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Michael Wells

Publications and source records attributed to Michael Wells.

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The Stochastic Occupation Kernel Method for System Identification

The method of occupation kernels has been used to learn ordinary differential equations from data in a non-parametric way. We propose a two-step method for learning the drift and diffusion of a stochastic differential equation given snapshots of the process. In the first step, we learn the drift by applying the occupation kernel algorithm to the expected value of the process. In the second step, we learn the diffusion given the drift using a semi-definite program. Specifically, we learn the diffusion squared as a non-negative function in a RKHS associated with the square of a kernel. We present examples and simulations.

stat.ML

MOCK: an Algorithm for Learning Nonparametric Differential Equations via Multivariate Occupation Kernel Functions

Learning a nonparametric system of ordinary differential equations from trajectories in a $d$-dimensional state space requires learning $d$ functions of $d$ variables. Explicit formulations often scale quadratically in $d$ unless additional knowledge about system properties, such as sparsity and symmetries, is available. In this work, we propose a linear approach, the multivariate occupation kernel method (MOCK), using the implicit formulation provided by vector-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. The solution for the vector field relies on multivariate occupation kernel functions associated with the trajectories and scales linearly with the dimension of the state space. We validate through experiments on a variety of simulated and real datasets ranging from 2 to 1024 dimensions. MOCK outperforms all other comparators on 3 of the 9 datasets on full trajectory prediction and 4 out of the 9 datasets on next-point prediction.

stat.ML

Learning nonparametric ordinary differential equations from noisy data

Learning nonparametric systems of Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) dot x = f(t,x) from noisy data is an emerging machine learning topic. We use the well-developed theory of Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHS) to define candidates for f for which the solution of the ODE exists and is unique. Learning f consists of solving a constrained optimization problem in an RKHS. We propose a penalty method that iteratively uses the Representer theorem and Euler approximations to provide a numerical solution. We prove a generalization bound for the L2 distance between x and its estimator and provide experimental comparisons with the state-of-the-art.

stat.ML