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Maximilian Arbeiter

Publications and source records attributed to Maximilian Arbeiter.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Variable Selection Using Nearest Neighbor Gaussian Processes

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for variable selection using Gaussian process regression, which is crucial for enhancing interpretability and model regularization. Our method employs nearest neighbor Gaussian processes, serving as scalable approximations of classical Gaussian processes. Variable selection is achieved by conditioning the process mean and covariance function on a random set that represents the indices of contributing variables. A priori beliefs regarding this set control the variable selection, while reference priors are assigned to the remaining model parameters, ensuring numerical robustness in the process covariance matrix. We propose a Metropolis-Within-Gibbs algorithm for model inference. Evaluation using simulated data, a computer experiment approximation, and two real-world data sets demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.

stat.CO

Wind profiles for WKB Prandtl models based on slope and free air flow

In this article the WKB (Wentzel-Kramers-Brillouin) Prandtl model serves as the baseline for the study of different kinds of slope flows which can occur over inclined surfaces. The Prandtl-type model couples basic boundary-layer dynamics and thermodynamics for pure slope flows. We provide an answer to the question if it is possible to obtain the matching WKB Prandtl model using only friction velocity, friction temperature, and sensible heat flux. This instantly raises the query if there is a transition or combination between the WKB-Prandtl model for slope flows and the Monin-Obukhov similarity theory for free-air flows and vice versa. As a result, we show the difference between friction velocity and friction temperature calculated using the Monin-Obukhov similarity theory and those computed using the WKB Prandtl model. There is ongoing research into hill-perturbed non-neutral wind profiles because of their potential utility in numerous applications. Hence, further discussion includes how the new parametrization of the WKB Prandtl model may be used to calculate slope and free-air flows in a micro-meteorological model of an alpine valley, e.g. for pollutant dispersion calculations.

physics.flu-dyn

A novel Bayesian approach for variable selection in linear regression models

We propose a novel Bayesian approach to the problem of variable selection in multiple linear regression models. In particular, we present a hierarchical setting which allows for direct specification of a-priori beliefs about the number of nonzero regression coefficients as well as a specification of beliefs that given coefficients are nonzero. To guarantee numerical stability, we adopt a $g$-prior with an additional ridge parameter for the unknown regression coefficients. In order to simulate from the joint posterior distribution an intelligent random walk Metropolis-Hastings algorithm which is able to switch between different models is proposed. Testing our algorithm on real and simulated data illustrates that it performs at least on par and often even better than other well-established methods. Finally, we prove that under some nominal assumptions, the presented approach is consistent in terms of model selection.

stat.CO