Michael Benatar | Searcharxiv

arXiv2025

Likelihood-based Modeling of Covariate-Specific Time-Dependent ROC Curves

Identifying reliable biomarkers for predicting clinical events in longitudinal studies is important for accurate disease prognosis and for guiding development of new treatments. However, prognostic studies are often observational, making it difficult to account for patient heterogeneity. In amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), factors such as age, site of onset and genetic status influence both survival and biomarker levels, yet their impact on the prognostic accuracy of biomarkers over time remains unclear. While time-dependent receiver operating characteristic methods have been developed to handle censored time-to-event outcomes, most do not adjust for covariates. To address this, we propose the nonparanormal prognostic biomarker framework, which models the joint distribution of the biomarker and event time while accounting for covariates. This allows estimation of covariate-specific time-dependent ROC curves and related summary measures. We apply the NPB framework to evaluate serum neurofilament light as a prognostic biomarker in ALS, showing that its accuracy varies over time and with patient characteristics. By capturing these covariate-specific effects, the NPB framework supports more targeted risk stratification and can potentially improve the design of clinical trials for new ALS treatments.

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arXiv2023

SF2Former: Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Identification From Multi-center MRI Data Using Spatial and Frequency Fusion Transformer

Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS) is a complex neurodegenerative disorder involving motor neuron degeneration. Significant research has begun to establish brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) as a potential biomarker to diagnose and monitor the state of the disease. Deep learning has turned into a prominent class of machine learning programs in computer vision and has been successfully employed to solve diverse medical image analysis tasks. However, deep learning-based methods applied to neuroimaging have not achieved superior performance in ALS patients classification from healthy controls due to having insignificant structural changes correlated with pathological features. Therefore, the critical challenge in deep models is to determine useful discriminative features with limited training data. By exploiting the long-range relationship of image features, this study introduces a framework named SF2Former that leverages vision transformer architecture's power to distinguish the ALS subjects from the control group. To further improve the network's performance, spatial and frequency domain information are combined because MRI scans are captured in the frequency domain before being converted to the spatial domain. The proposed framework is trained with a set of consecutive coronal 2D slices, which uses the pre-trained weights on ImageNet by leveraging transfer learning. Finally, a majority voting scheme has been employed to those coronal slices of a particular subject to produce the final classification decision. Our proposed architecture has been thoroughly assessed with multi-modal neuroimaging data using two well-organized versions of the Canadian ALS Neuroimaging Consortium (CALSNIC) multi-center datasets. The experimental results demonstrate the superiority of our proposed strategy in terms of classification accuracy compared with several popular deep learning-based techniques.

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