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Michael L. Stevens

Publications and source records attributed to Michael L. Stevens.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Prediction and Verification of Parker Solar Probe Solar Wind Sources at 13.3 R$_\odot$

Drawing connections between heliospheric spacecraft and solar wind sources is a vital step in understanding the evolution of the solar corona into the solar wind and contextualizing \textit{in situ} timeseries. Furthermore, making advanced predictions of this linkage for ongoing heliospheric missions, such as Parker Solar Probe (PSP), is necessary for achieving useful coordinated remote observations and maximizing scientific return. The general procedure for estimating such connectivity is straightforward (i.e. magnetic field line tracing in a coronal model) but validating the resulting estimates difficult due to the lack of an independent ground truth and limited model constraints. In its most recent orbits, PSP has reached perihelia of 13.3$R_\odot$ and moreover travels extremely fast prograde relative to the solar surface, covering over 120 degrees longitude in three days. Here we present footpoint predictions and subsequent validation efforts for PSP Encounter 10, the first of the 13.3$R_\odot$ orbits, which occurred in November 2021. We show that the longitudinal dependence of \textit{in situ} plasma data from these novel orbits provides a powerful method of footpoint validation. With reference to other encounters, we also illustrate that the conditions under which source mapping is most accurate for near-ecliptic spacecraft (such as PSP) occur when solar activity is low, but also requires that the heliospheric current sheet is strongly warped by mid-latitude or equatorial coronal holes. Lastly, we comment on the large-scale coronal structure implied by the Encounter 10 mapping, highlighting an empirical equatorial cut of the Alfvèn surface consisting of localized protrusions above unipolar magnetic separatrices.

astro-ph.SR↗

On the evolution of the Anisotropic Scaling of Magnetohydrodynamic Turbulence in the Inner Heliosphere

We analyze a merged Parker Solar Probe ($PSP$) and Solar Orbiter ($SO$) dataset covering heliocentric distances $13 \ R_{\odot} \lesssim R \lesssim 220$ $R_{\odot}$ to investigate the radial evolution of power and spectral-index anisotropy in the wavevector space of solar wind turbulence. Our results show that anisotropic signatures of turbulence display a distinct radial evolution when fast, $V_{sw} \geq ~ 400 ~km ~s^{-1}$, and slow, $V_{sw} \leq ~ 400 ~km ~s^{-1}$, wind streams are considered. The anisotropic properties of slow wind in Earth orbit are consistent with a ``critically balanced'' cascade, but both spectral-index anisotropy and power anisotropy diminish with decreasing heliographic distance. Fast streams are observed to roughly retain their near-Sun anisotropic properties, with the observed spectral index and power anisotropies being more consistent with a ``dynamically aligned'' type of cascade, though the lack of extended fast-wind intervals makes it difficult to accurately measure the anisotropic scaling. A high-resolution analysis during the first perihelion of PSP confirms the presence of two sub-ranges within the inertial range, which may be associated with the transition from weak to strong turbulence. The transition occurs at $κd_{i} \approx 6 \times 10^{-2}$, and signifies a shift from -5/3 to -2 and -3/2 to -1.57 scaling in parallel and perpendicular spectra, respectively. Our results provide strong observational constraints for anisotropic theories of MHD turbulence in the solar wind.

physics.space-ph↗

Magnetic field spectral evolution in the inner heliosphere

Parker Solar Probe and Solar Orbiter data are used to investigate the radial evolution of magnetic turbulence between $0.06 ~ \lesssim R ~\lesssim 1$ au. The spectrum is studied as a function of scale, normalized to the ion inertial scale $d_{i}$. In the vicinity of the Sun, the inertial range is limited to a narrow range of scales and exhibits a power-law exponent of, $α_{B} = -3/2$, independent of plasma parameters. The inertial range grows with distance, progressively extending to larger spatial scales, while steepening towards a $α_{B} =-5/3$ scaling. It is observed that spectra for intervals with large magnetic energy excesses and low Alfvénic content steepen significantly with distance, in contrast to highly Alfvénic intervals that retain their near-Sun scaling. The occurrence of steeper spectra in slower wind streams may be attributed to the observed positive correlation between solar wind speed and Alfvénicity.

astro-ph.SR↗

Magnetic field intermittency in the solar wind: PSP and SolO observations ranging from the Alfven region out to 1 AU

$PSP$ and $SolO$ data are utilized to investigate magnetic field intermittency in the solar wind (SW). Small-scale intermittency $(20-100d_{i})$ is observed to radially strengthen when methods relying on higher-order moments are considered ($SF_q$, $SDK$), but no clear trend is observed at larger scales. However, lower-order moment-based methods (e.g., PVI) are deemed more appropriate for examining the evolution of the bulk of Coherent Structures (CSs), $PVI \ge 3$. Using PVI, we observe a scale-dependent evolution in the fraction of the dataset occupied by CSs, $f_{PVI \ge 3}$. Specifically, regardless of the SW speed, a subtle increase is found in $f_{PVI\ge3}$ for $\ell =20 d_i$, in contrast to a more pronounced radial increase in CSs observed at larger scales. Intermittency is investigated in relation to plasma parameters. Though, slower SW speed intervals exhibit higher $f_{PVI \geq 6}$ and higher kurtosis maxima, no statistical differences are observed for $f_{PVI \geq 3}$. Highly Alfvénic intervals, display lower levels of intermittency. The anisotropy with respect to the angle between the magnetic field and SW flow, $Θ_{VB}$ is investigated. Intermittency is weaker at $Θ_{VB} \approx 0^{\circ}$ and is strengthened at larger angles. Considering the evolution at a constant alignment angle, a weakening of intermittency is observed with increasing advection time of the SW. Our results indicate that the strengthening of intermittency in the inner heliosphere is driven by the increase in comparatively highly intermittent perpendicular intervals sampled by the probes with increasing distance, an effect related directly to the evolution of the Parker spiral.

astro-ph.SR↗

Eruption and Interplanetary Evolution of a Stealthy Streamer-Blowout CME Observed by PSP at ${\sim}$0.5~AU

Streamer-blowout coronal mass ejections (SBO-CMEs) are the dominant CME population during solar minimum. Although they are typically slow and lack clear low-coronal signatures, they can cause geomagnetic storms. With the aid of extrapolated coronal fields and remote observations of the off-limb low corona, we study the initiation of an SBO-CME preceded by consecutive CME eruptions consistent with a multi-stage sympathetic breakout scenario. From inner-heliospheric Parker Solar Probe (PSP) observations, it is evident that the SBO-CME is interacting with the heliospheric magnetic field and plasma sheet structures draped about the CME flux rope. We estimate that $18 \, \pm \, 11\%$ of the CME's azimuthal magnetic flux has been eroded through magnetic reconnection and that this erosion began after a heliospheric distance of ${\sim}0.35$ AU from the Sun was reached. This observational study has important implications for understanding the initiation of SBO-CMEs and their interaction with the heliospheric surroundings.

astro-ph.SR↗

Characteristic scales of magnetic switchback patches near the Sun and their possible association with solar supergranulation and granulation

Parker Solar Probe (PSP) data recorded within a heliocentric radial distance of 0.3 AU have revealed a magnetic field dominated by Alfvénic structures that undergo large local variations or even reversals of the radial magnetic field. They are called magnetic switchbacks, they are consistent with folds in magnetic field lines within a same magnetic sector, and are associated with velocity spikes during an otherwise calmer background. They are thought to originate either in the low solar atmosphere through magnetic reconnection processes, or result from the evolution of turbulence or velocity shears in the expanding solar wind. In this work, we investigate the temporal and spatial characteristic scales of magnetic switchback patches. We define switchbacks as a deviation from the nominal Parker spiral direction and detect them automatically for PSP encounters 1, 2, 4 and 5. We focus in particular on a 5.1-day interval dominated by switchbacks during E5. We perform a wavelet transform of the solid angle between the magnetic field and the Parker spiral and find periodic spatial modulations with two distinct wavelengths, respectively consistent with solar granulation and supergranulation scales. In addition we find that switchback occurrence and spectral properties seem to depend on the source region of the solar wind rather than on the radial distance of PSP. These results suggest that switchbacks are formed in the low corona and modulated by the solar surface convection pattern.

astro-ph.SR↗

CMEs and SEPs During November-December 2020: A Challenge for Real-Time Space Weather Forecasting

Predictions of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and solar energetic particles (SEPs) are a central issue in space weather forecasting. In recent years, interest in space weather predictions has expanded to include impacts at other planets beyond Earth as well as spacecraft scattered throughout the heliosphere. In this sense, the scope of space weather science now encompasses the whole heliospheric system, and multi-point measurements of solar transients can provide useful insights and validations for prediction models. In this work, we aim to analyse the whole inner heliospheric context between two eruptive flares that took place in late 2020, i.e. the M4.4 flare of November 29 and the C7.4 flare of December 7. This period is especially interesting because the STEREO-A spacecraft was located ~60° east of the Sun-Earth line, giving us the opportunity to test the capabilities of "predictions at 360°" using remote-sensing observations from the Lagrange L1 and L5 points as input. We simulate the CMEs that were ejected during our period of interest and the SEPs accelerated by their shocks using the WSA-Enlil-SEPMOD modelling chain and four sets of input parameters, forming a "mini-ensemble". We validate our results using in-situ observations at six locations, including Earth and Mars. We find that, despite some limitations arising from the models' architecture and assumptions, CMEs and shock-accelerated SEPs can be reasonably studied and forecast in real time at least out to several tens of degrees away from the eruption site using the prediction tools employed here.

astro-ph.SR↗

The role of Alfvén wave dynamics on the large scale properties of the solar wind: comparing an MHD simulation with PSP E1 data

During Parker Solar Probe's first orbit, the solar wind plasma has been observed in situ closer than ever before, the perihelion on November 6th 2018 revealing a flow that is constantly permeated by large amplitude Alfvénic fluctuations. These include radial magnetic field reversals, or switchbacks, that seem to be a persistent feature of the young solar wind. The measurements also reveal a very strong, unexpected, azimuthal velocity component. In this work, we numerically model the solar corona during this first encounter, solving the MHD equations and accounting for Alfvén wave transport and dissipation. We find that the large scale plasma parameters are well reproduced, allowing the computation of the solar wind sources at Probe with confidence. We try to understand the dynamical nature of the solar wind to explain both the amplitude of the observed radial magnetic field and of the azimuthal velocities.

astro-ph.SR↗

Statistical analysis of intermittency and its association with proton heating in the near Sun environment

We use data from the first six encounters of Parker Solar Probe and employ the Partial Variance of Increments ($PVI$) method to study the statistical properties of coherent structures in the inner heliosphere with the aim of exploring physical connections between magnetic field intermittency and observable consequences such as plasma heating and turbulence dissipation. Our results support proton heating localized in the vicinity of, and strongly correlated with, magnetic structures characterized by $PVI \geq 1$. We show that on average, such events constitute $\approx 19\%$ of the dataset, though variations may occur depending on the plasma parameters. We show that the waiting time distribution ($WT$) of identified events is consistent across all six encounters following a power-law scaling at lower $WTs$. This result indicates that coherent structures are not evenly distributed in the solar wind but rather tend to be tightly correlated and form clusters. We observe that the strongest magnetic discontinuities, $PVI \geq 6$, usually associated with reconnection exhausts, are sites where magnetic energy is locally dissipated in proton heating and are associated with the most abrupt changes in proton temperature. However, due to the scarcity of such events, their relative contribution to energy dissipation is minor. Taking clustering effects into consideration, we show that smaller scale, more frequent structures with PVI between, $1\lesssim PVI \lesssim 6$, play the major role in magnetic energy dissipation. The number density of such events is strongly associated with the global solar wind temperature, with denser intervals being associated with higher $T_{p}$.

astro-ph.SR↗

Direct First PSP Observation of the Interaction of Two Successive Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections in November 2020

We investigate the effects of the evolutionary processes in the internal magnetic structure of two interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) detected in situ between 2020 November 29 and December 1 by Parker Solar Probe (PSP). The sources of the ICMEs were observed remotely at the Sun in EUV and subsequently tracked to their coronal counterparts in white light. This period is of particular interest to the community since it has been identified as the first widespread solar energetic particle event of Solar Cycle 25. The distribution of various solar and heliospheric-dedicated spacecraft throughout the inner heliosphere during PSP observations of these large-scale magnetic structures enables a comprehensive analysis of the internal evolution and topology of such structures. By assembling different models and techniques, we identify the signatures of interaction between the two consecutive ICMEs and the implications for their internal structure. We use multispacecraft observations in combination with a remote-sensing forward modeling technique, numerical propagation models, and in-situ reconstruction techniques. The outcome, from the full reconciliations, demonstrates that the two CMEs are interacting in the vicinity of PSP. Thus, we identify the in-situ observations based on the physical processes that are associated with the interaction and collision of both CMEs. We also expand the flux rope modeling and in-situ reconstruction technique to incorporate the aging and expansion effects in a distorted internal magnetic structure and explore the implications of both effects in the magnetic configuration of the ICMEs.

astro-ph.SR↗

Exploring the Solar Wind from its Source on the Corona into the Inner Heliosphere during the First Solar Orbiter - Parker Solar Probe Quadrature

This Letter addresses the first Solar Orbiter (SO) -- Parker Solar Probe (PSP) quadrature, occurring on January 18, 2021, to investigate the evolution of solar wind from the extended corona to the inner heliosphere. Assuming ballistic propagation, the same plasma volume observed remotely in corona at altitudes between 3.5 and 6.3 solar radii above the solar limb with the Metis coronagraph on SO can be tracked to PSP, orbiting at 0.1 au, thus allowing the local properties of the solar wind to be linked to the coronal source region from where it originated. Thanks to the close approach of PSP to the Sun and the simultaneous Metis observation of the solar corona, the flow-aligned magnetic field and the bulk kinetic energy flux density can be empirically inferred along the coronal current sheet with an unprecedented accuracy, allowing in particular estimation of the Alfvén radius at 8.7 solar radii during the time of this event. This is thus the very first study of the same solar wind plasma as it expands from the sub-Alfvénic solar corona to just above the Alfvén surface.

astro-ph.SR↗

Predicting the Magnetic Fields of a Stealth CME Detected by Parker Solar Probe at 0.5 AU

Stealth coronal mass ejection (CMEs) are eruptions from the Sun that are not associated with appreciable low-coronal signatures. Because they often cannot be linked to a well-defined source region on the Sun, analysis of their initial magnetic configuration and eruption dynamics is particularly problematic. In this manuscript, we address this issue by undertaking the first attempt at predicting the magnetic fields of a stealth CME that erupted in 2020 June from the Earth-facing Sun. We estimate its source region with the aid of off-limb observations from a secondary viewpoint and photospheric magnetic field extrapolations. We then employ the Open Solar Physics Rapid Ensemble Information (OSPREI) modelling suite to evaluate its early evolution and forward-model its magnetic fields up to Parker Solar Probe, which detected the CME in situ at a heliocentric distance of 0.5 AU. We compare our hindcast prediction with in-situ measurements and a set of flux rope reconstructions, obtaining encouraging agreement on arrival time, spacecraft crossing location, and magnetic field profiles. This work represents a first step towards reliable understanding and forecasting of the magnetic configuration of stealth CMEs and slow, streamer-blowout events.

astro-ph.SR↗

Ambipolar electric field and potential in the solar wind estimated from electron velocity distribution functions

The solar wind escapes from the solar corona and is accelerated, over a short distance, to its terminal velocity. The energy balance associated with this acceleration remains poorly understood. To quantify the global electrostatic contribution to the solar wind dynamics, we empirically estimate the ambipolar electric field ($\mathrm{E}_\parallel$) and potential ($Φ_\mathrm{r,\infty}$). We analyse electron velocity distribution functions (VDFs) measured in the near-Sun solar wind, between 20.3\,$R_S$ and 85.3\,$R_S$, by the Parker Solar Probe. We test the predictions of two different solar wind models. Close to the Sun, the VDFs exhibit a suprathermal electron deficit in the sunward, magnetic field aligned part of phase space. We argue that the sunward deficit is a remnant of the electron cutoff predicted by collisionless exospheric models (Lemaire & Sherer 1970, 1971, Jockers 1970). This cutoff energy is directly linked to $Φ_\mathrm{r,\infty}$. Competing effects of $\mathrm{E}_\parallel$ and Coulomb collisions in the solar wind are addressed by the Steady Electron Runaway Model (SERM) (Scudder 2019). In this model, electron phase space is separated into collisionally overdamped and underdamped regions. We assume that this boundary velocity at small pitch angles coincides with the strahl break-point energy, which allows us to calculate $\mathrm{E}_\parallel$. The obtained $Φ_\mathrm{r,\infty}$ and $\mathrm{E}_\parallel$ agree well with theoretical expectations. They decrease with radial distance as power law functions with indices $α_Φ= -0.66$ and $α_\mathrm{E} = -1.69$. We finally estimate the velocity gained by protons from electrostatic acceleration, which equals to 77\% calculated from the exospheric models, and to 44\% from the SERM model.

astro-ph.SR↗

A powerful machine learning technique to extract proton core, beam and alpha-particle parameters from velocity distribution functions in space plasmas

Context: The analysis of the thermal part of velocity distribution functions (VDF) is fundamentally important for understanding the kinetic physics that governs the evolution and dynamics of space plasmas. However, calculating the proton core, beam and alpha-particle parameters for large data sets of VDFs is a time consuming and computationally demanding process that always requires supervision by a human expert. Aims: We developed a machine learning tool that can extract proton core, beam and alpha-particle parameters using images (2-D grid consisting pixel values) of VDFs. Methods: A database of synthetic VDFs is generated, which is used to train a convolutional neural network that infers bulk speed, thermal speed and density for all three particle populations. We generate a separate test data set of synthetic VDFs that we use to compare and quantify the predictive power of the neural network and a fitting algorithm. Results: The neural network achieves significantly smaller root-mean-square errors to infer proton core, beam and alpha-particle parameters than a traditional fitting algorithm. Conclusion: The developed machine learning tool has the potential to revolutionize the processing of particle measurements since it allows the computation of more accurate particle parameters than previously used fitting procedures.

physics.space-ph↗

Using Parker Solar Probe observations during the first four perihelia to constrain global magnetohydrodynamic models

Parker Solar Probe (PSP) is providing an unprecedented view of the Sun's corona as it progressively dips closer into the solar atmosphere with each solar encounter. Each set of observations provides a unique opportunity to test and constrain global models of the solar corona and inner heliosphere and, in turn, use the model results to provide a global context for interpreting such observations. In this study, we develop a set of global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model solutions of varying degrees of sophistication for PSP's first four encounters and compare the results with in situ measurements from PSP, Stereo-A, and Earth-based spacecraft, with the objective of assessing which models perform better or worse. All models were primarily driven by the observed photospheric magnetic field using data from Solar Dynamics Observatory's Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) instrument. Overall, we find that there are substantial differences between the model results, both in terms of the large-scale structure of the inner heliosphere during these time periods, as well as in the inferred time-series at various spacecraft. The "thermodynamic" model, which represents the "middle ground", in terms of model complexity, appears to reproduce the observations most closely for all four encounters. Our results also contradict an earlier study that had hinted that the open flux problem may disappear nearer the Sun. Instead, our results suggest that this "missing" solar flux is still missing even at 26.9 Rs, and thus it cannot be explained by interplanetary processes. Finally, the model results were also used to provide a global context for interpreting the localized in situ measurements.

physics.space-ph↗

Determination of Solar Wind Angular Momentum and Alfvén Radius from Parker Solar Probe Observations

As fundamental parameters of the Sun, the Alfvén radius and angular momentum loss determine how the solar wind changes from sub-Alfvénic to super-Alfvénic and how the Sun spins down. We present an approach to determining the solar wind angular momentum flux based on observations from Parker Solar Probe (PSP). A flux of about $0.15\times10^{30}$ dyn cm sr$^{-1}$ near the ecliptic plane and 0.7:1 partition of that flux between the particles and magnetic field are obtained by averaging data from the first four encounters within 0.3 au from the Sun. The angular momentum flux and its particle component decrease with the solar wind speed, while the flux in the field is remarkably constant. A speed dependence in the Alfvén radius is also observed, which suggests a "rugged" Alfvén surface around the Sun. Substantial diving below the Alfvén surface seems plausible only for relatively slow solar wind given the orbital design of PSP. Uncertainties are evaluated based on the acceleration profiles of the same solar wind streams observed at PSP and a radially aligned spacecraft near 1 au. We illustrate that the "angular momentum paradox" raised by Réville et al. can be removed by taking into account the contribution of the alpha particles. The large proton transverse velocity observed by PSP is perhaps inherent in the solar wind acceleration process, where an opposite transverse velocity is produced for the alphas with the angular momentum conserved. Preliminary analysis of some recovered alpha parameters tends to agree with the results.

astro-ph.SR↗

The Contribution of Alpha Particles to the Solar Wind Angular Momentum Flux in the Inner Heliosphere

An accurate assessment of the Sun's angular momentum (AM) loss rate is an independent constraint for models that describe the rotation evolution of Sun-like stars. In-situ measurements of the solar wind taken by Parker Solar Probe (PSP), at radial distances of $\sim 28-55R_{\odot}$, are used to constrain the solar wind AM-loss rate. For the first time with PSP, this includes a measurement of the alpha particle contribution. The mechanical AM flux in the solar wind protons (core and beam), and alpha particles, is determined as well as the transport of AM through stresses in the interplanetary magnetic field. The solar wind AM flux is averaged over three hour increments, so that our findings more accurately represent the bulk flow. During the third and fourth perihelion passes of PSP, the alpha particles contain around a fifth of the mechanical AM flux in the solar wind (the rest is carried by the protons). The proton beam is found to contain $\sim 10-50\%$ of the proton AM flux. The sign of the alpha particle AM flux is observed to correlate with the proton core. The slow wind has a positive AM flux (removing AM from the Sun as expected), and the fast wind has a negative AM flux. As with previous works, the differential velocity between the alpha particles and the proton core tends to be aligned with the interplanetary magnetic field. In future, by utilising the trends in the alpha-proton differential velocity, it may be possible to estimate the alpha particle contribution when only measurements of the proton core are available. Based on the observations from this work, the alpha particles contribute an additional $10-20\%$ to estimates of the solar wind AM-loss rate which consider only the proton and magnetic field contributions. Additionally, the AM flux of the proton beam can be just as significant as the alpha particles, and so should not be neglected in future studies.

astro-ph.SR↗

Wave-particle energy transfer directly observed in an ion cyclotron wave

Context. The first studies with Parker Solar Probe (PSP) data have made significant progress toward the understanding of the fundamental properties of ion cyclotron waves in the inner heliosphere. The survey mode particle measurements of PSP, however, did not make it possible to measure the coupling between electromagnetic fields and particles on the time scale of the wave periods. Aims. We present a novel approach to study wave-particle energy exchange with PSP. Methods. We use the Flux Angle operation mode of the Solar Probe Cup in conjunction with the electric field measurements and present a case study when the Flux Angle mode measured the direct interaction of the proton velocity distribution with an ion cyclotron wave. Results. Our results suggest that the energy transfer from fields to particles on the timescale of a cyclotron period is equal to approximately 3-6% of the electromagnetic energy flux. This rate is consistent with the hypothesis that the ion cyclotron wave was locally generated in the solar wind.

physics.space-ph↗