arXiv subjects

Mikel Robredo

Publications and source records attributed to Mikel Robredo.

11 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

A Defect is Being Born: How Close Are We? A Time Sensitive Forecasting Approach

Background. Defect prediction has been a highly active topic among researchers in the Empirical Software Engineering field. Previous literature has successfully achieved the most accurate prediction of an incoming fault and identified the features and anomalies that precede it through just-in-time prediction. As software systems evolve continuously, there is a growing need for time-sensitive methods capable of forecasting defects before they manifest. Aim. Our study seeks to explore the effectiveness of time-sensitive techniques for defect forecasting. Moreover, we aim to investigate the early indicators that precede the occurrence of a defect. Method. We will train multiple time-sensitive forecasting techniques to forecast the future bug density of a software project, as well as identify the early symptoms preceding the occurrence of a defect. Expected results. Our expected results are translated into empirical evidence on the effectiveness of our approach for early estimation of bug proneness.

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arXiv2025

SQuaD: The Software Quality Dataset

Software quality research increasingly relies on large-scale datasets that measure both the product and process aspects of software systems. However, existing resources often focus on limited dimensions, such as code smells, technical debt, or refactoring activity, thereby restricting comprehensive analyses across time and quality dimensions. To address this gap, we present the Software Quality Dataset (SQuaD), a multi-dimensional, time-aware collection of software quality metrics extracted from 450 mature open-source projects across diverse ecosystems, including Apache, Mozilla, FFmpeg, and the Linux kernel. By integrating nine state-of-the-art static analysis tools, i.e., SonarQube, CodeScene, PMD, Understand, CK, JaSoMe, RefactoringMiner, RefactoringMiner++, and PyRef, our dataset unifies over 700 unique metrics at method, class, file, and project levels. Covering a total of 63,586 analyzed project releases, SQuaD also provides version control and issue-tracking histories, software vulnerability data (CVE/CWE), and process metrics proven to enhance Just-In-Time (JIT) defect prediction. The SQuaD enables empirical research on maintainability, technical debt, software evolution, and quality assessment at unprecedented scale. We also outline emerging research directions, including automated dataset updates and cross-project quality modeling to support the continuous evolution of software analytics. The dataset is publicly available on ZENODO (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17566690).

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arXiv2025

Hidden in Plain Sight: Where Developers Confess Self-Admitted Technical Debt

Context. Detecting Self-Admitted Technical Debt (SATD) is crucial for proactive software maintenance. Previous research has primarily targeted detecting and prioritizing SATD, with little focus on the source code afflicted with SATD. Our goal in this work is to connect the SATD comments with source code constructs that surround them. Method. We leverage the extensive SATD dataset PENTACET, containing code comments from over 9000 Java Open Source Software (OSS) repositories. We quantitatively infer where SATD most commonly occurs and which code constructs/statements it most frequently affects. Results and Conclusions. Our large-scale study links over 225,000 SATD comments to their surrounding code, showing that SATD mainly arises in inline code near definitions, conditionals, and exception handling, where developers face uncertainty and trade-offs, revealing it as an intentional signal of awareness during change rather than mere neglect.

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arXiv2025

What Were You Thinking? An LLM-Driven Large-Scale Study of Refactoring Motivations in Open-Source Projects

Context. Code refactoring improves software quality without changing external behavior. Despite its advantages, its benefits are hindered by the considerable cost of time, resources, and continuous effort it demands. Aim. Understanding why developers refactor, and which metrics capture these motivations, may support wider and more effective use of refactoring in practice. Method. We performed a large-scale empirical study to analyze developers refactoring activity, leveraging Large Language Models (LLMs) to identify underlying motivations from version control data, comparing our findings with previous motivations reported in the literature. Results. LLMs matched human judgment in 80% of cases, but aligned with literature-based motivations in only 47%. They enriched 22% of motivations with more detailed rationale, often highlighting readability, clarity, and structural improvements. Most motivations were pragmatic, focused on simplification and maintainability. While metrics related to developer experience and code readability ranked highest, their correlation with motivation categories was weak. Conclusions. We conclude that LLMs effectively capture surface-level motivations but struggle with architectural reasoning. Their value lies in providing localized explanations, which, when combined with software metrics, can form hybrid approaches. Such integration offers a promising path toward prioritizing refactoring more systematically and balancing short-term improvements with long-term architectural goals.

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arXiv2025

Autonomic Microservice Management via Agentic AI and MAPE-K Integration

While microservices are revolutionizing cloud computing by offering unparalleled scalability and independent deployment, their decentralized nature poses significant security and management challenges that can threaten system stability. We propose a framework based on MAPE-K, which leverages agentic AI, for autonomous anomaly detection and remediation to address the daunting task of highly distributed system management. Our framework offers practical, industry-ready solutions for maintaining robust and secure microservices. Practitioners and researchers can customize the framework to enhance system stability, reduce downtime, and monitor broader system quality attributes such as system performance level, resilience, security, and anomaly management, among others.

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arXiv2025

A Call for Critically Rethinking and Reforming Data Analysis in Empirical Software Engineering

Context: Empirical Software Engineering (ESE) drives innovation in SE through qualitative and quantitative studies. However, concerns about the correct application of empirical methodologies have existed since the 2006 Dagstuhl seminar on SE. Objective: To analyze three decades of SE research, identify mistakes in statistical methods, and evaluate experts' ability to detect and address these issues. Methods: We conducted a literature survey of ~27,000 empirical studies, using LLMs to classify statistical methodologies as adequate or inadequate. Additionally, we selected 30 primary studies and held a workshop with 33 ESE experts to assess their ability to identify and resolve statistical issues. Results: Significant statistical issues were found in the primary studies, and experts showed limited ability to detect and correct these methodological problems, raising concerns about the broader ESE community's proficiency in this area. Conclusions. Despite our study's eventual limitations, its results shed light on recurring issues from promoting information copy-and-paste from past authors' works and the continuous publication of inadequate approaches that promote dubious results and jeopardize the spread of the correct statistical strategies among researchers. Besides, it justifies further investigation into empirical rigor in software engineering to expose these recurring issues and establish a framework for reassessing our field's foundation of statistical methodology application. Therefore, this work calls for critically rethinking and reforming data analysis in empirical software engineering, paving the way for our work soon.

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arXiv2024

Evaluating Time-Dependent Methods and Seasonal Effects in Code Technical Debt Prediction

Background. Code Technical Debt (Code TD) prediction has gained significant attention in recent software engineering research. However, no standardized approach to Code TD prediction fully captures the factors influencing its evolution. Objective. Our study aims to assess the impact of time-dependent models and seasonal effects on Code TD prediction. It evaluates such models against widely used Machine Learning models, also considering the influence of seasonality on prediction performance. Methods. We trained 11 prediction models with 31 Java open-source projects. To assess their performance, we predicted future observations of the SQALE index. To evaluate the practical usability of our TD forecasting model and its impact on practitioners, we surveyed 23 software engineering professionals. Results. Our study confirms the benefits of time-dependent techniques, with the ARIMAX model outperforming the others. Seasonal effects improved predictive performance, though the impact remained modest. \ReviewerA{ARIMAX/SARIMAX models demonstrated to provide well-balanced long-term forecasts. The survey highlighted strong industry interest in short- to medium-term TD forecasts. Conclusions. Our findings support using techniques that capture time dependence in historical software metric data, particularly for Code TD. Effectively addressing this evidence requires adopting methods that account for temporal patterns.

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arXiv2024

In Search of Metrics to Guide Developer-Based Refactoring Recommendations

Context. Source code refactoring is a well-established approach to improving source code quality without compromising its external behavior. Motivation. The literature described the benefits of refactoring, yet its application in practice is threatened by the high cost of time, resource allocation, and effort required to perform it continuously. Providing refactoring recommendations closer to what developers perceive as relevant may support the broader application of refactoring in practice and drive prioritization efforts. Aim. In this paper, we aim to foster the design of a developer-based refactoring recommender, proposing an empirical study into the metrics that study the developer's willingness to apply refactoring operations. We build upon previous work describing the developer's motivations for refactoring and investigate how product and process metrics may grasp those motivations. Expected Results. We will quantify the value of product and process metrics in grasping developers' motivations to perform refactoring, thus providing a catalog of metrics for developer-based refactoring recommenders to use.

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arXiv2024

On the correlation between Architectural Smells and Static Analysis Warnings

Background. Software quality assurance is essential during software development and maintenance. Static Analysis Tools (SAT) are widely used for assessing code quality. Architectural smells are becoming more daunting to address and evaluate among quality issues. Objective. We aim to understand the relationships between static analysis warnings (SAW) and architectural smells (AS) to guide developers/maintainers in focusing their efforts on SAWs more prone to co-occurring with AS. Method. We performed an empirical study on 103 Java projects totaling 72 million LOC belonging to projects from a vast set of domains, and 785 SAW detected by four SAT, Checkstyle, Findbugs, PMD, SonarQube, and 4 architectural smells detected by ARCAN tool. We analyzed how SAWs influence AS presence. Finally, we proposed an AS remediation effort prioritization based on SAW severity and SAW proneness to specific ASs. Results. Our study reveals a moderate correlation between SAWs and ASs. Different combinations of SATs and SAWs significantly affect AS occurrence, with certain SAWs more likely to co-occur with specific ASs. Conversely, 33.79% of SAWs act as "healthy carriers", not associated with any ASs. Conclusion. Practitioners can ignore about a third of SAWs and focus on those most likely to be associated with ASs. Prioritizing AS remediation based on SAW severity or SAW proneness to specific ASs results in effective rankings like those based on AS severity.

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arXiv2023

Ignoring Time Dependence in Software Engineering Data. A Mistake

Researchers often delve into the connections between different factors derived from the historical data of software projects. For example, scholars have devoted their endeavors to the exploration of associations among these factors. However, a significant portion of these studies has failed to consider the limitations posed by the temporal interdependencies among these variables and the potential risks associated with the use of statistical methods ill-suited for analyzing data with temporal connections. Our goal is to highlight the consequences of neglecting time dependence during data analysis in current research. We pinpointed out certain potential problems that arise when disregarding the temporal aspect in the data, and support our argument with both theoretical and real examples.

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arXiv2023

Does Microservices Adoption Impact the Development Velocity? A Cohort Study. A Registered Report

[Context] Microservices enable the decomposition of applications into small and independent services connected together. The independence between services could positively affect the development velocity of a project, which is considered an important metric measuring the time taken to implement features and fix bugs. However, no studies have investigated the connection between microservices and development velocity. [Objective and Method] The goal of this study plan is to investigate the effect microservices have on development velocity. The study compares GitHub projects adopting microservices from the beginning and similar projects using monolithic architectures. We designed this study using a cohort study method, to enable obtaining a high level of evidence. [Results] The result of this work enables the confirmation of the effective improvement of the development velocity of microservices. Moreover, this study will contribute to the body of knowledge of empirical methods being among the first works adopting the cohort study methodology.

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