arXiv subjects

Milos Hauskrecht

Publications and source records attributed to Milos Hauskrecht.

30 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2014

A Mixtures-of-Experts Framework for Multi-Label Classification

We develop a novel probabilistic approach for multi-label classification that is based on the mixtures-of-experts architecture combined with recently introduced conditional tree-structured Bayesian networks. Our approach captures different input-output relations from multi-label data using the efficient tree-structured classifiers, while the mixtures-of-experts architecture aims to compensate for the tree-structured restrictions and build a more accurate model. We develop and present algorithms for learning the model from data and for performing multi-label predictions on future data instances. Experiments on multiple benchmark datasets demonstrate that our approach achieves highly competitive results and outperforms the existing state-of-the-art multi-label classification methods.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2014

Relative Comparison Kernel Learning with Auxiliary Kernels

In this work we consider the problem of learning a positive semidefinite kernel matrix from relative comparisons of the form: "object A is more similar to object B than it is to C", where comparisons are given by humans. Existing solutions to this problem assume many comparisons are provided to learn a high quality kernel. However, this can be considered unrealistic for many real-world tasks since relative assessments require human input, which is often costly or difficult to obtain. Because of this, only a limited number of these comparisons may be provided. In this work, we explore methods for aiding the process of learning a kernel with the help of auxiliary kernels built from more easily extractable information regarding the relationships among objects. We propose a new kernel learning approach in which the target kernel is defined as a conic combination of auxiliary kernels and a kernel whose elements are learned directly. We formulate a convex optimization to solve for this target kernel that adds only minor overhead to methods that use no auxiliary information. Empirical results show that in the presence of few training relative comparisons, our method can learn kernels that generalize to more out-of-sample comparisons than methods that do not utilize auxiliary information, as well as similar methods that learn metrics over objects.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2014

Binary Classifier Calibration: Non-parametric approach

Accurate calibration of probabilistic predictive models learned is critical for many practical prediction and decision-making tasks. There are two main categories of methods for building calibrated classifiers. One approach is to develop methods for learning probabilistic models that are well-calibrated, ab initio. The other approach is to use some post-processing methods for transforming the output of a classifier to be well calibrated, as for example histogram binning, Platt scaling, and isotonic regression. One advantage of the post-processing approach is that it can be applied to any existing probabilistic classification model that was constructed using any machine-learning method. In this paper, we first introduce two measures for evaluating how well a classifier is calibrated. We prove three theorems showing that using a simple histogram binning post-processing method, it is possible to make a classifier be well calibrated while retaining its discrimination capability. Also, by casting the histogram binning method as a density-based non-parametric binary classifier, we can extend it using two simple non-parametric density estimation methods. We demonstrate the performance of the proposed calibration methods on synthetic and real datasets. Experimental results show that the proposed methods either outperform or are comparable to existing calibration methods.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2014

Binary Classifier Calibration: Bayesian Non-Parametric Approach

A set of probabilistic predictions is well calibrated if the events that are predicted to occur with probability p do in fact occur about p fraction of the time. Well calibrated predictions are particularly important when machine learning models are used in decision analysis. This paper presents two new non-parametric methods for calibrating outputs of binary classification models: a method based on the Bayes optimal selection and a method based on the Bayesian model averaging. The advantage of these methods is that they are independent of the algorithm used to learn a predictive model, and they can be applied in a post-processing step, after the model is learned. This makes them applicable to a wide variety of machine learning models and methods. These calibration methods, as well as other methods, are tested on a variety of datasets in terms of both discrimination and calibration performance. The results show the methods either outperform or are comparable in performance to the state-of-the-art calibration methods.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2013

Sparse Linear Dynamical System with Its Application in Multivariate Clinical Time Series

Linear Dynamical System (LDS) is an elegant mathematical framework for modeling and learning multivariate time series. However, in general, it is difficult to set the dimension of its hidden state space. A small number of hidden states may not be able to model the complexities of a time series, while a large number of hidden states can lead to overfitting. In this paper, we study methods that impose an $\ell_1$ regularization on the transition matrix of an LDS model to alleviate the problem of choosing the optimal number of hidden states. We incorporate a generalized gradient descent method into the Maximum a Posteriori (MAP) framework and use Expectation Maximization (EM) to iteratively achieve sparsity on the transition matrix of an LDS model. We show that our Sparse Linear Dynamical System (SLDS) improves the predictive performance when compared to ordinary LDS on a multivariate clinical time series dataset.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2013

The Bregman Variational Dual-Tree Framework

Graph-based methods provide a powerful tool set for many non-parametric frameworks in Machine Learning. In general, the memory and computational complexity of these methods is quadratic in the number of examples in the data which makes them quickly infeasible for moderate to large scale datasets. A significant effort to find more efficient solutions to the problem has been made in the literature. One of the state-of-the-art methods that has been recently introduced is the Variational Dual-Tree (VDT) framework. Despite some of its unique features, VDT is currently restricted only to Euclidean spaces where the Euclidean distance quantifies the similarity. In this paper, we extend the VDT framework beyond the Euclidean distance to more general Bregman divergences that include the Euclidean distance as a special case. By exploiting the properties of the general Bregman divergence, we show how the new framework can maintain all the pivotal features of the VDT framework and yet significantly improve its performance in non-Euclidean domains. We apply the proposed framework to different text categorization problems and demonstrate its benefits over the original VDT.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2013

Hierarchical Solution of Markov Decision Processes using Macro-actions

We investigate the use of temporally abstract actions, or macro-actions, in the solution of Markov decision processes. Unlike current models that combine both primitive actions and macro-actions and leave the state space unchanged, we propose a hierarchical model (using an abstract MDP) that works with macro-actions only, and that significantly reduces the size of the state space. This is achieved by treating macroactions as local policies that act in certain regions of state space, and by restricting states in the abstract MDP to those at the boundaries of regions. The abstract MDP approximates the original and can be solved more efficiently. We discuss several ways in which macro-actions can be generated to ensure good solution quality. Finally, we consider ways in which macro-actions can be reused to solve multiple, related MDPs; and we show that this can justify the computational overhead of macro-action generation.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2013

A Clustering Approach to Solving Large Stochastic Matching Problems

In this work we focus on efficient heuristics for solving a class of stochastic planning problems that arise in a variety of business, investment, and industrial applications. The problem is best described in terms of future buy and sell contracts. By buying less reliable, but less expensive, buy (supply) contracts, a company or a trader can cover a position of more reliable and more expensive sell contracts. The goal is to maximize the expected net gain (profit) by constructing a dose to optimum portfolio out of the available buy and sell contracts. This stochastic planning problem can be formulated as a two-stage stochastic linear programming problem with recourse. However, this formalization leads to solutions that are exponential in the number of possible failure combinations. Thus, this approach is not feasible for large scale problems. In this work we investigate heuristic approximation techniques alleviating the efficiency problem. We primarily focus on the clustering approach and devise heuristics for finding clusterings leading to good approximations. We illustrate the quality and feasibility of the approach through experimental data.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2012

Monte-Carlo optimizations for resource allocation problems in stochastic network systems

Real-world distributed systems and networks are often unreliable and subject to random failures of its components. Such a stochastic behavior affects adversely the complexity of optimization tasks performed routinely upon such systems, in particular, various resource allocation tasks. In this work we investigate and develop Monte Carlo solutions for a class of two-stage optimization problems in stochastic networks in which the expected value of resource allocations before and after stochastic failures needs to be optimized. The limitation of these problems is that their exact solutions are exponential in the number of unreliable network components: thus, exact methods do not scale-up well to large networks often seen in practice. We first prove that Monte Carlo optimization methods can overcome the exponential bottleneck of exact methods. Next we support our theoretical findings on resource allocation experiments and show a very good scale-up potential of the new methods to large stochastic networks.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2012

Variational Dual-Tree Framework for Large-Scale Transition Matrix Approximation

In recent years, non-parametric methods utilizing random walks on graphs have been used to solve a wide range of machine learning problems, but in their simplest form they do not scale well due to the quadratic complexity. In this paper, a new dual-tree based variational approach for approximating the transition matrix and efficiently performing the random walk is proposed. The approach exploits a connection between kernel density estimation, mixture modeling, and random walk on graphs in an optimization of the transition matrix for the data graph that ties together edge transitions probabilities that are similar. Compared to the de facto standard approximation method based on k-nearestneighbors, we demonstrate order of magnitudes speedup without sacrificing accuracy for Label Propagation tasks on benchmark data sets in semi-supervised learning.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2012

Solving Factored MDPs with Continuous and Discrete Variables

Although many real-world stochastic planning problems are more naturally formulated by hybrid models with both discrete and continuous variables, current state-of-the-art methods cannot adequately address these problems. We present the first framework that can exploit problem structure for modeling and solving hybrid problems efficiently. We formulate these problems as hybrid Markov decision processes (MDPs with continuous and discrete state and action variables), which we assume can be represented in a factored way using a hybrid dynamic Bayesian network (hybrid DBN). This formulation also allows us to apply our methods to collaborative multiagent settings. We present a new linear program approximation method that exploits the structure of the hybrid MDP and lets us compute approximate value functions more efficiently. In particular, we describe a new factored discretization of continuous variables that avoids the exponential blow-up of traditional approaches. We provide theoretical bounds on the quality of such an approximation and on its scale-up potential. We support our theoretical arguments with experiments on a set of control problems with up to 28-dimensional continuous state space and 22-dimensional action space.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2012

Partitioned Linear Programming Approximations for MDPs

Approximate linear programming (ALP) is an efficient approach to solving large factored Markov decision processes (MDPs). The main idea of the method is to approximate the optimal value function by a set of basis functions and optimize their weights by linear programming (LP). This paper proposes a new ALP approximation. Comparing to the standard ALP formulation, we decompose the constraint space into a set of low-dimensional spaces. This structure allows for solving the new LP efficiently. In particular, the constraints of the LP can be satisfied in a compact form without an exponential dependence on the treewidth of ALP constraints. We study both practical and theoretical aspects of the proposed approach. Moreover, we demonstrate its scale-up potential on an MDP with more than 2^100 states.

cs.AI↗