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Maxwell J. Farrell

Publications and source records attributed to Maxwell J. Farrell.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Network embedding unveils the hidden interactions in the mammalian virome

At most 1-2% of the global virome has been sampled to date. Recent work has shown that predicting which host-virus interactions are possible but undiscovered or unrealized is, fundamentally, a network science problem. Here, we develop a novel method that combines a coarse recommender system (Linear Filtering; LF) with an imputation algorithm based on low-rank graph embedding (Singular Value Decomposition; SVD) to infer host-virus associations. This combination of techniques results in informed initial guesses based on directly measurable network properties (density, degree distribution) that are refined through SVD (which is able to leverage emerging features). Using this method, we recovered highly plausible undiscovered interactions with a strong signal of viral coevolutionary history, and revealed a global hotspot of unusually unique but unsampled (or unrealized) host-virus interactions in the Amazon rainforest. We develop several tests for quantifying the bias and realism of these predictions, and show that the LF-SVD method is robust in each aspect. We finally show that graph embedding of the imputed network can be used to improve predictions of human infection from viral genome features, showing that the global structure of the mammal-virus network provides additional insights into human disease emergence.

q-bio.QM

A hierarchical Bayesian model for predicting ecological interactions using scaled evolutionary relationships

Identifying undocumented or potential future interactions among species is a challenge facing modern ecologists. Recent link prediction methods rely on trait data, however large species interaction databases are typically sparse and covariates are limited to only a fraction of species. On the other hand, evolutionary relationships, encoded as phylogenetic trees, can act as proxies for underlying traits and historical patterns of parasite sharing among hosts. We show that using a network-based conditional model, phylogenetic information provides strong predictive power in a recently published global database of host-parasite interactions. By scaling the phylogeny using an evolutionary model, our method allows for biological interpretation often missing from latent variable models. To further improve on the phylogeny-only model, we combine a hierarchical Bayesian latent score framework for bipartite graphs that accounts for the number of interactions per species with the host dependence informed by phylogeny. Combining the two information sources yields significant improvement in predictive accuracy over each of the submodels alone. As many interaction networks are constructed from presence-only data, we extend the model by integrating a correction mechanism for missing interactions, which proves valuable in reducing uncertainty in unobserved interactions.

stat.AP