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Mike Titterington

Publications and source records attributed to Mike Titterington.

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On Expectation Propagation and the Probabilistic Editor in some simple mixture problems

As for other latent-variable problems, exact Bayesian analysis is typically not practicable for mixture problems and approximate methods have been developed. Variational Bayes tends to produce approximate posterior distributions for parameters that are too tightly concentrated in having variances that are too small. The paper identifies a few mixture problems in which Expectation Propagation and variations thereof lead to approximate posterior distributions that asymptotically exhibit `correct' variances and therefore stand to provide reliable interval estimates for the unknown parameter or parameters.

math.ST

A Bayesian reassessment of nearest-neighbour classification

The k-nearest-neighbour procedure is a well-known deterministic method used in supervised classification. This paper proposes a reassessment of this approach as a statistical technique derived from a proper probabilistic model; in particular, we modify the assessment made in a previous analysis of this method undertaken by Holmes and Adams (2002,2003), and evaluated by Manocha and Girolami (2007), where the underlying probabilistic model is not completely well-defined. Once a clear probabilistic basis for the k-nearest-neighbour procedure is established, we derive computational tools for conducting Bayesian inference on the parameters of the corresponding model. In particular, we assess the difficulties inherent to pseudo-likelihood and to path sampling approximations of an intractable normalising constant, and propose a perfect sampling strategy to implement a correct MCMC sampler associated with our model. If perfect sampling is not available, we suggest using a Gibbs sampling approximation. Illustrations of the performance of the corresponding Bayesian classifier are provided for several benchmark datasets, demonstrating in particular the limitations of the pseudo-likelihood approximation in this set-up.

stat.CO