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Michał Sobieraj

Publications and source records attributed to Michał Sobieraj.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

On the randomized Euler scheme for SDEs with integral-form drift

In this paper, we investigate the problem of strong approximation of the solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) when the drift coefficient is given in integral form. We investigate its upper error bounds, in terms of the discretization parameter $n$ and the size $M$ of the random sample drawn at each step of the algorithm, in different subclasses of coefficients of the underlying SDE presenting various rates of convergence. Integral-form drift often appears when analyzing stochastic dynamics of optimization procedures in machine learning (ML) problems. Hence, we additionally discuss connections of the defined randomized Euler approximation scheme with the perturbed version of the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm. Finally, the results of numerical experiments performed using GPU architecture are also reported, including a comparison with other popular optimizers used in ML.

math.NA↗

A multilevel Monte Carlo algorithm for SDEs driven by countably dimensional Wiener process and Poisson random measure

In this paper, we investigate the properties of standard and multilevel Monte Carlo methods for weak approximation of solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by the infinite-dimensional Wiener process and Poisson random measure with Lipschitz payoff function. The error of the truncated dimension randomized numerical scheme, which is determined by two parameters, i.e grid density $n \in \mathbb{N}_{+}$ and truncation dimension parameter $M \in \mathbb{N}_{+},$ is of the order $n^{-1/2}+δ(M)$ such that $δ(\cdot)$ is positive and decreasing to $0$. We derive complexity model and provide proof for the upper complexity bound of the multilevel Monte Carlo method which depends on two increasing sequences of parameters for both $n$ and $M.$ The complexity is measured in terms of upper bound for mean-squared error and compared with the complexity of the standard Monte Carlo algorithm. The results from numerical experiments as well as Python and CUDA C implementation are also reported.

math.NA↗

On the randomized Euler algorithm under inexact information

This paper focuses on analyzing the error of the randomized Euler algorithm when only noisy information about the coefficients of the underlying stochastic differential equation (SDE) and the driving Wiener process is available. Two classes of disturbed Wiener process are considered, and the dependence of the algorithm's error on the regularity of the disturbing functions is investigated. The paper also presents results from numerical experiments to support the theoretical findings.

math.NA↗

On automatic calibration of the SIRD epidemiological model for COVID-19 data in Poland

We propose a novel methodology for estimating the epidemiological parameters of a modified SIRD model (acronym of Susceptible, Infected, Recovered and Deceased individuals) and perform a short-term forecast of SARS-CoV-2 virus spread. We mainly focus on forecasting number of deceased. The procedure was tested on reported data for Poland. For some short-time intervals we performed numerical test investigating stability of parameter estimates in the proposed approach. Numerical experiments confirm the effectiveness of short-term forecasts (up to 2 weeks) and stability of the method. To improve their performance (i.e. computation time) GPU architecture was used in computations.

stat.ME↗

Efficient approximation of SDEs driven by countably dimensional Wiener process and Poisson random measure

In this paper we deal with pointwise approximation of solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by infinite dimensional Wiener process with additional jumps generated by Poisson random measure. The further investigations contain upper error bounds for the proposed truncated dimension randomized Euler scheme. We also establish matching (up to constants) upper and lower bounds for $\varepsilon$-complexity and show that the defined algorithm is optimal in the Information-Based Complexity (IBC) sense. Finally, results of numerical experiments performed by using GPU architecture are also reported.

math.PR↗