arXiv subjects

Matthew E. Orr

Publications and source records attributed to Matthew E. Orr.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2025

A Tentative Detection of Molecular Hydrogen (H$_2$) Emission Lines at Cosmic Dawn

We present a theoretical framework for interpreting far-ultraviolet (FUV) fluorescent emission from molecular hydrogen (H$_2$) in high-redshift galaxies, motivated by the unique capabilities of the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) to probe the rest frame FUV at cosmic dawn. Using the Meudon photodissociation region (PDR) code, we model the H$_2$ fluorescence spectrum under extreme interstellar medium (ISM) conditions in terms of high pressure ($10^{11}~\mathrm{K~ cm^{-3}}$), high radiation field ($10^6$ $G_0$) combined with low metallicity ($Z = 0.1~Z_\odot$) and high cosmic ionization rate ($ζ= 10^{-14}~\mathrm{s}^{-1}$), characteristic of early galaxies. As a case study, we apply this framework to stacked NIRSpec spectra from the JWST Advanced Deep Extragalactic Survey (JADES) for galaxies at redshifts $z\geq7$. The stacked spectrum exhibits emission features consistent in profile and wavelength with the predicted H$_2$ fluorescence lines, including a blue shift suggestive of an outflow of molecular gas. Although individual features remain below robust detection thresholds, this demonstration illustrates the feasibility of using FUV fluorescence modeling to guide and interpret JWST spectroscopy of the molecular ISM at high redshift. Our framework provides a foundation for future searches for molecular hydrogen emission and the study of galactic feedback processes in the early universe.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Diverse dark matter profiles in FIRE dwarfs: black holes, cosmic rays and the cusp-core enigma

Dwarf galaxies have historically posed challenges to the cold dark matter (CDM) model and, while many of the so-called 'dwarf galaxy problems' have been mitigated by incorporating baryonic processes, the observed diversity of dwarf galaxy rotation curves remains a contentious topic. Meanwhile, the growing observational samples of active galactic nuclei (AGN) in dwarf galaxies have prompted a paradigm shift in our understanding of dwarf galaxy evolution, traditionally thought to be regulated by stellar feedback. In this study, we explore the potential role of AGN feedback in shaping dark matter distributions and increasing the diversity of dwarf galaxy rotation curves, using a new suite of cosmological zoom-in simulations of dwarf galaxies with the FIRE-3 model. Our findings indicate that the presence of active black holes (BHs) in dwarf galaxies can lead to diverse outcomes, ranging from cuspier to more core-like profiles. This variability arises from the dual role of BHs in providing additional feedback and regulating the extent of stellar feedback. Consistent with previous research, we find that AGN feedback is most impactful when cosmic ray (CR) modelling is included, with CRs from any source significantly influencing dark matter profiles. Overall, our results highlight that the interplay between stellar feedback, BHs, and CRs produces a broad spectrum of dark matter density profiles, which align with observed correlations between rotation curve shapes and baryonic dominance. This underscores the importance of including the full range of baryonic processes in dwarf galaxy simulations to address the persistent 'small-scale challenges' to the CDM paradigm.

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arXiv2025

A data-driven approach for star formation parameterization using symbolic regression

Star formation (SF) in the interstellar medium (ISM) is fundamental to understanding galaxy evolution and planet formation. However, efforts to develop closed-form analytic expressions that link SF with key influencing physical variables, such as gas density and turbulence, remain challenging. In this work, we leverage recent advancements in machine learning (ML) and use symbolic regression (SR) techniques to produce the first data-driven, ML-discovered analytic expressions for SF using the publicly available FIRE-2 simulation suites. Employing a pipeline based on training the genetic algorithm of SR from an open software package called PySR, in tandem with a custom loss function and a model selection technique which compares candidate equations to analytic approaches to describing SF, we produce symbolic representations of a predictive model for the star formation rate surface density ($Σ_\mathrm{SFR}$) averaged over both 10 Myr and 100 Myr based on eight extracted variables from FIRE-2 galaxies. The resulting model that PySR finds best describes SF, on both averaging timescales, features equations that incorporates the surface density of gas, $Σ_\mathrm{gas}$, the velocity dispersion of gas $σ_{\mathrm{gas,~z}}$ and the surface density of stars $Σ_\mathrm{*}$. Furthermore, we find that the equations found for the longer SFR timescale all converge to a scaling-relation-like equation, all of which also closely capture the intrinsic physical scatter of the data within the Kennicutt-Schmidt (KS) plane. This observed convergence to physically interpretable scaling relations at longer SFR timescales demonstrates that our method successfully identifies robust physical relationships rather than fitting to stochastic fluctuations.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Delayed and Displaced: The Impact of Binary Interactions on Core-collapse SN Feedback

Core-collapse supernova feedback models in hydrodynamical simulations typically assume that all stars evolve as single stars. However, the majority of massive stars are formed in binaries and multiple systems, where interactions with a companion can affect stars' subsequent evolution and kinematics. We assess the impact of binary interactions on the timing and spatial distribution of core-collapse supernovae, using `cogsworth` simulations to evolve binary star populations, and their subsequent galactic orbits, within state-of-the-art hydrodynamical zoom-in galaxy simulations. We show that binary interactions: (a) displace supernovae, with ~13% of all supernovae occurring more than 0.1 kpc from their parent cluster; and (b) produce delayed supernovae, such that ~25% of all supernovae occur after the final supernova from a single star population. Delays are largest for low-mass merger products, which can explode more than 200 Myr after a star formation event. We characterize our results as a function of: (1) initial binary population distributions, (2) binary physics parameters and evolutionary pathways, (3) birth cluster dissolution assumptions, and (4) galaxy models (which vary metallicity, star formation history, gravitational potential and simulation codes), and show that the overall timing and spatial distributions of supernovae are surprisingly insensitive to most of these variations. We provide metallicity-dependent analytic fits that can be substituted for single-star subgrid feedback prescriptions in hydrodynamical simulations, and discuss some of the possible implications for binary-driven feedback in galaxies, which may become particularly important at high redshift.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2024

How the Cookie Crumbles: A Model for Star-forming Clumps in High-redshift Disk Galaxies

We present a simple model for the number distribution of maximally star-forming clumps in rotating disk galaxies, at high-$z$ with high gas surface densities. By combining assumptions surrounding marginal stability of disks against gravitational fragmentation and collapse (i.e., Toomre's $Q\approx 1$), star cluster formation efficiency scaling with local gas surface density, and star formation rates being tied to the relevant local dynamical/free-fall times, we find a star-forming clump distribution of $N_c(> \dot M_\star) \propto \dot M_\star^{-4/3}$ when assuming a power-law form for the gas surface density profile, and a numerically integrable relation for arbitrary gas disk profiles. We compare this model with recent high-redshift observations of lensed clumpy star-forming rotation-dominated galaxies, and find good agreement with the distribution of clump star formation rates and number of clumps. Moreover, we argue that any rotation-supported galaxy should have a significantly higher number of identifiable star-forming clumps relative to dispersion supported objects at a similar mass as $N_c \sim (V_c/σ)^2$.

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arXiv2024

Inside-out versus Upside-down: The Origin and Evolution of Metallicity Radial Gradients in FIRE Simulations of Milky Way-mass Galaxies and the Essential Role of Gas Mixing

Within the Milky Way (MW), younger stellar populations exhibit steeper (more negative) metallicity radial gradients; the origin of this trend remains debated. The FIRE-2 cosmological simulations of MW-mass galaxies show the same trend as the MW, which in FIRE-2 arises because the metallicity gradient of the interstellar medium (ISM), and thus of stars at birth, became steeper over time. We seek to understand this evolution in the context of inside-out radial growth of galaxies. Most FIRE-2 galaxies grew radially inside-out in both gas and stars; specifically, their surface density profiles, $Σ(R)$, became shallower over time. Combined with a realized superlinear (Kennicutt-Schmidt-like) relation between star formation and total gas density, the profile of the ratio $Σ_{\rm star}(R)/Σ_{\rm gas}(R)$ became shallower (flatter) over time. Thus, if metals stayed where they were injected into the ISM from stars, the metallicity gradient would become shallower over time, as some models predict. However, metallicity gradients in FIRE-2 became steeper over time, because of the additional effects of (radial) mixing of metals in the ISM. Specifically, the velocity dispersion and net radial advection of gas declined over time, as ISM turbulence decreased and the disk settled, leading to upside-down vertical growth. In FIRE-2, this evolution in metal mixing of gas associated with upside-down growth dominates over inside-out radial growth, causing the metallicity radial gradient of the ISM and of stars at birth to become steeper over time. We argue that this reflects the ISM history of the MW and of typical MW-mass galaxies.

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arXiv2024

Objects May Be Closer Than They Appear: Significant Host Galaxy Dispersion Measures of Fast Radio Bursts in Zoom-in Simulations

We investigate the contribution of host galaxies to the overall Dispersion Measures (DMs) for Fast Radio Bursts (FRBs) using the Feedback in Realistic Environments (FIRE-2) cosmological zoom-in simulation suite. We calculate DMs from every star particle in the simulated L* galaxies by ray-tracing through their multi-phase interstellar medium (ISM), summing the line-of-sight free thermal electron column for all gas elements within $\pm$20 kpc of the galactic mid-plane. At $z=0$, we find average (median) host-galaxy DMs of 74 (43) and 210 (94) pc cm$^{-3}$ for older ($\gtrsim$10 Myr) and younger ($\lesssim$10 Myr) stellar populations, respectively. Inclination raises the median DM measured for older populations ($\gtrsim$10 Myr) in the simulations by a factor of $\sim$2, but generally does not affect the younger stars deeply embedded in H{\small II} regions except in extreme edge-on cases (inclination $\gtrsim 85^\circ$). In kinematically disturbed snapshots ($z = 1$ in FIRE), the average (median) host-galaxy DMs are higher: 80 (107) and 266 (795) pc cm$^{-3}$ for older ($\gtrsim$10 Myr) and younger ($\lesssim$10 Myr) stellar populations, respectively. FIRE galaxies tend to have higher DM values than cosmological simulations such as IllustrisTNG\rev{, with larger tails in their distributions to high DMs}. As a result, FRB host galaxies may be closer (lower redshift) than previously inferred. Furthermore, constraining host-galaxy DM distributions may help significantly constrain FRB progenitor models.

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arXiv2024

Pumping Iron: How turbulent metal diffusion impacts multiphase galactic outflows

Most numerical simulations of galaxy formation and evolution are unable to properly resolve the turbulent cascade at or below the resolution scale and turbulence models are required to capture the motion of eddies on those unresolved scales. In this study, we investigate the impact of turbulent metal diffusion models on multiphase outflows originating from dwarf galaxies ($M_{\rm halo} \sim 10^{10} - 10^{11}$ M$_\odot$). We use our state-of-the-art numerical model for the formation of single stars and non-equilibrium cooling and hydrogen chemistry. Our simulations are carried out at a mass resolution of $\sim$1 M$_{\odot}$, where the individual supernova explosions are resolved in terms of hot-phase generation and momentum input. We find that mass, energy, and metal loading factors are only weakly affected by the inclusion of a metal diffusion model. The metal enrichment factor at low altitude above the galactic disk is higher by around 20 per cent when the metal diffusion model is included. Specifically, we find more efficient cooling in the cold interstellar medium, as higher amounts of metals are kept in the cold dense phase. The most striking effect of the metal diffusion model is that, without metal diffusion, there is more rapid cooling in the hot phase and a reduced sound speed by a factor of two. Specifically, we find that the hot phase is more metal enriched in the case without metal diffusion leading to more rapid (over) cooling of that phase which is consistent with the higher sound speed we find in the runs with metal diffusion.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2024

Any Way the Wind Blows: Quantifying Superbubbles and their Outflows in Simulated Galaxies across $z \approx 0-3$

We present an investigation of clustered stellar feedback in the form of superbubbles identified within eleven galaxies from the FIRE-2 (Feedback in Realistic Environments) cosmological zoom-in simulation suite, at both cosmic noon (1 < z < 3) and in the local Universe. We study the spatially-resolved multiphase outflows that these supernovae drive, comparing our findings with recent theory and observations. These simulations consist of five LMC-mass galaxies and six Milky Way-mass progenitors (with a minimum baryonic particle mass of $m_{b.min} = 7100 M_{\odot}$), for which we calculate the local mass and energy loading factors on 750~pc scales from the identified outflows. We also characterize the multiphase morphology and properties of the identified superbubbles, including the `shell' of cool ($T<10^5$ K) gas and break out of energetic hot ($T>10^5$ K) gas when the shell bursts. For all galaxies, the outflow mass, momentum, and energy fluxes appear to reach their peak during the identified superbubbles, and we investigate the effects on the interstellar medium (ISM), circumgalactic medium (CGM), and subsequent star formation rates. We find that these simulations, regardless of redshift, have mass-loading factors and momentum fluxes in the cool gas that largely agree with recent observations. Lastly, we also investigate how methodological choices in measuring outflows can affect loading factors for galactic winds.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2023

What Causes The Formation of Disks and End of Bursty Star Formation?

As they grow, galaxies can transition from irregular/spheroidal with 'bursty' star formation histories (SFHs), to disky with smooth SFHs. But even in simulations, the direct physical cause of such transitions remains unclear. We therefore explore this in a large suite of numerical experiments re-running portions of cosmological simulations with widely varied physics, further validated with existing FIRE simulations. We show that gas supply, cooling/thermodynamics, star formation model, Toomre scale, galaxy dynamical times, and feedback properties do not have a direct causal effect on these transitions. Rather, both the formation of disks and cessation of bursty star formation are driven by the gravitational potential, but in different ways. Disk formation is promoted when the mass profile becomes sufficiently centrally-concentrated in shape (relative to circularization radii): we show that this provides a well-defined dynamical center, ceases to support the global 'breathing modes' which can persist indefinitely in less-concentrated profiles and efficiently destroy disks, promotes orbit mixing to form a coherent angular momentum, and stabilizes the disk. Smooth SF is promoted by the potential or escape velocity (not circular velocity) becoming sufficiently large at the radii of star formation that cool, mass-loaded (momentum-conserving) outflows are trapped/confined near the galaxy, as opposed to escaping after bursts. We discuss the detailed physics, how these conditions arise in cosmological contexts, their relation to other correlated phenomena (e.g. inner halo virialization, vertical disk 'settling'), and observations.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2022

Spiral Arms are Metal Freeways: Azimuthal Gas-Phase Metallicity Variations in Simulated Cosmological Zoom-in Flocculent Disks

We examine the azimuthal variations in gas-phase metallicity profiles in simulated Milky Way mass disk galaxies from the Feedback in Realistic Environments (FIRE-2) cosmological zoom-in simulation suite, which includes a sub-grid turbulent metal mixing model. We produce spatially resolved maps of the disks at $z \approx 0$ with pixel sizes ranging from 250 to 750~pc, analogous to modern integral field unit (IFU) galaxy surveys, mapping the gas-phase metallicities in both the cold & dense gas and the ionized gas correlated with HII regions. We report that the spiral arms alternate in a pattern of metal rich and metal poor relative to the median metallicity on the order of $\lesssim 0.1$~dex, appearing generally in this sample of flocculent spirals. The pattern persists even in a simulation with different strengths of metal mixing, indicating that the pattern emerges from physics above the sub-grid scale. Local enrichment does not appear to be the dominant source of the azimuthal metallicity variations at $z \approx 0$: there is no correlation with local star formation on these spatial scales. Rather, the arms are moving inwards and outwards relative to each other, carrying their local metallicity gradients with them radially before mixing into the larger-scale interstellar medium. We propose that the arms act as freeways channeling relatively metal poor gas radially inwards, and relatively enriched gas radially outwards.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2022

Bursting Bubbles: Feedback from Clustered SNe and the Trade-off Between Turbulence and Outflows

We present an analytic model for clustered supernovae (SNe) feedback in galaxy disks, incorporating the dynamical evolution of superbubbles formed from spatially overlapping SNe remnants. We propose two realistic outcomes for the evolution of superbubbles in galactic disks: (1) the expansion velocity of the shock front falls below the turbulent velocity dispersion of the ISM in the galaxy disk, whereupon the superbubble stalls and fragments, depositing its momentum entirely within the galaxy disk, or (2) the superbubble grows in size to reach the gas scale height, breaking out of the galaxy disk and driving galactic outflows/fountains. In either case, we find that superbubble breakup/breakout almost always occurs before the last Type-II SN ($\lesssim$40 Myr) in the recently formed star cluster, assuming a standard high-end IMF slope, and scalings between stellar lifetimes and masses. The threshold between these two cases implies a break in the effective strength of feedback in driving turbulence within galaxies, and a resulting change in the scalings of, e.g., star formation rates with gas surface density (the Kennicutt-Schmidt relation) and the star formation efficiency in galaxy disks.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2022

Spatially Resolved Gas-phase Metallicity in FIRE-2 Dwarfs: Late-Time Evolution of Metallicity Relations in Simulations with Feedback and Mergers

We present an analysis of spatially resolved gas-phase metallicity relations in five dwarf galaxies ($M_{halo} \approx 10^{11} M_\odot$, $M_\star \approx 10^{8.8}-10^{9.6} M_\odot$) from the FIRE-2 (Feedback in Realistic Environments) cosmological zoom-in simulation suite, which include an explicit model for sub-grid turbulent mixing of metals in gas, near $z\approx 0$, over a period of 1.4 Gyrs, and compare our findings with observations. While these dwarf galaxies represent a diverse sample, we find that all simulated galaxies match the observed mass-metallicity (MZR) and mass-metallicity gradient (MZGR) relations. We note that in all five galaxies, the metallicities are effectively identical between phases of the interstellar medium (ISM), with 95$\%$ being within $\pm$0.1 dex between various ISM phases, including the cold and dense gas ($T < 500$ K and $n_{\rm H} > 1$ cm$^{-3}$), ionized gas (near the H$α$ $T \approx 10^4$ K ridge-line), and nebular regions (ionized gas where the 10 Myr-averaged star formation rate is non-zero). We find that most of the scatter in relative metallicity between cold and dense gas and ionized gas/nebular regions can be attributed to either local starburst events or metal-poor inflows. We also note the presence of a major merger in one of our galaxies, m11e, with a substantial impact on the metallicity distribution in the spatially resolved map, showing two strong metallicity peaks and triggering a starburst in the main galaxy.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2022

Bursting Bubbles: Clustered Supernova Feedback in Local and High-redshift Galaxies

We compare an analytic model for the evolution of supernova-driven superbubbles with observations of local and high-redshift galaxies, and the properties of intact HI shells in local star-forming galaxies. Our model correctly predicts the presence of superwinds in local star-forming galaxies (e.g., NGC 253) and the ubiquity of outflows near $z \sim 2$. We find that high-redshift galaxies may `capture' 20-50\% of their feedback momentum in the dense ISM (with the remainder escaping into the nearby CGM), whereas local galaxies may contain $\lesssim$10\% of their feedback momentum from the central starburst. Using azimuthally averaged galaxy properties, we predict that most superbubbles stall and fragment \emph{within} the ISM, and that this occurs at, or near, the gas scale height. We find a consistent interpretation in the observed HI bubble radii and velocities, and predict that most will fragment within the ISM, and that those able to break-out originate from short dynamical time regions (where the dynamical time is shorter than feedback timescales). Additionally, we demonstrate that models with constant star cluster formation efficiency per Toomre mass are inconsistent with the occurrence of outflows from high-$z$ starbursts and local circumnuclear regions.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2021

Probing Hot Gas Components of Circumgalactic Medium in Cosmological Simulations with the Thermal Sunyaev-Zel'dovich Effect

The thermal Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (tSZ) effect is a powerful tool with the potential for constraining directly the properties of the hot gas that dominates dark matter halos because it measures pressure and thus thermal energy density. Studying this hot component of the circumgalactic medium (CGM) is important because it is strongly impacted by star-formation and active galactic nuclei (AGN) activity in galaxies, participating in the feedback loop that regulates star and black hole mass growth in galaxies. We study the tSZ effect across a wide halo mass range using three cosmological hydrodynamical simulations: Illustris-TNG, EAGLE, and FIRE-2. Specifically, we present the scaling relation between tSZ signal and halo mass and radial profiles of gas density, temperature, and pressure for all three simulations. The analysis includes comparisons to Planck tSZ observations and to the thermal pressure profile inferred from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT) measurements. We compare these tSZ data to the simulations to interpret the measurements in terms of feedback and accretion processes in the CGM. We also identify as-yet unobserved potential signatures of these processes that may be visible in future measurements, which will have the capability of measuring tSZ signals to even lower masses. We also perform internal comparisons between runs with different physical assumptions. We conclude: (1) there is strong evidence for the impact of feedback at $R_{500}$ but that this impact decreases by $5R_{500}$, and (2) the thermodynamic profiles of the CGM are highly dependent on the implemented model, such as cosmic-ray or AGN feedback prescriptions.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2021

Which AGN Jets Quench Star Formation in Massive Galaxies?

Without additional heating, radiative cooling of gas in the halos of massive galaxies (Milky Way and above) produces cold gas or stars in excess of that observed. Previous work suggested that AGN jets are likely required, but the form of jet energy required to quench remains unclear. This is particularly challenging for galaxy simulations, in which the resolution is orders of magnitude coarser than necessary to form and evolve the jet. On such scales, the uncertain parameters include: jet energy form (kinetic, thermal, and cosmic ray (CR) energy), energy, momentum, and mass flux, magnetic field strength and geometry, jet precession angle and period, opening-angle, and duty cycle. We investigate all of these parameters in a $10^{14}\,{\rm M}_{\odot}$ halo using high-resolution non-cosmological MHD simulations with the FIRE-2 (Feedback In Realistic Environments) stellar feedback model, conduction, and viscosity. We explore which scenarios match observational constraints and show that CR-dominated jets can most efficiently quench the central galaxy through a combination of CR pressure support and a modification of the thermal instability. Jets with most energy in mildly relativistic ($\sim$ MeV or $\sim10^{10}$ K) thermal plasma work, but require a factor $\sim 10$ larger energy input. For a fixed energy flux, jets with higher specific energy (longer cooling times) quench more effectively. For this halo size, kinetic jets are less efficient in quenching unless they have wide opening or precession angles. Magnetic fields play a minor role except when the magnetic flux reaches $\gtrsim 10^{44}$ erg s$^{-1}$ in a kinetic jet model, which causes the jet cocoon to significantly widen, and the quenching to become explosive. We conclude that the criteria for a successful jet model are an optimal energy flux and a sufficiently wide jet cocoon with long enough cooling time at the cooling radius.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2021

Fiery Cores: Bursty and Smooth Star Formation Distributions across Galaxy Centers in Cosmological Zoom-in Simulations

We present an analysis of the $R\lesssim 1.5$ kpc core regions of seven simulated Milky Way mass galaxies, from the FIRE-2 (Feedback in Realistic Environments) cosmological zoom-in simulation suite, for a finely sampled period ($Δt = 2.2$ Myr) of 22 Myr at $z \approx 0$, and compare them with star formation rate (SFR) and gas surface density observations of the Milky Way's Central Molecular Zone (CMZ). Despite not being tuned to reproduce the detailed structure of the CMZ, we find that four of these galaxies are consistent with CMZ observations at some point during this 22 Myr period. The galaxies presented here are not homogeneous in their central structures, roughly dividing into two morphological classes; (a) several of the galaxies have very asymmetric gas and SFR distributions, with intense (compact) starbursts occurring over a period of roughly 10 Myr, and structures on highly eccentric orbits through the CMZ, whereas (b) others have smoother gas and SFR distributions, with only slowly varying SFRs over the period analyzed. In class (a) centers, the orbital motion of gas and star-forming complexes across small apertures ($R \lesssim 150$pc, analogously $|l|<1^\circ$ in the CMZ observations) contributes as much to tracers of star formation/dense gas appearing in those apertures, as the internal evolution of those structures does. These asymmetric/bursty galactic centers can simultaneously match CMZ gas and SFR observations, demonstrating that time-varying star formation can explain the CMZ's low star formation efficiency.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2020

Pressure balance in the multiphase ISM of cosmologically simulated disk galaxies

Pressure balance plays a central role in models of the interstellar medium (ISM), but whether and how pressure balance is realized in a realistic multiphase ISM is not yet well understood. We address this question using a set of FIRE-2 cosmological zoom-in simulations of Milky Way-mass disk galaxies, in which a multiphase ISM is self-consistently shaped by gravity, cooling, and stellar feedback. We analyze how gravity determines the vertical pressure profile as well as how the total ISM pressure is partitioned between different phases and components (thermal, dispersion/turbulence, and bulk flows). We show that, on average and consistent with previous more idealized simulations, the total ISM pressure balances the weight of the overlying gas. Deviations from vertical pressure balance increase with increasing galactocentric radius and with decreasing averaging scale. The different phases are in rough total pressure equilibrium with one another, but with large deviations from thermal pressure equilibrium owing to kinetic support in the cold and warm phases, which dominate the total pressure near the midplane. Bulk flows (e.g., inflows and fountains) are important at a few disk scale heights, while thermal pressure from hot gas dominates at larger heights. Overall, the total midplane pressure is well-predicted by the weight of the disk gas, and we show that it also scales linearly with the star formation rate surface density (Sigma_SFR). These results support the notion that the Kennicutt-Schmidt relation arises because Sigma_SFR and the gas surface density (Sigma_g) are connected via the ISM midplane pressure.

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