arXiv subjects

Ming-Yang Kao

Publications and source records attributed to Ming-Yang Kao.

40 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2000

Designing Proxies for Stock Market Indices is Computationally Hard

In this paper, we study the problem of designing proxies (or portfolios) for various stock market indices based on historical data. We use four different methods for computing market indices, all of which are formulas used in actual stock market analysis. For each index, we consider three criteria for designing the proxy: the proxy must either track the market index, outperform the market index, or perform within a margin of error of the index while maintaining a low volatility. In eleven of the twelve cases (all combinations of four indices with three criteria except the problem of sacrificing return for less volatility using the price-relative index) we show that the problem is NP-hard, and hence most likely intractable.

cs.CE↗

arXiv2000

A Decomposition Theorem for Maximum Weight Bipartite Matchings

Let G be a bipartite graph with positive integer weights on the edges and without isolated nodes. Let n, N and W be the node count, the largest edge weight and the total weight of G. Let k(x,y) be log(x)/log(x^2/y). We present a new decomposition theorem for maximum weight bipartite matchings and use it to design an O(sqrt(n)W/k(n,W/N))-time algorithm for computing a maximum weight matching of G. This algorithm bridges a long-standing gap between the best known time complexity of computing a maximum weight matching and that of computing a maximum cardinality matching. Given G and a maximum weight matching of G, we can further compute the weight of a maximum weight matching of G-{u} for all nodes u in O(W) time.

cs.DS↗

arXiv2000

Opportunity Cost Algorithms for Combinatorial Auctions

Two general algorithms based on opportunity costs are given for approximating a revenue-maximizing set of bids an auctioneer should accept, in a combinatorial auction in which each bidder offers a price for some subset of the available goods and the auctioneer can only accept non-intersecting bids. Since this problem is difficult even to approximate in general, the algorithms are most useful when the bids are restricted to be connected node subsets of an underlying object graph that represents which objects are relevant to each other. The approximation ratios of the algorithms depend on structural properties of this graph and are small constants for many interesting families of object graphs. The running times of the algorithms are linear in the size of the bid graph, which describes the conflicts between bids. Extensions of the algorithms allow for efficient processing of additional constraints, such as budget constraints that associate bids with particular bidders and limit how many bids from a particular bidder can be accepted.

cs.CE↗

arXiv2000

Towards Understanding the Predictability of Stock Markets from the Perspective of Computational Complexity

This paper initiates a study into the century-old issue of market predictability from the perspective of computational complexity. We develop a simple agent-based model for a stock market where the agents are traders equipped with simple trading strategies, and their trades together determine the stock prices. Computer simulations show that a basic case of this model is already capable of generating price graphs which are visually similar to the recent price movements of high tech stocks. In the general model, we prove that if there are a large number of traders but they employ a relatively small number of strategies, then there is a polynomial-time algorithm for predicting future price movements with high accuracy. On the other hand, if the number of strategies is large, market prediction becomes complete in two new computational complexity classes CPP and BCPP, which are between P^NP[O(log n)] and PP. These computational completeness results open up a novel possibility that the price graph of an actual stock could be sufficiently deterministic for various prediction goals but appear random to all polynomial-time prediction algorithms.

cs.CE↗