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Max Aragon

Publications and source records attributed to Max Aragon.

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SolarBench: A global solar energy nowcasting benchmark

As the share of solar power grows, nowcasting weather-driven solar variability becomes critical for reliable energy system operation. State-of-the-art approaches increasingly apply deep learning to sky camera and geostationary satellite observations, but fragmented datasets and inconsistent evaluation make it difficult to determine whether reported improvements generalize across climates, cloud regimes, and photovoltaic (PV) systems. Here we introduce SolarBench, an open global benchmark for image-based solar nowcasting. SolarBench harmonizes more than six million sky and satellite images from 11 diverse sites spanning a decade, together with irradiance or PV output and auxiliary atmospheric data. An accompanying toolbox supports reproducible data access, processing, model development, and evaluation. Using SolarBench, we benchmark representative models and reveal a gap between average forecasting accuracy and the ability to capture rapid solar fluctuations. We further quantify predictability across cloud regimes and demonstrate data-efficient adaptation to new PV systems. SolarBench provides an extensible foundation for fair comparison and methodological innovation in solar nowcasting.

cs.CV

Open-Source Ground-based Sky Image Datasets for Very Short-term Solar Forecasting, Cloud Analysis and Modeling: A Comprehensive Survey

Sky-image-based solar forecasting using deep learning has been recognized as a promising approach in reducing the uncertainty in solar power generation. However, one of the biggest challenges is the lack of massive and diversified sky image samples. In this study, we present a comprehensive survey of open-source ground-based sky image datasets for very short-term solar forecasting (i.e., forecasting horizon less than 30 minutes), as well as related research areas which can potentially help improve solar forecasting methods, including cloud segmentation, cloud classification and cloud motion prediction. We first identify 72 open-source sky image datasets that satisfy the needs of machine/deep learning. Then a database of information about various aspects of the identified datasets is constructed. To evaluate each surveyed datasets, we further develop a multi-criteria ranking system based on 8 dimensions of the datasets which could have important impacts on usage of the data. Finally, we provide insights on the usage of these datasets for different applications. We hope this paper can provide an overview for researchers who are looking for datasets for very short-term solar forecasting and related areas.

cs.CV