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Matteo Martinelli

Publications and source records attributed to Matteo Martinelli.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Principal reconstructed modes of dark energy and gravity

Recently, in [1], we presented the first combined non-parametric reconstruction of the three time-dependent functions that capture departures from the standard cosmological model, $Λ$CDM, in the expansion history and gravitational effects on matter and light from the currently available combination of the background and large scale structure data. The reconstruction was performed with and without a theory-informed prior, built on the general Horndeski class of scalar-tensor theories, that correlates the three functions. In this work, we perform a decomposition of the prior and posterior covariances of the three functions to determine the structure of the modes that are constrained by the data relative to the Horndeski prior. We find that the combination of all data can constrain 15 combined eigenmodes of the three functions with respect to the prior. We examine and interpret their features in view of the well-known tensions between datasets within the $Λ$CDM model. We also assess the bias introduced by the simplistic parameterizations commonly used in the literature for constraining deviations from GR on cosmological scales.

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Climbing out of the shadows: building the distance ladder with black hole images

In the era of precision cosmology it has became crucial to find new and competitive probes to estimate cosmological parameters, in an effort of finding answers to the current cosmological tensions/discrepancies. In this work, we show the possibility of using observations of Super Massive Black Hole (SMBH) shadows as an anchor for the distance ladder, substituting the sources usually exploited for such purpose, such as Cepheid variable stars. Compared to the standard approaches, the use of SMBH has the advantage of not needing to be anchored with distance calibrators outside the Hubble flow since the shadows physical size can be estimated knowing the mass of the SMBH. Furthermore, SMBH are supposed to inhabit the center of all galaxies which, in principle, means that we can measure the size of the shadows in any Supernova type Ia host galaxy. Under the assumption that the mass of the SMBH can be accurately and reliably estimated, we find that the Hubble constant can be constrained with a $\approx10\%$ precision even considering current experimental design of ground-based interferometers. By constructing a SMBH catalogue based on a specific choice of the SMBH Mass Function (BHMF), we forecast the constraints on the Hubble constant, finding that a precision of $\approx4\%$ may be within reach of future interferometers.

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Constraining gravity with synergies between radio and optical cosmological surveys

In this work we present updated forecasts on parameterised modifications of gravity that can capture deviations of the behaviour of cosmological density perturbations beyond $Λ$CDM. For these forecasts we adopt the SKA Observatory (SKAO) as a benchmark for future cosmological surveys at radio frequencies, combining a continuum survey for weak lensing and angular galaxy clustering with an HI galaxy survey for spectroscopic galaxy clustering that can detect baryon acoustic oscillations and redshift space distortions. Moreover, we also add 21cm HI intensity mapping, which provides invaluable information at higher redshifts, and can complement tomographic resolution, thus allowing us to probe redshift-dependent deviations of modified gravity models. For some of these cases, we combine the probes with other optical surveys, such as the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) and the Vera C. Rubin Observatory (VRO). We show that such synergies are powerful tools to remove systematic effects and degeneracies in the non-linear and small-scale modelling of the observables. Overall, we find that the combination of all SKAO radio probes will have the ability to constrain the present value of the functions parameterising deviations from $Λ$CDM ($μ$ and $Σ$) with a precision of $2.7\%$ and $1.8\%$ respectively, competitive with the constraints expected from optical surveys and with constraints we have on gravitational interactions in the standard model. Exploring the radio-optical synergies, we find that the combination of VRO with SKAO can yield extremely tight constraints on $μ$ and $Σ$ ($0.9\%$ and $0.7\%$ respectively), which are further improved when the cross-correlation between intensity mapping and DESI galaxies is included.

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Measuring dark energy with expansion and growth

We combine cosmic chronometer and growth of structure data to derive the redshift evolution of the dark energy equation of state $w$, using a novel agnostic approach. The background and perturbation equations lead to two expressions for $w$, one purely background-based and the other relying also on the growth rate of large-scale structure. We compare the features and performance of the growth-based $w$ to the background $w$, using Gaussian Processes for the reconstructions. We find that current data is not precise enough for robust reconstruction of the two forms of $w$. By using mock data expected from next-generation surveys, we show that the reconstructions will be robust enough and that the growth-based $w$ will out-perform the background $w$. Furthermore, any disagreement between the two forms of $w$ will provide a new test for deviations from the standard model of cosmology.

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Dancing in the dark: detecting a population of distant primordial black holes

Primordial black holes (PBHs) are compact objects proposed to have formed in the early Universe from the collapse of small-scale over-densities. Their existence may be detected from the observation of gravitational waves (GWs) emitted by PBH mergers, if the signals can be distinguished from those produced by the merging of astrophysical black holes. In this work, we forecast the capability of the Einstein Telescope, a proposed third-generation GW observatory, to identify and measure the abundance of a subdominant population of distant PBHs, using the difference in the redshift evolution of the merger rate of the two populations as our discriminant. We carefully model the merger rates and generate realistic mock catalogues of the luminosity distances and errors that would be obtained from GW signals observed by the Einstein Telescope. We use two independent statistical methods to analyse the mock data, finding that, with our more powerful, likelihood-based method, PBH abundances as small as $f_\mathrm{PBH} \approx 7 \times 10^{-6}$ ($f_\mathrm{PBH} \approx 2\times10^{-6}$) would be distinguishable from $f_\mathrm{PBH} = 0$ at the level of $3σ$ with a one year (ten year) observing run of the Einstein Telescope. Our mock data generation code, darksirens, is fast, easily extendable and publicly available on GitLab.

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Cosmological Constraints on sub-horizon scales modified gravity theories with MGCLASS II

In this paper we introduce a new public Einstein-Boltzmann solver, \texttt{MGCLASS II}, built as a modification to the publicly available \texttt{CLASS} code, that allows to obtain cosmological observables for Modified Gravity theories. It implements several commonly used parameterizations of deviations from General Relativity, computing their impact on the growth of structure as well as on the background evolution of the Universe, together with a subset of available alternative theories, still not completely ruled out by observations. \texttt{MGCLASS II} is built in such a way to be compatible with parameter estimation codes such as \texttt{MontePython} and \texttt{Cobaya}. We exploit this possibility to constrain the parameterizations used by the Planck collaboration, in order to validate the predictions of this new code, and a newly implemented parameterization (z\_flex) which has different features. For the former we find good agreement with the results existing in the literature, while we present original constraints on the parameters of the latter, finding no significant deviation from the standard cosmological model, $Λ$CDM.

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Constraining cosmological scaling solutions of a Galileon field

We study a Lagrangian with a cubic Galileon term and a standard scalar-field kinetic contribution with two exponential potentials. In this model the Galileon field generates scaling solutions in which the density of the scalar field $ϕ$ scales in the same manner as the matter density at early-time. These solutions are of high interest because the scalar field can then be compatible with the energy scale of particle physics and can alleviate the coincidence problem. The phenomenology of linear perturbations is thoroughly discussed, including all the relevant effects on the observables. Additionally, we use cosmic microwave background temperature-temperature and lensing power spectra by Planck 2018, the baryon acoustic oscillations measurements from the 6dF galaxy survey and SDSS and supernovae type Ia data from Pantheon in order to place constraints on the parameters of the model. We find that despite its interesting phenomenology, the model we investigate does not produce a better fit to data with respect to $Λ$CDM, and it does not seem to be able to ease the tension between high and low redshift data.

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Ultra-large-scale approximations and galaxy clustering: debiasing constraints on cosmological parameters

Upcoming galaxy surveys will allow us to probe the growth of the cosmic large-scale structure with improved sensitivity compared to current missions, and will also map larger areas of the sky. This means that in addition to the increased precision in observations, future surveys will also access the ultra-large-scale regime, where commonly neglected effects such as lensing, redshift-space distortions and relativistic corrections become important for calculating correlation functions of galaxy positions. At the same time, several approximations usually made in these calculations, such as the Limber approximation, break down at those scales. The need to abandon these approximations and simplifying assumptions at large scales creates severe issues for parameter estimation methods. On the one hand, exact calculations of theoretical angular power spectra become computationally expensive, and the need to perform them thousands of times to reconstruct posterior probability distributions for cosmological parameters makes the approach unfeasible. On the other hand, neglecting relativistic effects and relying on approximations may significantly bias the estimates of cosmological parameters. In this work, we quantify this bias and investigate how an incomplete modelling of various effects on ultra-large scales could lead to false detections of new physics beyond the standard $Λ$CDM model. Furthermore, we propose a simple debiasing method that allows us to recover true cosmologies without running the full parameter estimation pipeline with exact theoretical calculations. This method can therefore provide a fast way of obtaining accurate values of cosmological parameters and estimates of exact posterior probability distributions from ultra-large-scale observations.

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Cosmological Tests of Gravity: A Future Perspective

In this review, we outline the expected tests of gravity that will be achieved at cosmological scales in the upcoming decades. We focus mainly on constraints on phenomenologically parameterized deviations from general relativity, which allow to test gravity in a model-independent way, but also review some of the expected constraints obtained with more physically motivated approaches. After reviewing the state-of-the-art for such constraints, we outline the expected improvement that future cosmological surveys will achieve, focusing mainly on future large-scale structures and cosmic microwave background surveys but also looking into novel probes on the nature of gravity. We will also highlight the necessity of overcoming accuracy issues in our theoretical predictions, issues that become relevant due to the expected sensitivity of future experiments.

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Multi-tasking the growth of cosmological structures

Next-generation large-scale structure surveys will deliver a significant increase in the precision of growth data, allowing us to use `agnostic' methods to study the evolution of perturbations without the assumption of a cosmological model. We focus on a particular machine learning tool, Gaussian processes, to reconstruct the growth rate $f$, the root mean square of matter fluctuations $σ_8$, and their product $fσ_8$. We apply this method to simulated data, representing the precision of upcoming Stage IV galaxy surveys. We extend the standard single-task approach to a multi-task approach that reconstructs the three functions simultaneously, thereby taking into account their inter-dependence. We find that this multi-task approach outperforms the single-task approach for future surveys and will allow us to detect departures from the standard model with higher significance. By contrast, the limited sensitivity of current data severely hinders the use of agnostic methods, since the Gaussian processes parameters need to be fine tuned in order to obtain robust reconstructions.

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Individual and Collective Autonomous Development

The increasing complexity and unpredictability of many ICT scenarios let us envision that future systems will have to dynamically learn how to act and adapt to face evolving situations with little or no a priori knowledge, both at the level of individual components and at the collective level. In other words, such systems should become able to autonomously develop models of themselves and of their environment. Autonomous development includes: learning models of own capabilities; learning how to act purposefully towards the achievement of specific goals; and learning how to act collectively, i.e., accounting for the presence of others. In this paper, we introduce the vision of autonomous development in ICT systems, by framing its key concepts and by illustrating suitable application domains. Then, we overview the many research areas that are contributing or can potentially contribute to the realization of the vision, and identify some key research challenges.

cs.AI↗

Strongly lensed supernovae as a self-sufficient probe of the distance duality relation

The observation of strongly lensed Type Ia supernovae enables both the luminosity and angular diameter distance to a source to be measured simultaneously using a single observation. This feature can be used to measure the distance duality parameter $η(z)$ without relying on multiple datasets and cosmological assumptions to reconstruct the relation between angular and luminosity distances. In this paper, we show how this can be achieved by future observations of strongly lensed Type Ia systems. Using simulated datasets, we reconstruct the function $η(z)$ using both parametric and non-parametric approaches, focusing on Genetic Algorithms and Gaussian processes for the latter. In the parametric approach, we find that in the realistic scenario of $N_{\rm lens}=20$ observed systems, the parameter $ε_0$ used to describe the trend of $η(z)$ can be constrained with the precision achieved by current SNIa and BAO surveys, while in the futuristic case ($N_{\rm lens}=1000$) these observations could be competitive with the forecast precision of upcoming LSS and SN surveys. Using the machine learning approaches of Genetic Algorithms and Gaussian processes, we find that both reconstruction methods are generally well able to correctly recover the underlying fiducial model in the mock data, even in the realistic case of $N_{\rm lens}=20$. Both approaches learn effectively from the features of the mock data points, yielding $1σ$ constraints that are in excellent agreement with the parameterised results.

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Constraints on the distance duality relation with standard sirens

We use gravitational wave (GW) standard sirens, in addition to Type Ia supernovae (SNIa) and baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) mock data, to forecast constraints on the electromagnetic and gravitational distance duality relations (DDR). We make use of a parameterised approach based on a specific DDR violation model, along with a machine learning reconstruction method based on the Genetic Algorithms. We find that GW provide an alternative to the use of BAO data to constrain violations of the DDR, reaching $3\%$ constraints on the violation parameter we consider when combined with SNIa, which is only improved by a factor of $\approx1.4$ if one instead considers the combination of BAO and SNIa. We also investigate the possibility that a neglected modification of gravity might lead to a false detection of DDR violations, even when screening mechanisms are active. We find that such a false detection can be extremely significant, up to $\approx10σ$ for very extreme modified gravity scenarios, while this reduces to $\approx4σ$ in a more realistic case. False detections can also provide a smoking gun for the modified gravity mechanism at play, as a result of the tension introduced between the SNIa+GW and SNIa+BAO combinations.

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Latest evidence for a late time vacuum -- geodesic CDM interaction

We perform a reconstruction of the coupling function between vacuum energy and geodesic cold dark matter using the latest observational data. We bin the interaction in seventeen redshift bins but use a correlation prior to prevent rapid, unphysical oscillations in the coupling function. This prior also serves to eliminate any dependence of the reconstruction on the binning method. We use two different forms of the correlation prior, finding that both give similar results for the reconstruction of the dark matter -- dark energy interaction. Calculating the Bayes factor for each case, we find no meaningful evidence for deviation from the null interacting case, i.e. $Λ$CDM, in our reconstruction.

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Strong Lensing Time Delay Constraints on Dark Energy: a Forecast

Measurements of time delays between multiple quasar images produced by strong lensing are reaching a sensitivity that makes them a promising cosmological probe. Future surveys will provide significantly more measurements, reaching unprecedented depth in redshift, making strong lensing time delay (SLTD) observations competitive with other background probes. We forecast constraints on the nature of dark energy from upcoming SLTD surveys, simulating future catalogues with different numbers of lenses distributed up to redshift $z\sim 1$ and focusing on cosmological parameters such as the Hubble constant $H_0$ and parametrisations of the dark energy equation of state. We also explore the impact of our ability to precisely model the lens mass profile and its environment, on the forecasted constraints. We find that in the most optimistic cases, SLTD will constrain $H_0$ at the level of $\sim 0.1\%$, while the CPL equation of state parameters, $w_0$ and $w_a$, can be determined with errors $σ_{w_0}\sim 0.05$ and $σ_{w_a}\sim 0.3$, respectively. Furthermore, we investigate the bias introduced when a wrong cosmological model is assumed for the analysis. We find that the value of $H_0$ could be biased up to $10 σ$, assuming a perfect knowledge of the lens profile, when a $Λ$CDM model is used to analyse data that really belong to a $w$CDM cosmology with $w=-0.9$. Based on these findings, we identify a consistency check of the assumed cosmological model in future SLTD surveys, by splitting the dataset in several redshift bins. Depending on the characteristics of the survey, this could provide a smoking gun for dark energy.

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Reconstruction of the Dark Energy equation of state from latest data: the impact of theoretical priors

We reconstruct the Equation of State of Dark Energy (EoS) from current data using a non-parametric approach where, rather than assuming a specific time evolution of this function, we bin it in time. We treat the transition between the bins with two different methods, i.e. a smoothed step function and a Gaussian Process reconstruction, investigating whether or not the two approaches lead to compatible results. Additionally, we include in the reconstruction procedure a correlation between the values of the EoS at different times in the form of a theoretical prior that takes into account a set of viability and stability requirements that one can impose on models alternative to $Λ$CDM. In such case, we necessarily specialize to broad, but specific classes of alternative models, i.e. Quintessence and Horndeski gravity. We use data coming from CMB, Supernovae and BAO surveys. We find an overall agreement between the different reconstruction methods used; with both approaches, we find a time dependence of the mean of the reconstruction, with different trends depending on the class of model studied. The constant EoS predicted by the $Λ$CDM model falls anyway within the $1σ$ bounds of our analysis.

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CMB tensions with low-redshift $H_0$ and $S_8$ measurements: impact of a redshift-dependent type-Ia supernovae intrinsic luminosity

With the recent increase in precision of our cosmological datasets, measurements of $Λ$CDM model parameter provided by high- and low-redshift observations started to be in tension, i.e., the obtained values of such parameters were shown to be significantly different in a statistical sense. In~this work we tackle the tension on the value of the Hubble parameter, $H_0$, and the weighted amplitude of matter fluctuations, $S_8$, obtained from local or low-redshift measurements and from cosmic microwave background (CMB) observations. We combine the main approaches previously used in the literature by extending the cosmological model and accounting for extra systematic uncertainties. With such analysis we aim at exploring non standard cosmological models, implying deviation from a cosmological constant driven acceleration of the Universe expansion, in the presence of additional uncertainties in measurements. In more detail, we reconstruct the Dark Energy equation of state as a function of redshift, while we study the impact of type-Ia supernovae (SNIa) redshift-dependent astrophysical systematic effects on these tensions. We consider a SNIa intrinsic luminosity dependence on redshift due to the star formation rate in its environment, or the metallicity of the progenitor. We find that the $H_0$ and $S_8$ tensions can be significantly alleviated, or~even removed, if we account for varying Dark Energy for SNIa and CMB data. However, the tensions remain when we add baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) data into the analysis, even after the addition of extra SNIa systematic uncertainties. This points towards the need of either new physics beyond late-time Dark Energy, or other unaccounted systematic effects (particulary in BAO measurements), to fully solve the present tensions.

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Constraints on the interacting vacuum -- geodesic CDM scenario

We investigate an interacting dark sector scenario in which the vacuum energy is free to interact with cold dark matter (CDM), which itself is assumed to cluster under the sole action of gravity, i.e. it is in free fall (geodesic), as in $Λ$CDM. The interaction is characterised by a dimensionless coupling $q_{\rm V}$ that we constrain using cosmic microwave background data from the Planck 2015 data release, along with baryon acoustic oscillation, redshift space distortion and Type Ia supernova measurements. We present the full linear perturbation theory of this interacting scenario and use MCMC sampling to study five different cases: two cases in which we have $Λ$CDM evolution in the distant past, until a set redshift $z_{\rm trans}$, below which the interaction switches on and $q_{\rm V}$ is the single sampled parameter, with $z_{\rm trans}$ fixed at $z_{\rm trans}=3000$ and $z_{\rm trans}=0.9$ respectively; a case where we allow this transition redshift to vary along with $q_{\rm V}$; a case in which the vacuum energy is zero for $z>z_{\rm trans}$ and then begins to grow once the interaction switches on; and the final case in which we bin $q_{\rm V}(z)$ in four redshift bins to investigate the possibility of a dynamical interaction, reconstructing the redshift evolution of the function using Gaussian processes. We find that, in all cases where the high redshift evolution is not modified, the results are compatible with a vanishing coupling, thus finding no significant deviation from $Λ$CDM.

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