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Michał Barski

Publications and source records attributed to Michał Barski.

17 recordsLinked to original sources

On the reducibility of affine models with dependent Lévy factor

The paper is devoted to the study of the short rate equation of the form $$ dR(t)=F(R(t)) dt +\sum_{i=1}^{d}G(R(t-))dZ_i(t)$$ with deterministic functions $F,G_1,...,G_d$ and a multivariate Lévy process $Z=(Z_1,...,Z_d)$ with possibly dependent coordinates. The equation is supposed to have a nonnegative solution which generates an affine term structure model. The Lévy measure $ν$ of $Z$ is assumed to admit a spherical decomposition based on the representation $\mathbb{R}^d=S^{d-1}\times (0,+\infty)$, where $S^{d-1}$ stands for the unit sphere. Then $ν(dy)=λ(dξ)\times γ_ξ(dr)$, where $λ$ is a measure on $S^{d-1}$ and $γ_ξ$ on $(0,+\infty)$. Under some assumptions on spherical decomposition, a precise form of the generator of $R$ is determined and it is shown that the resulted term structure model is identical to that generated by the equation $$ d R(t)=(a R(t)+b) dt+C\cdot (R(t-))^{1/α} dZ^α(t), \quad R(0)=x, $$ with some constants $a,b,C$ and a one dimensional $α$-stable Lévy process $Z^α$, where $α\in(1,2)$. The case when $ν$ has a density is considered as a special case. The paper generalizes the classical results on the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model, \cite{CIR}, as well as on its extended version from \cite{BarskiZabczykCIR} and \cite{BarskiZabczyk} where $Z$ is a one-dimensional Lévy process. It is the starting point for the classification in the spirit of \cite{DaiSingleton} and \cite{BarskiLochowski} for the affine models with dependent Lévy processes.

math.PR↗

Affine term structure models driven by independent Lévy processes

We characterize affine term structure models of non-negative short rate $R$ which may be obtained as solutions of autonomous SDEs driven by independent, one-dimensional Lévy martingales, that is equations of the form $$ dR(r)=F(R(t))dt+\sum_{i=1}^{d}G_i(R(t-))dZ_i(t), \quad R(0)=r_0\geq 0, \quad t>0, \quad (1)$$ with deterministic real functions $F,G_1,...,G_d$ and independent one-dimensional Lévy martingales $Z_1,...,Z_d$. Using a general result on the form of the generators of affine term structure models due to Filipović, it is shown, under the assumption that the Laplace transforms of the driving noises are regularly varying, that all possible solutions $R$ of (1) may be obtained also as solutions of autonomous SDEs driven by independent stable processes with stability indices in the range $(1,2]$. The obtained models include in particular the $α$-CIR model, introduced by Jiao et al., which proved to be still simple yet more reliable than the classical CIR model. Results on heavy tails of $R$ and its limit distribution in terms of the stability indices are proven. Finally, results of numerical calibration of the obtained models to the market term structure of interest rates are presented and compared with the CIR and $α$-CIR models.

math.PR↗

Classification and calibration of affine models driven by independent Lévy processes

The paper is devoted to the study of the short rate equation of the form $$ dR(t)=F(R(t))dt+\sum_{i=1}^{d}G_i(R(t-))dZ_i(t), \quad R(0)=x\geq 0, \quad t>0, $$ with deterministic functions $F,G_1,...,G_d$ and independent Lévy processes of infinite variation $Z_1,...,Z_d$ with regularly varying Laplace exponents. The equation is supposed to have a nonnegative solution which generates an affine term structure model. A precise form of the generator of $R$ is characterized and a related classification of equations which generate affine models introduced in the spirit of Dai and Singleton \cite{DaiSingleton}. Each class is shown to have its own canonical representation which is an equation with the same drift and the jump diffusion part based on a Lévy process taking values in $\mathbb{R}^{g}, 1\leq g\leq d$, with independent coordinates being stable processes with stability indices in the range $(1,2]$. Numerical calibration results of canonical representations to the market term structure of interest rates are presented and compared with the classical CIR model. The paper generalizes the classical results on the CIR model from \cite{CIR}, as well as on its extended version from \cite{BarskiZabczykCIR} and \cite{BarskiZabczyk} where $Z$ was a one-dimensional Lévy process.

math.PR↗

CIR equations with multivariate Lévy noise

The paper is devoted to the study of the short rate equation of the form $$ d R(t)=F(R(t)) dt+\sum_{i=1}^{d}G_i(R(t-)) dZ_i(t), \quad R(0)=x\geq 0,\quad t>0, $$ with deterministic functions $F,G_1,...,G_d$ and a multivariate Lévy process $Z=(Z_1,...,Z_d)$. The equation is supposed to have a nonnegative solution which generates an affine term structure model. Two classes of noise are considered. In the first one the coordinates of Z are independent processes with regularly varying Laplace exponents. In the second class Z is a spherical processes, which means that its Lévy measure has a similar structure as that of a stable process, but with radial part of a general form. For both classes a precise form of the short rate generator is characterized. Under mild assumptions it is shown that any equation of the considered type has the same solution as the equation driven by a Lévy process with independent stable coordinates. The paper generalizes the classical results on the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model as well as on its extended version where $Z$ is a one-dimensional Lévy process.

math.PR↗

Large losses - probability minimizing approach

The probability minimizing problem of large losses of portfolio in discrete and continuous time models is studied. This gives a generalization of quantile hedging presented in [3].

q-fin.MF↗

Integral representations of risk functions for basket derivatives

The risk minimizing problem $\mathbf{E}[l((H-X_T^{x,π})^{+})]\oversetπ{\longrightarrow}\min$ in the multidimensional Black-Scholes framework is studied. Specific formulas for the minimal risk function and the cost reduction function for basket derivatives are shown. Explicit integral representations for the risk functions for $l(x)=x$ and $l(x)=x^p$, with $p>1$ for digital, quantos, outperformance and spread options are derived.

math.OC↗

Quantile hedging for basket derivatives

The problem of quantile hedging for basket derivatives in the Black-Scholes model with correlation is considered. Explicit formulas for the probability maximizing function and the cost reduction function are derived. Applicability of the results for the widely traded derivatives as digital, quantos, outperformance and spread options is shown.

q-fin.RM↗

Completeness of bond market driven by Lévy process

The completeness problem of the bond market model with the random factors determined by a Wiener process and Poisson random measure is studied. Hedging portfolios use bonds with maturities in a countable, dense subset of a finite time interval. It is shown that under natural assumptions the market is not complete unless the support of the Lévy measure consists of a finite number of points. Explicit constructions of contingent claims which can not be replicated are provided.

math.PR↗

On incompleteness of bond markets with infinite number of random factors

The completeness of a bond market model with infinite number of sources of randomness on a finite time interval in the Heath-Jarrow-Morton framework is studied. It is proved that the market is not complete. A construction of a bounded contingent claim, which can not be replicated, is provided.

q-fin.CP↗

Approximations for solutions of Lévy-type stochastic differential equations

The problem of the construction of strong approximations with a given order of convergence for jump-diffusion equations is studied. General approximation schemes are constructed for Lévy type stochastic differential equation. In particular, the paper generalizes the results of Platen Kloeden and Gardo\n. The Euler and the Milstein schemes are shown for finite and infinite Lévy measure.

math.PR↗

Asymptotic pricing in large financial markets

The problem of hedging and pricing sequences of contingent claims in large financial markets is studied. Connection between asymptotic arbitrage and behavior of the $α$~-~quantile price is shown. The large Black-Scholes model is carefully examined.

q-fin.MF↗

Forward rate models with linear volatilities

Existence of solutions to the Heath-Jarrow-Morton equation of the bond market with linear volatility and general Lévy random factor is studied. Conditions for existence and non-existence of solutions in the class of bounded fields are presented. For the existence of solutions the Lévy process should necessarily be without the Gaussian part and without negative jumps. If this is the case then necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence are formulated either in terms of the behavior of the Lévy measure of the noise near the origin or the behavior of the Laplace exponent of the noise at infinity.

q-fin.MF↗

Heath-Jarrow-Morton-Musiela equation with Lévy perturbation

The paper studies the Heath-Jarrow-Morton-Musiela equation of the bond market. The equation is analyzed in weighted spaces of functions defined on $[0,+\infty)$. Sufficient conditions for local and global existence are obtained . For equation with the linear diffusion term the conditions for global existence are close to the necessary ones.

q-fin.MF↗

Incompleteness of the bond market with Lévy noise under the physical measure

The problem of completeness of the forward rate based bond market model driven by a Lévy process under the physical measure is examined. The incompleteness of market in the case when the Lévy measure has a density function is shown. The required elements of the theory of stochastic integration over the compensated jump measure under a martingale measure is presented and the corresponding integral representation of local martingales is proven.

q-fin.MF↗

Monotonicity of the collateralized debt obligations term structure model

The problem of existence of arbitrage free and monotone CDO term structure models is studied. Conditions for positivity and monotonicity of the corresponding Heath-Jarrow-Morton-Musiela equation for the $x$-forward rates with the use of the Milian type result are formulated. Two state spaces are taken into account - of square integrable functions and a Sobolev space. For the first the regularity results concerning pointwise monotonicity are proven. Arbitrage free and monotone models are characterized in terms of the volatility of the model and characteristics of the driving Lévy process.

q-fin.MF↗

On the shortfall risk control -- a refinement of the quantile hedging method

The issue of constructing a risk minimizing hedge under an additional almost-surely type constraint on the shortfall profile is examined. Several classical risk minimizing problems are adapted to the new setting and solved. In particular, the bankruptcy threat of optimal strategies appearing in the classical risk minimizing setting is ruled out. The existence and concrete forms of optimal strategies in a general semimartingale market model with the use of conditional statistical tests are proven. The well known quantile hedging method as well as the classical Neyman-Pearson lemma are generalized. Optimal hedging strategies with shortfall constraints in the Black-Scholes and exponential Poisson model are explicitly determined.

q-fin.PR↗