type asteroid material. The average ejecta mass over our observations is consistent with 1.3--6.4$\times10^7$ kg, with the lower and higher values calculated for amorphous silicates and for crystalline silicates, respectively. Owing to the likely crystalline nature of S-type asteroid material, the higher value is favored. These ejecta masses represent 0.3--1.5\% of Dimorphos' total mass and are in agreement with lower limits on the ejecta mass based on measurements at optical wavelengths. Our results provide the most sensitive measure of mm-sized material in the ejecta and demonstrate the power of ALMA for providing supporting observations to spaceflight missions.

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arXiv2023

The Perturbed Full Two-Body Problem: Application to Post-DART Didymos

With the successful impact of the NASA DART spacecraft in the Didymos-Dimorphos binary asteroid system, we provide an initial analysis of the post-impact perturbed binary asteroid dynamics. To compare our simulation results with observations, we introduce a set of "observable elements" calculated using only the physical separation of the binary asteroid, rather than traditional Keplerian elements. Using numerical methods that treat the fully spin-orbit-coupled dynamics, we estimate the system's mass and the impact-induced changes in orbital velocity, semimajor axis, and eccentricity. We find that the changes to the mutual orbit depend strongly on the separation distance between Didymos and Dimorphos at the time of impact. If Dimorphos enters a tumbling state after the impact, this may be observable through changes in the system's eccentricity and orbit period. We also find that any DART-induced reshaping of Dimorphos would generally reduce the required change in orbital velocity to achieve the measured post-impact orbit period and will be assessed by the ESA Hera mission in 2027.

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