arXiv subjects

Massimiliano Bonamente

Publications and source records attributed to Massimiliano Bonamente.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

A Galactic-scale extreme-precision radial velocity survey

We describe the first Galactic-scale extreme-precision radial velocity (EPRV) survey and outline our goals of measuring Galactic accelerations and deriving constraints on the dark matter distribution in our Galaxy. We are targeting quiet subgiant stars within a kiloparsec in radius of the Sun and about 2 kiloparsec in vertical height relative to the Galactic mid-plane. The observations described here were carried out using the Echelle SPectrograph for Rocky Exoplanets and Stable Spectroscopic Observations (ESPRESSO) at the Very Large Telescope (VLT), between 2021-2025. We began by operating at a typical RV precision of $\sim$ 70 cm/s to select quiet stars from stellar activity indicators, and are now operating at $\sim$ 50 cm/s. We selected stars with low stellar jitter (determined from their RV scatter as a function of epoch) with the goal that they yield a measurement of the Galactic acceleration on approximately a decade timescale. We refer to this as our ``gold" sample. We also identify stars with possible companions (either brown dwarfs or planetary companions) or hitherto unknown stellar binaries that we have culled from our survey. For a few cases, we present initial constraints on the companion mass and orbital period. We also present the photospheric and fundamental stellar parameters for our ``gold" sample of sub-giant stars. This first Galactic-scale EPRV survey provides a pathfinder for next-generation surveys with extremely large telescopes, opening the possibility of directly mapping the gravitational acceleration field across the Milky Way and potentially beyond.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

A comparison of methods for Poisson regression in the presence of background

This paper provides a statistical analysis of three common methods of regression for Poisson data in the presence of Poisson background, namely the joint fit with two parametric models for the source and the background, the use of a non-parametric model for the background known as the wstat method, and the regression with a fixed background. The non-parametric background method, which is a popular method for spectral data, is found to be significantly biased, especially in the low-count and background-dominated regimes. Similar conclusions apply to the fixed-background regression. The joint-fit method, on the other hand, simultaneously affords reliable hypothesis testing by means of the usual Cash statistic and unbiased reconstruction of source parameters. We also investigate the effect of non-parametric regression on the number of effective degrees of freedom by means of the Efron degree of freedom function. We find that the wstat method adds a significantly larger number of degrees of freedom, compared to the number of free parameters in the source model. The other two methods have a number of degrees of freedom consistent with the number of adjustable parameters, at least for the simple models investigated in this paper.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

X-ray emission in IllustrisTNG circum-cluster environments. II -- Possible origins of the soft X-ray excess emission

An excess of soft X-ray emission (0.2-1 keV) above the contribution from the hot intra-cluster medium (ICM) has been detected in a number of galaxy clusters, including the Coma cluster. The physical origin of this emitting medium above hot ICM has not yet been determined, especially whether it be thermal or non-thermal. We aim to investigate which gas phase and gas structure more accurately reproduce the soft excess radiation from the cluster core to the outskirts, using simulations. By using the simulation TNG300, we predict the radial profile of thermodynamic properties and the Soft-X-ray surface brightness of 138 clusters within 5 $R_{200}$. Their X-ray emission is simulated for the hot ICM gas phase, the entire Warm-Hot medium, the diffuse and low-density Warm-Hot Intergalactic Medium (WHIM). Inside clusters, the soft excess appears to be produced by substructures of the WARM gas phase which host dense warm clumps (i.e, the Warm Circum-Galactic Medium, WCGM), and in fact the inner soft excess is strongly correlated with substructure and WCGM mass fractions. Outside of the virial radius, the fraction of WHIM gas that is mostly inside filaments connected to clusters boosts the soft X-ray excess. The more diffuse the gas is, the higher the soft X-ray excess beyond the virial region. The thermal emission of WARM gas phase, in the form of WCGM clumps and WHIM diffuse filaments, reproduces well the soft excess emission that was observed up to the virial radius in Coma and in the inner regions of other massive clusters. Moreover, our analysis suggests that soft X-ray excess is a proxy of cluster dynamical state, with larger excess being observed in the most unrelaxed clusters.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Making high-order asymptotics practical: correcting goodness-of-fit test for astronomical count data

The C statistic is a widely used likelihood-ratio statistic for model fitting and goodness-of-fit assessments with Poisson data in high-energy physics and astrophysics. Although it enjoys convenient asymptotic properties, the statistic is routinely applied in cases where its nominal null distribution relies on unwarranted assumptions. Because researchers do not typically carry out robustness checks, their scientific findings are left vulnerable to misleading significance calculations. With an emphasis on low-count scenarios, we present a comprehensive study of the theoretical properties of C statistics and related goodness-of-fit algorithms. We focus on common ``plug-in'' algorithms where moments of C are obtained by assuming the true parameter equals its estimate. To correct such methods, we provide a suite of new principled user-friendly algorithms and well-calibrated p-values that are ready for immediate deployment in the (astro)physics data-analysis pipeline. Using both theoretical and numerical results, we show (a) standard $χ^2$-based goodness-of-fit assessments are invalid in low-count settings, (b) naive methods (e.g., vanilla bootstrap) result in biased null distributions, and (c) the corrected Z-test based on conditioning and high-order asymptotics gives the best precision with low computational cost. We illustrate our methods via a suite of simulations and applied astrophysical analyses. An open-source Python package is provided in a GitHub repository.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

X-ray absorption lines in FUV-detected quasars: II. Cosmological density and properties of the missing baryons

This paper presents constraints on the cosmological density of baryons from a systematic search for O VII and O VIII absorption lines in the XMM-Newton and Chandra X-ray spectra of 51 background sources. The search is based on far ultra-violet redshift priors from HST and FUSE, and it has resulted in the identification of 34 possible O VII and O VIII absorption-line systems at the 99% confidence level, out of a search in 1,224 systems with fixed redshift priors. Of these, 7 O VII and 8 O VIII systems pass additional screening criteria and are deemed to be associated with the warm-hot intergalactic medium (WHIM). We find that the cosmological baryon density associated with these possible detections is consistent with the value required to solve the missing baryons problem. Specifically, we find that $Ω_{WHIM,X} /Ω_b = 0.83\pm^{3.99}_{0.62}$ from the O VII lines, at the 68% level of confidence (assuming 20% Solar abundances and 100% ionization fraction), or separately $Ω_{WHIM,X} /Ω_b = 0.79\pm^{3.08}_{0.50}$ from the O VIII lines (assuming 20% Solar abundances 50% ionization fraction). We also conducted an extensive analysis of systematic errors affecting these estimates, and provided evidence of the association between the detected X-ray absorption line systems with known filaments of SDSS galaxies. The results of this analysis therefore contributes to the characterization of the missing baryons and it indicates that they are in fact associated with the high-temperature portion of the warm-hot intergalactic medium, and possibly with large-scale WHIM filaments traced by galaxies, as consistently predicted by numerical simulations and by other independent probes.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Properties and approximations of a Bessel distribution for data science applications

This paper presents properties and approximations of a random variable based on the zero-order modified Bessel function that results from the compounding of a zero-mean Gaussian with a $χ^2_1$-distributed variance. This family of distributions is a special case of the McKay family of Bessel distributions and of a family of generalized Laplace distributions. It is found that the Bessel distribution can be approximated with a null-location Laplace distribution, which corresponds to the compounding of a zero-mean Gaussian with a $χ^2_2$-distributed variance. Other useful properties and representations of the Bessel distribution are discussed, including a closed form for the cumulative distribution function that makes use of the modified Struve functions. Another approximation of the Bessel distribution that is based on an empirical power-series approximation is also presented. The approximations are tested with the application to the typical problem of statistical hypothesis testing. It is found that a Laplace distribution of suitable scale parameter can approximate quantiles of the Bessel distribution with better than 10% accuracy, with the computational advantage associated with the use of simple elementary functions instead of special functions. It is expected that the approximations proposed in this paper be useful for a variety of data science applications where analytic simplicity and computational efficiency are of paramount importance.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2024

X-ray absorption lines in FUV-detected quasars: I. Sample and analysis of the XMM-Newton and Chandra data

This paper presents initial results of a systematic search for resonance X-ray absorption lines from H-like O VIII and He-like O VII caused by the intervening warm-hot intergalactic medium (WHIM). The search is based on far ultra-violet redshift priors from O VI and H I broad Lyman-alpha lines that were previously detected by HST and FUSE in a sample of 51 sources with either XMM-Newton or Chandra data, for a total X-ray redshift path of $Δz$ = 10.9. Of the 1,224 absorption-line systems with FUV priors that were analyzed, 33 systems feature an absorption-line feature detected with $\geq$99 % confidence at the same redshift of the FUV prior, some coincident with previously reported absorption line detections. The ultimate goal of this search is to test the hypothesis that X-ray absorbing WHIM gas is the repository of the missing baryons in the local universe. Further results and the cosmological implications of this analysis are presented in a companion paper.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2024

Properties and maximum likelihood estimation of the gamma-normal and related probability distributions

This paper presents likelihood-based inference methods for the family of univariate gamma-normal distributions GN(α, r, μ, σ^2 ) that result from summing independent gamma(α, r) and N(μ, σ^2 ) random variables. First, the probability density function of a gamma-normal variable is provided in compact form with the use of parabolic cylinder functions, along with key properties. We then provide analytic expressions for the maximum-likelihood score equations and the Fisher information matrix, and discuss inferential methods for the gamma-normal distribution. Given the widespread use of the two constituting distributions, the gamma-normal distribution is a general purpose tool for a variety of applications. In particular, we discuss two distributions that are obtained as special cases and that are featured in a variety of statistical applications: the exponential-normal distribution and the chi-squared-normal (or overdispersed chi-squared) distribution.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2023

iid2022: A Workshop on Statistical Methods for Event Data in Astronomy

We review the iid2022 workshop on statistical methods for X-ray and $γ$-ray astronomy and high--energy astrophysics event data in astronomy, held in Guntersville, AL, on Nov. 15-18 2022. New methods for faint source detection, spatial point processes, variability and spectral analysis, and machine learning are discussed. Ideas for future developments of advanced methodology are shared.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2023

Soft X-ray emission from warm gas in IllustrisTNG circum-cluster environments

Context. Whereas X-ray clusters are extensively used for cosmology, their idealistic modelling, through the hypotheses of spherical symmetry and hydrostatic equilibrium, are more and more being questioned. Along these lines, the soft X-ray emission detected in tens of clusters with ROSAT was found to be higher than what expected from the idealistic hot gas modelling, pointing to our incomplete understanding of these objects. Aims. Given that cluster environments are at the interface between the hot intra-cluster medium (ICM), warm circum-galactic medium (WCGM) and warm-hot intergalactic medium (WHIM), we aim to explore the relative soft X-ray emission of different gas phases in circum-cluster environments. Method. By using the most massive halos in IllustrisTNG at z=0, we have predicted the hydrodynamical properties of the gas from cluster centers to their outskirts (5 R200), and modelled their X-ray radiation for various plasma phases. Results. First, we found that the radial profile of temperature, density, metallicity and clumpiness of the ICM are in good agreement with recent X-ray observations of clusters. Secondly, we have developed a method to predict the radial profile of soft X-ray emission in different bands, the column density of ions and the X-ray absorption lines (O VIII, O VII, Ne IX, and Ne IX) of warm-hot gas inside and around clusters. Conclusion. The warm gas (in the form of both WCGM and WHIM gas) is a strong emitter in soft X-ray bands, and is qualitatively consistent with the observational measurements. Our results suggest that the cluster soft excess is induced by the thermal emission of warm gas in the circum-cluster environments.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2023

Line Emission Mapper (LEM): Probing the physics of cosmic ecosystems

The Line Emission Mapper (LEM) is an X-ray Probe for the 2030s that will answer the outstanding questions of the Universe's structure formation. It will also provide transformative new observing capabilities for every area of astrophysics, and to heliophysics and planetary physics as well. LEM's main goal is a comprehensive look at the physics of galaxy formation, including stellar and black-hole feedback and flows of baryonic matter into and out of galaxies. These processes are best studied in X-rays, and emission-line mapping is the pressing need in this area. LEM will use a large microcalorimeter array/IFU, covering a 30x30' field with 10" angular resolution, to map the soft X-ray line emission from objects that constitute galactic ecosystems. These include supernova remnants, star-forming regions, superbubbles, galactic outflows (such as the Fermi/eROSITA bubbles in the Milky Way and their analogs in other galaxies), the Circumgalactic Medium in the Milky Way and other galaxies, and the Intergalactic Medium at the outskirts and beyond the confines of galaxies and clusters. LEM's 1-2 eV spectral resolution in the 0.2-2 keV band will make it possible to disentangle the faintest emission lines in those objects from the bright Milky Way foreground, providing groundbreaking measurements of the physics of these plasmas, from temperatures, densities, chemical composition to gas dynamics. While LEM's main focus is on galaxy formation, it will provide transformative capability for all classes of astrophysical objects, from the Earth's magnetosphere, planets and comets to the interstellar medium and X-ray binaries in nearby galaxies, AGN, and cooling gas in galaxy clusters. In addition to pointed observations, LEM will perform a shallow all-sky survey that will dramatically expand the discovery space.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2022

The Scaling Relation between Galaxy Luminosity and WHIM Density from EAGLE Simulations with application to SDSS data

This paper presents an updated scaling relation between the optical luminosity density (LD) of galaxies in the $r$ band and the density of the warm-hot intergalactic medium (WHIM) in cosmic filaments, using the high-resolution EAGLE simulations. We find a strong degree of correlation between the WHIM density and the galaxy luminosity density, resulting in a scaling relation between the two quantities that permits to predict the WHIM density of filaments with a scatter of less than $\frac{1}{2}$ dex in a broad range of smoothed filament luminosity densities. In order to estimate the performance of the simulation-based calibration of the LD-WHIM density relation, we applied it to a sample of low-redshift filaments detected with the \emph{Bisous} method in the Legacy Survey SDSS~DR12 data. In the volume covered by the SDSS data, our relation predicts a WHIM density amounting to $31\pm7\pm12$ % (statistical errors followed by systematic) of cosmic baryon density. This agrees, albeit within the large uncertainties, with the current estimates of the cosmological missing baryon fraction, implying that our LD-WHIM density relation may be a useful tool in the search for the missing baryons. This method of analysis provides a new promising avenue to study the physical properties of the missing baryons, using an observable that is available for large volumes of the sky, complementary and independent from WHIM searches with absorption-line systems in the FUV or X-rays.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2020

An EAGLE view of the missing baryons

Context. A significant fraction of the predicted baryons remains undetected in the local universe. We adopted the common assumption that a large fraction of the missing baryons corresponds to the hot (log T(K) = 5.5-7) phase of the Warm Hot Intergalactic Medium (WHIM). We base our missing baryons search on the scenario whereby the WHIM has been heated up via accretion shocks and galactic outflows, and is concentrated towards the filaments of the Cosmic Web. Aims. Our aim is to improve the observational search of the poorly detected hot WHIM. Methods. We detect the filamentary structure within the EAGLE simulation by applying the Bisous formalism to the galaxy distribution. In addition, we use the MMF/NEXUS+ classification of the large scale environment of the dark matter component in EAGLE. We then study the spatio-thermal distribution of the hot baryons within the extracted filaments. Results. While the filaments occupy only 5% of the full simulation volume, the diffuse hot intergalactic medium in filaments amounts to 23% $-$ 25% of the total baryon budget, or 79% $-$ 87% of all the hot WHIM. The most optimal filament sample, with a missing baryon mass fraction of 82%, is obtained by selecting Bisous filaments with a high galaxy luminosity density. For these filaments we derived analytic formulae for the radial gas density and temperature profiles, consistent with recent Planck SZ and CMB lensing observations within the central $r$~ 1 Mpc. Conclusions. Results from EAGLE suggest that the missing baryons are strongly concentrated towards the filament axes. Since the filament finding methods used here are applicable to galaxy surveys, a large fraction of the missing baryons can be localised by focusing the observational efforts on the central 1 Mpc regions of the filaments. Moreover, focusing on high galaxy luminosity density regions will optimise the observational signal.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2020

A semi-analytical solution to the maximum likelihood fit of Poisson data to a linear model using the Cash statistic

[ABRIDGED] The Cash statistic, also known as the C stat, is commonly used for the analysis of low-count Poisson data, including data with null counts for certain values of the independent variable. The use of this statistic is especially attractive for low-count data that cannot be combined, or re-binned, without loss of resolution. This paper presents a new maximum-likelihood solution for the best-fit parameters of a linear model using the Poisson-based Cash statistic. The solution presented in this paper provides a new and simple method to measure the best-fit parameters of a linear model for any Poisson-based data, including data with null counts. In particular, the method enforces the requirement that the best-fit linear model be non-negative throughout the support of the independent variable. The method is summarized in a simple algorithm to fit Poisson counting data of any size and counting rate with a linear model, by-passing entirely the use of the traditional $χ^2$ statistic.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2019

Hot WHIM counterparts of FUV OVI absorbers: Evidence in the line-of-sight towards quasar 3C 273

We explore the high spectral resolution X-ray data towards the quasar 3C273 to search for signals of hot ($\sim10^{6-7}$ K) X-ray-absorbing gas co-located with two established intergalactic FUV OVI absorbers. We analyze the soft X-ray band grating data of all XMM-Newton and Chandra instruments to search for the hot phase absorption lines at the FUV predicted redshifts. The viability of potential line detections is examined by adopting the constraints of a physically justified absorption model. The WHIM hypothesis is investigated with a complementary 3D galaxy distribution analysis, and by comparison of the measurement results to the WHIM properties in the EAGLE cosmological, hydrodynamical simulation. At FUV redshift z=0.09017, we measured signals of two hot ion species, OVIII and NeIX, with a $3.9σ$ combined significance level. Considering the line features in all instruments collectively and assuming collisional equilibrium for absorbing gas, we were able to constrain the temperature ($kT=0.26\pm0.03$ keV) and the column density ($N_H\times{Z_\odot/Z}=1.3_{-0.5}^{+0.6}\times10^{19}$ cm$^{-2}$) of the absorber. Thermal analysis indicates that FUV and X-ray absorption relate to different phases, with estimated temperatures $T_{FUV}\approx3\times10^5$ and $T_{X-ray}\approx3\times10^6$ K, which match the EAGLE predictions for WHIM at the FUV/X-ray measured $N_{ion}$-ranges. We detected a large scale galactic filament crossing the sightline at the redshift of the absorption, linking the absorption to this structure. This study provides insights into co-existing warm and hot gas within a WHIM filament and estimates the ratio of the hot and warm phases. Because the hot phase is thermally distinct from the OVI gas, the estimated baryon content of the absorber is increased, conveying the promise of X-ray follow-up studies of FUV detected WHIM in refining the picture of the missing baryons.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2019

New Chandra observations of PG 1116+215 to investigate an extragalactic OVIII WHIM absorption line

This is a short AAS Research Note on the analysis of new Chandra observations of PG 1116+215, for which an extragalactic OVIII WHIM line was reported by Bonamente et al. (2016). The new observations occurred at a time when the source flux was three times lower, and the background was three times higher, than in the earlier observations. The analysis described in this research note show that the new observations are consistent with the old one at the wavelengths of the OVIII WHIM line, and the lower signal-to-noise of the new data did not permit a significant detection of the line in the new data.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2018

Probability models of chance fluctuations in spectra of astronomical sources with applications to X-ray absorption lines

The search for faint emission or absorption lines in astronomical spectra has received considerable attention in recent years, especially in the X-ray wavelength range. These features usually appear as a deficit or excess of counts in a single resolution element of the detector, and as such they are referred to as unresolved fluctuations. The general problem under investigation is the probability of occurrence of chance fluctuations. A quantitative answer is necessary to determine whether detected fluctuations are a real (astronomical, in this case) signal, or if they can be attributed to chance. This application note provides a new comprehensive method to answer this question as function of the instrument's resolution, the wavelength coverage of the spectrum, the number of fluctuations of interest, and the confidence level chosen. The method is based on the binomial distribution, and addresses also the probability of multiple simultaneous fluctuations. A critical aspect of the model is the a priori knowledge of the location of possible fluctuations, which significantly affects the probability of detection. In fact, a wider wavelength range for the 'blind' search of possible fluctuations results in a larger number of 'tries' for the detection of a fluctuation, lowering the overall significance of a specific feature. The method is illustrated with a case study and examples using X-ray data.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2017

The galaxy group NGC2563

We present a $Chandra$ study of the hot intragroup medium (hIGM) of the galaxy group NCG2563. The $Chandra$ mosaic observations, with a total exposure time of ~430 ks, allow the gas density to be detected beyond $R_{200}$ and the gas temperature out to 0.75 $R_{200}$. This represents the first observational measurement of the physical properties of a poor groups beyond $R_{500}$. By capitalizing on the exquisite spatial resolution of $Chandra$ that is capable to remove unrelated emission from point sources and substructures, we are able to radially constrain the inhomogeneities of gas ("clumpiness"), gas fraction, temperature and entropy distribution. Although there is some uncertainty in the measurements, we find evidences of gas clumping in the virialization region, with clumping factor of about 2 - 3 at $R_{200}$. The gas clumping-corrected gas fraction is significantly lower than the cosmological baryon budget. These results may indicate a larger impact of the gas inhomogeneities with respect to the prediction from hydrodynamic numerical simulations, and we discuss possible explanations for our findings.

astro-ph.CO↗