Searcharxiv⌕ Search

arXiv subjects

Meng Hsuan Hsieh

Publications and source records attributed to Meng Hsuan Hsieh.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Stacked Triple Differences

Triple differences (DDD) is a workhorse quasi-experimental design in applied economics. But, under staggered adoption, its conventional three-way fixed-effects (3WFE) implementation inherits the interpretation issues now well understood in the difference-in-differences literature. I introduce stacked DDD. I extend the stacked difference-in-differences approach to the DDD setting by creating self-contained stacks, each consisting of four cells over an event window: treated and clean comparison cohorts, each with treatment-eligible and treatment-ineligible units. Appending these stacks yields a unified dataset for estimating treatment effects. I prove that, at each post-treatment event-time, a linear regression with fully saturated fixed-effects applied to the stacked dataset identifies a strictly positive, cell-size-weighted average of stack-level conditional average treatment effects, with stack weights proportional to stack-level cell sizes. Building on this characterization, I outline alternative weighting schemes that recover causal estimands with clear interpretations. Stacked DDD complements recent GMM and imputation-based frameworks by trading efficiency for regression-based transparency, pairwise (rather than global) parallel changes-in-trends, and direct control over both the comparison group for each treated unit and the aggregation weights. I provide two empirical illustrations where stacked DDD yields substantially different quantitative conclusions compared to existing procedures.

econ.EM↗

Revisiting the Analysis of Matched-Pair and Stratified Experiments in the Presence of Attrition

In this paper we revisit some common recommendations regarding the analysis of matched-pair and stratified experimental designs in the presence of attrition. Our main objective is to clarify a number of well-known claims about the practice of dropping pairs with an attrited unit when analyzing matched-pair designs. Contradictory advice appears in the literature about whether or not dropping pairs is beneficial or harmful, and stratifying into larger groups has been recommended as a resolution to the issue. To address these claims, we derive the estimands obtained from the difference-in-means estimator in a matched-pair design both when the observations from pairs with an attrited unit are retained and when they are dropped. We find limited evidence to support the claims that dropping pairs helps recover the average treatment effect, but we find that it may potentially help in recovering a convex weighted average of conditional average treatment effects. We report similar findings for stratified designs when studying the estimands obtained from a regression of outcomes on treatment with and without strata fixed effects.

econ.EM↗

Tangential Wasserstein Projections

We develop a notion of projections between sets of probability measures using the geometric properties of the 2-Wasserstein space. It is designed for general multivariate probability measures, is computationally efficient to implement, and provides a unique solution in regular settings. The idea is to work on regular tangent cones of the Wasserstein space using generalized geodesics. Its structure and computational properties make the method applicable in a variety of settings, from causal inference to the analysis of object data. An application to estimating causal effects yields a generalization of the notion of synthetic controls to multivariate data with individual-level heterogeneity, as well as a way to estimate optimal weights jointly over all time periods.

stat.ML↗