Mathieu Sinn — Page 2

arXiv2009

Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy from the ordinal viewpoint

In the case of ergodicity much of the structure of a one-dimensional time-discrete dynamical system is already determined by its ordinal structure. We generally discuss this phenomenon by considering the distribution of ordinal patterns, which describe the up and down in the orbits of a Borel measurable map on a subset of the real numbers. In particular, we give a natural ordinal description of Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy of a large class of one-dimensional dynamical systems and relate Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy to the permutation entropy recently introduced by Bandt and Pompe.

nlin.CD↗

arXiv2008

Estimation of ordinal pattern probabilities in fractional Brownian motion

For equidistant discretizations of fractional Brownian motion (fBm), the probabilities of ordinal patterns of order d=2 are monotonically related to the Hurst parameter H. By plugging the sample relative frequency of those patterns indicating changes between up and down into the monotonic relation to H, one obtains the Zero Crossing (ZC) estimator of the Hurst parameter which has found considerable attention in mathematical and applied research. In this paper, we generally discuss the estimation of ordinal pattern probabilities in fBm. As it turns out, according to the sufficiency principle, for ordinal patterns of order d=2 any reasonable estimator is an affine functional of the sample relative frequency of changes. We establish strong consistency of the estimators and show them to be asymptotically normal for H<3/4. Further, we derive confidence intervals for the Hurst parameter. Simulation studies show that the ZC estimator has larger variance but less bias than the HEAF estimator of the Hurst parameter.

math.PR↗