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Mathilde Mâlin

Publications and source records attributed to Mathilde Mâlin.

16 recordsLinked to original sources

A semi-analytical surrogate model for giant planet evolution: bypassing ordinary differential equation solvers with localised thermodynamics, softplus asymptotes, and B-spline photometry

Context. Evolutionary models translate the observable luminosity, temperature, and colours of giant planets and brown dwarfs into mass and age. Generating their cooling tracks normally requires integrating the internal energy over time with an ordinary differential equation (ODE) solver coupled to pre-computed atmospheric grids, which becomes numerically stiff at sharp transitions such as cloud condensation and the onset of electron degeneracy, and is fragile inside Bayesian retrievals. Aims. We aim to generate continuous cooling tracks and photometric light curves directly from discrete atmospheric grids, without an ODE solver. Methods. We mapped the grids into a logarithmic thermodynamic space and extracted localised surrogate models with Gaussian-weighted regressions at fixed planetary parameters. We fitted the entropy and cooling rate against the internal temperature using bounded piecewise softplus functions to capture structural and cooling-rate transitions; the radius was fitted on the same temperature axis; and band photometry was represented with fixed-knot cubic B-splines. The age followed from numerical integration of these analytic functions, and uncertainties were propagated from the residual scatter of each fit. Results. The surrogate, CoolTrack, reproduces the transition into electron degeneracy and the L-to-T spectral-type transition in the colour-magnitude diagram, converges on Solar System benchmarks, and evaluates a full evolutionary track in milliseconds on a standard desktop CPU. Conclusions. By removing the forward-modelling bottleneck, CoolTrack is suitable for direct use in Bayesian retrieval pipelines, where the age, mass, and formation entropy of a planet can be inferred jointly with its atmospheric properties.

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The JWST Early Release Science Program for Direct Observations of Exoplanetary Systems VIII: patchy forsterite and enstatite clouds in the atmosphere of VHS 1256 b, retrieval lessons learned and outlook to the future

JWST defines a new era for the data-driven approach of retrieval modelling, which has become a cornerstone tool for the statistical inference of exoplanetary and brown dwarf properties. The Early Release Science program #1386 observations of VHS 1256 b represent a huge jump in data quality, data quantity and spectral coverage for such objects. VHS 1256 b is a young, planetary mass and extremely variable companion that populates the enigmatic L/T cohort of substellar atmospheres. In this first retrieval analysis of the full 1 - 18 micron dataset, we apply the Brewster retrieval framework to the NIRSpec and MIRI spectroscopic observations of VHS 1256 b, exploring a variety of cloud species and structures. Using Delta(BIC) we find that the data is best described by a forsterite (Mg$_{2}$SiO$_{4}$) and enstatite (MgSiO$_{3}$) cloud combination. Our analysis shows a strong preference for patchy silicate cloud coverage, which aligns with VHS 1256 b's extensive and well documented spectral variability. Our retrieval is able to place constraints on the abundances of H$_{2}$O, CO, CO$_{2}$, CH$_{4}$ as well as NH$_{3}$. We also show that the retrieved parameters are sensitive to the data used and the relative signal-to-noise ratios between data from different instruments. We conclude with the next steps for the wider retrieval community to better understand young and cloudy exoplanetary atmospheres.

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JWST-TST High Contrast: First Direct Spectroscopy of GJ 504 b reveals Clouds and Possible Metal Enrichment

Characterizing the coldest directly imaged companions through direct spectroscopy has only recently become possible with the James Webb Space Telescope. We present moderate-resolution (R $\sim$ 2,700) spectroscopic observations of the directly imaged planetary-mass companion (PMC), GJ 504 b, using the $JWST$/NIRSpec. As the coldest imaged PMC of the pre-JWST era GJ 504 b is too faint for ground-based spectroscopy, with only photometric observations possible. Leveraging advanced post-processing techniques with a forward modeling framework, we detect the companion at high signal-to-noise (S/N$>$300). We also present the first successful PSF subtraction with angular differential imaging (ADI) in the NIRSpec point cloud, detecting GJ 504 b at S/N$>10$ and reaching contrast limits $<10^{-4}$. The extracted 2.9--5.3 $\mu m$ spectra show strong signatures of several molecular species, including H$_2$O, $^{12}$C$^{16}$O, CH$_4$, CO$_2$, NH$_3$, H$_2$S, $^{13}$C$^{16}$O, and $^{12}$C$^{18}$O. Atmospheric modeling of the spectra using \texttt{petitRADTRANS}, yields an effective temperature = 564$\pm$4 K, surface gravity $\log{g}$ = 4.87$^{+0.13}_{-0.12}$, metallicity [M/H] = 0.67$^{+0.13}_{-0.12}$, C/O ratio = 0.64$^{+0.02}_{-0.02}$, interstellar $^{12}$C/$^{13}$C and $^{16}$O/$^{18}$O isotopologue ratios, and strong evidence of disequilibrium chemistry and salt clouds. The retrieved parameters indicate a mass 25.2$^{+8.4}_{-6.0}$ $M_\mathrm{Jup}$, which is in agreement with the mass range (19--27 $M_\mathrm{Jup}$) obtained from ATMO evolutionary models, implying an age of 2.5--4.0 Gyr. Lastly, we compare the abundances of GJ 504 b to its primary, obtaining a stellar abundance of sulfur (S), super-stellar carbon (C), and possibly, oxygen (O). The observed metal enrichment tentatively supports planet-like formation, but does not entirely exclude stellar abundances for GJ 504 b.

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Direct Images of CO2 Absorption in the Atmosphere of a Super-Jupiter: Enhanced Metallicity Suggestive of Formation in a Disk

It is unclear how directly imaged substellar companions with masses near the deuterium burning limit form, because these objects are rare and their bulk properties are not diagnostic of their formation. In this paper we revisit this problem using JWST/NIRCam coronagraphic images of the 29 Cygni (=HIP 99770) system that reveal the recently-discovered super-Jovian companion 29 Cyg b at wavelengths covering 4-5${\mu}$m for the first time. This object has an uncertain mass that straddles the deuterium burning limit ($M_{\rm b}\simeq15\pm5\,M_{\rm J}$) and a low mass ratio with its early-type host star ($M_{\rm b}/M_\star\sim0.01$). Absorption from CO$_2$ and CO is apparent at 4.3 and 4.6${\mu}$m in our images. The strength of the CO$_2$ feature relative to CO provides strong evidence, based on empirical comparison with literature observations at these wavelengths and atmospheric modeling, that the companion is enriched in heavier elements compared to the roughly solar abundances of the host ($Z_{\rm b}/Z_\star=3\pm2$). In addition, we measure the stellar inclination angle with CHARA/PAVO interferometry: the system is consistent with spin-orbit alignment at the $2\,\sigma$ level, with $\Delta i=12\pm6^\circ$. This ensemble of evidence is suggestive of formation within the protoplanetary disk and rapid accretion of metal-rich material, versus disk fragmentation or capture like higher mass ratio companions. 29 Cyg b shows that planet formation around early-type stars can occur on scales at or exceeding the deuterium burning limit, in agreement with the recently revised planetary mass/metallicity trend that predicts $Z_{\rm pl}/Z_\star=3.3\pm0.5$ at high masses from transiting planet densities (Chachan et al. 2025).

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Panchromatic View of the Frigid Jovian Exoplanet COCONUTS-2 b

We use a high signal-to-noise MIRI-LRS spectrum (5.45 - 11 $\mu$m, R$_\lambda$ $\sim100$) of COCONUTS-2~b revealing prominent molecular features of H$_2$O, CH$_4$ and NH$_3$. This dataset is combined with spectra from Gemini/FLAMINGOS-2 and JWST/NIRSpec (G395H), as well as photometry from WISE and Spitzer, resulting in almost continuous wavelength coverage from 1 to 15 $\mu$m. We analyze the data using five grids of self-consistent atmospheric models, spanning a wide range of T$_\text{eff}$, log(g), and [M/H]. We also investigate the use of Gaussian Processes to account for correlated noise either caused by the spectrograph or by systematic departures of models in the inversion framework. All models manage to fit the overall combined observations but predict fainter flux in Y- and N-bands. Classical model comparison suggests that the ATMO2020++ synthetic specra (with and without PH$_3$) are statistically preferred. Fitting for the correlated noise of the three spectroscopic instruments, ATMO2020++ models yields constraints consistent with previous studies and evolutionary models predictions: T$_\text{eff}$ $=496^{+5}_{-3}$ K, log(g) $=4.30^{+0.04}_{-0.02}$ dex, [M/H] $=-0.02^{+0.03}_{-0.02}$ dex, and R $=1.03^{+0.01}_{-0.02}$ R$_\text{jup}$. The extended wavelength coverage provided by MIRI (accounting for 41% of the bolometric flux) completes the SED, yielding a precise luminosity estimation of log(L/L$_{\odot}$) $=-6.166\pm0.002$ dex. Combined with a previous estimate of the system age ($414\pm23$ Myr), cooling models predict a mass of M $=7.3\pm0.3$ M$_\text{jup}$.

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The JWST Early Release Science Program for Direct Observations of Exoplanetary Systems. VII. Molecular Mapping Performance with JWST/MIRI MRS: VHS 1256 b as a case study

VHS 1256 b was the first planetary-mass companion to be observed with the James Webb Space Telescope's Mid-Infrared Instrument (JWST/MIRI) using the Medium-Resolution Spectrometer (MRS). The MRS provides high-quality integral-field spectral data in the mid-infrared (IR) wavelengths from 4.9 to 18 um. This dataset serves as a testbed for applying cross-correlation techniques to characterize exoplanet atmospheres. We implement the so-called molecular mapping approach, which consists of performing a spectral cross-correlation between each spectral pixel and atmospheric model templates. We compare these results with those obtained from cross-correlation of the extracted spectrum. Using a self-consistent Exo-REM atmospheric model grid, we constrain the temperature, surface gravity, C/O ratio, and metallicity, finding values consistent with those obtained from other analysis methods. We detect CO (S/N $\sim$ 25) and H2O (S/N $\sim$ 76), with tentative detections of NH3 and CH4 (S/N$\sim$ 3). We test cross-correlation to measure trace-species abundances and isotopic ratios. We measure a volume mixing ratio of [NH3] =-5.73^{+0.15}_{-0.14} and an isotopic ratio $^{12}\mathrm{C}/^{13}\mathrm{C}=77.8^{+13}_{-10}$, both consistent with free-chemistry retrievals. The derived NH3 volume mixing ratio, combined with the measured temperature and radius, is consistent with VHS 1256 b having a mass above the deuterium-burning limit. These results demonstrate the diagnostic power of mid-IR spectroscopy and highlight cross-correlation as a robust method for characterizing directly imaged exoplanets, even in future higher-contrast regimes where spectral extraction becomes challenging. Future MIRI MRS observations across a wider range of temperatures and masses will further expand our understanding of planetary atmospheric chemistry.

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Worlds Next Door. IV. Mapping the Late Stages of Giant Planet Evolution with a Precise Dynamical Mass and Luminosity for $\epsilon$ Ind Ab

We present new JWST/NIRCam 4-5 $\mu$m (F410M, F430M) and JWST/MIRI 18-25 $\mu$m (F1800W, F2100W, F2550W) imaging detections of the nearby (3.6 pc) cold (275 K) gas giant exoplanet $\epsilon$ Ind Ab. The F2550W detection of $\epsilon$ Ind Ab constitutes the longest wavelength image of an exoplanet acquired to date. Combining three decades of radial velocity monitoring, Gaia-Hipparcos absolute astrometry, and relative astrometry from direct imaging (including the new NIRCam astrometry), we conduct a comprehensive re-analysis of $\epsilon$ Ind Ab's orbit and obtain a dynamical mass $M_{\rm Ab} = 6.5^{+0.7}_{-0.6}\;M_{\rm Jup}$. Using $\epsilon$ Ind Ab's NIRCam and MIRI photometry, we assemble the first 4-25 $\mu$m spectral energy distribution (SED) of a cold gas giant outside the Solar System. The NIRCam photometry supports a metal-enriched atmosphere for $\epsilon$ Ind Ab based on analysis with atmospheric model grids, consistent with predictions from the giant planet mass-metallicity relation. While the current data do not provide definitive evidence for or against the presence of water ice clouds, we tentatively find that the H$_2$O vapor absorption-dominated F2550W photometry is systematically brighter ($>1\sigma$, but $<2\sigma$) than predictions from cloud-free/rainout chemistry models and better explained by a cloudy model. We calculate a bolometric luminosity of $\log L_{\rm bol}/L_\odot = -7.23 \pm 0.03$ dex by directly integrating $\epsilon$ Ind Ab's SED. Combining this with the planet's dynamical mass and age ($3.5 \pm 1.0$ Gyr), we demonstrate excellent agreement with evolutionary model predictions in a new regime of low luminosities, low masses, and old ages. Our results establish $\epsilon$ Ind Ab as a benchmark system for planetary evolution studies and set the stage for the detailed atmospheric characterization of this temperate extrasolar world.

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JWST-TST High Contrast: Medium-resolution spectroscopy reveals a carbon-rich circumplanetary disk around the young accreting exoplanet Delorme 1 AB b

Young accreting planetary-mass objects are thought to draw material from a circumplanetary disk (CPD) composed of gas and dust. While the gas within the disk is expected to disperse within the first million years, strong accretion has nonetheless been detected in older systems, including the 30--45 Myr-old planetary-mass companion Delorme 1 AB b. We conducted spectroscopic observations with JWST/MIRI to investigate the presence of circumplanetary material around this young, accreting planet, and to characterize the planet's atmospheric properties and composition. We perform forward modeling using atmospheric models to characterize the planet's atmosphere. Beyond 10 microns, the SED becomes dominated by this CPD rather than the planet itself. We detect strong emission from HCN and C$_2$H$_2$, while no O-bearing species are observed in the CPD spectrum, suggesting the gas in the CPD has an elevated C/O. We also identify spatially extended H$_2$ emission around the planet, tracing warm gas, with indications that it may be at a higher temperature than the non-extended component. The mid-infrared spectrum of the planetary-mass companion Delorme 1 AB b reveals the first detection of bright C-bearing species in a CPD, together with an outflow traced by H$_2$ extended emission, that could be interpreted as a disk wind. The hot dust continuum emission suggests an inner cavity in the CPD. The presence of warm gas in the CPD provides constraints on the disk's chemical composition and physical conditions, opening up new avenues for disk studies. The study of these long-lived "Peter Pan" disks will enhance our understanding of how accretion persists in evolved low-mass systems, shedding light on their formation, longevity, and evolutionary pathways in planetary systems.

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MIRI-JWST mid-infrared direct imaging of the debris disk of HD106906

We report MIRI-JWST coronagraphic observations at 11.3 and 15.5 mic of the debris disk around the young star HD 106906. The observations were made to characterize the structure, temperature and mass of the disk through the thermal emission of the dust heated by the central star. Another goal was also to constrain the size distribution of the grains. The data were reduced and calibrated using the JWST pipeline. The analysis was based on a forward-modeling of the images using a multiparameter radiative transfer model coupled to an optical code for coronagraphy processing. The disk is clearly detected at both wavelengths. The slight asymmetry is geometrically consistent with the asymmetry observed in the near-IR, but it is inconsistent the brightness distribution. The observed structure is well reproduced with a model of a disk (or belt) with a critical radius 70 au, a mildly inward-increasing density (index 2) and a steeper decrease outward (index -6). This indication of a filled disk inside the critical radius is inconsistent with sculpting from an inner massive planet. The size distribution of the grains that cause the mid-IR emission is well constrained by the flux ratio at the two wavelengths : 0.45 10 mic and 0.65 10 mic for silicate and graphite grains, respectively. The minimum size is consistent with predictions of blowout through radiative pressure. We derive a mass of the dust that causes the mid-IR emission of 3.3 5.0 E3 Mearth. When the larger grains (up to 1 cm) that cause the millimeter emission are included, we extrapolate this mass to 0.10 0.16 Mearth. We point out to that this is fully consistent with ALMA observations of the disk in terms of dust mass and of its millimeter flux. We estimate the average dust temperature in the planetesimal belt to be 74 K, and a temperature range within the whole disk from 40 to 130 K.

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JWST-TST High Contrast: Living on the Wedge, or, NIRCam Bar Coronagraphy Reveals CO$_2$ in the HR 8799 and 51 Eri Exoplanets' Atmospheres

High-contrast observations with JWST can reveal key composition and vertical mixing dependent absorption features in the spectra of directly imaged planets across the 3-5 $\mu$m wavelength range. We present novel coronagraphic images of the HR 8799 and 51 Eri planetary systems using the NIRCam Long Wavelength Bar in an offset "narrow" position. These observations have revealed the four known gas giant planets encircling HR 8799, even at spatial separations challenging for a 6.5 m telescope in the mid-infrared, including the first ever detection of HR 8799 e at 4.6 $\mu$m. The chosen filters constrain the strength of CO, CH4, and CO2 absorption in each planet's photosphere. The planets display a diversity of 3-5 $\mu$m colors that could be due to differences in composition and ultimately be used to trace their formation history. They also show stronger CO2 absorption than expected from solar metallicity models, indicating that they are metal enriched. We detected 51 Eri b at 4.1 $\mu$m and not at longer wavelengths, which, given the planet's temperature, is indicative of out-of-equilibrium carbon chemistry and an enhanced metallicity. Updated orbits fit to the new measurement of 51 Eri b validate previous studies that find a preference for high eccentricities ($e{=}0.57_{-0.09}^{+0.03}$), which likely indicates some dynamical processing in the system's past. These results present an exciting opportunity to model the atmospheres and formation histories of these planets in more detail in the near future, and are complementary to future higher-resolution, continuum-subtracted JWST spectroscopy.

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First unambiguous detection of ammonia in the atmosphere of a planetary mass companion with JWST/MIRI coronagraphs

The newly accessible mid-infrared (MIR) window offered by the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) for exoplanet imaging is expected to provide valuable information to characterize their atmospheres. In particular, coronagraphs on board the JWST Mid-InfraRed instrument (MIRI) are capable of imaging the coldest directly imaged giant planets at the wavelengths where they emit most of their flux. The MIRI coronagraphs have been specially designed to detect the NH3 absorption around 10.5 microns, which has been predicted by atmospheric models. We aim to assess the presence of NH3 while refining the atmospheric parameters of one of the coldest companions detected by directly imaging GJ 504 b. Its mass is still a matter of debate and depending on the host star age estimate, the companion could either be placed in the brown dwarf regime or in the young Jovian planet regime. We present an analysis of MIRI coronagraphic observations of the GJ 504 system. We took advantage of previous observations of reference stars to build a library of images and to perform a more efficient subtraction of the stellar diffraction pattern. We detected the presence of NH3 at 12.5 sigma in the atmosphere, in line with atmospheric model expectations for a planetary-mass object and observed in brown dwarfs within a similar temperature range. The best-fit model with Exo-REM provides updated values of its atmospheric parameters, yielding a temperature of Teff = 512 K and radius of R = 1.08 RJup. These observations demonstrate the capability of MIRI coronagraphs to detect NH3 and to provide the first MIR observations of one of the coldest directly imaged companions. Overall, NH3 is a key molecule for characterizing the atmospheres of cold planets, offering valuable insights into their surface gravity. These observations provide valuable information for spectroscopic observations planned with JWST.

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Serendipitous observation of a white dwarf companion to a JWST/MIRI coronagraphic calibrator

We present the unplanned detection of a white dwarf companion to the star HD 218261 in mid-infrared (10-16 $\mu$m) observations with JWST/MIRI. This star was observed as a calibrator for coronagraphic observations of the exoplanet host HR 8799. HD 218261 B has only previously been detected by Gaia, and only in visible light. We confidently detect the companion in the mid-infrared, where it is less luminous than the primary by a factor of ~10$^4$. The visible and mid-infrared photometry are consistent with a white dwarf of $T_\text{eff}\approx10000$ K, $M\approx0.8 M_\odot$, though observation of its optical spectrum is required to precisely constrain its physical parameters. These results demonstrate that precise mid-infrared photometry of white dwarf companions to bright stars can be obtained with MIRI, opening up new possibilities for studying white dwarfs in close binaries.

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Unveiling the HD 95086 system at mid-infrared wavelengths with JWST/MIRI

Mid-infrared imaging of exoplanets and disks is now possible with the coronagraphs of the MIRI on the JWST. This wavelength range unveils new features of young directly imaged systems and allows us to obtain new constraints for characterizing the atmosphere of young giant exoplanets and associated disks. These observations aim to characterize the atmosphere of the planet HD 95086 b by adding mid-infrared information so that the various hypotheses about its atmospheric parameters values can be unraveled. Improved images of circumstellar disks are provided. We present the MIRI coronagraphic imaging of the system HD 95086 obtained with the F1065C, F1140, and F2300C filters at central wavelengths of 10.575, 11.3, and 23 microns, respectively. We explored the method for subtracting the stellar diffraction pattern in the particular case when bright dust emitting at short separation is present. Furthermore, we compared different methods for extracting the photometry of the planet. Using the atmospheric models Exo-REM and ATMO, we measured the atmospheric parameters of HD 95086 b. The planet HD 95086 b and the contribution from the inner disk are detected at the two shortest MIRI wavelengths F1065C and F1140C. The outer colder belt is imaged at 23 microns. The mid-infrared photometry provides better constraints on the atmospheric parameters. We evaluate a temperature of 800-1050 K, consistent with one previous hypothesis that only used NIR data. The radius measurement of 1.0-1.14 RJup is better aligned with evolutionary models, but still smaller than predicted. These observations allow us to refute the hypothesis of a warm circumplanetary disk. HD 95086 is one of the first exoplanetary systems to be revealed at mid-infrared wavelengths. This highlights the interests and challenges of observations at these wavelengths.

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The JWST Early Release Science Program for Direct Observations of Exoplanetary Systems V: Do Self-Consistent Atmospheric Models Represent JWST Spectra? A Showcase With VHS 1256 b

The unprecedented medium-resolution (R~1500-3500) near- and mid-infrared (1-18um) spectrum provided by JWST for the young (140+/-20Myr) low-mass (12-20MJup) L-T transition (L7) companion VHS1256b gives access to a catalogue of molecular absorptions. In this study, we present a comprehensive analysis of this dataset utilizing a forward modelling approach, applying our Bayesian framework, ForMoSA. We explore five distinct atmospheric models to assess their performance in estimating key atmospheric parameters: Teff, log(g), [M/H], C/O, gamma, fsed, and R. Our findings reveal that each parameter's estimate is significantly influenced by factors such as the wavelength range considered and the model chosen for the fit. This is attributed to systematic errors in the models and their challenges in accurately replicating the complex atmospheric structure of VHS1256b, notably the complexity of its clouds and dust distribution. To propagate the impact of these systematic uncertainties on our atmospheric property estimates, we introduce innovative fitting methodologies based on independent fits performed on different spectral windows. We finally derived a Teff consistent with the spectral type of the target, considering its young age, which is confirmed by our estimate of log(g). Despite the exceptional data quality, attaining robust estimates for chemical abundances [M/H] and C/O, often employed as indicators of formation history, remains challenging. Nevertheless, the pioneering case of JWST's data for VHS1256b has paved the way for future acquisitions of substellar spectra that will be systematically analyzed to directly compare the properties of these objects and correct the systematics in the models.

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The beta Pictoris system: Setting constraints on the planet and the disk structures at mid-IR wavelengths with NEAR

[abridged] We analyzed mid-infrared high-contrast coronagraphic images of the beta Pictoris system, taking advantage of the NEAR experiment using the VLT/VISIR instrument. The goal of our analysis is to investigate both the detection of the planet beta Pictoris b and of the disk features at mid-IR wavelengths. In addition, by combining several epochs of observation, we expect to constrain the position of the known clumps and improve our knowledge on the dynamics of the disk. To evaluate the planet b flux contribution, we extracted the photometry and compared it to the flux published in the literature. In addition, we used previous data from T-ReCS and VISIR, to study the evolution of the position of the southwest clump that was initially observed in the planetary disk back in 2003. While we did not detect the planet b, we were able to put constraints on the presence of circumplanetary material, ruling out the equivalent of a Saturn-like planetary ring around the planet. The disk presents several noticeable structures, including the known southwest clump. Using a 16-year baseline, sampled with five epochs of observations, we were able to examine the evolution of the clump: the clump orbits in a Keplerian motion with an sma of 56.1+-0.4 au. In addition to the known clump, the images clearly show the presence of a second clump on the northeast side of the disk and fainter and closer structures that are yet to be confirmed. We found correlations between the CO clumps detected with ALMA and the mid-IR images. If the circumplanetary material were located at the Roche radius, the maximum amount of dust determined from the flux upper limit around beta Pictoris b would correspond to the mass of an asteroid of 5 km in diameter. Finally, the Keplerian motion of the southwestern clump is possibly indicative of a yet-to-be-detected planet or signals the presence of a vortex.

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Combining Photometry and Astrometry to Improve Orbit Retrieval of Directly Imaged Exoplanets

Future missions like Roman, HabEx, and LUVOIR will directly image exoplanets in reflected light. While current near infrared direct imaging searches are only sensitive to young, self-luminous planets whose brightness is independent of their orbital phase, reflected light imaging will reveal changes in planet brightness over the course of an orbit due to phase variations. One of the first objectives will be determining the planet's orbit via astrometry, the projected position of the planet with respect to its host star in the sky plane. We show that phase variations can significantly improve the accuracy and precision of orbital retrieval with two or three direct images. This would speed up the classification of exoplanets and improve the efficiency of subsequent spectroscopic characterization. We develop a forward model to generate synthetic observations of the two dimensional position of the planet with respect to its host star on the sky plane, and the planet/star flux ratio. Synthetic data are fitted with Keplerian orbits and Henyey-Greenstein phase variations to retrieve orbital and phase parameters. For astrometric uncertainties of 0.01 AU in projected separation and flux ratio uncertainties of 10^-12, using photometry in orbit retrieval improves the accuracy of semi-major axis by 47% for two epochs and 61% for three epochs if the phase curves have a known shape, but unknown amplitude. In the more realistic scenario where the shape and amplitude of the phase curve are a priori unknown, photometry still improves accuracy by 16% for two epochs and 50% for three.

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