arXiv subjects

Matteo Borrotti

Publications and source records attributed to Matteo Borrotti.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

SCARFACE: a harmonized spatio-temporal dataset integrating socio-economic, environmental, and agricultural indicators for the Po Valley (Italy), 2011--2024

We present "Sequestering CARbon through Forests, AgriCulture, and land usE (SCARFACE)", a harmonized spatio-temporal dataset that integrates climate, air quality, airborne pollutant emissions, land cover, soil properties, agro-industry dynamics and socio-economic indicators, to jointly investigate interconnected processes linking agricultural systems, atmospheric dynamics, emissions, and socioeconomic conditions in the Po Valley, Northern Italy. The spatial reference unit is the Agrarian Sub Region (ASR), that is, groups of contiguous municipalities that are considered homogeneous with respect to physical geography, agronomic characteristics, and prevailing agricultural production systems. The dataset adopts an annual panel structure from 2011 to 2024 defined over the 256 ASRs partitioning the Po Valley and comprises more than 2,700 indicators sourced from national and international public institutions. Heterogeneous data are harmonized within a processing workflow, tailored to the specific characteristics of each dataset, that guarantee spatial and temporal consistency of the output dataset. The resource supports reuse in applied econometrics, spatio-temporal modeling, clustering, and policy analysis focused on agriculture, air quality, and land use in a major European hotspot.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2024

Uncertainty quantification and multi-stage variable selection for personalized treatment regimes

A dynamic treatment regime is a sequence of medical decisions that adapts to the evolving clinical status of a patient over time. To facilitate personalized care, it is crucial to assess the probability of each available treatment option being optimal for a specific patient, while also identifying the key prognostic factors that determine the optimal sequence of treatments. This task has become increasingly challenging due to the growing number of individual prognostic factors typically available. In response to these challenges, we propose a Bayesian model for optimizing dynamic treatment regimes that addresses the uncertainty in identifying optimal decision sequences and incorporates dimensionality reduction to manage high-dimensional individual covariates. The first task is achieved through a suitable augmentation of the model to handle counterfactual variables. For the second, we introduce a novel class of spike-and-slab priors for the multi-stage selection of significant factors, to favor the sharing of information across stages. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated through extensive simulation studies and illustrated using clinical trial data on severe acute arterial hypertension.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2023

Dealing with uncertainty: balancing exploration and exploitation in deep recurrent reinforcement learning

Incomplete knowledge of the environment leads an agent to make decisions under uncertainty. One of the major dilemmas in Reinforcement Learning (RL) where an autonomous agent has to balance two contrasting needs in making its decisions is: exploiting the current knowledge of the environment to maximize the cumulative reward as well as exploring actions that allow improving the knowledge of the environment, hopefully leading to higher reward values (exploration-exploitation trade-off). Concurrently, another relevant issue regards the full observability of the states, which may not be assumed in all applications. For instance, when 2D images are considered as input in an RL approach used for finding the best actions within a 3D simulation environment. In this work, we address these issues by deploying and testing several techniques to balance exploration and exploitation trade-off on partially observable systems for predicting steering wheels in autonomous driving scenarios. More precisely, the final aim is to investigate the effects of using both adaptive and deterministic exploration strategies coupled with a Deep Recurrent Q-Network. Additionally, we adapted and evaluated the impact of a modified quadratic loss function to improve the learning phase of the underlying Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network. We show that adaptive methods better approximate the trade-off between exploration and exploitation and, in general, Softmax and Max-Boltzmann strategies outperform epsilon-greedy techniques.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2021

Bayesian Optimization and Deep Learning forsteering wheel angle prediction

Automated driving systems (ADS) have undergone a significant improvement in the last years. ADS and more precisely self-driving cars technologies will change the way we perceive and know the world of transportation systems in terms of user experience, mode choices and business models. The emerging field of Deep Learning (DL) has been successfully applied for the development of innovative ADS solutions. However, the attempt to single out the best deep neural network architecture and tuning its hyperparameters are all expensive processes, both in terms of time and computational resources. In this work, Bayesian Optimization (BO) is used to optimize the hyperparameters of a Spatiotemporal-Long Short Term Memory (ST-LSTM) network with the aim to obtain an accurate model for the prediction of the steering angle in a ADS. BO was able to identify, within a limited number of trials, a model -- namely BOST-LSTM -- which resulted, on a public dataset, the most accurate when compared to classical end-to-end driving models.

cs.LG↗