SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Maxwell Kaye

Publications and source records attributed to Maxwell Kaye.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Kingman's coalescent on a random graph

We introduce a generalization of Kingman's coalescent on $[n]$ that we call the Kingman coalescent on a graph $G = ([n],E)$. Specifically, we generalize a forest valued representation of the coalescent introduced in Addario-Berry and Eslava (2018). The difference between the Kingman coalescent on $G$ and the normal Kingman coalescent on $[n]$ is that two trees $T_1,T_2$ with roots $\rho_1,\rho_2$ can merge if and only if $\{\rho_1,\rho_2\} \in E$. When this process finishes (when there are no trees left that can merge anymore), we are left with a random spanning forest that we call a Kingman forest of $G$. In this article, we study the Kingman coalescent on Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graphs, $G_{n,p}$. We derive a relationship between the Kingman coalescent on $G_{n,p}$ and uniform random recursive trees, which provides many answers concerning structural questions about the corresponding Kingman forests. We explore the heights of Kingman forests as well as the sizes of their trees as illustrative examples of how to use the connection. Our main results concern the number of trees, $C_{n,p}$, in a Kingman forest of $G_{n,p}$. For fixed $p \in (0,1)$, we prove that $C_{n,p}$ converges in distribution to an almost surely finite random variable as $n \to \infty$. For $p = p(n)$ such that $p \to 0$ and $np \to \infty$ as $n \to \infty$, we prove that $C_{n,p}$ converges in probability to $\frac{2(1-p)}{p}$.

math.PR

Energetic closure of the spatially resolved global food system

Integrated global food system analysis is hampered by the fragmentation of data among food types, processes, and scales. Studies also often neglect the connection to human metabolism -- the ultimate driver of food demand. Here we use a common energetic framework to harmonize data on 95 individual food commodities across food system processes, including production, processing, animal feed and consumption, and estimate human metabolism from body size, demographic, and activity data. We estimate that the share of unmetabolized food calories globally doubled between 1990 and 2019 (from about 10 to 20% of the total calories available for human consumption) as food supply outpaced energy expenditure. Approximately half (51%) of the global population's metabolic demands could theoretically be met by production in the same local 1-degree grid cell (~ 10,000 km2) when holding diets constant. Our open-source framework can be applied to assess strategies to reduce food system inefficiencies from photosynthesis to metabolism while meeting local energetic demands.

physics.soc-ph