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Michal Shur-Ofry

Publications and source records attributed to Michal Shur-Ofry.

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Lessons from complexity theory for AI governance

The study of complex adaptive systems, pioneered in physics, biology, and the social sciences, offers important lessons for AI governance. Contemporary AI systems and the environments in which they operate exhibit many of the properties characteristic of complex systems, including nonlinear growth patterns, emergent phenomena, and cascading effects that can lead to tail risks. Complexity theory can help illuminate the features of AI that pose central challenges for policymakers, such as feedback loops induced by training AI models on synthetic data and the interconnectedness between AI systems and critical infrastructure. Drawing on insights from other domains shaped by complex systems, including public health and climate change, we examine how efforts to govern AI are marked by deep uncertainty. To contend with this challenge, we propose a set of complexity-compatible principles concerning the timing and structure of AI governance, and the risk thresholds that should trigger regulatory intervention.

cs.CY

Growing a Tail: Increasing Output Diversity in Large Language Models

How diverse are the outputs of large language models when diversity is desired? We examine the diversity of responses of several language models to questions with multiple possible answers, comparing them with human responses. Our findings suggest that models' responses are highly concentrated, reflecting narrow, mainstream outputs, in comparison to humans, whose responses exhibit a much longer-tail. We examine three simple and practical ways to increase output diversity: 1) increasing generation randomness via temperature sampling; 2) prompting models to answer from diverse perspectives using a single prompt; 3) aggregating outputs from several models. We find that these interventions, especially when combined, can substantially increase output diversity, although single-model outputs generally remain less diverse than the human baseline. We discuss potential implications of these findings for future work in AI policy and governance that wishes to preserve cultural diversity, an essential building block of a democratic social fabric.

cs.CL