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Michael S. Turner

Publications and source records attributed to Michael S. Turner.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources
arXiv2000

Probing the dark energy: methods and strategies

The presence of dark energy in the Universe is inferred directly from the accelerated expansion of the Universe, and indirectly, from measurements of cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropy. Dark energy contributes about 2/3 of the critical density, is very smoothly distributed, and has large negative pressure. Its nature is very much unknown. Most of its discernible consequences follow from its effect on evolution of the expansion rate of the Universe, which in turn affects the growth of density perturbations and the age of the Universe, and can be probed by the classical kinematic cosmological tests. Absent a compelling theoretical model (or even a class of models), we describe the dark energy by an effective equation-of-state w=p_X/ρ_X which is allowed to vary with time. We describe and compare different approaches for determining w(t), including magnitude-redshift (Hubble) diagram, number counts of galaxies and clusters, and CMB anisotropy, focusing particular attention on the use of a sample of several thousand type Ia supernova with redshifts z\lesssim 1.7, as might be gathered by the proposed SNAP satellite. Among other things, we derive optimal strategies for constraining cosmological parameters using type Ia supernovae. While in the near term CMB anisotropy will provide the first measurements of w, supernovae and number counts appear to have the most potential to probe dark energy.

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arXiv2000

What Is The BBN Prediction for the Baryon Density and How Reliable Is It?

Together, the standard theory of big-bang nucleosynthesis (BBN) and the primeval deuterium abundance now very precisely peg the baryon density. Based upon our analysis of the deuterium data and the theoretical uncertainties associated with the BBN predictions, we determine Omega_B h^2 = 0.020\pm 0.002 (95% C.L.), with the uncertainty from the measured deuterium abundance about twice that from the predicted abundance. We discuss critically the reliability of the BBN baryon density, and in light of possible systematic uncertainties also derive a very conservative range. We conclude that within the standard cosmology and standard theory of BBN a baryon density Omega_B h^2=0.032 (the central value implied by recent CMB anisotropy measurements) simply cannot be accommodated.

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arXiv2000

Kinematic Constraints to the Key Inflationary Observables

The observables $T/S$ and $n-1$ are key to testing and understanding inflation. ($T$, $S$, and $n-1$ respectively quantify the gravity-wave and density-perturbation contributions to CMB anisotropy and the deviation of the density perturbations from the scale-invariant form.) Absent a standard model, there is no definite prediction for, or relation between, $T/S$ and $n-1$. By reformulating the equations governing inflation we show that models generally predict $T/S \approx -5(n-1)$ or 0, and in particular, if $n>0.85$, $T/S$ is expected to be $>10^{-3}$.

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arXiv2000

Probing the Cosmic Dark Age in X-rays

Empirical studies of the first generation of stars and quasars will likely become feasible within the next decade in several different wavelength bands. Microwave anisotropy experiments, such as MAP or Planck, will set constraints on the ionization history of the intergalactic medium due to these sources. In the infrared, the Next Generation Space Telescope (NGST) will be able to directly detect sub-galactic objects at redshifts z>10. In the optical, data from the Hubble Deep Field already places a constraint on the abundance of high-redshift quasars. However, the epoch of the first quasars might be first probed in X-ray bands, by instruments such as the Chandra X-ray Observatory (CXO) and the X-ray Multi-mirror Mission (XMM). In a 500 Ksec integration, CXO reaches a sensitivity of 2x10-16 erg/s cm^2. Based on simple hierarchical CDM models, we find that at this flux threshold approx. 100 quasars might be detectable from redshifts z>5, and approx. 1 quasar at z=10, in each 17x17 arcmin field. Measurement of the power spectrum of the unresolved soft X-ray background will further constrain models of faint, high-redshift quasars.

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arXiv1999

Dark Matter, Dark Energy and Fundamental Physics

More than sixty years ago Zwicky made the case that the great clusters of galaxies are held together by the gravitational force of unseen (dark) matter. Today, the case is stronger and more precise: Dark, nonbaryonic matter accounts for 30% +/- 7% of the critical mass density, with baryons (most of which are dark) contributing only 4.5% +/- 0.5% of the critical density. The large-scale structure that exists in the Universe indicates that the bulk of the nonbaryonic dark matter must be cold (slowly moving particles). The SuperKamiokande detection of neutrino oscillations shows that particle dark matter exists, crossing an important threshold. Over the past few years a case has developed for a dark-energy problem. This dark component contributes about 80% +/- 20% of the critical density and is characterized by very negative pressure (p_X < -0.6 rho_X). Consistent with this picture of dark energy and dark matter are measurements of CMB anisotropy that indicate that total contribution of matter and energy is within 10% of the critical density. Fundamental physics beyond the standard model is implicated in both the dark matter and dark energy puzzles: new fundamental particles (e.g., axion or neutralino) and new forms of relativistic energy (e.g., vacuum energy or a light scalar field). A flood of observations will shed light on the dark side of the Universe over the next two decades; as it does it will advance our understanding of the Universe and the laws of physics that govern it.

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arXiv1999

On the degree of scale invariance of inflationary perturbations

Many, if not most, inflationary models predict the power-law index of the spectrum of density perturbations is close to one, though not precisely equal to one, |n-1| \sim O(0.1), implying that the spectrum of density perturbations is nearly, but not exactly, scale invariant. Some models allow n to be significantly less than one (n \sim 0.7); a spectral index significantly greater than one is more difficult to achieve. We show that n \approx 1 is a consequence of the slow-roll conditions for inflation and ``naturalness,'' and thus is a generic prediction of inflation. We discuss what is required to deviate significantly from scale invariance, and then show, by explicit construction, the existence of smooth potentials that satisfy all the conditions for successful inflation and give $n$ as large as 2.

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arXiv1999

Prospects for probing the dark energy via supernova distance measurements

Distance measurements to Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) indicate that the Universe is accelerating and that two-thirds of the critical energy density exists in a dark-energy component with negative pressure. Distance measurements to SNe Ia can be used to distinguish between different possibilities for the dark energy, and if it is an evolving scalar field, to reconstruct the scalar-field potential. We derive the reconstruction equations and address the feasibility of this approach by Monte-Carlo simulation.

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arXiv1999

Why Cosmologists Believe the Universe is Accelerating

Theoretical cosmologists were quick to be convinced by the evidence presented in 1998 for the accelerating Universe. I explain how this remarkable discovery was the missing piece in the grand cosmological puzzle. When found, it fit perfectly. For cosmologists, this added extra weight to the strong evidence of the SN Ia measurements themselves, making the result all the more believable.

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arXiv1999

Cosmological Parameters

The discussion of cosmological parameters used to be a source of embarrassment to cosmologists. Today, measurements of the cosmological parameters are leading the way into the era of precision cosmology. The CMB temperature is measured to four significant figures, T_0=2.7277+/-0.002 K; the Hubble constant is now determined with a reliable error estimate, H_0=(65+/-5) km sec^-1 Mpc^-1; the mass density of baryons is precisely determined by big-bang nucleosynthesis Omega_B = (0.019+/-0.001) h^-2; and the age of the Universe inferred from the ages of the oldest stars is 14+/-1.5 Gyr, which is consistent the expansion age. Further, we have the first full accounting of matter and energy in the Universe, complete with a self consistency check. Expressed as a fraction of the critical density it goes like this: neutrinos, between 0.3% and 15%; stars, between 0.3% and 0.6%; baryons (total), 5+/-0.5%; matter (total),40% +/- 10%; smooth, dark energy, 80% +/- 20%; totaling to the critical density (within the errors).

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arXiv1999

Geometry and Destiny

The recognition that the cosmological constant may be non-zero forces us to re-evaluate standard notions about the connection between geometry and the fate of our Universe. An open Universe can recollapse, and a closed Universe can expand forever. As a corollary, we point out that there is no set of cosmological observations we can perform that will unambiguously allow us to determine what the ultimate destiny of the Universe will be.

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arXiv1999

Precision Prediction for the Big-Bang Abundance of Primordial Helium

Within the standard models of particle physics and cosmology we have calculated the big-bang prediction for the primordial abundance of \he to a theoretical uncertainty of less than $0.1 \pct$ $(δY_P < \pm 0.0002)$, improving the current theoretical precision by a factor of 10. At this accuracy the uncertainty in the abundance is dominated by the experimental uncertainty in the neutron mean lifetime, $τ_n = 885.4 \pm 2.0 sec$. The following physical effects were included in the calculation: the zero and finite-temperature radiative, Coulomb and finite-nucleon-mass corrections to the weak rates; order-$α$ quantum-electrodynamic correction to the plasma density, electron mass, and neutrino temperature; and incomplete neutrino decoupling. New results for the finite-temperature radiative correction and the QED plasma correction were used. In addition, we wrote a new and independent nucleosynthesis code designed to control numerical errors to be less than 0.1\pct. Our predictions for the \EL[4]{He} abundance are presented in the form of an accurate fitting formula. Summarizing our work in one number, $ Y_P(η= 5\times 10^{-10}) = 0.2462 \pm 0.0004 (expt) \pm < 0.0002 (theory)$. Further, the baryon density inferred from the Burles-Tytler determination of the primordial D abundance, $Ω_B h^2 = 0.019\pm 0.001$, leads to the prediction: $Y_P = 0.2464 \pm 0.0005 (D/H) \pm < 0.0002 (theory) \pm 0.0005 (expt)$. This ``prediction'' and an accurate measurement of the primeval \he abundance will allow an important consistency test of primordial nucleosynthesis.

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arXiv1999

Constraining dark energy with SNe Ia and large-scale structure

Measurements of the distances to SNe Ia have produced strong evidence that the expansion of the Universe is accelerating, implying the existence of a nearly uniform component of dark energy with negative pressure. We show that constraints to this mysterious component based upon large-scale structure nicely complement the SN Ia data, and that together they require Omega_X = (0.6,0.7) and w_X < -0.6 (95% cl), for the favored flat Universe. Other cosmological data support this conclusion. The simplest explanation, a cosmological constant, is consistent with this, while some of the other possibilities are not.

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arXiv1999

Cosmology Update 1998

For two decades the hot big-bang model has been referred to as the standard cosmology -- and for good reason. For just as long cosmologists have known that there are fundamental questions that are not addressed by the standard cosmology and point to a grander theory. The best candidate for that grander theory is inflation + cold dark matter. It holds that the Universe is flat, that slowly moving elementary particles left over from the earliest moments provide the cosmic infrastructure, and that the primeval density inhomogeneities that seed all large-scale structure arose from quantum fluctuations. There is now prima facie evidence that supports two basic tenets of this paradigm, and an avalanche of high-quality cosmological observations will soon make this case stronger or will break it. Key questions remain to be answered; foremost among them are: identification and detection of the cold dark matter particles and elucidation of the mysterious dark-energy component. These are exciting times in cosmology!

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arXiv1999

Sharpening the predictions of big-bang nucleosynthesis

Motivated by the recent measurement of the primeval abundance of deuterium, we re-examine the nuclear inputs to big-bang nucleosynthesis (BBN). Using Monte-Carlo realization of the nuclear cross-section data to directly estimate the theoretical uncertainties for the yields of D, 3-He and 7-Li, we show that previous estimates were a factor of 2 too large. We sharpen the BBN determination of the baryon density based upon deuterium, rho_B = (3.6 +/- 0.4) * 10^{-31} g/cm^3 (Omega_B h^2 = 0.019 +/- 0.0024), which leads to a predicted 4-He abundance, Y_P = 0.246 +/- 0.0014 and a stringent limit to the equivalent number of light neutrino species: N_nu < 3.20 (all at 95% cl). The predicted 7-Li abundance, 7-Li/H = (3.5 + 1.1 - 0.9) * 10^{-10}, is higher than that observed in pop II stars, (1.7 +/- 0.3) * 10^{-10} (both, 95% cl). We identify key reactions and the energies where further work is needed.

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arXiv1999

Cosmology at the Millennium

One hundred years ago we did not know how stars generate energy, the age of the Universe was thought to be only millions of years, and our Milky Way galaxy was the only galaxy known. Today, we know that we live in an evolving and expanding Universe comprising billions of galaxies, all held together by dark matter. With the hot big-bang model, we can trace the evolution of the Universe from the hot soup of quarks and leptons that existed a fraction of a second after the beginning to the formation of galaxies a few billion years later, and finally to the Universe we see today 13 billion years after the big bang, with its clusters of galaxies, superclusters, voids, and great walls. The attractive force of gravity acting on tiny primeval inhomogeneities in the distribution of matter gave rise to all the structure seen today. A paradigm based upon deep connections between cosmology and elementary particle physics -- inflation + cold dark matter -- holds the promise of extending our understanding to an even more fundamental level and much earlier times, as well as shedding light on the unification of the forces and particles of nature. As we enter the 21st century, a flood of observations is testing this paradigm.

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arXiv1999

Dark Matter and Energy in the Universe

For the first time, we have a plausible and complete accounting of matter and energy in the Universe. Expressed a fraction of the critical density it goes like this: neutrinos, between 0.3% and 15%; stars, between 0.3% and 0.6%; baryons (total), 5% +/- 0.5%; matter (total), 40% +/- 10%; smooth, dark energy, 80% +/- 20%; totaling to the critical density (within the errors). This accounting is consistent with the inflationary prediction of a flat Universe and defines three dark-matter problems: Where are the dark baryons? What is the nonbaryonic dark matter? What is the nature of the dark energy? The leading candidate for the (optically) dark baryons is diffuse hot gas; the leading candidates for the nonbaryonic dark matter are slowly moving elementary particles left over from the earliest moments (cold dark matter), such as axions or neutralinos; the leading candidates for the dark energy involve fundamental physics and include a cosmological constant (vacuum energy), a rolling scalar field (quintessence), and a network of light, frustrated topological defects.

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arXiv1998

Dark Matter and Dark Energy in the Universe

For the first time, we have a plausible, complete accounting of matter and energy in the Universe. Expressed a fraction of the critical density it goes like this: neutrinos, between 0.3% and 15%; stars, 0.5%; baryons (total), 5%; matter (total), 40%; smooth, dark energy, 60%; adding up to the critical density. This accounting is consistent with the inflationary prediction of a flat Universe and defines three dark-matter problems: Where are the dark baryons? What is the nonbaryonic dark matter? What is the nature of the dark energy? The leading candidate for the (optically) dark baryons is diffuse hot gas; the leading candidates for the nonbaryonic dark matter are slowly moving elementary particles left over from the earliest moments (cold dark matter), such as axions or neutralinos; the leading candidates for the dark energy involve fundamental physics and include a cosmological constant (vacuum energy), a rolling scalar field (quintessence), and light, frustrated topological defects.

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