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Meijia Shao

Publications and source records attributed to Meijia Shao.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

L-2 Regularized maximum likelihood for $β$-model in large and sparse networks

The $β$-model is a powerful tool for modeling large and sparse networks driven by degree heterogeneity, where many network models become infeasible due to computational challenge and network sparsity. However, existing estimation algorithms for $β$-model do not scale up. Also, theoretical understandings remain limited to dense networks. This paper brings several significant improvements over existing results to address the urgent needs of practice. We propose a new $\ell_2$-penalized MLE algorithm that can comfortably handle sparse networks of millions of nodes with much-improved memory parsimony. We establish the first rate-optimal error bounds and high-dimensional asymptotic normality results for $β$-models, under much weaker network sparsity assumptions than best existing results. Application of our method to large COVID-19 network data sets discovered meaningful results.

stat.ME

Higher-order accurate two-sample network inference and network hashing

Two-sample hypothesis testing for network comparison presents many significant challenges, including: leveraging repeated network observations and known node registration, but without requiring them to operate; relaxing strong structural assumptions; achieving finite-sample higher-order accuracy; handling different network sizes and sparsity levels; fast computation and memory parsimony; controlling false discovery rate (FDR) in multiple testing; and theoretical understandings, particularly regarding finite-sample accuracy and minimax optimality. In this paper, we develop a comprehensive toolbox, featuring a novel main method and its variants, all accompanied by strong theoretical guarantees, to address these challenges. Our method outperforms existing tools in speed and accuracy, and it is proved power-optimal. Our algorithms are user-friendly and versatile in handling various data structures (single or repeated network observations; known or unknown node registration). We also develop an innovative framework for offline hashing and fast querying as a very useful tool for large network databases. We showcase the effectiveness of our method through comprehensive simulations and applications to two real-world datasets, which revealed intriguing new structures.

stat.ME

Distribution-Free Matrix Prediction Under Arbitrary Missing Pattern

This paper studies the open problem of conformalized entry prediction in a row/column-exchangeable matrix. The matrix setting presents novel and unique challenges, but there exists little work on this interesting topic. We meticulously define the problem, differentiate it from closely related problems, and rigorously delineate the boundary between achievable and impossible goals. We then propose two practical algorithms. The first method provides a fast emulation of the full conformal prediction, while the second method leverages the technique of algorithmic stability for acceleration. Both methods are computationally efficient and can effectively safeguard coverage validity in presence of arbitrary missing pattern. Further, we quantify the impact of missingness on prediction accuracy and establish fundamental limit results. Empirical evidence from synthetic and real-world data sets corroborates the superior performance of our proposed methods.

cs.LG

U-Statistic Reduction: Higher-Order Accurate Risk Control and Statistical-Computational Trade-Off, with Application to Network Method-of-Moments

U-statistics play central roles in many statistical learning tools but face the haunting issue of scalability. Significant efforts have been devoted into accelerating computation by U-statistic reduction. However, existing results almost exclusively focus on power analysis, while little work addresses risk control accuracy -- comparatively, the latter requires distinct and much more challenging techniques. In this paper, we establish the first statistical inference procedure with provably higher-order accurate risk control for incomplete U-statistics. The sharpness of our new result enables us to reveal how risk control accuracy also trades off with speed for the first time in literature, which complements the well-known variance-speed trade-off. Our proposed general framework converts the long-standing challenge of formulating accurate statistical inference procedures for many different designs into a surprisingly routine task. This paper covers non-degenerate and degenerate U-statistics, and network moments. We conducted comprehensive numerical studies and observed results that validate our theory's sharpness. Our method also demonstrates effectiveness on real-world data applications.

stat.ME