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Matthew McQuinn

Publications and source records attributed to Matthew McQuinn.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

The Morphology of Reionization in a Dynamically Clumpy Universe

A recent measurement of the Lyman-limit mean free path at $z = 6$ suggests it may have been very short, motivating a better understanding of the role that ionizing photon sinks played in reionization. Accurately modeling the sinks in reionization simulations is challenging because of the large dynamic range required if $\sim 10^4-10^8 M_{\odot}$ gas structures contributed significant opacity. Thus, there is no consensus on how important the sinks were in shaping reionization's morphology. We address this question with a recently developed radiative transfer code that includes a dynamical sub-grid model for the sinks based on radiative hydrodynamics simulations. Compared to assuming a fully pressure-smoothed IGM, our dynamical treatment reduces ionized bubble sizes by $10-20\%$ under typical assumptions about reionization's sources. Near reionization's midpoint, the 21 cm power at $k \sim 0.1$ $h$Mpc$^{-1}$ is similarly reduced. These effects are more modest than the $30-60\%$ suppression resulting from the higher recombination rate if pressure smoothing is neglected entirely. Whether the sinks played a significant role in reionization's morphology depends on the nature of its sources. For example, if reionization was driven by bright ($M_{\rm UV} < -17$) galaxies, the sinks reduce the large-scale 21 cm power by at most $20\%$, even if pressure smoothing is neglected. Conveniently, when bright sources contribute significantly, the morphology in our dynamical treatment can be reproduced accurately with a uniform sub-grid clumping factor that yields the same ionizing photon budget. By contrast, if $M_{\rm UV} \sim -13$ galaxies drove reionization, the uniform clumping model can err by up to $40\%$.

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Astrophysical Plasma Instabilities induced by Long-Range Interacting Dark Matter

If dark matter (DM) is millicharged or darkly charged, collective plasma processes may dominate momentum exchange over direct particle collisions. Plasma streaming instabilities can couple the momentum of the DM to counter-streaming baryons or other DM and result in the counter-streaming fluids coming to rest with each other, just as happens for baryonic collisionless shocks in astrophysical systems. While electrostatic plasma instabilities are highly suppressed by Landau damping when DM is millicharged, in the cosmological situations of interest, electromagnetic instabilities such as the Weibel can couple momenta, assuming that the linear instability saturates in the manner typically found for baryonic plasmas. We find that the streaming of DM in the pre-Recombination universe is affected more strongly by direct collisions than collective processes, validating previous constraints. However, when considering magnetized Weibel and Firehose instabilities, the properties of the Bullet Cluster merger are likely to be substantially altered if $[q_χ/m_χ] \gtrsim 10^{-12}-10^{-11}$, where $[q_χ/m_χ]$ is the charge-to-mass ratio of the DM relative to that of the proton. The Weibel growth rates are even faster in the case of a dark-$U(1)$ charge, potentially ruling out $[q_χ/m_χ] \gtrsim 10^{-14}$ in the Bullet Cluster system, in agreement with previous work. The strongest previous limits on millicharged DM (mDM) arise from considering the spin-down of galactic disks. We show that plasma instabilities or tangled background magnetic fields could lead to diffusive propagation of the DM, weakening these spin-down limits. Thus, plasma instabilities may place some of the most stringent constraints over much of the millicharged, and our results corroborate previous extremely stringent potential constraints on the dark-charged parameter space.

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A measurement of circumgalactic gas around nearby galaxies using fast radio bursts

The distribution of gas in the circumgalactic medium (CGM) of galaxies of all types is poorly constrained. Foreground CGMs contribute an extra amount to the dispersion measure (DM) of fast radio bursts (FRB). We measure this DM excess for the CGMs of $10^{11}-10^{13}\ M_\odot$ halos using the CHIME/FRB first data release, a halo mass range that is challenging to probe in any other way. Because of the uncertainty in the FRBs' angular coordinates, only for nearby galaxies is the localization sufficient to confidently associate them with intersecting any foreground halo. Thus we stack on galaxies within 80 Mpc, optimizing the stacking scheme to approximately minimize the stack's variance and marginalize over uncertainties in FRB locations. The sample has 20-30 FRBs intersecting halos with masses of $10^{11}-10^{12}\ M_\odot$ and also of $10^{12}-10^{13}\ M_\odot$, and these intersections allow a marginal $1-2\,σ$ detection of the DM excess in both mass bins. The $10^{11}-10^{12}\ M_\odot$ halos bin also shows a DM excess at 1-2 virial radii. By comparing data with different models for the CGM gas profile, we find that all models are favored by the data up to 2-$σ$ level compared to the null hypothesis of no DM excess. With 2000-3000 more bursts from a future CHIME data release, we project a 4-$σ$ detection of the CGM. Distinguishing between viable CGM models by stacking FRBs with CHIME-like localization would require tens of thousands of bursts.

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Absorption-based Circumgalactic Medium Line Emission Estimates

Motivated by integral field units (IFUs) on large ground telescopes and proposals for ultraviolet-sensitive space telescopes to probe circumgalactic medium (CGM) emission, we survey the most promising emission lines and how such observations can inform our understanding of the CGM and its relation to galaxy formation. We tie our emission estimates to both HST/COS absorption measurements of ions around $z\approx 0.2$ Milky Way mass halos and models for the density and temperature of gas. We also provide formulas that simplify extending our estimates to other samples and physical scenarios. We find that OIII 5007 A and NII 6583 A, which at fixed ionic column density are primarily sensitive to the thermal pressure of the gas they inhabit, may be detectable with KCWI and especially IFUs on 30 m telescopes out to half a virial radius. OV 630 A and OVI $1032,1038$ A are perhaps the most promising ultraviolet lines, with models predicting intensities $>100~γ$ cm$^{-2}$ s$^{-1}$ sr$^{-1}$ in the inner 100 kpc of Milky Way-like systems. A detection of OVI would confirm the collisionally ionized picture and constrain the density profile of the CGM. Other ultraviolet metal lines constrain the amount of gas that is actively cooling and mixing. We find that CIII 978 A and CIV 1548 A may be detectable if an appreciable fraction of the observed OVI column is associated with mixing or cooling gas. H$α$ emission within $100\;$kpc of Milky Way-like galaxies is within reach of current IFUs even for the minimum signal from ionizing background fluorescence, while Hydrogen $n>2$ Lyman-series lines are too weak to be detectable.

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Baryonic Post-Processing of N-body Simulations, with Application to Fast Radio Bursts

Where the cosmic baryons lie in and around galactic dark matter halos is only weakly constrained. We develop a method to quickly paint on models for their distribution. Our approach uses the statistical advantages of $N$-body simulations, while painting on the profile of gas around individual halos in ways that can be motivated by semi-analytic models or zoom-in hydrodynamic simulations of galaxies. Possible applications of the algorithm include extragalactic dispersion measures to fast radio bursts (FRBs), the Sunyaev-Zeldovich effect, baryonic effects on weak lensing, and cosmic metal enrichment. As an initial application, we use this tool to investigate how the baryonic profile of foreground galactic-mass halos affects the statistics of the dispersion measure (DM) towards cosmological FRBs. We show that the distribution of DM is sensitive to the distribution of baryons in galactic halos, with viable gas profile models having significantly different probability distributions for DM to a given redshift. We also investigate the requirements to statistically measure the circumgalactic electron profile for FRB analyses that stack DM with impact parameter to foreground galaxies, quantifying the size of the contaminating "two-halo" term from correlated systems and the number of FRBs for a high significance detection. Publicly available Python modules implement our CGMBrush algorithm.

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Detecting Cosmic Strings with Lensed Fast Radio Bursts

Correlated red noise recently reported from pulsar timing observations may be an indication of stochastic gravitational waves emitted by cosmic strings that formed during a primordial phase transition near the Grand Unification energy scale. Unfortunately, known probes of cosmic strings, namely the Cosmic Microwave Background anisotropies and string lensing of extragalactic galaxies, are not sensitive enough for low string tensions of $Gμ= 10^{-10}-10^{-7}$ that are needed to explain this putative signal. We show that strong gravitational lensing of Fast Radio Bursts (FRBs) by cosmic strings is a potentially unambiguous avenue to probe that range of string tension values. The image pair of string lensing are expected to have identical magnification factor and parity, and have a typical time delay of $\sim 10^2\,\,(G\,μ/10^{-8})^2$ seconds. The unique spectral fingerprint of each FRB, as well as the possibility to detect correlations in the time series of the electric field of the radio waves, will enable verification of the string lensing interpretation. Very-Long-Baseline Interferometry (VLBI) observations can spatially resolve the image pair and provide a lower bound on the string tension based on the image separation. We calculate the FRB lensing rate as a function of FRB detection number for several different models of the FRB redshift distribution. We find that a survey detecting $\sim 10^5$ FRBs, in line with estimates for the detection rate of the forthcoming survey CHORD, can uncover a strong lensing event for a string tension of $Gμ\simeq 10^{-7}$. Larger FRB surveys, such as Phase 2 of the Square Kilometre Array (SKA), have the potential to significantly improve the sensitivity on the string tension to $Gμ\simeq 10^{-9}$.

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Reionization with Simba: How much does astrophysics matter in modeling cosmic reionization?

Traditional large-scale models of reionization usually employ simple deterministic relations between halo mass and luminosity to predict how reionization proceeds. We here examine the impact on modelling reionization of using more detailed models for the ionizing sources as identified within the $100~{\rm Mpc/h}$ cosmological hydrodynamic simulation {\sc Simba}, coupled with post-processed radiative transfer. Comparing with simple (one-to-one) models, the main difference of using {\sc Simba} sources is the scatter in the relation between dark matter halos and star formation, and hence ionizing emissivity. We find that, at the power spectrum level, the ionization morphology remains mostly unchanged, regardless of the variability in the number of sources or escape fraction. In particular, the power spectrum shape remains unaffected and its amplitude changes slightly by less than 5-10\%, throughout reionization, depending on the scale and neutral fraction. Our results show that simplified models of ionizing sources remain viable to efficiently model the structure of reionization on cosmological scales, although the precise progress of reionization requires accounting for the scatter induced by astrophysical effects.

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A measurement of the Lyman-beta forest power spectrum and its cross with the Lyman-alpha forest in X-Shooter XQ-100

The Lyman-alpha forest is the large-scale structure probe for which we appear to have modeling control to the highest wavenumbers. This makes the Lyman-alpha forest of great interest for constraining the warmness/fuzziness of dark matter and the timing of reionization processes. However, the standard statistic, the Lyman-alpha forest power spectrum, is unable to strongly constrain the IGM temperature-density relation, and this inability further limits how well other high wavenumber-sensitive parameters can be constrained. With the aim of breaking these degeneracies, we measure the power spectrum of the Lyman-beta forest and its cross correlation with the coeval Lyman-alpha forest using the one hundred spectra of z=3.5-4.5 quasars in the VLT/X-Shooter XQ-100 Legacy Survey, motivated by the Lyman-beta transition's smaller absorption cross section that makes it sensitive to somewhat higher densities relative to the Lyman-alpha transition. Our inferences from this measurement for the IGM temperature-density relation appear to latch consistently onto the recent tight lower-redshift Lyman-alpha forest constraints. The z=3.4-4.7 trends we find using the Lyman-alpha$-$Lyman-beta cross correlation show a flattening of the slope of the temperature-density relation with decreasing redshift. This is the trend anticipated from ongoing HeII reionization and there being sufficient time to reach the asymptotic temperature-density slope after hydrogen reionization completes. Furthermore, our measurements provide a consistency check on IGM models that explain the Lyman-alpha forest, with the cross correlation being immune to systematics that are uncorrelated between the two forests, such as metal line contamination.

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The high-redshift tail of stellar reionization in LCDM is beyond the reach of the low-$\ell$ CMB

The first generation (Pop-III) stars can ionize 1-10% of the universe by $z=15$, when the metal-enriched (Pop-II) stars may contribute negligibly to the ionization. This low ionization tail might leave detectable imprints on the large-scale CMB E-mode polarization. However, we show that physical models for reionization are unlikely to be sufficiently extended to detect any parameter beyond the total optical depth through reionization. This result is driven in part by the total optical depth inferred by Planck, indicating a reionization midpoint around $z=8$, which in combination with the requirement that reionization completes by $z\approx 5.5$ limits the amplitude of an extended tail. To demonstrate this, we perform semi-analytic calculations of reionization including Pop-III star formation in minihalos with Lyman-Werner feedback. We find that standard Pop-III models need to produce very extended reionization at $z>15$ to be distinguishable at 2-$σ$ from Pop-II-only models, assuming a cosmic variance-limited measurement of the low-$\ell$ EE power spectrum. However, we show that unless there is (1) a late-time quenching mechanism such as from strong X-ray feedback or (2) some other extreme Pop-III scenario, structure formation makes it quite challenging to produce high enough Thomson scattering optical depth from $z>15$, $τ(z>15)$, and still be consistent with other observational constraints on reionization.

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Hydrodynamic Response of the Intergalactic Medium to Reionization II: Physical Characteristics and Dynamics of Ionizing Photon Sinks

Becker et al. 2021 measured the mean free path of Lyman limit photons in the IGM at $z=6$. The short value suggests that absorptions may have played a prominent role in reionization. Here we study physical properties of ionizing photon sinks in the wake of ionization fronts (I-fronts) using radiative hydrodynamic simulations. We quantify the contributions of gaseous structures to the Lyman limit opacity by tracking the column density distributions in our simulations. Within $Δt = 10$ Myr of I-front passage, we find that self-shielding systems ($N_{\rm HI} > 10^{17.2}$ cm$^{-2}$) are comprised of two distinct populations: (1) over-density $Δ\sim 50$ structures in photo-ionization equilibrium with the ionizing background; (2) $Δ\gtrsim 100$ density peaks with fully neutral cores. The self-shielding systems contribute more than half of the opacity at these times, but the IGM evolves considerably in $Δt \sim 100$ Myr as structures are flattened by pressure smoothing and photoevaporation. By $Δt = 300$ Myr, they contribute $\lesssim 10 \%$ to the opacity in an average 1 Mpc$^3$ patch of the Universe. The percentage can be a factor of a few larger in over-dense patches, where more self-shielding systems survive. We quantify the characteristic masses and sizes of self-shielding structures. Shortly after I-front passage, we find $M=10^{4} - 10^8$ M$_\odot$ and effective diameters $d_{\rm eff} = 1 - 20$ ckpc$/h$. These scales increase as the gas relaxes. The picture herein presented may be different in dark matter models with suppressed small-scale power.

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Simulations of Axion Minihalos

The axion, motivated as a solution to the strong CP problem, is also a viable dark matter candidate. We use N-body simulations to study the formation of substructures from white-noise density fluctuations. The density profiles of our relaxed axion minihalos can be described by the Navarro-Frenk-White profile, and the minihalos' concentration number agrees well with a simple, physically-motivated model. We develop a semi-analytic formula to fit the mass function from our simulation, which agrees broadly at different redshifts and only differs at factor of two level from classic halo mass functions. This analytic mass function allows us to consider uncertainties in the post-inflation axion scenario, as well as extrapolate our high-redshift simulations results to the present. Our work estimates the present-day abundance of axion substructures, as is necessary for predicting their effect on cosmological microlensing caustics and pulsar timing. Our calculations suggest that if pulsar timing and microlensing probes can reach recent sensitivity forecasts, they may be sensitive to the post-inflation axion dark matter scenario, even when accounting for uncertainties pertaining to axion strings. For pulsar timing, the most significant caveat is whether axion minihalos are disrupted by stars, which our estimates show is mildly important at the most relevant masses. Finally, as our gravitational simulations are scale invariant, the results can be extended to models where the dark matter is comprised of other axion-like particles and even clusters of primordial black holes.

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On the primordial information available to galaxy redshift surveys

We investigate the amount of primordial information that can be reconstructed from spectroscopic galaxy surveys, as well as what sets the noise in reconstruction at low wavenumbers, by studying a simplified universe in which galaxies are the Zeldovich displaced Lagrangian peaks in the linear density field. For some of this study, we further take an intuitive linearized limit in which reconstruction is a convex problem but where the solution is also a solution to the full nonlinear problem, a limit that bounds the effectiveness of reconstruction. The linearized reconstruction results in similar cross correlation coefficients with the linear input field as our full nonlinear algorithm. The linearized reconstruction also produces similar cross correlation coefficients to those of reconstruction attempts on cosmological N-body simulations, which suggests that existing reconstruction algorithms are extracting most of the accessible information. Our approach helps explain why reconstruction algorithms accurately reproduce the initial conditions up to some characteristic wavenumber, at which point there is a quick transition to almost no correlation. This transition is set by the number of constraints on reconstruction (the number of galaxies in the survey) and not by where shot noise surpasses the clustering signal, as is traditionally thought. We further show that on linear scales a mode can be reconstructed with precision well below the shot noise expectation if the galaxy Lagrangian displacements can be sufficiently constrained. We provide idealized examples of nonlinear reconstruction where shot noise can be outperformed.

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Hydrodynamic Response of the Intergalactic Medium to Reionization

The intergalactic medium is expected to clump on scales down to $10^4-10^8$ M$_{\odot}$ before the onset of reionization. The impact of these small-scale structures on reionization is poorly understood despite the modern understanding that gas clumpiness limits the growth of H II regions. We use a suite of radiation-hydrodynamics simulations that capture the $\sim 10^4$ $M_\odot$ Jeans mass of unheated gas to study density fluctuations during reionization. Our simulations track the complex ionization and hydrodynamical response of gas in the wake of ionization fronts. The clumping factor of ionized gas (proportional to the recombination rate) rises to a peak value of $5-20$ approximately $Δt = 10$ Myr after ionization front passage, depending on the incident intensity, redshift, and degree to which the gas had been pre-heated by the first X-ray sources. The clumping factor reaches its relaxed value of $\approx 3$ by $Δt = 300$ Myr. The mean free path of Lyman-limit photons evolves in unison, being up to several times shorter in un-relaxed, recently reionized regions compared to those that were reionized much earlier. Assessing the impact of this response on the global reionizaton process, we find that un-relaxed gaseous structures boost the total number of recombinations by $\approx 50$ % and lead to spatial fluctuations in the mean free path that persist appreciably for several hundred million years after the completion of reionization.

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On the accuracy of common moment-based radiative transfer methods for simulating reionization

Cosmological simulations of reionization often treat radiative transfer by solving for the monopole and dipoles of the intensity field and by making ansatz for the quadrupole moments to close the system of equations. We investigate the accuracy of the most common closure methods, i.e. Eddington tensor choices. We argue that these algorithms are most likely to err after reionization and study quasi-analytic test problems mimicking these situations: large-scale post-reionization ionizing background fluctuations and radiative transfer in a predominantly ionized medium with discrete absorbers. We show that OTVET and M1 over-ionize self-shielding absorbers when fixing the background photoionization rate, leading to 30-40% higher emissivity to balance the increased recombination. This over-ionization results in a simulation run with these algorithms having a factor of ~2 lower average metagalactic photoionization rate relative to truth given an ionizing emissivity. Furthermore, these algorithms are unlikely to reproduce ionizing background fluctuations on scales below the photon mean path: OTVET tends to overpredict the fluctuations there when the simulation box is smaller than twice the mean free path and underpredict otherwise, while M1 drastically underpredicts these fluctuations. As a result, these numerical methods are likely not sufficiently accurate to interpret the Ly$α$ forest opacity fluctuations observed after reionzation. We show that a high number of angular directions need to be followed to capture the post-reionization ionizing background fluctuations accurately with ray-tracing codes. Lastly, we argue that the strong dependence of the post-reionization ionizing background on the value of the reduced speed of light found in many simulations signals that the ionizing photon mean free path is several times larger in such simulations than the observationally measured value.

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A Model-Insensitive Baryon Acoustic Oscillation Feature in the 21 cm Signal from Reionization

We examine the impact of baryon-dark matter relative velocities on intergalactic small-scale structure and the 21 cm signal during reionization. Streaming velocities reduced clumping in the intergalactic medium (IGM) on mass scales of $\sim 10^4 - 10^8$ M$_{\odot}$. This effect produced a distinct baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) feature in the 21 cm power spectrum at wave numbers $k\sim 0.1$ h/Mpc, near which forthcoming surveys will be most sensitive. In contrast to the highly uncertain impact of streaming velocities on star formation, the effect on clumping is better constrained because it is set mainly by cosmology and straightforward gas dynamics. We quantify the latter using coupled radiation-hydrodynamic simulations that capture the Jeans scale of pre-reionization gas. The clumping factor of ionized gas is reduced by 5-10\% in regions with RMS streaming velocities. The suppression peaks $\approx 5$ Myr after a region is reionized, but disappears within 200 Myr due to pressure smoothing. We model the corresponding impact on the 21 cm signal and find that the BAO feature is most likely to appear at $\approx$ 10 \% ionization. During this phase, the feature may appear at the 1 \% (5 \%) level at $k \sim 0.1 (0.06)$ h/Mpc with an amplitude that varies by a factor of $< 10$ across a range of reionization histories. We also provide a model for the signal originating from streaming velocity's impact on ionizing sources, which can vary by 4 orders of magnitude depending on highly uncertain source properties. We find that the clumping signal probably dominates the source one unless Population III star formation in $10^6 - 10^8$ M$_{\odot}$ halos contributed significantly to the first 10\% of reionization.

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Early Structure Formation Constraints on the Ultra-Light Axion in the Post-Inflation Scenario

Many works have concentrated on the observable signatures of the dark matter being an ultralight axion-like particle (ALP). We concentrate on a particularly dramatic signature in the late-time cosmological matter power spectrum that occurs if the symmetry breaking that establishes the ALP happens after inflation -- white-noise density fluctuations that dominate at small scales over the adiabatic fluctuations from inflation. These fluctuations alter the early history of nonlinear structure formation. We find that for symmetry breaking scales of $f_A \sim 10^{13}-10^{15}$GeV, which requires a high effective maximum temperature after inflation, ALP dark matter with particle mass of $m_A \sim 10^{-13}-10^{-20}$eV could significantly change the number of high-redshift dwarf galaxies, the reionization history, and the Ly$α$ forest. We consider all three observables. We find that the Ly$α$ forest is the most constraining of current observables, excluding $f_A \gtrsim 10^{15}$GeV ($m_A \lesssim 10^{-17}$eV) in the simplest model for the ALP and considerably lower values in models coupled to a hidden strongly interacting sector ($f_A \gtrsim 10^{13}$GeV and $m_A \lesssim 10^{-13}$eV). Observations that constrain the extremely high-redshift tail of reionization may disfavor similar levels of isocurvature fluctuations as the forest. Future $z\sim 20-30$ 21cm observations have the potential to improve these constraints further using that the supersonic motions of the isocurvature-enhanced abundance of $\sim10^4M_\odot$ halos would shock heat the baryons, sourcing large BAO features.

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Estimates for the impact of Ultraviolet Background fluctuations on galaxy clustering measurements

Spatial fluctuations in ultraviolet backgrounds can subtly modulate the distribution of extragalactic sources, a potential signal and systematic for large-scale structure surveys. While this modulation has been shown to be significant for 3D Ly alpha forest surveys, its relevance for other large-scale structure probes has been hardly explored, despite being the only astrophysical process that likely can affect clustering measurements on the scales of >~Mpc. We estimate that the background fluctuations, modulating the amount of H I, have a fractional effect of (0.03-0.3) x (k/[10^-2 Mpc^-1])^-1 on the power spectrum of 21 cm intensity maps at z = 1-3. We find a smaller effect for H alpha and Ly alpha intensity mapping surveys of (0.001-0.1) x (k/[10^-2 Mpc^-1])-1 and even smaller effect for more traditional surveys that correlate the positions of individual H alpha or Ly alpha emitters. We also estimate the effect of backgrounds on low-redshift galaxy surveys in general based on a simple model in which background fluctuations modulate the rate halo gas cools, modulating star formation: We estimate a maximum fractional effect on the power of ~0.01 (k/[10-2 Mpc-1])-1 at z = 1. We compare sizes of these imprints to cosmological parameter benchmarks for the next generation of redshift surveys: We find that ionizing backgrounds could result in a bias on the squeezed triangle non-Gaussianity parameter fNL that can be larger than unity for power spectrum measurements with a SPHEREx-like galaxy survey, and typical values of intensity bias. Marginalizing over a shape of the form k-1PL, where PL is the linear matter power spectrum, removes much of this bias at the cost of ~ 40% larger statistical errors.

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Imprints of temperature fluctuations on the $z\sim5$ Lyman-$α$ forest: a view from radiation-hydrodynamic simulations of reionization

Reionization leads to large spatial fluctuations in the intergalactic temperature that can persist well after its completion. We study the imprints of such fluctuations on the $z\sim5$ Ly$α$ forest flux power spectrum using a set of radiation-hydrodynamic simulations that model different reionization scenarios. We find that large-scale coherent temperature fluctuations bring $\sim20-60\%$ extra power at $k\sim0.002$ s/km, with the largest enhancements in the models where reionization is extended or ends the latest. On smaller scales ($k\gtrsim0.1$ s/km), we find that temperature fluctuations suppress power by $\lesssim10\%$. We find that the shape of the power spectrum is mostly sensitive to the reionization midpoint rather than temperature fluctuations from reionization's patchiness. However, for all of our models with reionization midpoints of $z\le 8$ ($z\le 12$) the shape differences are $\lesssim20\%$ ($\lesssim40\%$) because of a surprisingly well-matched cancellation between thermal broadening and pressure smoothing that occurs for realistic thermal histories. We also consider fluctuations in the ultraviolet background, finding their impact on the power spectrum to be much smaller than temperature fluctuations at $k\gtrsim0.01$ s/km. Furthermore, we compare our models to power spectrum measurements, finding that none of our models with reionization midpoints of $z<8$ is strongly preferred over another and that all of our models with midpoints of $z\geq8$ are excluded at $2.5σ$. Future measurements may be able to distinguish between viable reionization models if they can be performed at lower $k$ or, alternatively, if the error bars on the high-$k$ power can be reduced by a factor of $1.5$.

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