arXiv subjects

Mattea Welch

Publications and source records attributed to Mattea Welch.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Negative controls reveal volume-driven confounding in radiomics and imaging foundation model features

Radiomics and imaging foundation models promise non-invasive biomarkers of tumour biology, yet predictive signatures may reflect tumour volume or acquisition artifacts rather than meaningful image structure. We introduce READII-2-ROQC, an open-source framework that uses volume-preserving negative controls to assess whether radiomic and deep imaging features capture independent spatial signals. READII-2-ROQC generates voxel-perturbed images across tumour, background and whole-image regions using configurable randomization strategies, then compares feature behaviour and model performance between original and control images. Applied to three public cancer imaging cohorts, the framework processed 3,552 tumour volumes and extracted PyRadiomics and foundation-model features from original images and nine matched controls. Reproducing published survival and HPV-status signatures, we show that multiple models retain performance after spatial structure is destroyed, revealing volume-driven or contextual confounding, whereas others show perturbation-sensitive signal. READII-2-ROQC provides a scalable quality-control strategy for developing interpretable, biologically grounded imaging biomarkers and reproducible radiomics workflows.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2021

A Machine Learning Challenge for Prognostic Modelling in Head and Neck Cancer Using Multi-modal Data

Accurate prognosis for an individual patient is a key component of precision oncology. Recent advances in machine learning have enabled the development of models using a wider range of data, including imaging. Radiomics aims to extract quantitative predictive and prognostic biomarkers from routine medical imaging, but evidence for computed tomography radiomics for prognosis remains inconclusive. We have conducted an institutional machine learning challenge to develop an accurate model for overall survival prediction in head and neck cancer using clinical data etxracted from electronic medical records and pre-treatment radiological images, as well as to evaluate the true added benefit of radiomics for head and neck cancer prognosis. Using a large, retrospective dataset of 2,552 patients and a rigorous evaluation framework, we compared 12 different submissions using imaging and clinical data, separately or in combination. The winning approach used non-linear, multitask learning on clinical data and tumour volume, achieving high prognostic accuracy for 2-year and lifetime survival prediction and outperforming models relying on clinical data only, engineered radiomics and deep learning. Combining all submissions in an ensemble model resulted in improved accuracy, with the highest gain from a image-based deep learning model. Our results show the potential of machine learning and simple, informative prognostic factors in combination with large datasets as a tool to guide personalized cancer care.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2016

Fully Automated Treatment Planning for Head and Neck Radiotherapy using a Voxel-Based Dose Prediction and Dose Mimicking Method

Recent works in automated radiotherapy treatment planning have used machine learning based on historical treatment plans to infer the spatial dose distribution for a novel patient directly from the planning image. We present an atlas-based approach which learns a dose prediction model for each patient (atlas) in a training database, and then learns to match novel patients to the most relevant atlases. The method creates a spatial dose objective, which specifies the desired dose-per-voxel, and therefore replaces any requirement for specifying dose-volume objectives for conveying the goals of treatment planning. A probabilistic dose distribution is inferred from the most relevant atlases, and is scalarized using a conditional random field to determine the most likely spatial distribution of dose to yield a specific dose prior (histogram) for relevant regions of interest. Voxel-based dose mimicking then converts the predicted dose distribution to a deliverable treatment plan dose distribution. In this study, we investigated automated planning for right-sided oropharaynx head and neck patients treated with IMRT and VMAT. We compare four versions of our dose prediction pipeline using a database of 54 training and 12 independent testing patients. Our preliminary results are promising; automated planning achieved a higher number of dose evaluation criteria in 7 patients and an equal number in 4 patients compared with clinical. Overall, the relative number of criteria achieved was higher for automated planning versus clinical (17 vs 8) and automated planning demonstrated increased sparing for organs at risk (52 vs 44) and better target coverage/uniformity (41 vs 31).

physics.med-ph↗