arXiv subjects

Michael Kovač

Publications and source records attributed to Michael Kovač.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Baryonification IV: Constraining baryonic feedback with X-ray gas fractions

Baryonic feedback redistributes gas around dark matter halos, suppressing the matter power spectrum at scales now probed by weak lensing surveys. X-ray observations directly trace this hot gas, and are one of the main probes of its distribution and properties. We present a forward-modelling framework, built on the baryonification model, linking the three-dimensional gas density and temperature profiles of groups and clusters to observed X-ray surface brightness and luminosity profiles on one side, and to matter power spectrum suppression on the other. We validate the model against independent three-dimensional density reconstructions from the literature, and examine our temperature and metallicity treatment in the group-scale regime. Applying this framework to the SZ-selected CHEX-MATE and X-ray-selected eFEDs samples, we measure gas fractions across the group-to-cluster mass range while accounting for X-ray selection effects, with the first published gas fractions based on CHEX-MATE data. Combining both samples, we derive a joint constraint on the hot gas fraction retained by groups and clusters as a function of mass and on the baryonic suppression of the matter power spectrum. We find $f_{\rm gas} = 0.029 \pm 0.006$ at $M_{500c} = 3\times 10^{13}M_\odot$, $f_{\rm gas} = 0.078 \pm 0.004$ at $M_{500c} = 3\times 10^{14}M_\odot$, and suppression of 6% at $k=1\,h/\rm Mpc$ and 23% at $k=5\,h/\rm Mpc$. Our findings are consistent with recent kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich results, hinting at strong feedback. We also show that the $L_X$-$M$ relation is degenerate with feedback strength, and that different feedback scenarios produce distinct X-ray profile shapes that map onto the same $L_X$-$M$ point. This work is a first step toward extending the framework to forward-model diffuse X-ray emission at the map level for simulation-based inference in upcoming wide-area X-ray surveys such as eROSITA.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Baryonification III: An accurate analytical model for the dispersion measure probability density function of fast radio bursts

We develop an analytical framework to predict the one-point probability distribution function (PDF) of dispersion measures (DMs) for fast radio bursts (FRBs) within the baryonification (BFC) model. BFC provides a computationally efficient alternative to expensive hydrodynamical simulations for modelling baryonic effects on cosmological scales. By applying the halo mass function and halo bias, we convolve contributions from individual halos across a range of masses and redshifts to derive the large-scale structure contribution to the DM PDF. We validate our analytical predictions against consistency-check simulations and compare them with the IllustrisTNG hydrodynamical simulation over the redshift range $ z = 0$ to $z = 5$, demonstrating excellent agreement. We demonstrate that our model produces consistent results when fitting gas profiles and predicting the PDF, and vice versa. We show that the BFC parameters controlling the gas profile, particularly the halo mass scale ($M_\mathrm{c}$), mass-dependent slope ($μ$), and outer truncation ($δ$), are the primary drivers of the PDF shape. Additionally, we investigate the validity of the log-normal approximation commonly used for DM distributions, finding that it provides a sufficient description for a few hundred FRBs. Our work provides a self-consistent model that links gas density profiles to integrated DM statistics, enabling future constraints on baryonic feedback processes from FRB observations.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Baryonification: An alternative to hydrodynamical simulations for cosmological studies

We present an improved baryonification (BFC) model that modifies dark-matter-only $N$-body simulations to generate particle-level outputs for gas, dark matter, and stars. Unlike previous implementations, our approach first splits each simulation particle into separate dark matter and baryonic components, which are then displaced individually using the BFC technique. By applying the hydrostatic and ideal gas equations, we assign pressure and temperature values to individual gas particles. The model is validated against hydrodynamical simulations from the FLAMINGO and TNG suites (which feature varied feedback prescriptions) showing good agreement at the level of density and pressure profiles across a wide range of halo masses. As a further step, we calibrate the BFC model parameters to gas and stellar mass ratio profiles from the hydrodynamical simulations. Based on these calibrations, we baryonify $N$-body simulations and compare the resulting total matter power spectrum suppressions to the ones from the same hydrodynamical simulation. Carrying out this test of the BFC method at each redshift individually, we obtain a 2 percent agreement up to $k=5\,h$/Mpc across all tested feedback scenarios. We also define a reduced, 2+1 parameter BFC model that simultaneously accounts for feedback variations (2 parameters) and redshift evolution (1 parameter). The 2+1 parameter model agrees with the hydrodynamical simulations to better than 2.5 percent over the scales and redshifts relevant for cosmological surveys. Finally, we present a map-level comparison between a baryonified $N$-body simulation and a full hydrodynamical run from the TNG simulation suite. Visual inspection of dark matter, gas, and stellar density fields, along with the integrated pressure map, shows promising agreement. Further work is needed to quantify the accuracy at the level of observables.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

An analytical model for the dispersion measure of Fast Radio Burst host galaxies

The dispersion measure (DM) of fast radio bursts (FRBs) is sensitive to the electron distribution in the Universe, making it a promising probe of cosmology and astrophysical processes such as baryonic feedback. However, cosmological analyses of FRBs require knowledge of the contribution to the observed DM coming from the FRB host. The size and distribution of this contribution is still uncertain, thus significantly limiting current cosmological FRB analyses. In this study, we extend the baryonification (BCM) approach to derive a physically-motivated, analytic model for predicting the host contribution to FRB DMs. By focusing on the statistical properties of FRB host DMs, we find that our simple model is able to reproduce the probability distribution function (PDF) of host halo DMs measured from the CAMELS suite of hydrodynamic simulations, as well as their mass- and redshift dependence. Furthermore, we demonstrate that our model allows for self-consistent predictions of the host DM PDF and the matter power spectrum suppression due to baryonic effects, as observed in these simulations, making it promising for modelling host-DM-related systematics in FRB analyses. In general, we find that the shape of the host DM PDF is determined by the interplay between the FRB and gas distributions in halos. Our findings indicate that more compact FRB profiles require shallower gas profiles (and vice versa) in order to match the observed DM distributions in hydrodynamic simulations. Furthermore, the analytic model presented here shows that the shape of the host DM PDF is highly sensitive to the parameters of the BCM. This suggests that this observable could be used as an interesting test bed for baryonic processes, complementing other probes due to its sensitivity to feedback on galactic scales. We further discuss the main limitations of our analysis, and point out potential avenues for future work.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Baryonification II: Constraining feedback with X-ray and kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich observations

Baryonic feedback alters the matter distribution on small and intermediate scales, posing a challenge for precision cosmology. The new, component-wise baryonification (BFC) approach provides a self-consistent framework to model feedback effects for different observables. In this paper we use this framework to fit kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) observations from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT) alongside halo X-ray gas fractions from eROSITA, investigating baryonic feedback in a cosmological context. We first show that the kSZ data from ACT is consistent with the gas fractions from eROSITA, both suggesting a feedback model that is stronger than what is assumed in most hydrodynamical simulations. This finding is in contrast to older, pre-eROSITA gas fraction measurements that point towards weaker feedback in tension with the kSZ results. We suspect these discrepancies to be due to selection bias in the pre-eROSITA sample, or differences in halo mass estimation between the two data sets. In a further step, we use the BFC model to predict the baryonic suppression of the matter power spectrum. Based on our combined fit to data from ACT and eROSITA, we find a power spectrum suppression that exceeds the percent-level at modes above $k=0.3-0.6 \,h\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$, growing to 2-8 percent at $k=1\,h\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$, and to 20-25 percent at $k=5\,h\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$, consistent with strong-feedback hydrodynamical simulations. Finally, we compare our best-fitting model to the observed gas density and pressure profiles of massive galaxy clusters from the X-COP sample, finding excellent agreement. These results show that BFC provides a self-consistent picture of feedback across mass- and length scales as well as different cosmological observables, thus making it promising for applications to multiwavelength studies to jointly constrain cosmology and baryonic effects.

astro-ph.CO↗