SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Michèle Sebag

Publications and source records attributed to Michèle Sebag.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

A Job I Like or a Job I Can Get: Designing Job Recommender Systems Using Field Experiments

Recommendation systems (RSs) are increasingly used to guide job seekers on online platforms, yet the algorithms currently deployed are typically optimized for predictive objectives such as clicks, applications, or hires, rather than job seekers' welfare. We develop a job-search model with an application stage in which the value of a vacancy depends on two dimensions: the utility it delivers to the worker and the probability that an application succeeds. The model implies that welfare-optimal RSs rank vacancies by an expected-surplus index combining both, and shows why rankings based solely on utility, hiring probabilities, or observed application behavior are generically suboptimal, an instance of the inversion problem between behavior and welfare. We test these predictions and quantify their practical importance through two randomized field experiments conducted with the French public employment service. The first experiment, comparing existing algorithms and their combinations, provides behavioral evidence that both dimensions shape application decisions. Guided by the model and these results, the second experiment extends the comparison to an RS designed to approximate the welfare-optimal ranking. The experiments generate exogenous variation in the vacancies shown to job seekers, allowing us to estimate the model, validate its behavioral predictions, and construct a welfare metric. Algorithms informed by the model-implied optimal ranking substantially outperform existing approaches and perform close to the welfare-optimal benchmark. Our results show that embedding predictive tools within a simple job-search framework and combining it with experimental evidence yields recommendation rules with substantial welfare gains in practice.

econ.EM

Asymmetrical Latent Representation for Individual Treatment Effect Modeling

Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) estimation, at the heart of counterfactual reasoning, is a crucial challenge for causal modeling both theoretically and applicatively, in domains such as healthcare, sociology, or advertising. Borrowing domain adaptation principles, a popular design maps the sample representation to a latent space that balances control and treated populations while enabling the prediction of the potential outcomes. This paper presents a new CATE estimation approach based on the asymmetrical search for two latent spaces called Asymmetrical Latent Representation for Individual Treatment Effect (ALRITE), where the two latent spaces are respectively intended to optimize the counterfactual prediction accuracy on the control and the treated samples. Under moderate assumptions, ALRITE admits an upper bound on the precision of the estimation of heterogeneous effects (PEHE), and the approach is empirically successfully validated compared to the state-of-the-art

cs.LG

DCILP: A Distributed Approach for Large-Scale Causal Structure Learning

Causal learning tackles the computationally demanding task of estimating causal graphs. This paper introduces a new divide-and-conquer approach for causal graph learning, called DCILP. In the divide phase, the Markov blanket MB($X_i$) of each variable $X_i$ is identified, and causal learning subproblems associated with each MB($X_i$) are independently addressed in parallel. This approach benefits from a more favorable ratio between the number of data samples and the number of variables considered. In counterpart, it can be adversely affected by the presence of hidden confounders, as variables external to MB($X_i$) might influence those within it. The reconciliation of the local causal graphs generated during the divide phase is a challenging combinatorial optimization problem, especially in large-scale applications. The main novelty of DCILP is an original formulation of this reconciliation as an integer linear programming (ILP) problem, which can be delegated and efficiently handled by an ILP solver. Through experiments on medium to large scale graphs, and comparisons with state-of-the-art methods, DCILP demonstrates significant improvements in terms of computational complexity, while preserving the learning accuracy on real-world problem and suffering at most a slight loss of accuracy on synthetic problems.

cs.LG

Learning Large Causal Structures from Inverse Covariance Matrix via Sparse Matrix Decomposition

Learning causal structures from observational data is a fundamental problem facing important computational challenges when the number of variables is large. In the context of linear structural equation models (SEMs), this paper focuses on learning causal structures from the inverse covariance matrix. The proposed method, called ICID for Independence-preserving Decomposition from Inverse Covariance matrix, is based on continuous optimization of a matrix decomposition model that preserves the nonzero patterns of the inverse covariance matrix. Through theoretical and empirical evidences, we show that ICID efficiently identifies the sought directed acyclic graph (DAG) assuming the knowledge of noise variances. Moreover, ICID is shown empirically to be robust under bounded misspecification of noise variances in the case where the noise variances are non-equal. The proposed method enjoys a low complexity, as reflected by its time efficiency in the experiments, and also enables a novel regularization scheme that yields highly accurate solutions on the Simulated fMRI data (Smith et al., 2011) in comparison with state-of-the-art algorithms.

cs.LG

Structural Agnostic Modeling: Adversarial Learning of Causal Graphs

A new causal discovery method, Structural Agnostic Modeling (SAM), is presented in this paper. Leveraging both conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries, SAM aims to find the underlying causal structure from observational data. The approach is based on a game between different players estimating each variable distribution conditionally to the others as a neural net, and an adversary aimed at discriminating the generated data against the original data. A learning criterion combining distribution estimation, sparsity and acyclicity constraints is used to enforce the optimization of the graph structure and parameters through stochastic gradient descent. SAM is extensively experimentally validated on synthetic and real data.

stat.ML

From graphs to DAGs: a low-complexity model and a scalable algorithm

Learning directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) is long known a critical challenge at the core of probabilistic and causal modeling. The NoTears approach of (Zheng et al., 2018), through a differentiable function involving the matrix exponential trace $\mathrm{tr}(\exp(\cdot))$, opens up a way to learning DAGs via continuous optimization, though with a $O(d^3)$ complexity in the number $d$ of nodes. This paper presents a low-complexity model, called LoRAM for Low-Rank Additive Model, which combines low-rank matrix factorization with a sparsification mechanism for the continuous optimization of DAGs. The main contribution of the approach lies in an efficient gradient approximation method leveraging the low-rank property of the model, and its straightforward application to the computation of projections from graph matrices onto the DAG matrix space. The proposed method achieves a reduction from a cubic complexity to quadratic complexity while handling the same DAG characteristic function as NoTears, and scales easily up to thousands of nodes for the projection problem. The experiments show that the LoRAM achieves efficiency gains of orders of magnitude compared to the state-of-the-art at the expense of a very moderate accuracy loss in the considered range of sparse matrices, and with a low sensitivity to the rank choice of the model's low-rank component.

cs.LG

Frugal Machine Learning

Machine learning, already at the core of increasingly many systems and applications, is set to become even more ubiquitous with the rapid rise of wearable devices and the Internet of Things. In most machine learning applications, the main focus is on the quality of the results achieved (e.g., prediction accuracy), and hence vast amounts of data are being collected, requiring significant computational resources to build models. In many scenarios, however, it is infeasible or impractical to set up large centralized data repositories. In personal health, for instance, privacy issues may inhibit the sharing of detailed personal data. In such cases, machine learning should ideally be performed on wearable devices themselves, which raises major computational limitations such as the battery capacity of smartwatches. This paper thus investigates frugal learning, aimed to build the most accurate possible models using the least amount of resources. A wide range of learning algorithms is examined through a frugal lens, analyzing their accuracy/runtime performance on a wide range of data sets. The most promising algorithms are thereafter assessed in a real-world scenario by implementing them in a smartwatch and letting them learn activity recognition models on the watch itself.

cs.LG

Distribution-Based Invariant Deep Networks for Learning Meta-Features

Recent advances in deep learning from probability distributions successfully achieve classification or regression from distribution samples, thus invariant under permutation of the samples. The first contribution of the paper is to extend these neural architectures to achieve invariance under permutation of the features, too. The proposed architecture, called Dida, inherits the NN properties of universal approximation, and its robustness w.r.t. Lipschitz-bounded transformations of the input distribution is established. The second contribution is to empirically and comparatively demonstrate the merits of the approach on two tasks defined at the dataset level. On both tasks, Dida learns meta-features supporting the characterization of a (labelled) dataset. The first task consists of predicting whether two dataset patches are extracted from the same initial dataset. The second task consists of predicting whether the learning performance achieved by a hyper-parameter configuration under a fixed algorithm (ranging in k-NN, SVM, logistic regression and linear classifier with SGD) dominates that of another configuration, for a dataset extracted from the OpenML benchmarking suite. On both tasks, Dida outperforms the state of the art: DSS (Maron et al., 2020) and Dataset2Vec (Jomaa et al., 2019) architectures, as well as the models based on the hand-crafted meta-features of the literature.

stat.ML

Variational Auto-Encoder: not all failures are equal

We claim that a source of severe failures for Variational Auto-Encoders is the choice of the distribution class used for the observation model.A first theoretical and experimental contribution of the paper is to establish that even in the large sample limit with arbitrarily powerful neural architectures and latent space, the VAE failsif the sharpness of the distribution class does not match the scale of the data.Our second claim is that the distribution sharpness must preferably be learned by the VAE (as opposed to, fixed and optimized offline): Autonomously adjusting this sharpness allows the VAE to dynamically control the trade-off between the optimization of the reconstruction loss and the latent compression. A second empirical contribution is to show how the control of this trade-off is instrumental in escaping poor local optima, akin a simulated annealing schedule.Both claims are backed upon experiments on artificial data, MNIST and CelebA, showing how sharpness learning addresses the notorious VAE blurriness issue.

cs.LG

From abstract items to latent spaces to observed data and back: Compositional Variational Auto-Encoder

Conditional Generative Models are now acknowledged an essential tool in Machine Learning. This paper focuses on their control. While many approaches aim at disentangling the data through the coordinate-wise control of their latent representations, another direction is explored in this paper. The proposed CompVAE handles data with a natural multi-ensemblist structure (i.e. that can naturally be decomposed into elements). Derived from Bayesian variational principles, CompVAE learns a latent representation leveraging both observational and symbolic information. A first contribution of the approach is that this latent representation supports a compositional generative model, amenable to multi-ensemblist operations (addition or subtraction of elements in the composition). This compositional ability is enabled by the invariance and generality of the whole framework w.r.t. respectively, the order and number of the elements. The second contribution of the paper is a proof of concept on synthetic 1D and 2D problems, demonstrating the efficiency of the proposed approach.

cs.LG

Automated Machine Learning with Monte-Carlo Tree Search

The AutoML task consists of selecting the proper algorithm in a machine learning portfolio, and its hyperparameter values, in order to deliver the best performance on the dataset at hand. Mosaic, a Monte-Carlo tree search (MCTS) based approach, is presented to handle the AutoML hybrid structural and parametric expensive black-box optimization problem. Extensive empirical studies are conducted to independently assess and compare: i) the optimization processes based on Bayesian optimization or MCTS; ii) its warm-start initialization; iii) the ensembling of the solutions gathered along the search. Mosaic is assessed on the OpenML 100 benchmark and the Scikit-learn portfolio, with statistically significant gains over Auto-Sklearn, winner of former international AutoML challenges.

cs.LG

Learning Functional Causal Models with Generative Neural Networks

We introduce a new approach to functional causal modeling from observational data, called Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNN). CGNN leverages the power of neural networks to learn a generative model of the joint distribution of the observed variables, by minimizing the Maximum Mean Discrepancy between generated and observed data. An approximate learning criterion is proposed to scale the computational cost of the approach to linear complexity in the number of observations. The performance of CGNN is studied throughout three experiments. Firstly, CGNN is applied to cause-effect inference, where the task is to identify the best causal hypothesis out of $X\rightarrow Y$ and $Y\rightarrow X$. Secondly, CGNN is applied to the problem of identifying v-structures and conditional independences. Thirdly, CGNN is applied to multivariate functional causal modeling: given a skeleton describing the direct dependences in a set of random variables $\textbf{X} = [X_1, \ldots, X_d]$, CGNN orients the edges in the skeleton to uncover the directed acyclic causal graph describing the causal structure of the random variables. On all three tasks, CGNN is extensively assessed on both artificial and real-world data, comparing favorably to the state-of-the-art. Finally, CGNN is extended to handle the case of confounders, where latent variables are involved in the overall causal model.

stat.ML

New Losses for Generative Adversarial Learning

Generative Adversarial Networks (Goodfellow et al., 2014), a major breakthrough in the field of generative modeling, learn a discriminator to estimate some distance between the target and the candidate distributions. This paper examines mathematical issues regarding the way the gradients for the generative model are computed in this context, and notably how to take into account how the discriminator itself depends on the generator parameters. A unifying methodology is presented to define mathematically sound training objectives for generative models taking this dependency into account in a robust way, covering both GAN, VAE and some GAN variants as particular cases.

stat.ML

Causal Generative Neural Networks

We present Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNNs) to learn functional causal models from observational data. CGNNs leverage conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries to discover bivariate and multivariate causal structures. CGNNs make no assumption regarding the lack of confounders, and learn a differentiable generative model of the data by using backpropagation. Extensive experiments show their good performances comparatively to the state of the art in observational causal discovery on both simulated and real data, with respect to cause-effect inference, v-structure identification, and multivariate causal discovery.

stat.ML

Stochastic Gradient Descent: Going As Fast As Possible But Not Faster

When applied to training deep neural networks, stochastic gradient descent (SGD) often incurs steady progression phases, interrupted by catastrophic episodes in which loss and gradient norm explode. A possible mitigation of such events is to slow down the learning process. This paper presents a novel approach to control the SGD learning rate, that uses two statistical tests. The first one, aimed at fast learning, compares the momentum of the normalized gradient vectors to that of random unit vectors and accordingly gracefully increases or decreases the learning rate. The second one is a change point detection test, aimed at the detection of catastrophic learning episodes; upon its triggering the learning rate is instantly halved. Both abilities of speeding up and slowing down the learning rate allows the proposed approach, called SALeRA, to learn as fast as possible but not faster. Experiments on standard benchmarks show that SALeRA performs well in practice, and compares favorably to the state of the art.

stat.ML

Multi-dimensional signal approximation with sparse structured priors using split Bregman iterations

This paper addresses the structurally-constrained sparse decomposition of multi-dimensional signals onto overcomplete families of vectors, called dictionaries. The contribution of the paper is threefold. Firstly, a generic spatio-temporal regularization term is designed and used together with the standard $\ell_1$ regularization term to enforce a sparse decomposition preserving the spatio-temporal structure of the signal. Secondly, an optimization algorithm based on the split Bregman approach is proposed to handle the associated optimization problem, and its convergence is analyzed. Our well-founded approach yields same accuracy as the other algorithms at the state-of-the-art, with significant gains in terms of convergence speed. Thirdly, the empirical validation of the approach on artificial and real-world problems demonstrates the generality and effectiveness of the method. On artificial problems, the proposed regularization subsumes the Total Variation minimization and recovers the expected decomposition. On the real-world problem of electro-encephalography brainwave decomposition, the approach outperforms similar approaches in terms of P300 evoked potentials detection, using structured spatial priors to guide the decomposition.

cs.DS

Multi-dimensional sparse structured signal approximation using split Bregman iterations

The paper focuses on the sparse approximation of signals using overcomplete representations, such that it preserves the (prior) structure of multi-dimensional signals. The underlying optimization problem is tackled using a multi-dimensional split Bregman optimization approach. An extensive empirical evaluation shows how the proposed approach compares to the state of the art depending on the signal features.

cs.DS

Maximum Likelihood-based Online Adaptation of Hyper-parameters in CMA-ES

The Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategy (CMA-ES) is widely accepted as a robust derivative-free continuous optimization algorithm for non-linear and non-convex optimization problems. CMA-ES is well known to be almost parameterless, meaning that only one hyper-parameter, the population size, is proposed to be tuned by the user. In this paper, we propose a principled approach called self-CMA-ES to achieve the online adaptation of CMA-ES hyper-parameters in order to improve its overall performance. Experimental results show that for larger-than-default population size, the default settings of hyper-parameters of CMA-ES are far from being optimal, and that self-CMA-ES allows for dynamically approaching optimal settings.

cs.NE